May 2024 Boards weather forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

After first week …

IMT is 11.2 C, 0.9 above normal.

MAX is 19.8

MIN is 2.8

PRC is 58% of normal.

SUN is 60% of normal.

max daily rainfall is 16.2mm.

M.T. Cranium

20.9 on 9th at Mountdillon.

Readings of 23 and 24 at various locations today will turn that into a one-day wonder.

DOCARCH

High of 24.2c at Phoenix Park yesterday.

appledrop

New rainfall max 24.7mm on 13th Sherkin.

eon1208

Hi. Has MT posted his summer forecast yet. Curiously interested please.

pauldry

Sherkin 26.4mm

M.T. Cranium

Will post a summer forecast near end of May in forecast thread and possibly elsewhere.

— —

After second week …

IMT is 12.7 C, 2.2 above normal. Second week average 14.3 was 3.4 above normal.

MAX is 24.2

MIN is 2.8

PRC is 85% of normal. Second week average was 111% (wet in southwest, dry in east).

SUN is 79% of normal. Second week average was 97%, a little above average in east.

max daily rainfall is 26.4 mm.

M.T. Cranium

Your 24hr max rain forecasts in order:

Pauldry______________51.0mm

Joe Public____________50.5mm

Dacogawa____________50.0mm

Adam240610_________ 50.0mm

John mac____________47.2mm

Tae laidir____________ 45.0mm

Jpmarn______________45.0mm

Sunflower3___________41.0mm

NormaL______________40.0mm

Cornerstonelad_______ 39.5mm

Waterways___________38.0mm

MT Cranium__________ 37.5mm

Con Sensus__________ 36.3mm __ 35.0 (med)

Dasa29______________35.0mm

Rameire_____________33.3mm

Appledrop____________33.0mm

DOCARCH____________32.2mm

Sryanbruen__________ 31.2mm

WolfeEire____(-1)_____27.9mm

Bsal________________ 27.5mm

Mr stonewall__________27.0mm

Gonzo_______________26.8mm

Skinner______________25.0mm

Artane2002__________ 20.5mm

Kindred Spirit_________20.0mm

(Con Sensus adjusted to median of our 23 forecasts, sryanbruen maybe included normal or worked out a mean)

min so far is 0.3 above max forecast (Artane2002 _ 2.5 C) and would require minimum progression scoring.

Top values are 2.5 Artane2002, 1.8 tae laidir, 1.6 Gonzo, 1.5 mtc, and Adam240610 1.1 C.

eon1208

Thanks MT

Tae laidir

Mt Dillon 24.6 yesterday.

Tae laidir

Mt. Dillon 33.3mm yesterday.

Knock hasn't reported yet, and with Claremorris at 32.0, it could beat it.

appledrop

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122168258#Comment_122168258

Freeze it at 33mm that's my forecast😁

M.T. Cranium

After third week …

IMT is 13.4 C, 2.5 above normal. Third week average 14.6 was 3.2 above normal.

MAX is 24.6

MIN is 2.8

PRC is 78% of normal. Third week average was 63% (wet inland west, very dry in east).

SUN is 88% of normal. Third week average was 106%, a little above average at all locations but Cork (89%).

max daily rainfall is 33.3 mm. (Knock still not reporting a total for yesterday, radar indicates Claremorris and Mtdillon likely wetter, during absent reports, so not expecting a contender, looks wetter after 0100, but probably no more than 10 mm.)

pauldry

Tonight a new min is likely. Also IMT looks set to dip for rest of month. Max likely reached now. Knock didn't beat those locations as was tracking it that day and Claremorris n Mt Dillon were WAY higher than anywhere.

pauldry

Max Daily rain of 33.3mm looks at risk at Knock Airport. Lashing rain there all day. Nearly 40mm there today provisionally...I think.

DOCARCH

34.9mm at Knock yesterday.

pauldry

Yes and Belmullet in the same county had zero!

M.T. Cranium

After fourth week …

IMT is 13.1 C, 2.0 above normal. Fourth week average 12.3 was 0.3 above normal. Will finish around 13.0.

MAX is 24.6

MIN is 2.8

PRC is 89% of normal. Fourth week average was 123% — will end up around 85%

SUN is 80% of normal. Fourth week average was 57% — will end up around 85%

max daily rainfall 34.9 mm.

… will post June contest by morning.