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General Election (US) predictions?

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Comments

  • Posts: 18,046 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    20Cent wrote: »
    Clinton has already won. Only question is can the repukelickunts survive trump.

    I'm not sure how you can say she's already won.. It's very close and she has the fbi hanging over her.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,388 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Wonder if baba vanga's prediction could actually materalise here

    That is: Due to either protests, impeachment or health factors the final process will be suspended, and Barry will be re-instated.

    Surely the 22nd amendment would prevent him from being reinstated?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,577 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    8-10 wrote: »
    Surely the 22nd amendment would prevent him from being reinstated?

    Perhaps, but if HC appears to be loosing, the 'health card issue' could be used to suspend the event, this would also allow her time to try and clear up the whole emails issue.

    Martial law could be used as last resort option in response to any public unrest with this, constitutional rights are suspended in such a scenario.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,775 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    Trump will win in my opinion.

    The latest ABC/Washington Post shows Hillary has reached a new hight in being viewed unfavourably and is not slightly more unpopular than Trump.

    Unpopular ratings
    Clinton 60%
    Trump 58%

    The polls are showing a swing towards Trump.
    Apart from Clinton having major trust issues, maybe people don't like Hillary's confrontational attitude towards Russia and the way she wants to take on Russia in Syria, while Trump talks about working with Russia in Syria to fight ISIS.

    I think many Americans will remember the controversial Bill Clinton presidency and see it happening all over again, they remember the lies of Bill and how Hillary stood by the liar and targeted the women who told the truth.

    Most of all after the lies of Obama and change you can believe in, people will vote for change, and that is not Hillary Clinton.

    Wikileaks also showed emails that proved the Democrats were behind the trouble at Trump rallies.

    I was asked by some Americans what did I think of their election, I said I didn't know what to think.
    I tried to stay on the fence but what I got from them - there were four Americans one man and three women in their 60s, and they liked neither candidate, though I felt the three women would vote for Clinton, but they came from blue states.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,759 ✭✭✭jobbridge4life


    They are both complete idiots and both would be total liabilitys running the country.

    Generation Twitter is ****ed up.

    ... how is this generation twitter? These are two baby boomers in their 70s.

    I think Trump is going to win.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,723 ✭✭✭✭Fred Swanson


    This post has been deleted.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭oik


    Trump to win with over 300 electoral votes.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭oik


    Perhaps, but if HC appears to be loosing, the 'health card issue' could be used to suspend the event, this would also allow her time to try and clear up the whole emails issue.

    Martial law could be used as last resort option in response to any public unrest with this, constitutional rights are suspended in such a scenario.

    Are you suggesting that they would postpone the election because Hillary feels ill?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭oik


    I've seen this over my Facebook and Reddit today..

    This isn't the church or some shlt. He has been a billionaire the entire time, she turned 18 in 1999 and she's waited until the age of 35 to sue him?

    I hate Hillary and was in New York when I was 12.. The Clintons were actually in NY when I was there. Should I sue her for rape and have people like you say it's true so she doesn't win?

    Don't even dignify that with a response.

    The Guardian has covered the allegations and they are being made by an eccentric character (a male) who has accused politicians and celebs of similar in the past with no basis on behalf of victims that never existed.

    This story was picked up by desperate Never Trumpers whose behaviour surrounding the allegations have been shady to say the least. First filing the suit using an abandoned address, then refiling it with a different plaintiff, etc. It's going nowhere and it will be dismissed out of hand when it comes before a judge.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,264 ✭✭✭✭jester77


    US loses no matter who wins


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,485 ✭✭✭✭rossie1977


    oik wrote: »
    Trump to win with over 300 electoral votes.

    He would have to win every swing state and all the red states to get over 300..


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭oik


    rossie1977 wrote: »
    He would have to win every swing state and all the red states to get over 300..

    Who are you telling?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,570 ✭✭✭Ulysses Gaze


    Trump is going to win.

    Similar to Brexit, it will be driven by a protest vote.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭oik


    The only thing really working against Trump was his perception as risky.

    Clinton is now the more risky candidate, almost guaranteed to cause a constitutional crisis if elected.

    No one wants to feel like an idiot for knowingly causing it.

    Anti-Trump Republicans will come home, I'd be surprised if Paul Ryan doesn't beg them to.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,485 ✭✭✭✭rossie1977


    oik wrote: »
    Who are you telling?

    I am telling you obviously

    Trump would have to win Nevada, Iowa, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Virginia to get to over 300. That's highly unlikely he wins them all


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭oik


    I don't actually expect the shy Trump voter phenomenon to be much of a factor.

    It certainly would have been, but I think they'll be less shy about saying they vote for Trump when Hillary is now objectively a worse candidate.

    Expect polls between now and then to more accurately reflect the end result.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,940 ✭✭✭20Cent


    I'm not sure how you can say she's already won.. It's very close and she has the fbi hanging over her.

    The polls, facts and figures.
    The email thing is a non story.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,928 ✭✭✭✭osarusan


    Unless there is something seriously shocking to come out of wikileaks, I think Clinton will win comfortably.

    She's not that appealing a candidate at all, but Trump's campaign was amateur from the start, and he will pay the price for his thin-skinned reactions to everything, and for how he managed to lose support from even Fox news.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭billyhead


    This will be the USAs equivalent of Brexit. Trump to win by a narrow margin:eek:


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 95,764 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    osarusan wrote: »
    I love how, before elections, there is always some character wheeled out who we somehow have never heard of before, and who has correctly predicted every election for the last two hundred years using some super formula.
    Don't worry after the election there'll be even more you've never heard of who correctly called it.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 617 ✭✭✭Ferrari3600


    I'm assuming someone has already made the obligatory Giant Douche or Turd Sandwich joke?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 927 ✭✭✭buzzerxx


    osarusan wrote: »
    Unless there is something seriously shocking to come out of wikileaks, I think Clinton will win comfortably.

    She's not that appealing a candidate at all, but Trump's campaign was amateur from the start, and he will pay the price for his thin-skinned reactions to everything, and for how he managed to lose support from even Fox news.

    Barack Hussein Obama and Hillary Clinton are the founders of ISIS. We have proven that through emails and documents leaked from WikiLeaks, but liberal media outlets still refuse to cover it.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 617 ✭✭✭Ferrari3600


    rossie1977 wrote: »
    This is my favourite time of the year because of the crazy predictions should a certain candidate win. Its hilarious that Clinton is now being blamed for the Arab Spring essentially by some.

    What's crazy about that? She surely shares some of the blame.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,775 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    There are signs of momentum for Trump in Wisconsin to the point that the Clinton campaign have started to run ads there again.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 95,764 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    8-10 wrote: »
    It's a bizarre race. even the leading 3rd party candidate, gary johnson, is a complete looper
    His share of the vote is about the difference between Trump and Clinton.

    And in case you were wondering what would happen if the Libertarians got in. Just imagine Somalia but with more cars and guns.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭oik


    rossie1977 wrote: »
    I am telling you obviously

    Trump would have to win Nevada, Iowa, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Virginia to get to over 300. That's highly unlikely he wins them all

    Nevada, Iowa, Ohio and Florida are almost locked up.

    Colorado, Pennsylvania and North Carolina are likely to flip now.

    New Hampshire is a small state so easier to flip and he may get 3 electoral votes out of Maine now.

    And FYI, on the day swing states tend to fall one way or the other so saying it's unlikely he gets them all is untrue, if he gets most of them he likely gets all of them.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 95,764 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    oik wrote: »
    Trump to win with over 300 electoral votes.
    But 21 of those will be stolen during the count.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,257 ✭✭✭✭Pherekydes


    It seems like Paddy Power's 1/3 odds are very good value when HuffPost says it's 1/50. Seems stupid not to put money on it.

    One's the probability of Clinton winning, the other's a reflection of the market.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,239 ✭✭✭Jimbob1977


    I'm assuming someone has already made the obligatory Giant Douche or Turd Sandwich joke?

    Page One!!!! Got in quick


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭oik


    It seems like Paddy Power's 1/3 odds are very good value when HuffPost says it's 1/50. Seems stupid not to put money on it.

    HuffPost. Good lord.

    Might as well ask Alex Jones for his prediction.


This discussion has been closed.
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