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Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion : Spring/Summer 2020

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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Quite a heavy burst of rain over WX but no sparks yet


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 270 ✭✭Bejubby


    All going up the Irish sea looking at sat24


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 270 ✭✭Bejubby


    All going up the Irish sea looking at sat24


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 624 ✭✭✭Humberto Salazar


    Losing their 'oomph' as they head into the south and southeast. Any factors that could reinvigorate them?


  • Registered Users Posts: 202 ✭✭CirrusBusiness


    Sparks just at Rosslare now and more just south of Cork. Looks promising for the afternoon.

    Hmmm those strikes showed up on Lightningmaps .. don't see them now. Also showed a strike at Coumfea West peak.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Well out of the risk zone here but sky still looks like a touch down could occur at any moment. Pleasant enough feel to the day though.

    New Moon



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,467 ✭✭✭jimmynokia


    In short nothing will happen so??
    pad199207 wrote: »
    Status Yellow - Thunder warning for Leinster, Cavan, Monaghan and Donegal

    Met Éireann Weather Warning

    Scattered thunderstorms today and tonight, with lightning, hail and a risk of localised flooding.

    Valid: 11:00 Monday 10/08/2020 to 08:00 Tuesday 11/08/2020

    Issued: 11:00 Monday 10/08/2020


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,119 ✭✭✭pad199207


    jimmynokia wrote: »
    In short nothing will happen so??

    Basically yeah. Can’t see anything happening.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,796 ✭✭✭Calibos


    Started to rain in Bray as the ‘tip of the spear‘ pokes us. Looks fairly ominous on the Radar. Are we sure its only the rain and not the T&L that’ll cross the Irish Sea?


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,822 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    The trend is our friend here lads, the more instability carried west by the early cells the better for the next 18 hours. I'd be surprised if we didn't see some decent thunder 30 to 50 kms inland from the coast from wexford northwards


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Cape forecast from now until tomorrow midnight. East coast always at risk pretty much at any stage.

    JavjNgT.gif

    New Moon



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,154 ✭✭✭PukkaStukka


    Started raining here in North County Dublin about 20mins ago. Humidity and temps have climbed since the rain started. Doesn't feel like sparks though


  • Registered Users Posts: 420 ✭✭Little snowy old me


    It has been raining in west Dublin for the last 45 minutes. Modetate rainfall. Noticeably dark in the last 20 minutes but no sparks or distant rumbles. Are we likely to see any action on the east coast? Doesn't feel particularly muggy.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,490 ✭✭✭typhoony


    convection firing up south of Kilkenny


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,119 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Warning has been taken down. Rightly so.


  • Registered Users Posts: 199 ✭✭Frankie19


    Maybe being updated?


  • Registered Users Posts: 420 ✭✭Little snowy old me


    Well that was a damp squib.....


  • Registered Users Posts: 311 ✭✭chris2007


    keep the faith alive something might happen later


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,187 ✭✭✭✭IvySlayer


    Some action in Wales judging by the met radar, so jealous :(


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,827 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    All the big stuff missing eh.

    Cell firing away in North Wales, Isle of Man going to get it ?

    R1c6pDc.png?1

    GgoIVU5.gif

    bnw6ztl.png


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    That small blob of prep over the S midlands currently appears to be spiralling:

    zrIJODN.gif

    New Moon



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,878 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    I don't think even the warnings for thunderstorms in Ulster that ME have put up will happen tonight they appear to be dying out


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,343 ✭✭✭esposito


    We really do miss out a lot on exciting weather events don’t we. We are very unlucky. When they put up the warnings for thunderstorms they always seem to jinx it and we get none. Maybe we’ll get lucky over the next few days but you just have to wonder sometimes.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,722 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    If Ireland was located an extra 100 km further east our history of decent thunderstorms could be quite different. So many times over the past 30 years these situations result in thunderstorms drifting northwards up the Irish sea missing Ireland and on rare occasions they may clip the Ulster coastline.

    Unfortunately for us we rarely have heat or warmth to tap into to get these storms going, too much Atlantic influence most summers, not enough warmth, not enough instability.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,343 ✭✭✭esposito


    Gonzo wrote: »
    If Ireland was located an extra 100 km further east our history of decent thunderstorms could be quite different. So many times over the past 30 years these situations result in thunderstorms drifting northwards up the Irish sea missing Ireland and on rare occasions they may clip the Ulster coastline.

    Unfortunately for us we rarely have heat or warmth to tap into to get these storms going, too much Atlantic influence most summers, not enough warmth, not enough instability.

    My hatred of the Atlantic grows each year. It really does ruin things for us in both summer and winter.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,722 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    esposito wrote: »
    My hatred of the Atlantic grows each year. It really does ruin things for us in both summer and winter.

    we are perfectly positioned for bland temperatures and that's what we get most of the time. The Atlantic is primarily why we rarely get real cold/snow most winters and temperatures above 24C in the summer. The fact that we don't have a hot continent sitting just to our south would be another reason why our summers are mostly cool or just mild.

    Most plumes or high pressure tend to move up from the south but brush with Ireland or miss us entirely, which leaves the Atlantic to continue it's grasp over us to some extent so we are nearly always on the cooler side.

    Many of these situations work out great for England and Wales but are useless for Ireland. We really need a push of hot air from central Europe with a gentle south-east flow to draw any proper warmth in our direction with minimum sea track. A very strong Azores linking up to a Scandinavian high can also work well for us if the azores ridge isn't positioned too far to the east.

    Unfortunately for us it does look like we've been handed the summer wooden spoon both last year and this year.


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,922 ✭✭✭spookwoman


    Quite a swirl
    522648.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,883 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Every weather event that is predicted in Ireland we get less severe

    Snow it's less
    Wind it gets moderated last minute
    Heat like today supposed to be 26c but 21 or 22c tops
    Thunder Britain gets it apart from June 26th here


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,119 ✭✭✭pad199207


    pauldry wrote: »
    Every weather event that is predicted in Ireland we get less severe

    Snow it's less
    Wind it gets moderated last minute
    Heat like today supposed to be 26c but 21 or 22c tops
    Thunder Britain gets it apart from June 26th here

    I disagree about the wind bit. That we get lol


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,343 ✭✭✭esposito


    pauldry wrote: »
    Every weather event that is predicted in Ireland we get less severe

    Snow it's less
    Wind it gets moderated last minute
    Heat like today supposed to be 26c but 21 or 22c tops
    Thunder Britain gets it apart from June 26th here

    Couldn’t care less about wind. We get enough of it. I personally can’t stand windstorms.

    Especially can’t stand wind in the summer months and also at Christmas and new year.


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