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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,222 ✭✭✭✭briany


    If Putin ever believed in gaining international consensus over things, it was certainly dead by the time of his speech at the 43rd Munich Security Conference where he was vitriolic in his criticism of the US-led international order. I think the quote was that onlookers in the front row where getting peppered with flecks of his spittle as he ranted.

    Hence, Putin does not believe that an internationally-observed referendum is necessary, no matter how nailed-on. In his project to reorder what he calls a unipolar world, he must think that in order to break that system, you must work outside it (when necessary), rather than from within it. And there's little doubt that he regards Crimea to be as Russian as Moscow. To him, the idea that its annexation requires validation must be pretty laughable. Relative international silence when he did move forces in can only have affirmed that to him. The fundamental problem for Putin, however, is that his country lacks the muscle, both in terms of hard and soft power, to truly reorder the world. Nukes won't get the job done, there. They'll end the world, rather than the current world order.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,132 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    You guys will like this one. Russians are complaining because Ukraine keep attacking sections of the front where they weakest. It's just not fair!

    I am sure that in the coming days another 1-2 sections of the front will appear, where the Ukrainians will try to advance. Ukrovskoe command show miracles of strategy and military leadership talents? - NO! They act ingenuously, having the fullness of intelligence, and all NATO intelligence is working for them, they are accumulating strike groups in those places where we are “thinly” and hit.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,449 ✭✭✭nigeldaniel


    Slightly related and not too off topic. Might we be seeing improved ties between the USA and Venezuela.

    Clearly aimed at two things. Pulling Venezuela away from Russia and off course the ol black gold. Venezuela themselves might be thinking Putin's toast! and its time to drop Russia.

    Dan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,132 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Untitled Image

    A Rosgvardiya detachment in Kyslivka is apparently surrounded.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,880 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Yes, much has changed (not least a significant exodus of Ukrainians post annexation).

    But you can't claim that Crimeans were upset about being "gifted" to Ukraine in the 50s and a majority resent it and ignore that a majority voted for independence from Russia. That they also wanted more autonomy is not the same as suggesting a majority wanted to be part of Russia.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,880 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Technically all of Cyprus has joined the EU, but EU law is "suspended" in the North. i.e. its a fudge.

    The requirement for membership of NATO has always been unanimous consent, which is largely my point. Everything else is cosmetic. But I'm happy to leave it here - obviously neither of us think Ukraine are joining anytime soon. If anything I think its less likely in the future then someone who thinks the territorial "dispute" is a limiting factor.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,515 ✭✭✭zv2


    But how can you have a fair vote on Crimea when the Russians flooded it with Russian speakers?

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,880 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    They've flooded it with Russians. It was already, like much of Ukraine, full of Russian speakers. The latter being an irrelevance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,515 ✭✭✭zv2


    It looks like history is starting up again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,132 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    A fight is apparently happening in Dudchany. If true this means Ukraine penetrated 25km in just one day. Maybe not a good sign for the Russians that someone is pleading on social media for aviation support? 🤔

    Would like to see some visual evidence before getting my hopes up. I'm sure we shall get more news tomorrow.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,274 ✭✭✭EOQRTL


    Lots of chatter about the Russian front collapsing north of Kherson.

    There's 25,000 Russians trapped on that bank apparently, so could get very messy very quickly.

    If they can take Kherson and get as far as the Azov sea, they'll have cut the land bridge to Crimea and they'll be in range to destroy the actual bridge as well.

    Think we might be about to find out whether Putin is willing to use chemical weapons/nukes or not.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,222 ✭✭✭✭briany


    We may be about to find out if Putin is batsh*t insane enough to use WMDs over territories that even he must know he's never really exerted full military control of at any point since Russian forces incurred into Ukraine. The answer to that is almost certainly no. We've seen what he's said and we've seen what he's done. He's said that he is prepared to use all the weapons at Russia's disposal to defend its territory, but what he's actually done is mobilised hundreds of thousands more troops. That's his real move to try and defend those areas. The loss of Kherson or any areas Russia have occupied since Feb wouldn't be an existential matter for Russia. Russia will continue to exist without them and vastly so.

    Lastly, if NATO intelligence senses in any way that there are moves to ready nuclear weapons as Ukrainian forces inch toward Kherson, they will be heavily advising a different approach from Kyiv. Ukrainian forces continue to advance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,650 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Any talk of fudging Crimea's future is irrelevant.

    Ukraine contends it is part of Ukraine and all of the international community, bar the few Russian puppets and arse lickers, agree with them.

    Any self-identifying Russians in Crimea that will find themselves fully back within the unitary Republic of Ukraine very soon, can have no complaints about the consequences of Putin's actions, that he purportedly took on their behalf.

    I'd be no advocate of ethnic cleansing, but it will become nigh on impossible for ethnic Russians, especially nationalist types, to live in the restored Ukraine, so they might as well begin planning to repatriate to Russia proper, as it seems many are actually doing from Crimea, as Ukrainian forces draw inexorably closer. A palpable fear of the Kerch bridge crossing being destroyed reportedly abounds.

    The departures are being led by Russian military and intelligence commanders, as well as civil service proxies which tells you all you need to know. That could turn into an exodus any day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,132 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    dudchany.JPG

    If Ukraine can take Dudchany, I think it's significant. There's only one road going to the villages above the blue line. Ukrainian forces would have control over it, therefore anything above the blue line would be cut from supply and would have to be abandoned. The significant layers of fortifications in the sector would also become bypassed.

    All speculation, but Lyman was speculation for awhile until it become fact.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,917 ✭✭✭GM228


    There will be a few foaming at the mouth with those links!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Been offline all day.

    Have the Russians retreated again???



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,606 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    Not sure about retreated or routed. But the Ukrainians have been doing a speedrun today.

    All eyes on Kursk. Slava Ukraini.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,268 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog



    They are "moving to more advantageous defence lines", so yeah retreating.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,515 ✭✭✭zv2


    If language is the only criterion, America is a British colony. So is the Republic of Ireland! Here's a map

    Russianspeakers.png


    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,962 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Except the Ukraine wouldn't do that, would they?

    Whether you like it or not the Crimea is mostly Russian.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,288 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    I agree Zv, however the facts are it was the least "Ukrainian" as far as polls went down the years, they did flood it with Russians(and expelled the Tartars IIRC), so it's not unlike, in a shorter space of time of course, the English flooding Planters into Ireland especially in the north and why we've had a divided island. Enough in a small part didn't want to join the rest. And look at the mess that was. Sadly that's the reality on the ground in Crimea IMHO.

    Something similar is in play in the heartlands of Donbass. Because of the civil war a lot of Ukrainians left, more left since this Russian invasion and seperatists are more in play. Something I noticed among the twitter vids; When Ukrainians liberate a load of areas there are lots of locals greeting the troops as saviours. You see almost no vids from the Russians of similar in those areas. At best in the early days you had Russians handing out food and the like in town squares with very muted people lining up. Eff all people handing out tea and biccies that's for sure. In Donbas you get a lot more of a mix of both welcoming one side or the other..

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,515 ✭✭✭zv2


    I was beginning to think Kherson was a lost cause - but I suppose they know what they are doing.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,062 ✭✭✭Hobgoblin11


    In the everyday address President Zelensky confirmed liberation of Arkhanhelske and Myroliubivka of Kherson region


    Dundalk, Co. Louth



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,515 ✭✭✭zv2


    True. But I'm wondering how much of an effect the war, since 2014, has on people's wishes. It is understandable that aggression from the Ukrainians would make them turn towards Russia. Without that aggression how would they vote? It seems to me the aggression was stirred up by the Russians in the first place for exactly that purpose: to turn them towards Russia and to give Russia an excuse to invade.

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    I think when this is all said and done the population of Crimea will be forever majority Ukrainian,

    Deportation of all Russians should be the only policy



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,288 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    I recall one of that guy Bald and Bankrupt vids had him on a train in Ukraine and the signs outside suddenly going to Hungarian. Fascinating stuff.

    And both America and Ireland were British colonies(with French and Spanish in play with the former). Language as a gauge of allegiances is a very fuzzy guide indeed.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,222 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Isn't that the same missile which Russian state had the graphic of where a tidal wave completely enveloped Ireland and Britain? It must be the most overhyped nuclear weapon ever invented, not possessing anywhere near the power to generate such an effect (most of the water would be turned into steam). And even if it in any way lived up to the hype, using it in the Black Sea sounds like an incredibly dumb idea when there are Russian strategic assets in the region, never mind what was intimated to happen to Russia if they let off a small nuke, never mind that monstrosity.



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  • Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    In Lyman they have retreated victoriously once again,and in Kherson they are soon encircled and trapped again in the north it seems after Ukraine found a weakspot and broke trough the russian defence lines.




This discussion has been closed.
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