May shocker: strong winds, squally showers, even the potential for wintry showers

M.T. Cranium

I think it's likely that a level one (yellow) wind and rain warning may be hoisted for Sunday night and Monday within the next few hours. Low pressure taking aim at Connacht will cross the country late Sunday night and bring intervals of heavy rain, as strong southeast winds will veer around to southwest then west to northwest increasing in speed later on Monday possibly into the 70-110 km/hr range.

The next few days will be unseasonably cold and bands of showers in moderate northwest to north winds could actually contain some mixed wintry varieties over higher parts of the north; hail mixing in with squally rain showers will be more widespread at lower elevations.

Even before the stormy weather arrives, today will have its own locally heavy showers with potential for hail too.

DOCARCH

As Tony the Tiger would say.....GRRRRREEEAAAATTTT.

Supercell

Ohh MTC what a title! Wouldnt mind a bit of weather action finally

pauldry

Yes Thursday particularly cold 6 to 8c and Monday particularly wet 25mm

[Deleted User]

Ah FFS, MT!

You’re like the grinch that stole the sunshine

Artane2002

the ECM has moved towards the GFS in terms of temporary wintriness in Monday's rain event for the north. The rain looks lighter than what the GFS is showing. Some showers after the low passes, most frequent in the north with a chance of wintry showers over northern hills as MT said.

tayto lover

Can’t understand how people can like bad weather. Crazy.

Meteorite58

What was looking fairly benign in the earlier runs is certainly a lot windier and wetter on the latest output, ARPEGE and ICON have increased the wind speeds in the last two runs but showing maybe a bit less rainfall than the ECM at this stage. Quite a complex feature with the Jet in on the action helping to put spin on it, a bit to go yet with the final picture of this, seems to be a fairly strong whip of the winds developing for later Monday as the LP continues to deepen crossing the country, the winds would be freer as the front would be well cleared. Will this evolve into something stronger ??

Spot flooding possible in places. Would imagine with the ground so hard there could initially be a lot of run off.

Wintry showers on higher ground in Northern counties.

Tyrone212

A pink blizzard on Monday, the cherry blossoms last stand.

SouthWesterly

I can hear my veggies singing with the rain.
After 11mm in April this is welcome. Just hope the wind part doesn't happen. All my fruit trees are in bloom.

limnam

tayto lover wrote: »

Can’t understand how people can like bad weather. Crazy.

Strange comment in the weather forum

Cluedo Monopoly

We had hailstones this morning in Galway after an otherwise sunny start. It has been dry and fine since.

Ride me sideways was another one.

Dank Janniels

The friggin turf just cut, the bog dry as a bone all month too!

smallwonder

Can anyone tell me is there another wet and windy event happening on Friday 7th into Sat 8th?. I've organised a Paddle for Pieta fundraiser for Darkness into Light. I'm hoping we won't be all swept away ��

Oneiric 3

smallwonder wrote: »

Can anyone tell me is there another wet and windy event happening on Friday 7th into Sat 8th?. I've organised a Paddle for Pieta fundraiser for Darkness into Light. I'm hoping we won't be all swept away ��

Way too far out to know. Best just keep an eye MT's daily forecasts on here in the run up.

Meteorite58

Winds looking stronger again late afternoon / early evening on Monday more so over the Southern half of the country and especially in the W , SW with strong NW / W'ly's .

Strong for the time of the year especially with the trees in leaf.

Got a feeling that this could get even stronger, it has been trending that way now nearly every run.

pauldry

tayto lover wrote: »

Can’t understand how people can like bad weather. Crazy.

Cant understand how people cant like crazy weather. Bad.

bfa1509

A wet and windy May fills the shed with sheafs of hay

apparently.

SouthWesterly

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Winds looking stronger again late afternoon / early evening on Monday more so over the Southern half of the country and especially in the W , SW with strong NW / W'ly's .

Strong for the time of the year especially with the trees in leaf.

Got a feeling that this could get even stronger, it has been trending that way now nearly every run.

Thats the wrong forecast for Monday. I'm meant to be going to Kells Bay for a day out with the family

Arturo Delgado

bfa1509 wrote: »

A wet and windy May fills the shed with sheafs of hay

apparently.

Aye, and rough winds do shake the darling buds of May...

Birdnuts

bfa1509 wrote: »

A wet and windy May fills the shed with sheafs of hay

apparently.

Yep - In my experience 9 times out of ten the weather is always rather grim in the week before and after the May Bank Holiday. In contrast the June Bank Holiday is usually far more seasonal

M.T. Cranium

The wintry showers threat probably increases from late Monday to Wednesday as thicknesses below 522 dm are indicated for Ulster by then.

As to the question about next Friday night into Saturday, the general run of forecast models is for a wet and windy system to miss Ireland to the south and hit southern England next Saturday but even on the outer edges of that it will be very cool, slightly damp and unpleasant for outdoor activity (particularly at night).

That could change for the worse as model depictions of systems missing to south have a habit of shifting one way or the other, further could mean a secondary low and closer would mean the full onset of those bad conditions (+4C windy with rain would be the likely result for anyone on the northwest side of this system).

Meteorite58

SouthWesterly wrote: »

Thats the wrong forecast for Monday. I'm meant to be going to Kells Bay for a day out with the family

It will have to be tomorrow so , looks a decent enough day, best earlier and cloudier in the afternoon, maybe just a shower or could stay dry. Was thinking out West myself around the Peninsula. Kells Bay on the list for another weekend too.


Latest ICON has the second round of winds in the afternoon a bit further N , looks like a high end yellow, will it get even stronger ?? A lot of counties will be under yellow wind warning I would think with the strongest winds in the bottom 2/3 of the country.

tayto lover

limnam wrote: »

Strange comment in the weather forum

Not at all. I like good weather and can’t understand how someone can like rain or storms even in the weather forum. No bother with anyone talking about bad weather but liking it......... don’t get it.

raclle

This hot and cold weather is after giving me the flu. I feel like pure crap

SouthWesterly

raclle wrote: »

This hot and cold weather is after giving me the flu. I feel like pure crap

Weather can't give you the flu. Its a viral infection. Plenty of fluid and rest.

raclle

SouthWesterly wrote: »

Weather can't give you the flu. Its a viral infection.

Haha I meant in terms of spreading the infection. Isn't certain weather known for that?

pad199207

Status Yellow - Wind and Rain warning for Clare, Cork, Kerry, Limerick, Waterford, Donegal, Galway, Leitrim, Mayo, Sligo, Wexford

Met Éireann Weather Warning

Unseasonably wet and windy.

Southwesterly winds, veering northerly through Monday will reach mean speeds of 50 to 65 km/h with gusts up to 100 km/h, particularly in coastal areas and on higher ground.

Heavy rain in conjunction with the wind will lead to spot flooding with a risk of wave overtopping in coastal areas.

Valid: 03:00 Monday 03/05/2021 to 22:00 Monday 03/05/2021

Issued: 10:53 Sunday 02/05/2021

Chris_5339762

A straight 10/10 for this morning down in Cork anyway, lovely clear morning - excellent visibilty - can see the wind farms on the Cork/Kerry border from Cobh with the naked eye. People out kayaking too and someone camping on the beach. Cloud building a bit now but it was a right cracker.

Will be a hell of a change come tomorrow. Hopefully the beans survive, they've only been planted for a week.

Oneiric 3

Almost on a yearly basis, and usually around this time of year, we get forecasts (and weather) that are apparently 'unseasonable', but are they? Wet and windy spells seem common enough events during the first half of May. Maybe that is just my distorted perception though.

Oneiric 3

Just as an example above, I remember that this feature last May (around the 22nd) was described as 'unseasonable' at the time.