Autumn 2025 - General Discussion

Snowcast

Miserable day here. Grey, cold and damp. Torrential rain this evening since arond 6ish, hasn't let up once.

Would much prefer some cold, dry, crisp days. At least you aren't soaked to the bones.

Meteorite58

24.4mm today and 30.4mm yesterday here near Tralee. Heavy rain this afternoon made roads tricky enough around Tralee, water flowing out of fields and saw minor floods forming in the usual spots, rivers will be very high after this, lucky not too much rain around here Thurs and Fri and should be far drier for a number of days thereafter to let the place dry out some bit.

94mm for November so far.

thebaz

I remember seeing the first bit of rain at the end of August, kind of welcome after a dry summer, feals like it has rained everyday since, with hight humidity - usually like autumn, but the weather has been horrible, one or 2 dry days.

mykrodot

God that was some day. I left Sneem this morning after a few days of mixed weather but some beautiful days too. It was raining lightly so I thought I'd head home (I live between Killarney and Tralee). The weather is usually better the further from Sneem and South Kerry you get. Not today! It got darker and darker the further North I went and by the time I was home it was torrential rain which got heavier by the minute. It finally stopped about 8pm. The place is absolutely saturated, the cat won't even put a paw outside the door. Wasn't expecting that level of rain at all!

At least the SW is going to escape the rain which is forecast for some of the East on Friday!

Gonzo

The East is going to be in a bad state come Saturday especially southern half of Leinster, Met Eireann going for a 48 hour rain event in places from Friday morning to Sunday morning in the wee hours without stop.

Dazler97

I wouldn't be surprised seeing even a red warning for wicklow especially in mountainous areas and the criteria for a red warning is 50mm in 6 hours or 80mm in 24 hours , localised flooding will be an issue even in south Dublin and north wexford

Billcarson

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123984036#Comment_123984036

I certainly hope we arent back into an often unsettled regime for the next yr or so like we were from autumn 2022 till spring 2024. Had much more in the way of settled weather overall from about june 2024 till this August. I was hoping if we did go back to often unsettled weather it wouldnt be until sometime next yr. We will see what transpires but i cant imagine what state the ground will be in if we end up getting a very wet winter on top of all the rain we have had this autumn.

Gonzo

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123984130#Comment_123984130

Things are in a very bad way already, 2023 was bad but this is worse in terms of water logging and flooded ditches. The only thing we're missing is lakes of water in the fields and that isn't far from happening if Friday to Saturday is a deluge.

adocholiday

This evening's hi-res model output is not looking good at all for Wicklow. Red warning criteria according to Met Eireann is 80mm in 24 hours, Harmonie is forecasting almost 110mm in the mountains from 6am Friday to 6am Saturday. AROME is even worse, showing 85mm of rain in that area from 9am Friday to 9pm Friday, its run doesn't extend beyond that.

There's a big spread in the models overall though, Harmonie and AROME are well out on their own with those totals. From 6am Friday to 6am Saturday ICON is next at 75mm, UKMO 55mm, ARPEGE >50mm, ECM 40mm, GFS 30mm, and GEM 20mm. The worst of it will be in the mountains in any case, but that water has to go somewhere. River levels are reasonable in the Wicklow area at the moment but if the worst case scenario comes to pass here I expect there will be significant flooding in places over the weekend. My garden is already a complete swamp though so this rain is going to completely destroy it. Still chucking down outside since early this evening too. What a miserable spell of weather.

Billcarson

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123984153#Comment_123984153

If we are back into a mostly wet regime for the next year or so i wouldnt bet againest 2026 challenging or beating 2023 for our wettest yr on record. I belive there is a reasonable chance of El Nino developing next yr aswell which last happened in 2023.

The HorsesMouth

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123984153#Comment_123984153

Well I just looked out my window this morning and we now have two lakes so it's already here im afraid.

Cluedo Monopoly

I never like seeing flooding in Autumn because I know there are months of rain ahead. We really need a frosty few days to let the water drain away.

gilly1910

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123983946#Comment_123983946

Yeah my cycle home yesterday around 6pm was the worst I have ever experienced, it was biblical the amount of rain that fell. We all know that unfortunately it rains a lot in Ireland, but my god it is getting worse and worse if that is even possible. Depressing stuff altogether.

pad199207

Status Yellow - Wind warning for Dublin, Louth, Wexford, Wicklow

Met Éireann Weather Warning

Strong and gusty northeasterly winds.

Possible impacts:

• Difficult travelling conditions
• Wind related debris

Valid: 12:00 Friday 14/11/2025 to 04:00 Saturday 15/11/2025

Issued: 09:05 Thursday 13/11/2025

JanuarySnowstor

Rain warning out now, orange for the East and yellow across Southern counties.

Cork should be orange also

Oscar Bravo

Take note if in an area prone to flooding

Gonzo

good news is next week we are in for a few relatively dry (especially in the south and east) and cool days with maybe some frost however it only lasts 2 or 3 days, then back to the Atlantic. It probably won't be enough to completely dry out the saturated land but it should do some good.

Chris_5339762

Cork should be orange I feel for Friday given the amount we had (including a 15mm deluge in 20 minutes this morning for Cobh - that was fun to drive in). Several amateur stations got 40, 50, even up to 70mm the other day - the latter being nearly red warning territory even though we "only" got an orange.

It seems we're not getting rainbelts any more, the belt is just sitting over us not moving.

aidanodr

Oh JOY … this coupled with the Status Yellow - Wind warning for Dublin, Louth, Wexford, Wicklow

"Might as well throw some Saharan dust into the mix for Saturday as well"

https://twitter.com/CarlowWeather/status/1988904306997600371

highdef

Regarding the upcoming heavy rainfall event in the east, the Harmonie (Met Eireann) model is showing over 80mm of rain to fall between 06:00 tomorrow and 06:00 on Saturday, in south Dublin and large swathes of Wicklow. Over 120mm of rain is forecast in parts of north Wicklow, near the Dublin border. Other high resolution models are similar, with some having a bit more rain and some, a little less but all show LOTS of rain. Critically, the two biggest rivers which pass through Dublin city (Liffey and Dodder) are sourced in north Wicklow and both pass through the areas where greatest rainfall occurs.

Red level criteria for rain is over 80mm of rain falling in 24 hours or less. Given the amount of rain that has fallen as recent as yesterday, plus the heavy rain falling in Wicklow this morning/afternoon, I think there may be a red warning issued in some parts with Dublin and Wicklow most likely as conditions will not be too bad first thing tomorrow but for Friday evening rush hour, things may have deteriorated a LOT!

The moisture laden east wind won't help areas east of the Dublin/Wicklow hills either as the eastern side of the them will be extremely wet, aided by the east wind and the associated orographic lift enhancing rainfall and river runoff as a result. Arklow and south to Gorey could see some nastiness as a result.

Although most parts of highly populated Dublin are not forecast to meet red level criteria for warnings, a lot of south Dublin is forecast to meet Orange level, hence the current Orange warnings for some eastern counties HOWEVER the rivers that pass through south Dublin (plus the Liffey) are going to be bursting at the seams, quite literally. This, combined with the high rainfall totals in highly populated areas will cause some major issues as we go through tomorrow and into the weekend, hence my thoughts on the issuing of red level warning later today.

Gonzo

I'm worried about getting another 20mm of rainfall which is more than enough to flood all the local roads around here since the Ditches are already full the to brim of water, mud, leaves and rubbish, everything blocked with nowhere for the water to run off. Tomorrow is going to be an absolute pig of a day. Hopefully these insane rainfall amounts are outliers but even if they are, there is still alot of rainfall due tomorrow and it won't take much just to make the current situation even worse.

Sierra Oscar

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123984926#Comment_123984926

All of the rivers around my neck of the woods in north Dublin are already in flood. Hard to see how there won't be a fair bit of localised flooding tomorrow if that forecast comes to pass.

adocholiday

I can't see how it won't come to pass at this stage. All of the hi-res models are well into red criteria for 24 hours of rain they're not outliers. Funnily enough ECM and GFS are both showing way lower totals so no idea how that's the case, but at 24-48 hours out you have to favour the hi-res options.

Gonzo

Met Eireann forecast for my local area has updated to a 30+ hour rain event from 10pm this evening until Saturday afternoon.

.Donegal.

Uk met office has two orange warnings issued the more significant of the two is a smaller area in south east wales. Both warnings mention possible thunderstorms later Friday I wonder if thunderstorms could occur here in the east.

50-75 mm of rain is expected widely across this region with some higher ground likely seeing 100-150 mm. Impacts may be exacerbated by strong easterly winds, as well as thunderstorms later Friday afternoon and evening.

40-60 mm of rain is expected widely across this region with some places seeing around 80 mm; these higher accumulations more probable across the East Midlands, and higher ground in Wales and western England. Impacts may be exacerbated by strong easterly winds, as well as thunderstorms later Friday afternoon and evening.

.Donegal.

Cool today with a strong breeze. Big temperature contrast. Malin head 7c gust 85km/h. 15c at 4 met stations.

Aimsir2025

I am part of a local hiking / walking club and a hike in the Wicklow Mountians has been in the diary for Saturday for a long time. I just spoke with the walk leader and he is adamant the hike goes ahead, 8.30am Saturday morning. He doesn't seem to put out by the forecast and besides we have all been out on the hills and mountains in bad weather. Looking forward to it. Tests our stamina! Whilst flooding may be an issue over the weekend the worst of the rainfall will be over by Saturday morning.

Robwindstorm

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123983921#Comment_123983921

OK, to answer my own query from yesterday, this low pressure system is named Storm Claudia by the Spanish met service. It's amazing how much rain is being pumped up in bands for so long and affecting many countries. Tomorrow it will push up against the high pressure and really put a squeeze on them isobars over us from an ENE direction. Claudia might make headline news tomorrow night !

pureza

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123985369#Comment_123985369

if you are starting in the mountains at 830am you could have at least 3 hours of heavy rain and wind left over very soggy terrain

To each their own I suppose

Aimsir2025

I may not go..... do I really want soaking wet feet? With all that water, no boots will remain waterproof.....