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Rainfall Warning : Fri 30th / Sat 31st Aug 2019

  • 27-08-2019 8:54pm
    #1
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    Models getting to grips with the rainfall potential for Fri /Sat with a long trailing front being drawn up over the country with a wave like feature forming an area of LP on it that could dump a lot of rain perhaps .

    A bit away yet but needing a close watch. All the models showing potential for some hefty falls of rain. the models are changing a bit over the last few runs on where the heaviest rain will fall and when. the charts at this stage are to show a general guidance and will change a bit over the next couple of days. Worth keeping a watch on this one, could lead to spot flooding or some wider areas of flooding.

    Windy also at times especially in coastal areas.

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,379 ✭✭✭ vickers209


    Need a no thanks button!
    Not ready to say goodbye to summer yet.

    When is the new storm names being realised?


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,443 ✭✭✭ 17-pdr


    Latest GFS run treating this as a rain event for the South, East & Midlands. North & West might escape.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,889 ✭✭✭ John.Icy


    This coupled with introducing much cooler air for Sat/Sun is an absolute stinker for EP. Such a shame since we've had several decent days since Friday, came too early.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    ECM 12Z showing the heaviest rain falling now more towards the W, NW and high ground in the SW.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,114 ✭✭✭ thecretinhop


    ECM 12Z showing the heaviest rain falling now more towards the W, NW and high ground in the SW.



    im so fking sick of this summer at this stage.
    fk off weather


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    What the other models are showing at this stage.

    ARPEGE

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    ICON

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    GEM

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    GFS

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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,306 ✭✭✭ SleetAndSnow


    That totally changed the outlook for us down south in Cork. Really shows how the models are struggling to grip with the system


  • Registered Users Posts: 47,643 ✭✭✭✭ km79


    Dear Jesus no


  • Registered Users Posts: 475 ✭✭ bazlers


    km79 wrote: »
    Dear Jesus no

    Roughly what time will the rain hit the midlands? Say Athlone greater area.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    bazlers wrote: »
    Roughly what time will the rain hit the midlands? Say Athlone greater area.

    Timing is difficult to determine at this stage but for the midlands it looks like scattered showers , short spells of rain for a time from early Fri until heavier rain arrives later afternoon for a time and heavier pulse's crossing the country in the early hours of Sat morning.

    This could change either way, heavier or weaker or shift track a bit but I think we are starting to see what it will more or less look like come Fri / Sat.

    Not exceptional but a fair amount on top of a wet spell just gone by.

    Connacht / Donegal possibly seeing 20 to 40 or 50mm in 24 hrs , more on higher ground.


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    IMO Latest ARPEGE 18Z showing about 50mm in 24hrs in the W up to about 07.00 Sat morning. A yellow weather alert more than likely and close enough to an Orange weather warning. High end yellow at the moment probably, Galway maybe Orange . Will see tomorrow's charts.

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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    UKMO

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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,393 ✭✭✭ Oscar Bravo


    Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Connacht, Donegal, Clare, Cork, Kerry and Limerick

    Rain will turn heavy and persistent on Friday and Friday night bringing the risk of localised flooding. Rainfall totals of 30-50mm are expected during the period, higher in mountainous areas.

    Valid: Friday 30 August 2019 06:00 to Saturday 31 August 2019 06:00


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,675 ✭✭✭ ronnie3585


    It's been one hell of a wet August in the west of Ireland:(


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,544 ✭✭✭✭ Supercell


    Could do with it here in Loughlinstown, 8th day in a row with no measurable rainfall so far, my garden veggies need it.

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,995 ✭✭✭ giveitholly


    Supercell wrote: »
    Could do with it here in Loughlinstown, 8th day in a row with no measurable rainfall so far, my garden veggies need it.

    Careful now looking for rain!!!!! 😂


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,034 ✭✭✭ Oneiric 3


    Totals needed for the rest of this August for these stations to reach 200mm.

    Valentia: 23.7
    Claremorris: 24.6
    Newport: 31.9
    Knock Apt: 32.2
    Mt. Dillon: 37.1

    New Moon



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,852 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    Yup wetter than the majority of Winter months. And yet it was 26c on my thermometer on August 3rd. What a false dawn.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    Latest ECM 12Z.

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    Total accumulation

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    High tide Galway ( Spring tide )

    Wind probably NW'y , fresh but not too strong, Pressure about 10014 hPa. Probably a lot of run off water from Fri / early Sat into a high tide, don't know if this will cause any concern. Maybe some more enlightened natives of Galway might have a better idea ?

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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    EURO4 way out in front again, definitely a trend that it is inclined to over do it whilst ICON can be quite conservative in its predicted totals.

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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,468 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58




  • Registered Users Posts: 2,023 ✭✭✭ Donegal Storm


    Wonderful..

    Said conveyor belt is already up and running here, pouring rain all evening


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,298 ✭✭✭ Hooter23


    Strange how most of these systems seem to run up the west coast the majority of the time...the storm tracks take the same route too...we are in the perfect position out in the atlantic to get the worst of it


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,000 ✭✭✭ Birdnuts


    Puts the tin hat on a poor summer in the West:(


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,114 ✭✭✭ thecretinhop


    Birdnuts wrote: »
    Puts the tin hat on a poor summer in the West:(

    we fkin need de tin hat due to rain


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,665 ✭✭✭✭ JCX BXC


    MÉ warning removed.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,631 ✭✭✭ monty_python


    Not a drop of rain yet in the south west beara peninsula


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,685 Mobhi1


    Just heard a few drops of rain on the roof here in Glasnevin.


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,665 ✭✭✭✭ JCX BXC


    Warning back, Limerick and Cork removed.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,034 ✭✭✭ Oneiric 3


    Nothing much more than a gravity defying drizzle here and unless it perks up later, can't see this amounting to much in this part of Galway at least. Maybe something a bit heavier later on this evening though as what is looking like a pretty sharp front moves in:

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    New Moon



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