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August 2020 Boards weather forecast contest

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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,710 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Thanks M. T well done pauldry.


    Now I'm probably going to do myself out of points here but I think Rikand should have got extra points over rest of us on Bonus question because by some miracle he/she actually managed to predict the exact date of highest rainfall on 24th Aug + nearly exact amount at 50mm.

    I know its up to you M.T but just my thoughts.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,472 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    appledrop wrote: »
    Thanks M. T well done pauldry.


    Now I'm probably going to do myself out of points here but I think Rikand should have got extra points over rest of us on Bonus question because by some miracle he/she actually managed to predict the exact date of highest rainfall on 24th Aug + nearly exact amount at 50mm.

    I know its up to you M.T but just my thoughts.

    It is just totally a guessing game with a little bit of education attached to it. You would be lucky to get all the figures and dates right. I would look up some model runs to get some idea what the weather is like for the coming month but there is a lot of guesswork involved.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,243 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Annual scoring update January to August 2020


    rank _ FORECASTER ______ Jan _Feb _Mar _Apr _May _Jun _Jul _Aug __TOTAL___ Best 7/8 (rank)



    (01)_(01)__ NormaL _______ 70 _ 50 _ 73 _ 55 _ 52 _ 78 _ 59 _ 70 __ 507 ____ 457 (02)


    01_(03) _Pauldry __________ 63 _ 36 _ 58 _ 69 _ 46 _ 79 _ 77 _ 76 __ 504 ____ 468 (01)

    t02_(t01)_ Mrskinner _______ 86 _ 54 _ 72 _ 61 _ 60 _ 49 _ 49 _ 62 __ 493 ____ 444 (03)

    t02_(05)_Jpmarn __________ 86 _ 51 _ 50 _ 61 _ 39 _ 62 _ 73 _ 71 __ 493 ____ 454 (02)


    (04)_(01)___ Con Sensus ___ 70 _ 62 _ 59 _ 69 _ 57 _ 64 _ 58 _ 49 __ 488 ____ 439 (04)


    04_(04)_Dacogawa ________ 73 _ 64 _ 53 _ 51 _ 62 _ 59 _ 63 _ 62 __ 487 ____ 436 (04)

    05_(t07)_DOCARCH ________58 _ 61 _ 62 _ 50 _ 54 _ 69 _ 62 _ 68 __ 484 ____ 434 (05)

    06_(t07)_ Kindred Spirit_____61 _ 63 _ 71 _ 71 _ 60 _ 53 _ 37 _ 53 __ 469 ____ 432 (06)

    t07_(t01) _sryanbruen ______47 _ 58 _ 88 _ 71 _ 43 _ 54 _ 70 _ 35 __ 466 ____ 431 (07)

    t07_(10)_mickger844posts __ 55 _ 63 _ 60 _ 48 _ 74 _ 59 _ 54 _ 53 __ 466 ____ 418 (11t)

    09_(12)_ Dasa29 __________48 _ 70 _ 55 _ 38 _ 53 _ 63 _ 66 _ 70 __ 463 ____ 425 (08t)

    10_(t07) _Artane2002 ______56 _ 63 _ 65 _ 69 _ 52 _ 50 _ 61 _ 42 __ 458 ____ 416 (13)

    11_(t13)_ Sunflower3 ______ 68 _ 60 _ 50 _ 57 _ 51 _ 71 _ 32 _ 68 __ 457 ____ 425 (08t)

    12_(06) _ Adam240610 _____62 _ 38 _ 58 _ 69 _ 47 _ 80 _ 64 _ 37 __ 455 ____ 418 (11t)

    13_(t13)_Bsal ____________ 62 _ 54 _ 57 _ 52 _ 48 _ 49 _ 67 _ 65 __ 454 ____ 406 (15)

    14_(11)_M.T. Cranium _____ 69 _ 59 _ 60 _ 51 _ 35 _ 75 _ 46 _ 44 __ 439 ____ 404 (16)

    15_(15) _john mac ________ 64 _ 46 _ 52 _ 61 _ 59 _ 57 _ 41 _ 51 __ 431 ____ 390 (18)

    16_(18)_Rikand ___________68 _ 38 _ 64 _ 73 _ 66 _ 41 _ --- _ 71 __ 421 ____ 421 (10)

    17_(16)_200motels ________47 _ --- _ 75 _ 61 _ 60 _ 65 _ 60 _ 43 __ 411 ____ 411 (14)

    18_(17)_Joe Public ________ 70 _ 65 _ 42 _ 39 _ 78 _ 59 _ --- _ 47 __ 400 ____ 400 (17)

    19_(19) _Tae laidir ________ 67 _ 49 _ 48 _ 49 _ 53 _ 45 _ 37 _ 35 __ 383 ____ 348 (20)

    20_(20) _waterways _______ --- _ 54 _ 42 _ 44 _ 67 _ 42 _ 63 _ 57 __ 369 ____ 369 (19)

    21_(21) _BLIZZARD7 _______66 _ 36 _ 47 _ 44 _ 53 _ 15 _ --- _ 29 __ 290 ____ 290 (21)


    22_(22)_Appledrop ________ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 47 _ 80 _ 71 __198

    23 _(t24)_Mr Stonewall _____ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 34 _ 50 _ --- _ 43 __127

    24_(26)_WesternStorm _____ 54 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 20 _ 48 __122

    25 _(t24)_Gonzo __________ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 84 _ 25 __109

    26 _(28) _Eon1208 ________ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 50 _ 57 __ 107

    26_(23)_Tazio ____________ --- _ --- _ --- _ 68 _ --- _ 35 _ --- _ --- __103

    27_(27)_JCXBXC __________ 58 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ ----__ 58

    29_(29)_esposito __________49 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ ----__ 49

    =================================================

    Congrats to Pauldry who has moved into top position in both contests (overall score, best 7/8). MrSkinner drops to tied second overall and third in best 7/8, while JPmarn moves into that tie for second and holds second also in the best 7/8. These three have edged ahead of perpetual nemesis Con Sensus but this year it's NormaL doing the business despite being stuck with forecasts out of an internet file. Pauldry has managed to move past NormaL in the best 7/8, which will become best 7/9 after September, in order to set us up for the race to best 10/12 or "Boards Award" (for newbies, this is considered the main contest, the total score for 12 is so lowly that it has my name attached to it, as in MTC Award). So far nobody has ever been awarded anything but that's the nature of the game.

    By the way, I did add one extra superbonus point to Rikand but that's about all I could do under the rules, these things tend to even out over time however.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,243 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tae laidir wrote: »
    MT, do ye have the same or similar expression 'down for the day'?

    Hey, I missed seeing this post in real time, so anyway, as I'm not sure what the expression means after reading Pauldry's post about 21 mm rain at Newport, I don't know if we have something similar, in my mind "down for the day" means taking a rest, as in "that's all I plan to do, I'm down for the day."


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,243 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Four seasons contest update -- summer portion

    The summer portion of the contest is shown with total scores and points following the points from two earlier seasons, the order is determined by annual points totals rather than this past season itself. Scores in brackets for summer were lower than 10th place and received no contest points.

    Points for this contest are 10 for top seasonal score, then 7, 6, 5 etc down to 1 for 8th, 9th and 10th places. Then Con Sensus and NormaL are awarded the points they would have if playing the contest but no scores lower than theirs are affected.


    FORECASTER ___ winter pts _ spring pts ___ Total score (summer), pts ___ TOTAL


    MrSkinner ________ 10 _______5 __________(160)_________-- _________ 15

    JPmarn ____________7 _______-- __________206 _________ 7 _________ 14

    Pauldry ___________ -- _______ 1 _________ 232 _________10 _________ 11

    Rikand ___________ -- _______ 10 ________ (112 2mo) _____ -- ________ 10


    ___ Con Sensus _____ 6 _______ 2 _________ 171 _________ 1 __________9

    ___ NormaL ________ 1 _______ 1 _________ 207 _________ 7 __________9


    mickger844posts ____ 6_______ 2 __________(166) ________ -- _________ 8

    Artane2002 ________ 5 _______ 3 _________(153)_________ -- __________8

    sryanbruen ________-- _______ 7 _________ (159) ________ -- __________ 7

    200motels ________ -- _______ 6 __________ 168 _________ 1 __________ 7

    DOCARCH_________-- _______ -- __________ 199 _________ 6 __________ 6

    dasa29 ___________-- _______ -- __________ 199 _________ 6 __________ 6

    dacogawa __________2 _______ -- _________ 184 _________ 3 __________ 5

    sunflower3 _________4 _______ -- __________171 _________ 1 __________ 5

    Kindred Spirit______ -- _______ 4 __________(143) ________ -- __________ 4

    Appledrop _________-- ______ -- ___________198 _________ 4 __________ 4

    Adam240610 _______-- _______ 1 __________181 _________ 2 __________ 3

    Bsal ______________ 1 _______ -- _________ 181 _________ 2 __________ 3

    Joe Public __________3 _______ -- _________(106 2mo) ____ -- __________ 3

    John mac __________ 1 _______ 1 _________ (149) ________ -- __________2

    Tae laidir __________ 1 _______ -- __________(117) _______ -- __________ 1

    _____________________________________________________________

    No four seasons points yet, totals for summer: MTC 165, waterways 162 (lowest score to qualify 168)

    ... Quite a few still in the hunt going into autumn, the final quarter of this contest.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 20,310 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    appledrop wrote: »
    Thanks M. T well done pauldry.


    Now I'm probably going to do myself out of points here but I think Rikand should have got extra points over rest of us on Bonus question because by some miracle he/she actually managed to predict the exact date of highest rainfall on 24th Aug + nearly exact amount at 50mm.

    I know its up to you M.T but just my thoughts.

    Thats for trying, but seeing as how I also nailed the Max and the Min for the month, its not fair to give me too many points. I'm already too elite as it is ;)


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