FPL Price Changes 21/22.

Double post

I feel Sons price rises before gw3. I definitely want him so I might do something silly and pull the trigger this week. Like the rest of my team

No that's why it's something silly :)

It's either Greenwood and Antonio to Armstrong and Son this week or I have to maybe risk Bruno directly to Son next week.

Think I'll sleep on it.

Oh and I just realized this is the price changes thread not the transfer thread. My bad, sorry!

http://www.fplstatistics.co.uk/Home/IndexAndroid2

The one that was referenced in the initial post I think is the best. Just be aware it takes a little while for them to fine tune it at the start.

Type the player name in the box and it tells you how close to a rise or fall

Benrahma is 29% to a rise so he's nowhere close

Bruno up already. Wow. That’ll catch a lot of people out and this early in the game .1 is huge when trying to work someone in.

Prices are gonna fcuk me over big time this GW I think. Lost out Bruno already, will only get worse. Mane and White likely to fall too. Oh, and my third striker is gone out on loan. Sh1te!

I'm a bit shocked by the Bruno one, depending on structure it would also necessitate a double move?

Unless people wanted to get Mane for a one week punt or something and go straight to Bruno?

Be interesting to see if there's a bunch of -4s knocking about to make funds for him

Tsimikas seems to have hit the target so be interesting to see if the model is accurate

Im in the same boat, left 1.0m in the bank so I could get from Mahrez to Son. Im still on the fence because of that Norwich fixture. FPL stats have Son at 41.6% for a price rise so I presume any knee jerkers have already brought him in and he wont go up in price this week? The other side of it is if he rips it up against Wolves everyone will be hopping on him then and he is likely to go up pretty quickly. I never intended to own Mahrez long term anyway so might just forgo the Norwich fixture and get Son this week

This is the flipside of it. I'm not planning to get Son in for Mahrez this week, but also really don't want to be priced out of doing the move next week. So really I just need Son to slow down in his rise. Would appreciate if a few of you could sell him to try balance the flow.

With no Foden, there isn't the same competition for his spot that there will be later in the season.

I think with Son being on 50% its looking much less likely he will rise on or before Friday night, yeah?

Personally I would be more willing to transfer Son in Saturday night before he has played, and take the risk, than I would be willing to do the Mahrez to Son transfer in GW2 to avoid being priced out in GW3. I want Mahrez in GW2.

Well I won’t be doing the transfer (or needing to) before this Thursday night’s game, so I’m certainly hoping if Spurs can do the business this week in Portugal, then I’d feel more comfortable with the idea that he won’t play the 2nd leg.

My current uneducated guess is he’s going up on Saturday night based on the Saturday morning transfers.

So price rises happen while we're asleep (Irish time), its like 2:40 am or something I think.

If you go to bed and the player is 95%, the chances are probably in your favour, but eh not to the degree of certainty that you would want really.

With him still being 50% to a rise now, I don't think he wiill go up Friday night (although with it being Week 1 everything is still tricky enough to be certain of), but I think that with Saturday morning (pre-deadline) transfers added to the mix, I think he is on a trajectory for a saturday night price rise.

In which case, if you're firing on Saturday, post-deadline, you'll have Mahrez for GW2, can wait until Mahrez has played Norwich to make the transfer, but you'd obviously be doing it before Son plays Wolves on Sunday when he technically could get injured/sent off, leaving you in a difficult position that you can't reverse for free.

But on the flip side, if you wait, and he rises Saturday, you may be priced out of the move altogether, so there is risk either way, which makes it an individual choice as to what risk you're willing to accept.