Boards weather forecast contest for April 2023
Comments
-
Updated preliminary scoring for Apr 2023 _ to be confirmed Wed 3rd May
(scores now placed in rank order)
FORECASTER _____________ IMT _MAX _MIN _PRC _SUN ___BONUS __ Score
___ Estimated values _______ 9.3_21.4_-3.4_100_100___ scored (12.3)
Sunflower3 _______________ 25 _ 20 _ 13 _ 12 _ 10 ___ (07) _____ 87
Tae laidir _________________ 23 _ 17 _ 15 _ 09 _ 10 ___ (07) _____ 81
waterways ________________ 16 _ 14 _ 16 _ 15 _ 08 ___ (10) _____ 79
___ NormaL _______________16 _ 11 _ 16 _ 15 _ 10 ___ (10) _____ 78
john mac _________________ 18 _ 18 _ 17 _ 12 _ 09 ___ (02) _____ 76
Bsal _____________________ 21 _ 06 _ 16 _ 14 _ 09 ___ (03) _____ 69
200motels ________________ 18 _ 19 _ 07 _ 11 _ 10 ___ (01) _____ 66
Joe Public ___ (-4) _________ 24 _ 10 _ 15 _ 12 _ 06 ___ (02) _68-4=64
___ Con Sensus ____________18 _ 07 _ 14 _ 12 _ 08 ___ (05) _____ 64
Kindred Spirit _____________ 24 _ 06 _ 14 _ 09 _ 08 ___ (02) _____ 63
Appledrop ________________ 21 _ 00 _ 14 _ 12 _ 08 ___ (08) _____ 63
Gonzo ______ (-2) _________ 23 _ 10 _ 08 _ 08 _ 08 ___ (05) _62-2=60
Adam240610 ______________ 22 _ 04 _ 04 _ 13 _ 10 ___ (06) _____ 59
sryanbruen ________________17 _ 02 _ 13 _ 10 _ 10 ___ (04) _____ 56
Cornerstonelad _____________12 _ 15 _ 15 _ 08 _ 06 ___ (03) _____ 58
Dacogawa ________________ 24 _ 10 _ 00 _ 03 _ 08 ___ (09) _____ 54
MrSkinner ___ (-1) _________ 17 _ 07 _ 07 _ 14 _ 09 ___ (01) _55-1=54
M.T. Cranium ______________ 15 _ 00 _ 11 _ 09 _ 09 ___ (10) _____ 54
WolfeEire _________________ 16 _ 00 _ 16 _ 08 _ 08 ___ (05) _____ 53
Pauldry ___________________23 _ 00 _ 07 _ 15 _ 06 ___ (01) _____ 52
Jpmarn ___________________13 _ 01 _ 16 _ 07 _ 06 ___ (09) _____ 52
Rameire __________________ 15 _ 06 _ 00 _ 13 _ 09 ___ (08) _____ 51
Mr Stonewall ______________ 19 _ 01 _ 08 _ 07 _ 08 ___ (06) _____ 49
DOCARCH _________________17 _ 08 _ 00 _ 12 _ 08 ___ (03) _____ 48
Dasa29 ___________________14 _ 00 _ 06 _ 15 _ 08 ___ (04) _____ 47
______________________________________
Annual and category scoring updates to follow after 3rd May confirmation or adjustment of above.
Congrats will be offered after confirmation, but some very good scores above. All scores above 46 may be a first.
4 -
Confirmed scoring for Apr 2023
A few minor changes were required. The monthly summary gave the MAX as 21.3 rather than 21.4 and this is now shown in daily data also. The PRC was 99% and SUN worked out to 89%.
These are the updated scores.
FORECASTER _____________ IMT _MAX _MIN _PRC _SUN ___BONUS __ Score
___ Confirmed values ______ 9.3 _ 21.3 _-3.4 _99 _89 ___ scored (12.3)
Sunflower3 _______________ 25 _ 19 _ 13 _ 12 _ 08 ___ (07) _____ 84
Tae laidir _________________ 23 _ 18 _ 15 _ 09 _ 08 ___ (07) _____ 80
___ NormaL _______________16 _ 12 _ 16 _ 15 _ 08 ___ (10) _____ 77
waterways ________________ 16 _ 13 _ 16 _ 15 _ 06 ___ (10) _____ 76
john mac _________________ 18 _ 17 _ 17 _ 11 _ 07 ___ (02) _____ 72
Bsal _____________________ 21 _ 07 _ 16 _ 14 _ 07 ___ (03) _____ 68
200motels ________________ 18 _ 20 _ 07 _ 12 _ 08 ___ (01) _____ 66
Appledrop ________________ 21 _ 00 _ 14 _ 11 _ 10 ___ (08) _____ 64
___ Con Sensus ____________18 _ 08 _ 14 _ 13 _ 06 ___ (05) _____ 64
Joe Public ___ (-4) _________ 24 _ 09 _ 15 _ 13 _ 04 ___ (02) _67-4=63
Kindred Spirit _____________ 24 _ 07 _ 14 _ 10 _ 05 ___ (02) _____ 62
Gonzo ______ (-2) _________ 23 _ 11 _ 08 _ 08 _ 05 ___ (05) _60-2=58
Cornerstonelad _____________12 _ 16 _ 15 _ 08 _ 04 ___ (03) _____ 58
Adam240610 ______________ 22 _ 05 _ 04 _ 13 _ 07 ___ (06) _____ 57
sryanbruen ________________17 _ 03 _ 13 _ 10 _ 08 ___ (04) _____ 55
M.T. Cranium ______________ 15 _ 01 _ 11 _ 10 _ 07 ___ (10) _____ 54
MrSkinner ___ (-1) _________ 17 _ 08 _ 07 _ 14 _ 07 ___ (01) _54-1=53
Rameire __________________ 15 _ 07 _ 00 _ 14 _ 09 ___ (08) _____ 53
WolfeEire _________________ 16 _ 00 _ 16 _ 09 _ 06 ___ (05) _____ 52
Dacogawa ________________ 24 _ 09 _ 00 _ 03 _ 06 ___ (09) _____ 51
Jpmarn ___________________13 _ 02 _ 16 _ 07 _ 04 ___ (09) _____ 51
Pauldry ___________________23 _ 01 _ 07 _ 14 _ 04 ___ (01) _____ 50
Mr Stonewall ______________ 19 _ 02 _ 08 _ 07 _ 06 ___ (06) _____ 48
DOCARCH _________________17 _ 09 _ 00 _ 13 _ 06 ___ (03) _____ 48
Dasa29 ___________________14 _ 00 _ 06 _ 15 _ 06 ___ (04) _____ 45
______________________________________
(actual forecasts)
FORECASTER ______________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN ___ Oak Park 9th
Kindred Spirit ______________ 9.4 _ 20.0 _ -2.8 _ 083 _ 112 ___ 15.3
Sunflower3 ________________ 9.3 _ 21.4 _ -2.7 _ 090 _ 100 ___ 13.9
Dacogawa _________________ 9.2 _ 22.4 _ -1.3 _ 064 _ 110 ___ 13.2
Joe Public ___ (-4) __________ 9.1 _ 22.4 _ -3.9 _ 092 _ 120 ___ 15.5
Tae laidir __________________ 9.1 _ 21.1 _ -2.9 _ 118 _ 101 ___ 13.7
Gonzo ______ (-2) __________9.1 _ 20.4 _ -2.2 _ 078 _ 112 ___ 14.3
Pauldry ___________________ 9.1 _ 19.4 _ -2.1 _ 101 _ 120 ___ 17.1
Adam240610 ______________ 9.0 _ 19.8 _ -1.8 _ 093 _ 102 ___ 14.1
Bsal ______________________8.9 _ 20.0 _ -3.0 _ 097 _ 104 ___ 15.0
Appledrop _________________ 8.9 _ 19.2 _ -2.8 _ 110 _ 090 ___ 13.5
Mr Stonewall _______________8.7 _ 19.5 _ -2.2 _ 075 _ 110 ___ 14.2
john mac __________________8.6 _ 21.6 _ -3.1 _ 110 _ 105 ___ 15.4
___ Con Sensus ____________ 8.6 _ 20.1 _ -2.8 _ 092 _ 108 ___ 14.3
200motels _________________8.6 _ 21.3 _ -2.1 _ 089 _ 101 ___ 16.8
DOCARCH _________________ 8.5 _ 20.2 _ -0.9 _ 092 _ 110 ___ 15.1
MrSkinner ___ (-1) __________8.5 _ 20.1 _ -2.1 _ 096 _ 105 ___ 16.2
sryanbruen ________________ 8.5 _ 19.6 _ -4.1 _ 085 _ 100 ___ 14.6
waterways _________________8.4 _ 22.0 _ -3.0 _ 099 _ 109 ___ 12.0
___ NormaL ________________8.4 _ 20.5 _ -3.0 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 12.8
WolfeEire __________________8.4 _ 19.1 _ -3.0 _ 080 _ 108 ___ 14.3
Rameire __________________ 8.3 _ 20.0 _ -1.1 _ 095 _ 095 ___ 13.6
M.T. Cranium ______________ 8.3 _ 19.4 _ -2.5 _ 083 _ 105 ___ 11.7
Dasa29 ___________________ 8.2 _ 19.0 _ -2.0 _ 100 _ 110 ___ 14.5
Jpmarn ___________________ 8.1 _ 19.5 _ -3.8 _ 075 _ 120 ___ 13.2
Cornerstonelad _____________ 7.9 _ 20.9 _ -3.9 _ 079 _ 120 ___ 14.8
_________________________________
Congrats to sunflower3, tae laidir and waterways for top scores this month.
Annual scoring will be up soon.
Post edited by M.T. Cranium on5 -
___ (Confirmed) Annual scoring summary Jan-Apr 2023 ___
At this early stage, the category scoring is combined with the usual annual summary. They will become separate reports by May.
Not many have late penalties, but those who do will have their contest score (after penalties) in the TOTAL column and the total before penalties (the sum of the category scores) in brackets.
Also new this month, best 3/4 scores are ranked at end of each scoring row, but the table continues to be based on total scores for all months.
Category scoring will have to move out next month into its own lodgings.
Rank (prev)_FORECASTER __ IMT _MAX _MIN_PRC_SUN_BONUS __ JAN _ FEB _ MAR _ APR __TOTAL (before late pens)
_00 (00) _ Max Possible ____100 _ 80 _ 80 _ 60 _ 40 __ 40 ___100 _ 100 _ 100 _ 100 __ 400 ///// (best 3/4)
_ 01 (02) _Kindred Spirit ____66 _ 55 _ 60 _ 36 _ 23 __ 28 ___ 58 __ 74 __ 74 __ 62 __ 268 ___ 210 (03)
(1.6)(6.0) _ NormaL _____ 57 _ 45 _ 51 _ 46 _ 29 __ 36 ___ 67 __ 44 __ 76 __ 77 __ 264 ___ 220 (00.8)
_ 02 (01) _DOCARCH _______59 _ 59 _ 50 _ 48 _ 25 __20 ___ 77 __ 67 __ 69 __ 48 __ 261 ___ 213 (02)
_ 02.0 (03.2)_ Con Sensus __ 67 _ 51 _ 47 _ 41 _ 28 __ 27 ___ 65 __ 74 __ 58 __ 64 __ 261 ___ 203 (03.7)
_t03 (t4) _Appledrop _______ 73 _ 33 _ 47 _ 44 _ 35 __ 22 ___ 53 __ 64 __ 73 __ 64 __ 254 ___ 201 (04)
_t03 (12) _Tae laidir ________88 _ 46 _ 45 _ 18 _ 28 __ 29 ___ 38 __ 64 __ 72 __ 80 __ 254 ___ 216 (01)
_ 05(10) _john mac ________ 65 _ 40 _ 53 _ 42 _ 29 __ 19 ___ 58 __ 47 __ 71 __ 72 __ 248 ___ 201 (05)
_ 06 (t4) _sryanbruen _______70 _ 41 _ 51 _ 41 _ 26 __ 16 ___ 46 __ 76 __ 68 __ 55 __ 245 ___ 199 (t07)
_ 07 (06) _adam240610 _____ 64 _ 43 _ 49 _ 38 _ 28 __ 22 ___ 61 __ 61 __ 65 __ 57 __ 244 ___ 187 (t11)
_ 08 (18) _Sunflower3 _______73 _ 45 _ 35 _ 33 _ 29 __ 24 ___ 47 __ 69 __ 39 __ 84 __ 239 ___ 200 (06)
_ 09 (08) _M.T. Cranium _____ 68 _ 19 _ 50 _ 46 _ 30 __ 22 ___ 67 __ 70 __ 44 __ 54 __ 235 ___ 191 (09)
_ 10 (07) _WolfeEire_________61 _ 35 _ 49 _ 43 _ 24 __ 22 ___ 76 __ 47 __ 59 __ 52 __ 234 ___ 187 (t11)
_ 11 (14) _Bsal ____________ 71 _ 42 _ 37 _ 31 _ 29 __ 20 ___ 71 __ 49 __ 42 __ 68 __ 230 ___ 188 (10)
_ 12 (09) _Pauldry __________66 _ 44 _ 26 _ 51 _ 26 __ 15 ___ 50 __ 62 __ 66 __ 50 __ 228 ___ 178 (15)
_ 13 (11) _Dacogawa ________71 _ 46 _ 29 _ 27 _ 29 __ 24 ___ 63 __ 58 __ 54 __ 51 __ 226 ___ 175 (16)
_ 14 (13)_Gonzo ___________ 72 _ 45 _ 18 _ 42 _ 23 __ 27 ___ 46 __ 69 __ 52 __ 58 __225 (227) _ 179 (14)
_ 15 (19)_200 motels _______ 69 _ 45 _ 29 _ 43 _ 28 __ 19 ___ 41 __ 74 __ 38 __ 66 __219 (233) _ 181 (13)
_ 16 (15)_ Jpmarn __________58 _ 17 _ 43 _ 40 _ 24 __ 29 ___ 61 __ 49 __ 50 __ 51 __ 211 ___ 162 (21)
_ 17 (20)_Joe Public ________ 58 _ 58 _ 25 _ 32 _ 25 __ 16 ___ 46 __ 48 __ 53 __ 63 __210 (214) _ 164 (20)
_ 18 (16)_Dasa29 __________ 53 _ 24 _ 31 _ 41 _ 29 __ 24 ___ 61 __ 54 __ 42 __ 45 __ 202 ___ 160 (22)
_ 19 (03) _Artane2002 (3/4) __55 _ 35 _ 33 _ 35 _ 23 __ 18 ___ 50 __ 71 __ 78 __ -- __ 199 ___ 199 (t07)
_ 20 (25) _ waterways _______46 _ 38 _ 25 _ 30 _ 30 __ 27 ___ 52 __ 27 __ 41 __ 76 __ 196 ___ 169 (18)
_ 21 (21) _Cornerstonelad ____57 _ 41 _ 35 _ 31 _ 16 __ 20 ___ 49 __ 61 __ 25 __ 58 __193 (200) _ 168 (19)
_ 22 (22) _Rameire _________ 67 _ 35 _ 15 _ 39 _ 28 __ 27 ____10 __ 68 __ 52 __ 53 __183 (211) _ 173 (17)
_ 23 (24) _MrSkinner ________64 _ 36 _ 27 _ 26 _ 20 __ 10 ___ 25 __ 69 __ 34 __ 53 __ 181 (183) _ 156 (t23)
_ 24 (23) _ Mr.stonewall _____49 _ 32 _ 26 _ 24 _ 22 __ 24 ___ 45 __ 30 __ 54 __ 48 __ 177 ___ 147 (25)
_ 25 (17)_esposito (3/4) ______ 54 _ 32 _ 05 _ 31 _ 18 __ 16 ___ 54 __ 57 __ 45 __ -- __ 156 ___ 156 (t23)
_ 26 (26) _Rebelbrowser (1/3) _ 15 _ 16 _ 18 _ 12 _ 08 __ 09 ___ 78 __ --- __ --- __ --- ___78
_ 27 (27) _ Danno (1/3) _______13 _ 20 _ 02 _ 10 _ 05 __ 08 ___ 58 __ --- __ --- __ --- ___58
___________________________________
In category scoring (Jan+Feb+Mar totals), high score is bold, 2nd is bold italic and 3rd plain italic.
For IMT and SUN, two are tied for second so there is no third place score shown.
For MIN and PRC, NormaL is tied for third.
For BONUS, two are tied for first, so second place is not shown. Also NormaL has a higher score than all forecasters.
6 -
Congrats to Kindred Spirit moving into the lead while DOCARCH is keeping pace, and tae laidir out to a slight lead in best 3/4. NormaL made a large move up the table.
Next month I will remove the category scoring from this annual scoring summary for easier reading. If anyone's confused about what the table shows, the first two numbers are ranks current and previous month (for total scores), then your total category scores (Jan-Apr), followed by (penalty adjusted) Jan to Apr scores, contest totals, then for those with any late penalties, a second total score in brackets which is (a) your total before penalties and (b) the total of category scores which are not penalty-adjusted. Then after all that, a best 3/4 score with the rank for that. The table will proceed to August with best 7/8 at that point and will then shift to best 7/9 in September in the run up to final best 10/12. The table will continue to be ordered by total score until we reach September and after that the table order will be best 7/9, etc, to end of the year.
5
