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I Love Punting , Providing Selections & Chatting Gibberish ; & I Intend To Do So On Hyah

1515254565764

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    fekkit - luujk forwards:

    "Thursday Thoughts"

    Hamilton - Good ... long time til racing there - will keep eye on going

    6,00

    plenty admirable performers at this level... many with win / place / go close form at the course over this ~13f trip. not sure what going will be (hope stays good) , but BOUNCING BOBBY ~5/1 prov. sp. WIN, is a winner over ~a furlong shorter from lto run - which was at the course.. is a hold up horse, and they might be favoured in a race like this.

    7,00

    just looked at paper jolly here.. Rajmeister ~11/10, is a lto winner of Redcar Cl6 hcap (slightly better grade/race than this one, as it be a seller, this one) , but that was on Good to Soft/Soft in plcs going..

    on 'minus' side, this one has only ran twice over five furlongs, with both those races on turf, and both of them on the turf.. also, his lto win on soft/softish going at Redcar was in race ran in less than a minute.. can't fault that tbf 😃

    if going stays good and/or Rajmeister shortens, then will consider for lay here

    Stay Smart ~4/1, is second fav here, and 4s looks okay, but feeling is this one needs "Firm" in goinge in order to go well...

    ... on the other hand, if going gets soft (possible rain - some were due today, but next two days seem cloudy and dry) , then there's quite a few what can be in the mix..

    hard to get away from fav, atc, but will deffo consider for some sort of a lay bet

    #TT

    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    back to today

    Newton Abbot

    8,05

    8.05 if JP jolly flops, then BALA BROOK ~3/1 WIN , could pick up pieces here.. came 2nd lto in first ever hurdles' run - which was on similar going and over course and distance.... Good enuffe for me :)

    not so sure about shortening Frankie Faulkner ~15/4,,, is shortening all the time, and form figures has him as lto winner; but looking at formguide itself, and he's zero from three runs - which include one Bumper outing and two PtPs.... where that '1' has come from, i dinna.. Also, horse aint raced for over two years; and, worse again, is trained by the 'shrewd' Welshman, Evan Williams..

    still wondering where ye recente form figure, to wit "1" , has come from.,,, hope it weren't a very recent running :rollups:

    JP's aforementioned jolly, Songo 4/5, is stepped markedly up in trip from most recent (also runs on flat) hurdling outing... has won over 1m 6f on the flat, so perhaps that means something,,,?

    anyhow, Songo, looks way too short here, atc, and have did 2-plce lay @ ~4/11 , plus a few short (might fall ha) in-running win lays

    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,018 ✭✭✭standardg60


    Newbury 7.50

    I backed Dream of Mischief lto when he got no run at all, hopefully compensation awaits..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,018 ✭✭✭standardg60


    FF has been running in points and won lto, Williams gave 10k for him after, he's interesting but this is a watch for me, gl



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    nothing there

    'nite

    :)

    #nojoyetoday#wasrobbed#who?#finlandthat'swho!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,018 ✭✭✭standardg60


    8.25 Newbury

    Bastogne finished just behind Sir Winston lto in a 0-80, Sir Winston won by half the track earlier today in a 0-80 at Brighton

    This is a 0-75 so hopefully Bastogne will outclass these on 2nd start for Deborah Faulkner



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,018 ✭✭✭standardg60


    Lucky last at Newbury.

    Katar finished 2nd to Lahina Bay who won again last night at Windsor lto

    28/1 is an insult for me, drawn high enough which seems to be good tonight.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit







    more "Thursday Thoughts"

    that were me pick 'nd us thoughts on @Water Of Leith, who finished third of seven, two weeks ago, at Musselburgh...

    that were a 6furlonges race; thought Mulrennan didn't ask for maximum effort then, but that the horse would be capable of running a good race over that trip - on a good day and also on ground described as "Good" or a bit firmer even...

    anyhow, Water Of Leith is declared for a five furlonge Class3 on Thursday evening.. can't see it meself: that horse winning a race like this over the minimum trip... ?

    ..... but the horse also has entry for Class4 (over 6furlongs) at Donny this Saturday upcoming..

    will keep eye on how WATER OF LEITH runs on Thursday with view to backing (if declared that is) on Saturday in that ~8.30 Doncaster...

    .... horse also has entry for Stewards' Cup at Goodwood in August, so the well travelled 5yo gelding must be reasonable well thought of by @Jim Goldie and chums, and the horse is also having his second stint (different owners/syndicate this time) with that stable.... has a rating of 74, which is decent enough for a low level type - dunno will it be enough to get into a Cl2 Heritage Handicap tho..

    .... anyhoo, it's Thursday & (potentially)Saturday's runnings is what interests me 🤣


    9,00

    had a look at this one and am considering backing three here.. Kats Bob , Guest List & Sharrabang are ones occupying us thoughts insofar as hopefully running good races...

    ....... All us picks/potential picks, so far, are based on me thinking going will be "Good" , so hoping no rain falls..



    been a poor laste few days folkes, have barely had a cursory at today's (Wednesday) fare,,, possibly leave off 😊

    #discipline#exercisepatience

    #puntingsabbatical

    #artistry#StudyHubs

    #finlandwasrobbed

    bye bye


    #quotingonhereisregularmofo 😏😂


    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    another Thursday thought

    Gemma Tutty, after having a one/two y'day in 4.15 Bevs, said she liked one of hers at Newcastle (ltr in wk), who's first time in h'cap and upped in trip

    she didn't name mule, but she only has one goinge tomorrow, and that's DANCING CLOUD ~7/1, in the opener there - 1,35 Ncs

    very tricky, trappy looking race this - i dinna

    had two runs for Joey in Ireland before being sold.. two poor runs at ~8 and ~9furlonges on softish ground...

    was well backed for first run in England (a 7f Cl5 Novice Stakes on Ncs AW) but only managed 3rd behind a 1/16 shot.. not a bad run I suppose...

    tackles ~12f tomorrow does SWAPPED

    interestingly, this one also has entries for the two big staying handicaps at Newcastle on Saturday - will watch tomorrow's decs out of interest to see if Gemma's 3yo colt gets in...

    .......

    weather 'up north' looks rainy - could scupper us early @Hamilton pick/s / potentials picks for on the morrow 😓

    ........

    got us 'money back' on each waye poke earlier, when @Lough Carra, 5/1, got third behind well punted Hendo jolly.. nowt wrong with that, but it were a 'running on fumes' type job late on for us pick...... but fk all (i alluded to this before on here) could be seen, either coming in or out of the 'minor positions' as de effing cameraman (no doubt told to do so) only focussed in on the last ~twenty yards of ye reale estate come 'business end' of race - which only concerned two... only one really, as was never in doubt..

    ....soon as winner crossed line, did cameraman zoom out to get a panoramic?? did he fuque!! 😒

    fking joke this craic - don't understand it at all :mad:

    in other news, and bereft of inspo, I'm gonna back ye well punted on @VACCINE ~7/1 , in ye 3,50 Carlisle (where it's raining a tad) today ; merely cos am bereft of inspo - so'll back 'market mover' here for punting's sake... looks to be one what likes to be up close, but has a shoyte looking draw in box 16

    g'l

    :)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    yeah, it's been quiet second half of the month on the winners front, a handful of placers and quite a few near misses but no real jackpot. but that's the nature of the game.

    I'm wondering if Adela Of Champagne can cope with drop in distance today in 5:50 Kempton, she ran well on her hdc debut but that was over a mile... I undecided about this one yet.

    Another one I like is Vegas Jack in Salisbury 5:10, he didn't stay 10f lto but ran well over 8f before that, down to a mile again today, chances.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Also I'll chance Albegrey in 3:20 Carlisle, bolted in here last time, why not.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Remember this one, Shigar when he got beaten by 0C (yeay go carbon!), he was fancied that day by many punters including some on here too 😂 could it be that today is his day? Have a look!




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    @Shigar will do me missusse 🙂

    g'l with ur picks j@u 😊

    #bereftofinspo#havhadenuffe#zoomdafuqueoutcameraman

    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    took ew flyer on Devasboy in this delayed 3,20

    Albegrey should love the bitta juice in ground here...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    unlucky with Albegrey j - looked a stone cold 'got to the front too soon' job there :(

    am switching channels, folkes, for ta watch ye fillies.. watching ye tennise on BBC2 😂 cheaper'n losin' on mules, fo' sho ! 😛

    no joy in 3.20 - shrapnel back on Devasboy (4th plce) .. lost win on @Albegrey tho...

    was a good pick that Albegrey tbf,, was 11/4 or bigger (i think) when flagged up by our j@u 😊

    Shigar and Vaccine left pour moi today.. had a luuk, and didn't like Vegas Jack, soz 😂 as well as Shigar, will also do UZINCSO 14/1 EW, in Kempton 7,20: multi CD winner , out of form but dropping down weights & trained by Butler, plus has plum draw in box one has ye 'pagejumper',, nt lukd at much in this race, but field looks poor enoughe overall..

    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    Bath

    6,40

    Goinge is firme-good to firme in places....

    open looking race this

    none of the top three here are screaming out to be backed imo

    pen landed on OUTREACH 9/1 WIN+EW NAP

    1st time in hcap, trainer is in fantastic form - Mark Usher has had 5 wins from last 17 runners! Outreach weren't beaten too far lto, at the course, over ~150yds shorter trip.. might do better if closer to pace today over slightly longa trippe... looks about a 5/1 shot to me

    anyroad, GL 😀

    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    'm wondering if Adela Of Champagne can cope with drop in distance today in 5:50 Kempton, she ran well on her hdc debut but that was over a mile... I undecided about this one yet.

    Brilliant missus !

    that's a BOOOMMM !! 😁

    hope ya back'd it after all.... i didn't 😢



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Adela Of Champagne gets in as easy as you like UNBACKED, f fuming...

    Vegas Jack was beaten by a neck. So typical.

    I give up... Till tomorrow....



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    a bummer tbs j :sadface:

    #betterdaysahead#believe#convincemeselfan'all#discipline



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    I think 9/4 jolly, Bigger Than Giga, can have massive say in Kempton 6,2o upcoming

    #ihope

    g'luck :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    😁

    after last few days , will happily take that shorty 😊 #phew#abouttime

    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    That's not a shortie, shortie is under 2/1, WD!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,018 ✭✭✭standardg60


    Like the look of Windseeker in the next at Kempton, just sneaks into this off top weight.

    I backed Outreach too!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Finally! At least these daily expenses are covered.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,018 ✭✭✭standardg60


    WD!

    Fancy Deac's Delight to beat Millicent at Bath so f/c here



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    a #wise man: to wit JP, once opined <or mebbe it were someone else heheh> that he don't like backing shorter than 5/2

    #could be wronk about that - deffo fairly sure he said summat like (about ye 'reverse' odds ie 2/5) , and shur... "why would I back at 2/5 to pick up seven, when I already have ye five?" 😆

    anyhow missus , far be it for me to be semantical 😂, but, for me, 5/2 or shorter = 'shorty' nd 13/8 and south thereof is in "short shorty" territory hahahaha 😂

    #njoythegoodtimes#discipline#WDj@uwith#tworightgoodnon#shortypicks , so #fairplayj@u 😊

    have to say the one what went unbacked by urself was the 'pick of the day' for me 🙂

    yep , that Adele was a lot harder found than @Shigar - a lot more 'green shoots' for @Shigar than t'other one far as having a pick, goes

    #notmuchdamagedidtoday

    #changeableweather#Exercise#discipline 😊

    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,018 ✭✭✭standardg60


    Having a euro e/w on Abraaj in the last at Kempton, been tumbling in the weights and Probert has ridden him before, achieved an rpr of 60 last time he ran on the aw, which is today's mark.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    A placer for you g60 there in the last Kempton as Abraaj finished 2nd @10/1.

    Now, where the buzz is gonna come from today 😂

    Ok, I'm starting with a few curiosities: Archie Watson has a beautiful strike rate with his 2yos in Newcastle and he sends two youngsters there today: Royal Hussar in 2:10 and Ambush in 2:45, both blew their starts on their first runs and both are sporting the cheek pieces today... I'm very keen to have a nibble on one of them and my pick is shorter priced Ambush 9/1 , that was fancied on his debut but blew the start and was never involved after. A small e/w. GL.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Maso Bastie is most likely to take the first in Newcastle but is too short for our liking @11/10.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    One more poke at longer odds in 3:55 Newc - Annalee Lass 17/2, CD winner to take advantage of her 3yo allowance of -10lb on her old rivals.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Shigar is out again today 🤨 isn't it a bit much?




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    bloke on telly likes COIN POWER 15/2 EW in 1,50 Nott

    think price has shortened in lst few mins since he mentioned him..

    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    that's in notty.

    I'm struggling to find a sure shortie today, maybe Nine Elms in 4:10 Notty? Seems to like there a lot.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    ta j 😊

    liking u going for two big priced ones in 2.10 & 2.45 👏

    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Coin Power 4th.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    :(

    no good Coin Power , 5th or sixth or worse, i dinna.. fking zooming in on last ~5/10yds camera kerrnt 😒

    #fekkthatTVblokeanyhoo



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    yeah, it looked like he held on for 4th for me initially. But not a bad run after all, could be one for the notebook.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    2.25 Nott

    ROUNDHAY PARK 15/2 EW

    jolly looks fair short here - should really be winning, but untested on Good ground over 6furlonges, and Winter Crown, ~11/10, seems hold up performer - which might not be best tactic but might not make any diff here..

    anyhow, Roundhay can go well in these sorta grades from not far off t'pace

    just two places - good enuffe for me tho

    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    ya , bit of a drifter early doors, and pretty sure was drawn well wide (missed most of that race - just saw finishe..) which might've counted against..

    prolly just schooling ye beaste today - wasn't beaten miles atc, were Coin Power... surely try remember that name for nxt/another time 😊



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    2nd to the jolly - what won easy enough

    will tekk it :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    3.00 Nott

    MISTRESSOFILLUSION 8/1 WIN + 4/1 WIN W/O FAV

    😊



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    😁



    Ok, I'm starting with a few curiosities: Archie Watson has a beautiful strike rate with his 2yos in Newcastle and he sends two youngsters there today: Royal Hussar in 2:10 and Ambush in 2:45

    AMBUSHHHHHHH(ed) 😋 !!

    farrk me j@u ! Brilliant that 😁

    forgot me did that mule - wondering why us balance had gone up a smidge 😂

    #NOICE1

    WD 😊

    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Get in, sweetie 😘 if I only had more on, not just a small e/w (I bet smaller in sprints because I suck picking winners in them).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    3rd for your mistress, not too bad either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    4,10 Notty

    in Nine Elms race, SAISONS D'OR, 12/1 EW, can go well if getting to front early on his own... on the drift and has long layoffe to contend with, but ESTICKY END, 25/1 EW, isn't a complete forlorne hope

    as far as Nine Elms goes, am thinking the Frost 8yo wants a further trip at course or softer goinge over ye mile..

    .... but that's just me

    apologies for 'dissing' ye Nine Elmse for ye not so short shortie, early ~9/4 fav, what's now available to back @ 11/2 , for those what fancy this one...

    hope get decent 'runfer' from at least one o' us pickes here... combi 'caste/s mebbe with ye two pickes as well as per'aps including @Nine Elms

    :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    a winner's a winner... 😊

    nice price for shrapnel j 👍️

    me poor mistress - good race in third, but no collecte alas, on ac of way ye bettes me did there: win and win w/o ye jolly :(



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,165 ✭✭✭hayrabit


    had a quicke looke at ye contenderes in Nmkt 4,55

    concentrating on ye close to pace types here...

    WILD SIDE 9/4 WIN.. recent form speaks for itself

    MICKS DREAM 10/1 EW... can see why money has come (was ~20/1 earlier) ... looking at second laste race at Brighton - that forme gi'es him a squeak here.... stiffer track here, so that's a bittuva concerne.. tbf, is prolly negative value, atc, @ 10s, but will do me here anyhoo

    :) GL

    :)



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