Evelyn Cusack: ‘Social media forecasters - stop issuing your own weather warnings. It’s an official

RobbingBandit

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123929166#Comment_123929166

You are the Pope of weather round these parts

M.T. Cranium

I should post a more serious comment, I suppose. In the sixteen years I have been posting forecasts, I have generally taken the approach that the government warnings are both reliable and the ones that should be consulted, but as part of the boards discussion group (team more or less although we don't have that sort of structure), we do like to discuss merits of orange and red warnings when they are issued and sometimes people here take a different view of where those should be situated, the record on this is fairly good I believe, although you could find counter-examples. It generally comes down to matters of local exceptions to county wide warnings and since people in those locations are already aware of their potential to over-perform it is not that big a deal in my mind to suggest localized red alert conditions being possible in an orange alert situation. It's not the room you're in so much as the model(s) you trust or don't trust at time scales of useful forecasting, anything before about 48 hours is just idle speculation anyway. For example, if today's GFS model verified ten days from now, there would need to be a red alert for west Munster but I'm not going to issue one on that basis, the GFS is known for sometimes going off on a rampage at this time scale. Everyone in the weather interest community is going to be watching the progress of that event (extratropical Melissa apparently) and if it doesn't drop off the charts a few days from now, it will be the Next Big Thing and that guy can probably issue a purple warning or perhaps even a flashing purple-black doom of mankind alert. Womankind will be too sensible to go out in it anyway.

MrMusician18

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123922400#Comment_123922400

It's a completely ridiculous argument. The large western counties could of course be split up and all coastal counties could have a inland and coastal warning.

Now that they are talking about closing events for orange warnings, significantly more granular warnings are warranted.

They'll end up losing public buy in if they don't.

Ros4Sam24

We had a red for south Roscommon during I believe* storm Darragh, but it went largely under the radar as on the Met Eireann website the whole county was red. Until they can get a sort of interactive map like the Met Office these more localised warnings will be useless really.

Quantum Erasure

Quote from @M.T. Cranium on Boards.ie

it will be the Next Big Thing and that guy can probably issue a purple warning or perhaps even a flashing purple-black doom of mankind alert. Womankind will be too sensible to go out in it anyway.

geographica

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123924561#Comment_123924561

he’s just a celebrity amateur weather watcher, nothing else

Dazler97

I look up to MR MT and 1000% trust him been following his weather since 2010

expectationlost

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123929179#Comment_123929179

Eadt Galway warning 2023 https://extra.ie/2023/11/12/news/storm-debi-severe-weather

JanuarySnowstor

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123929630#Comment_123929630

Presume we're talking about Carlow weather? Extraordinary the shift away from Met Eireann of late with local media outlets. Met Eireann need a revamp really, and the way they ramped up the new weather charts shows how out of touch they are!! We had better charts 25 years ago and the new charts are quite pathetic if you want a bit of decent information

PukkaStukka

This is a classic boards thread. Starts off on one hot topic and diverges off onto something completely different in a few days 😆😆😆

Gaoth Laidir

That lad Nolan from IWC is some gobshite alright. Has claimed many times that he's more qualified than anyone in Met Éireann and sees nothing wrong with issuing "official" warning maps with the same colour scheme as them. He doesn't have the intelligence to realise the problem with issuing a red (merely to gain click exposure) and the implications that has with an increasingly stupid general population who get their info from scrolling timeline headlines and won't notice that it's not from an official source. Then who gets the blame for any confusion? Met Éireann, of course. "Schools aren't closed? But there's a red warning".

expectationlost

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123947318#Comment_123947318

It must drive people at Met Eireann mad with RTE having him on, like he was on Claire Byrne today, https://www.rte.ie/radio/radio1/clips/22556094/

(Not because he said anything alarmist today)

MET Eireann doesn't have have an exclusive contract with RTE to provide weather forecasting?

Larbre34

Weather forecasting and guesting on a magazine show are very different things.

If it was a serious meteorological event, such as a red storm warning or a big freeze, Met Éireann would be the only ones on RTÉ talking about it.

Dublin Calling

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123951349#Comment_123951349

With all the restrictions and permissions now required for Met Eireann staff to do anything outside their written contract, it is probably not possible to RTE to get a ME forecaster on air for a chat.