General Election (US) predictions?

Fred Swanson · 31-10-2016 11:38AM

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Timberrrrrrrr · 31-10-2016 11:44AM

Fred Swanson wrote: »

She has been connected with Anthony Weiner a suspected paedophile. That will do her campaign no good.

I am so looking forward to Julian Assange dropping the fatal blow this week. Bring it on.

Trump is in court soon on suspicion of raping a 13 year old, doesn't that make him a suspected paedophile too?

8-10 · 31-10-2016 11:48AM

Dohnjoe wrote: »

and, as far as I know, is the only candidate who has challenged the democratic system in 200+ years

Rutherford B Hayes? Look up the Presidential race of 1876 if you want to see a truly rigged election!

8-10 · 31-10-2016 11:52AM

Also thread needs poll. Hard to sort through everyone's predictions. Would be good for people to clearly outline their predicted winner and margin of victory in terms of electoral college votes won.

Fleawuss · 31-10-2016 11:53AM

Clinton will probably make it at this stage. Unless something dramatic is found in the "mother lode". But essentially she is damaged goods and a lame duck as the email thing could drag on into her presidency. It's s measure of how ****ed up the Dems and Reps are that these two are the best on offer; for anyone who thinks alienation from establishment politics has no basis look at the situation. People are desperately turning to Trump and those who regard him with horror can only turn to Clinton.

I reckon a lot of people are sick of the passivity they are being reduced to by politics they and policies they never got to vote on. Brexit angst is real and not limited to the U.K.

Fred Swanson · 31-10-2016 11:54AM

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Timberrrrrrrr · 31-10-2016 11:58AM

Fred Swanson wrote: »

It is a civil case not a criminal one. Just some gold digger looking for money.

That's some mighty fine victim blaming there Fred, Not even heard a shred of evidence and you have already decided that Trump is innocent and the alleged victim is nothing but a gold digger :rolleyes:

Fred Swanson · 31-10-2016 12:00PM

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Aph2016 · 31-10-2016 12:04PM

Trump should win, neither are great candidates but Hillary is a disgrace and will probably edge it due to the female vote. Imagine voting for a person simply because she's a woman. She's as corrupt as they come.

Fred Swanson · 31-10-2016 12:06PM

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8-10 · 31-10-2016 12:19PM

Fred Swanson wrote: »

If there was any truth to the story, state and federal law enforcement would be dealing with it. A civil case is only about money.

But its alleged to have happened on an island in the Caribbean right? There would be no juristiction for a state or federal criminal case from the US?

Capt'n Midnight · 31-10-2016 12:21PM

8-10 wrote: »

But its alleged to have happened on an island in the Caribbean right? There would be no juristiction for a state or federal criminal case from the US?

Where woz you raised ??

Don't you know US law applies world wide if you is a US citizen ?

And even if you ain't.

jester77 · 31-10-2016 12:24PM

lawlolawl wrote: »

I've wanted Trump to win from day one simply because the entire concept is ludicrous and he won't be able to do anything dangerous anyway once in power.

The scandals about him have been fairly harmless but up until last week I thought they had done too much damage to his campaign and Hillary was a shoe in.

Now, after Hillary being outed as being ropey as ****, I reckon we are actually going to see President Donald J Trump.

I would have thought the opposite. Clinton would just be a puppet for corporate America and can't do too much damage. Trump would be a lot more dangerous with his huge wealth. It's a lose/lose whichever of them get in.

The whole election is a farce and just sums up corporate US for what it is.

8-10 · 31-10-2016 12:27PM

Capt'n Midnight wrote: »

Where woz you raised ??

Don't you know US law applies world wide if you is a US citizen ?

And even if you ain't.

Ireland. I didn't know that. are you saying State law enforcement can get involved in something overseas? Which State would it be?

Edit: Looks like it is alleged in New York and not that island, I mis-remembered

Dohnjoe · 31-10-2016 12:27PM

oik wrote: »

Oh yes I'll definitely believe Richard Branson who obviously doesn't have a stake in the outcome.

"according to Politifact" give me a break. Politifact are ridiculously biased and have credibility whatsoever.

That is the tip of the iceberg.. do you really want me to go into this?

Just yesterday Trump said Clinton would allow over 650 million immigrants in, that's double the population of the US

He repeats these kind of quack claims day in, day out. No basis, no evidence.. just populist whataboutery, and it's lapped up by low-information voters

Any decent democratic opponent would be leading him by at least 15 points at this stage

IvySlayer · 31-10-2016 12:28PM

Clinton by a comfortable margin.

Carlos Orange · 31-10-2016 12:30PM

Dohnjoe wrote: »

Just yesterday Trump said Clinton would allow over 650 million immigrants in, that's double the population of the US

He repeats these kind of quack claims day in, day out. No basis, no evidence.. just populist whataboutery, and it's lapped up by low-information voters

I presume that is based on her support for a common travel and work area in the whole of North and South America.

Dohnjoe · 31-10-2016 12:30PM

Fleawuss wrote: »

It's s measure of how ****ed up the Dems and Reps are that these two are the best on offer

There were plenty of candidates

Ultimately this is on the American people

Grayson · 31-10-2016 12:36PM

brickmauser wrote: »

Professor Allan J Pitchman of American University who has predicted every Presidential election since 1984 believes Trump will win.

He bases his prediction on the pattern of every election since the 1860.

He uses 13 keys as the basis of his prediction.

who?

osarusan · 31-10-2016 12:40PM

I love how, before elections, there is always some character wheeled out who we somehow have never heard of before, and who has correctly predicted every election for the last two hundred years using some super formula.

Fred Swanson · 31-10-2016 12:40PM

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MRnotlob606 · 31-10-2016 12:43PM

Stigura wrote: »

I met Graham Chapman once. Decent enough chap. We talked about Basset Hounds.

This is cool.

Pherekydes · 31-10-2016 12:52PM

Deleted User wrote: »

Sanders would be a 80% or something win if he were in it.

Hillary is 98.3% to win at the moment.

Atlantic Dawn · 31-10-2016 12:53PM

Trump will easily win for the following reasons...

Some Americans will not vote for Clinton simply because she's a woman
Clinton supports gun control, Trump does not
Trump has built a massive business and these skills would make him a better leader than Clinton
Previous non voters will come out in force to vote for Trump being the anti establishment candidate, similar to what happened for the Brexit vote.
Clinton has been in governments while the country has gone to the dogs
The email scandal will give a few votes to Trump

31-10-2016 12:55PM

Timberrrrrrrr wrote: »

Trump is in court soon on suspicion of raping a 13 year old, doesn't that make him a suspected paedophile too?

I've seen this over my Facebook and Reddit today..

This isn't the church or some shlt. He has been a billionaire the entire time, she turned 18 in 1999 and she's waited until the age of 35 to sue him?

I hate Hillary and was in New York when I was 12.. The Clintons were actually in NY when I was there. Should I sue her for rape and have people like you say it's true so she doesn't win?

Pherekydes · 31-10-2016 12:59PM

Aph2016 wrote: »

Imagine voting for a person simply because she's a woman.

Imagine voting for a person simply because they're NOT a woman. Millions are going to vote for Trump for that reason alone.

HensVassal · 31-10-2016 01:00PM

Autonomous Cowherd wrote: »

In first with 'I think Trump will win'. I have a feeling in me waters

Paul craig Roberts thinks that Trump will win too but that the election will be stolen in favour of Clinton. Apparently Trump rallies are "sell out" events whereas Clinton can barely half fill the auditoriums. Check it out:

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article45756.htm

everlast75 · 31-10-2016 01:04PM

Atlantic Dawn wrote: »

Trump will easily win for the following reasons...
Trump has built a massive business and these skills would make him a better leader than Clinton

Ahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha...

Sorry. Well.. em I... ahahahahahahahahahahahahaha

lawlolawl · 31-10-2016 01:08PM

Didn't some computer algorithm that was previously extremely accurate predict a Trump win as well?

I see a lot of his popularity being down to people wanting to give two fingers to the establishment. His own party have abandoned him and Clinton is the definition of career politician (with all the dodgy stuff that entails)

31-10-2016 01:08PM

Pherekydes wrote: »

Hillary is 98.3% to win at the môment.

I meant as % of voters but I guess you mean of winning. Source?

General Election (US) predictions?

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