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Boards weather forecast contest for September 2025

2»

Comments

  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,392 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    High gust of 55kts at Mace Head yesterday.

    Probably already superseeded today!



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,647 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    58 knots (108 kmh) at Mace Head. Not confirmed by Met yet

    graphe2.png

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,518 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    Mace Head reported it's top gust of about 59 kts (109 kmh) at 0200 this morning

    Please check out my varied content on YouTube.com/@jpmarn. That’s includes some weather.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,310 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After the second week …

    IMT 13.7 C (0.2 below normal for 1-14 Sep) _ second week 13.1 (0.6 below normal)

    MAX 20.9, MIN not tracked yet

    PRC 161% of normal _ second week 185% of normal

    SUN 105% of normal _ second week 128.5% of normal

    max wind gust 55 knots, with a higher value observed earlier today to be confirmed later.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,310 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    So it was 59 knots at Mace Head on 15th … here's a look at current state of bonus forecasts as there's a good chance that 59 knots may stand (unless late month hurricane remnant gets very close).

    by rank order _____________________ by scoring for 59 knots

    FORECASTER ____ Max gust (knots)

    Joe Public ________74 ______________ 1

    Tae laidir ________ 68 ______________ 2

    M.T. Cranium _____ 67 ______________ 3

    Appledrop ________66 ______________ 4

    MrSkinner _______ 66 ______________ 4

    Gonzo ___________64 ______________ 6

    Esposito _________ 62 ______________ 8

    waterways _______ 62 ______________ 8

    Mr Stonewall ______61 ______________ 9

    Kindred Spirit _____ 60 _____________10

    __ to date ______ 59 _____________10

    __ Con sensus ____59 ______________10

    Cornerstonelad ___ 58 ______________10

    john mac ________ 57 ______________ 9

    dacogawa ________56 ______________ 8

    JPmarn __________55 ______________ 7

    DOCARCH ________55 ______________ 7

    sunflower3 _______ 55 ______________ 7

    WolfeEire ________ 53 ______________ 5

    Bsal ____________ 52 ______________ 4

    Artane2002 ______ 50 ______________ 2

    __ NormaL _______48 ______________ 2

    Dasa29 __________45 ______________ 1



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 778 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Oak Park equalled 20.9 yesterday.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,647 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    3.1C at Markree and Claremorris. Colder again tonight

    image.png

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 778 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Athenry and Mt Dillon dipped to 2.8.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 1,647 Mod ✭✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    Mount Dillon dropped to -0.6c at 6am. Confirmed by Met

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,310 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After the third week …

    IMT 13.4 C (0.2 below normal for 1-21 Sep) _ second week 12.9 (0.2 below normal)

    MAX 20.9

    MIN (by 22nd) -0.6 … may fall lower tonight

    PRC 165% of normal _ third week 175% of normal (Ballyhaise data incomplete, estimated)

    SUN 97% of normal _ third week 80% of normal (Cork data incomplete, estimated)

    max wind gust 59 knots, scoring based on that available in previous post (not certain to be the final value yet)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,310 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After the fourth week …

    IMT down to 12.7 (0.9 below normal) _ the fourth week average was 10.6 (1.8 below normal)

    … likely to finish 12.6

    MAX 20.9 probably set now

    MIN -0.6 probably set now

    PRC 135% of normal, fourth week average 44%. Likely to finish 135% to 140%

    SUN 118% of normal, fourth week average was 181%. Likely to finish 115%

    MAX wind gust 59 knots, scoring already shown above.

    I will do up a preliminary scoring for the month later using those estimates, and tweak them on 2nd when monthly summary appears.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,310 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Preliminary scoring for September 2025

    FORECASTER _____ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN__ Max gust ___ TOTALS

    Cornerstonelad ___ 10 _ 02^_ 00 _ 06 _ 06 ___ 10 _____ 34

    Tae laidir ________ 10 _ 12^_ 00 _ 09 _ 07 ___ 02 _____ 40

    Kindred Spirit ____ 10 _ 12^_ 09 _ 06 _ 06 ___ 10 _____ 53

    dacogawa _______ 11 _ 08^_ 05 _ 12 _ 05 ___ 08 _____ 49

    john mac ________12 _ 05^_ 13 _ 06 _ 08 ___ 09 _____ 53

    Bsal ____________ 14 _ 18^_ 17 _ 08 _ 05 ___ 04 _____ 66

    Artane2002 ______ 15 _ 12^_ 00 _ 07 _ 06 ___ 02 _____ 42

    MrSkinner _______ 15 _ 16^_ 08 _ 11 _ 05 ___ 04 _____ 59

    JPmarn __________16 _ 04^_ 04 _ 09 _ 06 ___ 07 _____ 46

    waterways _______ 16 _ 07^_ 14 _ 10 _ 07 ___ 08 _____ 62

    __ Con sensus ____ 16 _ 12^_ 11 _ 09 _ 06 ___ 10 _____ 64

    Dasa29 __________16 _ 09^_ 04 _ 01 _ 05 ___ 01 _____ 36

    Joe Public ________16 _ 14^_ 02 _ 11 _ 04 ___ 01 _____ 48

    DOCARCH ________17 _ 06^_ 18 _ 00 _ 09 ___ 07 _____ 57

    Gonzo ___________17 _ 17^_ 18 _ 12 _ 04 ___ 06 _____ 74

    WolfeEire ________ 18 _ 05^_ 18 _ 05 _ 01 ___ 05 _____ 52

    Esposito _________ 18 _ 16^_ 02 _ 07 _ 05 ___ 08 _____ 56

    sunflower3 _______ 18 _ 19^_ 08 _ 12 _ 05 ___ 07 _____ 69

    Appledrop ________18 _ 19^
    _ 14 _ 15 _ 06 ___ 04 _____ 76

    M.T. Cranium _____ 19 _ 14^_ 16 _ 09 _ 05 ___ 03 _____ 66

    __ NormaL _______ 20 _ 03^_ 16 _ 02 _ 08 ___ 02 _____ 51

    Mr Stonewall _ (-1) _22 _ 16^_ 18 _ 12 _ 02 ___ 09 _79-1=78

    ^_ MAX scored from minimum progression, all raw scores were below sea level.

    ^_ SUN scored from 110% so that max score is 9/10 — this will hold unless actual value drops below 108% in which case likely some or all scores would go up one. The ^symbol does not appear in the scoring table for SUN. It may not be needed later. One raw score of zero was boosted to 1/10 to be fair since all scores are boosted by at least 1 depending on exact final value.

    ======================= [] =========================

    (actual forecasts)

    FORECASTER _____ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ Max wind gust (knots)

    Cornerstonelad ___ 14.1 _ 25.2 _ 2.0 _ 111 _ 092 ___ 58

    Tae laidir ________ 14.1 _ 23.8 _ 2.0 _ 120 _ 095 ___ 68

    Kindred Spirit ____ 14.1 _ 23.8 _ 0.5 _ 110 _ 090 ___ 60

    dacogawa _______ 14.0 _ 24.1 _ 1.0 _ 129 _ 086 ___ 56

    john mac ________ 13.9 _ 24.7 _ 0.1 _ 110 _ 098 ___ 57

    Bsal ____________ 13.7 _ 23.0 _-0.3 _ 117 _ 085 ___ 52

    Artane2002 ______ 13.6 _ 23.8 _ 2.4 _ 115 _ 090 ___ 50

    MrSkinner _______ 13.6 _ 23.6 _ 0.6 _ 126 _ 086 ___ 66

    JPmarn __________13.5 _ 24.8 _ 1.0 _ 120 _ 090 ___ 55

    waterways _______ 13.5 _ 24.3 _ 0.0 _ 122 _ 097 ___ 62

    __ Con sensus ____ 13.5 _ 23.8 _ 0.3 _ 120 _ 088 ___ 59

    Dasa29 __________13.5 _ 24.0 _ 1.0 _ 095 _ 095 ___ 45

    Joe Public ________13.5 _ 23.7 _ 1.2 _ 150 _ 079 ___ 74

    DOCARCH ________13.4 _ 24.6 _-0.4 _ 090 _ 105 ___ 55

    Gonzo ___________13.4 _ 23.2 _-0.4 _ 128 _ 082 ___ 64

    WolfeEire ________ 13.3 _ 24.7 _-0.8 _ 108 _ 055 ___ 53

    Esposito _________ 13.3 _ 23.6 _ 1.2 _ 115 _ 085 ___ 62

    sunflower3 _______ 13.3 _ 22.9 _-1.8 _ 130 _ 087 ___ 55

    Appledrop ________13.3 _ 22.8 _ 0.0 _ 137 _ 088 ___ 66

    M.T. Cranium _____ 13.2 _ 23.7 _-1.0 _ 120 _ 085 ___ 67

    __ NormaL _______ 13.1 _ 25.0 _-1.0 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 48

    Mr Stonewall _ (-1) _12.9 _ 23.6 _-0.4 _ 130 _ 071 ___ 61

    =======================



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,310 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    IMT finished on 12.7 … this will give everyone one added point on IMT score above.

    PRC is 140% … will check their numbers tomorrow before adjusting scores above which were calculated from 138%. My method was to average several-decimal values I derived, their report is in whole numbers and if it comes out to 139% it will not change as many scores. But some of the people gaining a point will lose it back to PRC, others will not.

    SUN remains an estimate of 115% based on 29th-30th being fairly cloudy but I often find my SUN estimates are out by a few percentage so that one could change, however as stated I scored it off 110% anyway, so it would need to go to 107% to change any scoring.

    The other values tracked are probably going to hold up but I always take a look to be sure.

    Scoring updates including annual and category scoring tomorrow then.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,310 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    FORECASTER _____ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN__ Max gust ___ TOTALS

    Mr Stonewall _ (-1) _23 _ 16^_ 18 _ 12 _ 02 ___ 09 _80-1=79

    Appledrop ________19 _ 19^_ 14 _ 14 _ 06 ___ 04 _____ 76

    Gonzo ___________18 _ 17^_ 18 _ 11 _ 04 ___ 06 _____ 74

    sunflower3 _______ 19 _ 19^_ 08 _ 12 _ 05 ___ 07 _____ 70

    Bsal ____________ 15 _ 18^_ 17 _ 07 _ 05 ___ 04 _____ 66

    M.T. Cranium _____ 20 _ 14^_ 16 _ 08 _ 05 ___ 03 _____ 66

    __ Con sensus ____ 17 _ 12^_ 11 _ 08 _ 06 ___ 10 _____ 64

    waterways _______ 17 _ 07^_ 14 _ 09 _ 07 ___ 08 _____ 62

    MrSkinner _______ 16 _ 16^_ 08 _ 10 _ 05 ___ 04 _____ 59

    DOCARCH _______ 18 _ 06^_ 18 _ 00 _ 09 ___ 07 _____ 58

    Esposito _________19 _ 16^_ 02 _ 07 _ 05 ___ 08 _____ 57

    Kindred Spirit ____ 11 _ 12^_ 09 _ 05 _ 06 ___ 10 _____ 53

    john mac ________13 _ 05^_ 13 _ 05 _ 08 ___ 09 _____ 53

    WolfeEire ________19 _ 05^_ 18 _ 04 _ 01 ___ 05 _____ 52

    __ NormaL _______21 _ 03^_ 16 _ 02 _ 08 ___ 02 _____ 52

    Joe Public ________17 _ 14^_ 02 _ 12 _ 04 ___ 01 _____ 50

    dacogawa ________12 _ 08^_ 05 _ 11 _ 05 ___ 08 _____ 49

    JPmarn __________17 _ 04^_ 04 _ 08 _ 06 ___ 07 _____ 46

    Artane2002 ______ 16 _ 12^_ 00 _ 07 _ 06 ___ 02 _____ 43

    Tae laidir ________ 11 _ 12^_ 00 _ 08 _ 07 ___ 02 _____ 40

    Dasa29 __________17 _ 09^_ 04 _ 00 _ 05 ___ 01 _____ 36

    Cornerstonelad ___ 11 _ 02^_ 00 _ 05 _ 06 ___ 10 _____ 34

    ^_ MAX scored from minimum progression, all raw scores were below sea level.

    ^_ SUN scored from 110% so that max score is 9/10 — this will hold unless actual value drops below 108% in which case likely some or all scores would go up one. The ^symbol does not appear in the scoring table for SUN. It may not be needed later. One raw score of zero was boosted to 1/10 to be fair since all scores are boosted by at least 1 depending on exact final value.

    ======================= [] =========================

    Annual scoring update _ January to September 2025

    Starting this month, best 7/9 will be used to order the table, with the two low scores eliminated for the rest of the contest year (as prime table determinant). Totals will still be ranked at start of each row, but now it's the final columns used to order the table.

    Rank (prev)_Total_FORECASTER _Jan_Feb_Mar_Apr_May_Jun_Jul_Aug_Sep _7/9 (rank, prev)

    t01_01_ 603 _ Artane2002 ___ 65_ 50_ 66_ 67_ 68 _75 _86 _83 _43 __510 _1 (1)

    t01_02_ 603 _ Dacogawa ____ 88_ 60_ 79_ 70_ 62_ 65 _65 _65 _49 __494 _2 (2)

    2.2_ 2.7_ 599 _Con Sensus ___87_ 53_ 67_ 64_ 64_ 56 _76 _68 _64 __490 3.5 (3.5)

    _06_03_ 577 _ Jpmarn ______ 68_ 52_ 77_ 65_ 71_ 41 _85 _72 _46 __490 _3t (3)

    _04_09_ 580 _ Mr Stonewall __ 80_ 47_ 64_ 66_ 58 _43 _78 _65 _79 __490 _3t (8)

    _05_08_ 579 _ Gonzo _______ 78_ 38_ 68_ 70_ 62 _61 _76 _52 _74 __489 _5 (5)

    _03_04_ 585 _ MrSkinner ____ 81_ 66_ 58_ 5651 _60 _90 _64 _59 __478 _6 (4)

    _07_06_ 573 _ waterways ____62_ 50_ 59_ 65_ 70 _55 _68 _82 _62 __468 _7 (7)

    _08_10_ 571 _ Appledrop ____ 71_ 61_ 63_ 62_ 57 _49 _69 _63 _76 __465 _8 (12)

    _12_05_ 546 _Cornerstonelad _48_ 50_ 64_ 77_ 58 _80 _80 _55 _34 __464 _9 (6)

    _10_12_ 550 _ DOCARCH ____ 77_ 61_ 78_ 48_ 75_ 41 _57 _55 _58 __461 10 (10)

    _09_07_ 558 _ WolfeEire _____ 72_ 53_ 69_ 53_ 67_ 54 _69 _69 _52 __453 11 (9)

    _14_16_ 540 _ Sunflower3 ___ 73_ 45_ 45_ 61_ 56_ 60 _65 _65 _70 __450 12 (17)

    _11_11_ 547 _ Kindred Spirit __83_ 55_ 56_ 63_ 47_ 71 _57 _62 _53 __447 13 (11)

    _13_13_ 544 _ john mac _____57_ 62_ 56_ 70_ 48_ 52 _78 _68 _53 __444 14 (13)

    t18_15_ 472 _Adam240610(8) _34_61_ 65_ 66_ 53_ 51 _80 _62 _ —__438 15 (14)

    _15_14_ 520 _ Tae laidir _____62_ 49_ 44_ 55_ 57_ 75 _64 _74 _40 __436 t16 (15)

    _17_17_ 509 _ Joe Public ____ 31_ 49_ 42_ 75_ 63_ 44 _78 _77 _50 __436 t16 (16)

    _20_20_ 469 _ Bsal (8/9)_____65_ 58_ 48_ 58 _ — _61 _53 _60 _66 __421 18 (18)

    _16_18_ 510 _ M.T. Cranium __4846_ 70_ 57_ 50_ 52 _66 _55 _66 __416 19 (19)

    t18_19_ 472 _ Dasa29 ______ 69_ 54_ 43_ 49_ 47_ 54 _67 _53 _36 __393 20 (20)

    19.3_19.5_471___ NormaL___ 72_ 48_ 64_ 57_ 40_ 42 _51 _45 _52 __389 20.3(20.5)

    _22_22_ 380 _ Esposito (7/9) _ 46_ 64_ —_ 63_ 52 _ 49 _49 _ — _57 __380 21 (22)

    _21_21_ 399 _ Pauldry (8/9) __58_ 63_ 61_ 55_ 32_ 41 _55 _34 _ — __367 22 (21)

    =======================[]====================

    no longer eligible for best 10/12

    _23_23 _ 252 _sryanbruen (4/8) _80_ 38_ 72_ 62_ —_ — _ — _ _— _— __252

    _24_24 _ 246 _200motels (5/8) _ 53 _— _ 62 _— _ 30 _ 56 _45 _ — _— __246

    _25_25 __ 57 _ Icicle2025 (1/8) _ 57 _ — _—_ —_ — _ — _ — _ — _ — __ 57

    _26_26 __ 32 _ JCXBXC (1/8) ___ 32 _ — _—_ —_ — _ — _ — _ — _ — __ 32

    __________________________[]_____________________

    __________________________[]_____________________

    Category Scoring for January to September 2025

    FORECASTER ___IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN_BONUS_TOTAL

    Max possible ____225_180_ 180 _ 135 _ 90 _ 90 ____ 900

    Artane2002 _____181 _120 _128 _79 _ 57 _ 42_ 607-4=603

    Dacogawa ______174 _105 _110 _ 80 _ 66 _ 68 _____ 603

    ___Con Sensus __176 _107 _112 _ 77 _ 66 _ 61 _____ 599 

    MrSkinner ______ 174 _113 _ 97 _ 90 _ 64 _ 47 _____ 585

    Mr Stonewall ____ 176 _127 _102 _75 _ 52 _ 50_ 582-2=580

    Gonzo _________ 175 _114 _104_ 71 _ 68 _ 50_ 582-3=579

    Jpmarn ________ 159 _121 _ 84 _ 77 _ 72 _ 64 _____ 577

    Cornerstonelad __ 155 _ 96 _ 96 _ 49 _ 66 _ 50 _____ 512

    waterways ______172 _103 _ 95 _ 76 _ 60 _ 67 _____ 573

    Appledrop ______ 171 _121 _100_ 68 _ 57 _ 54 _____ 571

    WolfeEire _______160 _114 _116_ 57 _ 59 _ 53_ 559-2=557

    DOCARCH ______ 158 _ 87 _107_ 66 _ 6864 _____ 550

    Kindred Spirit ___ 177 _ 83 _ 88 _ 81 _ 57 _ 61 _____ 547

    john mac _______ 163 _ 94 _ 99 _ 76 _ 58 _ 54 _____ 544

    Sunflower3 _____168 _ 99 _ 93 _ 88 _ 57 _ 35 _____ 540

    Tae laidir ______ 170 _ 86 _ 83 _ 69 _ 66 _ 46 _____ 520

    M.T. Cranium ___ 152 _ 84 _ 80 _ 76 _ 68 _ 50 _____ 510

    Joe Public______ 138 _116 _ 73 _ 81 _ 66 _ 39_ 513-4=509

    Adam240610 (8)_146 _ 73 _ 90 _ 56 _ 66 _ 49 _480-8=472

    Dasa29 ________165 _ 59 _ 86 _ 55 _ 57 _ 50 _____ 472

    ___Normal _____114 _ 70 _104 _ 78 _ 57 _ 48 _____ 471 

    Bsal (8/9)_____ 148 _ 51 _119 _ 71 _ 53 _ 27 _____ 469

    Pauldry (8/9)___ 142 _ 37 _ 62 _ 42 _ 57 _ 61 _401-2=399

    Esposito (7/9) __ 132 _ 61 _ 56 _ 45 _ 46 _ 41 _381-1=380

    sryanbruen (4/9)_77 _ 51 _ 47 _ 26 _ 25 _ 26 _____ 252

    200motels (5/9) _84 _ 29 _ 19 _ 38 _ 37 _ 41 _248-2=246

    Icicle2025 (1/9) _ 20 _ 09 _ 01 _ 12 _ 07 _ 08 ______57

    JCXBXC (1/9) ___ 11 _ 14 _ 00 _ 05 _ 07 _ 03 ___40-8=32

    Top scores in categories are bold type, seconds are bold italics, third are regular italic.

    Any designations for Con Sensus or NormaL are independent of forecaster score designations.

    IMT and MIN have first, second and third place designations. (Bsal 2nd MIN despite 8/9 entries)

    Con Sensus tied third for IMT.

    MAX has first and two tied for second, no third place designation.

    PRC has two tied third.

    SUN has three tied for second, no third designated.

    BONUS has a first, second and two tied third place designations.

    _________________

    If you add the six highest category scores it comes to 666, a 63 point increase on tied leaders Artane2002 and Dacogawa, who hold three of the six between them…

    Note Bsal has missed one contest and is now in second place for MIN, so the average score is higher than first place.

    =======================



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,310 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Confirmed scoring for September 2025

    FORECASTER _____ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN__ Max gust ___ TOTALS

    Mr Stonewall _ (-1) _23 _ 16^_ 18 _ 12 _ 02 ___ 09 _80-1=79

    Appledrop ________19 _ 19^_ 14 _ 14 _ 06 ___ 04 _____ 76

    Gonzo ___________18 _ 17^_ 18 _ 11 _ 04 ___ 06 _____ 74

    sunflower3 _______ 19 _ 19^_ 08 _ 12 _ 05 ___ 07 _____ 70

    Bsal ____________ 15 _ 18^_ 17 _ 07 _ 05 ___ 04 _____ 66

    M.T. Cranium _____ 20 _ 14^_ 16 _ 08 _ 05 ___ 03 _____ 66

    __ Con sensus ____ 17 _ 12^_ 11 _ 08 _ 06 ___ 10 _____ 64

    waterways _______ 17 _ 07^_ 14 _ 09 _ 07 ___ 08 _____ 62

    MrSkinner _______ 16 _ 16^_ 08 _ 10 _ 05 ___ 04 _____ 59

    DOCARCH _______ 18 _ 06^_ 18 _ 00 _ 09 ___ 07 _____ 58

    Esposito _________19 _ 16^_ 02 _ 07 _ 05 ___ 08 _____ 57

    Kindred Spirit ____ 11 _ 12^_ 09 _ 05 _ 06 ___ 10 _____ 53

    john mac ________13 _ 05^_ 13 _ 05 _ 08 ___ 09 _____ 53

    WolfeEire ________19 _ 05^_ 18 _ 04 _ 01 ___ 05 _____ 52

    __ NormaL _______21 _ 03^_ 16 _ 02 _ 08 ___ 02 _____ 52

    Joe Public ________17 _ 14^_ 02 _ 12 _ 04 ___ 01 _____ 50

    dacogawa ________12 _ 08^_ 05 _ 11 _ 05 ___ 08 _____ 49

    JPmarn __________17 _ 04^_ 04 _ 08 _ 06 ___ 07 _____ 46

    Artane2002 ______ 16 _ 12^_ 00 _ 07 _ 06 ___ 02 _____ 43

    Tae laidir ________ 11 _ 12^_ 00 _ 08 _ 07 ___ 02 _____ 40

    Dasa29 __________17 _ 09^_ 04 _ 00 _ 05 ___ 01 _____ 36

    Cornerstonelad ___ 11 _ 02^_ 00 _ 05 _ 06 ___ 10 _____ 34

    ^_ MAX scored from minimum progression, all raw scores were below sea level.

    ^_ SUN scored from 110% so that max score is 9/10 — this will hold unless actual value drops below 108% in which case likely some or all scores would go up one. The ^symbol does not appear in the scoring table for SUN. It may not be needed later. One raw score of zero was boosted to 1/10 to be fair since all scores are boosted by at least 1 depending on exact final value.

    ======================= [] =========================

    Annual scoring update _ January to September 2025

    Starting this month, best 7/9 will be used to order the table, with the two low scores eliminated for the rest of the contest year (as prime table determinant). Totals will still be ranked at start of each row, but now it's the final columns used to order the table.

    Rank (prev)_Total_FORECASTER _Jan_Feb_Mar_Apr_May_Jun_Jul_Aug_Sep _7/9 (rank, prev)

    t01_01_ 603 _ Artane2002 __ 65_ 50_ 66_ 67_ 68 _75 _86 _83 _43 __510 _1 (1)

    t01_02_ 603 _ Dacogawa ___ 88_ 60_ 79_ 70_ 62_ 65 _65 _65 _49 __494 _2 (2)

    2.2_ 2.7_ 599 _Con Sensus __87_ 53_ 67_ 64_ 64_ 56 _76 _68 _64 __490 3.5 (3.5)

    _06_03_ 577 _ Jpmarn _____ 68_ 52_ 77_ 65_ 71_ 41 _85 _72 _46 __490 _3t (3)

    _04_09_ 580 _ Mr Stonewall _ 80_ 47_ 64_ 66_ 58 _43 _78 _65 _79 __490 _3t (8)

    _05_08_ 579 _ Gonzo ______ 78_ 38_ 68_ 70_ 62 _61 _76 _52 _74 __489 _5 (5)

    _03_04_ 585 _ MrSkinner ___ 81_ 66_ 58_ 5651 _60 _90 _64 _59 __478 _6 (4)

    _07_06_ 573 _ waterways ___62_ 50_ 59_ 65_ 70 _55 _68 _82 _62 __468 _7 (7)

    _08_10_ 571 _ Appledrop____ 71_ 61_ 63_ 62_ 57 _49 _69 _63 _76 __465 _8 (12)

    _12_05_ 546 _Cornerstonelad_48_ 50_ 64_ 77_ 58 _80 _80 _55 _34 __464 _9 (6)

    _10_12_ 550 _ DOCARCH ___ 77_ 61_ 78_ 48_ 75_ 41 _57 _55 _58 __461 10 (10)

    _09_07_ 558 _ WolfeEire ____72_ 53_ 69_ 53_ 67_ 54 _69 _69 _52 __453 11 (9)

    _14_16_ 540 _ Sunflower3 __ 73_ 45_ 45_ 61_ 56_ 60 _65 _65 _70 __450 12 (17)

    _11_11_ 547 _ Kindred Spirit _83_ 55_ 56_ 63_ 47_ 71 _57 _62 _53 __447 13 (11)

    _13_13_ 544 _ john mac ____57_ 62_ 56_ 70_ 48_ 52 _78 _68 _53 __444 14 (13)

    t18_15_ 472 _Adam240610(8)_34_61_ 65_ 66_ 53_ 51 _80 _62 _ —__438 15 (14)

    _15_14_ 520 _ Tae laidir ____62_ 49_ 44_ 55_ 57_ 75 _64 _74 _40 __436 t16 (15)

    _17_17_ 509 _ Joe Public ___ 31_ 49_ 42_ 75_ 63_ 44 _78 _77 _50 __436 t16 (16)

    _20_20_ 469 _ Bsal (8/9)____65_ 58_ 48_ 58 _ — _61 _53 _60 _66 __421 18 (18)

    _16_18_ 510 _ M.T. Cranium _4846_ 70_ 57_ 50_ 52 _66 _55 _66 __416 19 (19)

    t18_19_ 472 _ Dasa29 _____ 69_ 54_ 43_ 49_ 47_ 54 _67 _53 _36 __393 20 (20)

    19.3_19.5_471___ NormaL__ 72_ 48_ 64_ 57_ 40_ 42 _51 _45 _52 __389 20.3(20.5)

    _22_22_ 380 _ Esposito (7/9) _46_ 64_ —_ 63_ 52 _ 49 _49 _ — _57 __380 21 (22)

    _21_21_ 399 _ Pauldry (8/9) _ 58_ 63_ 61_ 55_ 32_ 41 _55 _34 _ — __367 22 (21)

    ===================[]================

    no longer eligible for best 10/12

    _23_23 _252 _sryanbruen (4/9)_80_ 38_ 72_ 62_ —_ — _ — _ _— _— __252

    _24_24 _246 _200motels (5/9) _53 _— _ 62 _— _ 30 _ 56 _45 _ — _— __246

    _25_25 __57 _ Icicle2025 (1/9) _57 _ — _—_ —_ — _ — _ — _ — _ — __ 57

    _26_26 __32 _ JCXBXC (1/9) ___32 _ — _—_ —_ — _ — _ — _ — _ — __ 32

    __________________________[]_____________________

    __________________________[]_____________________

    Category Scoring for January to September 2025

    FORECASTER ___IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN_BONUS_TOTAL

    Max possible ____225_180_ 180 _ 135 _ 90 _ 90 ____ 900

    Artane2002 _____181 _120 _128 _79 _ 57 _42_ 607-4=603

    Dacogawa ______174 _105 _110 _ 80 _ 66 _68 _____ 603

    ___Con Sensus __176 _107 _112 _ 77 _ 66 _61 _____ 599 

    MrSkinner ______ 174 _113 _ 97 _ 90 _ 64 _47 _____ 585

    Mr Stonewall ____ 176 _127 _102 _75 _ 52 _50_ 582-2=580

    Gonzo _________ 175 _114 _104_ 71 _ 68 _ 50_ 582-3=579

    Jpmarn ________ 159 _121 _ 84 _ 77 _ 72 _64 _____ 577

    Cornerstonelad __ 155 _ 96 _ 96 _ 49 _ 66 _ 50 _____ 512

    waterways ______172 _103 _ 95 _ 76 _ 60 _67 _____ 573

    Appledrop ______ 171 _121 _100_ 68 _ 57 _54 _____ 571

    WolfeEire _______160 _114 _116_ 57 _ 59 _ 53_ 559-2=557

    DOCARCH ______ 158 _ 87 _107_ 66 _ 6864 _____ 550

    Kindred Spirit ___ 177 _ 83 _ 88 _ 81 _ 57 _61 _____ 547

    john mac _______ 163 _ 94 _ 99 _ 76 _ 58 _54 _____ 544

    Sunflower3 _____168 _ 99 _ 93 _ 88 _ 57 _ 35 _____ 540

    Tae laidir ______ 170 _ 86 _ 83 _ 69 _ 66 _ 46 _____ 520

    M.T. Cranium ___ 152 _ 84 _ 80 _ 76 _ 68 _50 _____ 510

    Joe Public______ 138 _116 _ 73 _ 81 _ 66 _39_ 513-4=509

    Adam240610 (8)_146 _ 73 _ 90 _ 56 _ 66 _49 _480-8=472

    Dasa29 ________165 _ 59 _ 86 _ 55 _ 57 _50 _____ 472

    ___Normal _____114 _ 70 _104 _ 78 _ 57 _48 _____ 471 

    Bsal (8/9)_____ 148 _ 51 _119 _ 71 _ 53 _ 27 _____ 469

    Pauldry (8/9)___ 142 _ 37 _ 62 _ 42 _ 57 _61 _401-2=399

    Esposito (7/9) __ 132 _ 61 _ 56 _ 45 _ 46 _41 _381-1=380

    sryanbruen (4/9)_77 _ 51 _ 47 _ 26 _ 25 _ 26 _____ 252

    200motels (5/9) _84 _ 29 _ 19 _ 38 _ 37 _ 41 _248-2=246

    Icicle2025 (1/9) _ 20 _ 09 _ 01 _ 12 _ 07 _ 08 ______57

    JCXBXC (1/9) ___ 11 _ 14 _ 00 _ 05 _ 07 _ 03 ___40-8=32

    Top scores in categories are bold type, seconds are bold italics, third are regular italic.

    Any designations for Con Sensus or NormaL are independent of forecaster score designations.

    IMT and MIN have first, second and third place designations. (Bsal 2nd MIN despite 8/9 entries)

    Con Sensus tied third for IMT.

    MAX has first and two tied for second, no third place designation.

    PRC has two tied third.

    SUN has three tied for second, no third designated.

    BONUS has a first, second and two tied third place designations.

    _________________

    If you add the six highest category scores it comes to 666, a 63 point increase on tied leaders Artane2002 and Dacogawa, who hold three of the six between them…

    Note Bsal has missed one contest and is now in second place for MIN, so the average score is higher than first place.

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