FPL Price Changes 21/22.

Invincible

Last season www.fplstatistics.co.uk proved to be more accurate than www.fiso.co.uk.

If there's any new source, add it here.

GetWithIt

Hook it to my veins!!!

GetWithIt

Double post

Klonker

Can a mod update the thread name? Might get confusing for some.

F1ngers

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117756085#Comment_117756085

Done.

CSF

Previous memory tells me we shouldn’t really be expecting anyone who started and didn’t get injured to drop in week 1 right?

nullObjects

I feel Sons price rises before gw3. I definitely want him so I might do something silly and pull the trigger this week. Like the rest of my team

joeyboy11

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117758633#Comment_117758633

Can you do it in one transfer?

nullObjects

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117758821#Comment_117758821

No that's why it's something silly :)

It's either Greenwood and Antonio to Armstrong and Son this week or I have to maybe risk Bruno directly to Son next week.

Think I'll sleep on it.

Oh and I just realized this is the price changes thread not the transfer thread. My bad, sorry!

joeyboy11

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117759210#Comment_117759210

Definitely sleep on it. I have Greenwood and Antonio too and personally wouldn’t be selling them right now.

On price changes, Jota for Benrahma might be my free transfer as I think benrahma might be good for some points and value. Anyone know where to track price changes? As in when they are close to going up or down to help with decision making.

nullObjects

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117759396#Comment_117759396

http://www.fplstatistics.co.uk/Home/IndexAndroid2

The one that was referenced in the initial post I think is the best. Just be aware it takes a little while for them to fine tune it at the start.

Type the player name in the box and it tells you how close to a rise or fall

Benrahma is 29% to a rise so he's nowhere close

gammygils

Risers :

Pogba (£7.6m)

Richarlison (£7.6m)

Bruno (12.1m)

Fallers :

Lemlin

Bruno up already. Wow. That’ll catch a lot of people out and this early in the game .1 is huge when trying to work someone in.

Invincible

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117760321#Comment_117760321

It was bound to happen, looking at his net transfer numbers. Player's who went without were forced into knee jerk reaction.

sheroman01

Prices are gonna fcuk me over big time this GW I think. Lost out Bruno already, will only get worse. Mane and White likely to fall too. Oh, and my third striker is gone out on loan. Sh1te!

CSF

Son is the one I'm worried about as I already have planned for and have the necessary funds for a Mahrez to Son transfer next week. If Son is going to go up before Saturday then I'm probably going to make it my GW2 transfer which is not what I'd have wanted to do.

nullObjects

I'm a bit shocked by the Bruno one, depending on structure it would also necessitate a double move?

Unless people wanted to get Mane for a one week punt or something and go straight to Bruno?

Be interesting to see if there's a bunch of -4s knocking about to make funds for him

Tsimikas seems to have hit the target so be interesting to see if the model is accurate

Invincible

Risers:

Tsimikas 4.1

Fallers:

PEA 9.9

Pepé 7.4

Daka 7.4

Lanzini 5.9

Muahahaha

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117761368#Comment_117761368

Im in the same boat, left 1.0m in the bank so I could get from Mahrez to Son. Im still on the fence because of that Norwich fixture. FPL stats have Son at 41.6% for a price rise so I presume any knee jerkers have already brought him in and he wont go up in price this week? The other side of it is if he rips it up against Wolves everyone will be hopping on him then and he is likely to go up pretty quickly. I never intended to own Mahrez long term anyway so might just forgo the Norwich fixture and get Son this week

Scorpion Sting

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117767214#Comment_117767214

Surely you keep Mahrez for this game. Why else would you start the season with him if you don’t hold him for one of the juiciest fixtures in the league?

CSF

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117767618#Comment_117767618

This is the flipside of it. I'm not planning to get Son in for Mahrez this week, but also really don't want to be priced out of doing the move next week. So really I just need Son to slow down in his rise. Would appreciate if a few of you could sell him to try balance the flow.

Muahahaha

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117767618#Comment_117767618

I got Mahrez initially because I thought he would do well v Spurs but he had a poor game. The intention was always to go to Son in GW3 after Mahrez has Norwich. But with his poor performance v Spurs that puts him the firing line of Pep roulette for Norwich whereas with Son v Wolves you know its a guaranteed start and likely 90 minutes. It doesnt help that my bench is in a mess already with Veltman flagged and Perica sold to Israel, all I have there is Ayling.

Im still on the fence about it and will wait for more news Friday. But with Pep coming off a loss to Spurs I think its up in the air how many minutes Mahrez gets v Norwich, could be 70 but could also be 20

CSF

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117767742#Comment_117767742

With no Foden, there isn't the same competition for his spot that there will be later in the season.

thunderdog

I’m keeping a close eye on both Son and Raphinha (not expecting any price change for him). Plan is to do Barnes and Mahrez to Son and Raphinha but ideally I want to do this in GW3, unless price rises force my hand. No wiggle room for any price increases

F1ngers

Up:

Antonio

Down:

Ziyech

Willian

Ace2007

5/5 rises so far, also swerved the Pepe drop.

CSF

I think with Son being on 50% its looking much less likely he will rise on or before Friday night, yeah?

Personally I would be more willing to transfer Son in Saturday night before he has played, and take the risk, than I would be willing to do the Mahrez to Son transfer in GW2 to avoid being priced out in GW3. I want Mahrez in GW2.

nullObjects

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117770767#Comment_117770767

Just a heads up that Spurs play this Thursday and next Thursday as well.

Son is a machine so he could probably come through both games and play 90 against Norwich but I didn't realise that myself til I heard it on the fml pod.

I'm hoping Nuno won't run him ragged outside the league

CSF

Well I won’t be doing the transfer (or needing to) before this Thursday night’s game, so I’m certainly hoping if Spurs can do the business this week in Portugal, then I’d feel more comfortable with the idea that he won’t play the 2nd leg.

My current uneducated guess is he’s going up on Saturday night based on the Saturday morning transfers.

Muahahaha

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117771403#Comment_117771403

Is the transfer system live while games are being played,as in would it be possible to watch the Wolves Spurs game but be ready to hit the button during the game in case he hauls during that? And whats considered the danger zone for a price rise, 90% or would you get away with waiting tlll 95%?

Im normally not watching price rises closely but have to with this one as a Son rise throws things off kilter when theres exactly 1.0m between him and Mahrez. I've 0.3m in price rises so far but the plan was always to build squad value to be able to afford to upgrade Sanchez to Meslier who I want as my season long keeper

CSF

So price rises happen while we're asleep (Irish time), its like 2:40 am or something I think.

If you go to bed and the player is 95%, the chances are probably in your favour, but eh not to the degree of certainty that you would want really.

With him still being 50% to a rise now, I don't think he wiill go up Friday night (although with it being Week 1 everything is still tricky enough to be certain of), but I think that with Saturday morning (pre-deadline) transfers added to the mix, I think he is on a trajectory for a saturday night price rise.

In which case, if you're firing on Saturday, post-deadline, you'll have Mahrez for GW2, can wait until Mahrez has played Norwich to make the transfer, but you'd obviously be doing it before Son plays Wolves on Sunday when he technically could get injured/sent off, leaving you in a difficult position that you can't reverse for free.

But on the flip side, if you wait, and he rises Saturday, you may be priced out of the move altogether, so there is risk either way, which makes it an individual choice as to what risk you're willing to accept.

Muahahaha

Cheers CSF, that explains it very well. Ideally Id like to wait until after Son has played to assess but as you say events in the market may overtake that. Will just have to keep an eye on FPL Statistics over the weekend and hope he doesnt get too close to a rise. He is at 52.5% right now so maybe we'll get away with it. He has Watford and Palace after Wolves so thats attractive but then the following two are Arsenal and Chelsea. I still think he will do well in those tougher games.

2nd Row Donkey

Just FYI, according to someone else over on the main spurs thread Nuno said none of the players who played on Sunday vs City would be starting on Thursday in the ECL

CSF

Just hope that doesn't prevent them from getting a result that would enable them do the same next week. Nice 3-0 Spurs win tomorrow night and I'm feeling much better about the Son move.

scotchy

UP

Benrahma 

Alonso

Down

Kane 

Lacazette 

Havertz 

Martial 

Iheanacho 

van de Beek 

Minamino 

Fosu 

Konaté 

Bellerín

.

CSF

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117773147#Comment_117773147

I think it’s moving slower than expected. We may actually end up being ok here.

Muahahaha

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117776452#Comment_117776452

Yeah I checked it around midnght last night, irrc it was 54.4 and now its 54.7 so hopefully we'll be able to buy him at £10.0m after that Wolves game.

Someone posted that none of the Spurs players who started v City will start tonight, Im hoping that happens as we dont need something crazy like a Son hat trick tonight 😂

nullObjects

Ah cheers for that, I can't find any info on Twitter at all. Will see if I can find the teamsheets when they are posted

wonski

Spurs playing with reserves including 17-18 years old. Loosing 1-0 with 2 minutes left.

If they want to play in Europe they will have to bring quality players for the second leg.

Not great news for Son and company.

F1ngers

No risers last night, only fallers.

gammygils

Risers :

Dennis (£5.1m)

Salah (£12.6m)

DCL (£8.1m)

Fallers :

Armstrong (£5.9m)

Ndombele (£5.8m)

Foden (£7.9m)

Gundogan (£7.4m)

Maddison (£6.9m)

Castagne (£5.4m)

Milivojevic (£5.4m)

Chilwell (£5.4m)

Zouma (5.4m)

Watkins (7.4m)

Klonker

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117783395#Comment_117783395

That Gundogan drops hurts a bit but I couldn't justify using a FT shipping him when he's now declared fit and facing Norwich. Early season drops are killer though.

Was going to say Foden is great value at 5.9m but that should be 7.9m!

Widdensushi

Swapped benrahma in for gundogan last Sunday when I thought gundogan would be out a while, both went the right direction price wise, see what happens points wise.

Shedite27

How are the predictor sites looing so far? FPL statistics or FFFix anyway reliable?

gormdubhgorm

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117786322#Comment_117786322

From past seasons I have always found fpl stats more accurate. But I use Fantasy Football Fix as a guide in conjunction as it shows your whole squads potential price rises and drops.

Ros1234

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117786371#Comment_117786371

I do the exact same thing, gundogan was due to drop Thursday night according to fffix but not by fpl stats, they both had him to drop last night, which he did.

gammygils

Going Up :

Pinnock (£4.6m)

Going Down

Phillips (£4.4M)

Gomez (4.9M)

Bryan (£5.9M)

Femenía (£4.4M)

Hughes (£4.9M)

Sierralta (£4.4M)

James (£6.9M)

João Pedro (£5.4M)

Maitland-Niles (£5.4M)

Roerslev (£4.4M)

Mwepu (£5.9M)

Wood (£6.9M)

McNeil (£5.9M)

Hudson-Odoi (£5.4M)

Sigurdsson (£6.9M)

Thiago (£5.4M)

Shaqiri (£5.9M)

Mané (£11.9M)

Lemlin

Is Toney near a drop?

Benimar

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117789926#Comment_117789926

Not even close. Only -12.6%

gammygils

Risers :

Duffy (4.1M)

Ings (£8.1M)

Pogba (£7.7M)

Jota (£7.6M)

Greenwood (£7.6M)

Fallers :

Kanté (4.9M)

Traoré (£5.9M)

Ghoddos (£5.4M)

Thiago Silva (£5.4M)

Dowell (£5.4M)

Louza (£5.4M)

Yarmolenko (£5.4M)

Targett (£4.9M)

Jensen (£4.9M)

Godfrey (£4.9M)

Bertrand (£4.9M)

McLean (£4.9M)

Placheta (£4.9M)

Boly (£4.9M)

Kolasinac (£4.4M)

Rose (£4.4M)

Muahahaha

Lukaku looks set for a rise tonight. Tsimikas just needs 1,234 more transfers in and he's going up too