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A log with cards in it

  • #1
    Registered Users Posts: 22,947 ✭✭✭✭ mailburner


    The only success I had in general last season was on cards, everything else was a disaster so I'm gonna do cards and nothing else mainly prem league.

    Picks will be chosen based on value, h2h or just streaks.

    Man U Chelsea

    Luke Shaw to be carded 3/1
    10

    Shaw to be carded first 12/1
    2

    Matic was my main pick for this at 5/2 given he nearly always gets a yellow
    for this fixture but he's on the bench, may have a few quid on him if he comes on with 20/30 left if over 6s depending on how the game is going.

    Pretty sure luke shaw's 11 cards in 29 starts was as much as any utd player last season and he's never been one to shy away from a tackle.
    He's as short as 6/4 with another bookie so taking this one for value alone.


«1345

Comments



  • This is a log im looking forward to seeing. 80%+ of my bets are on premier league cards.

    I use soccerbase.com for the referee stats for games but predominantly bet on premier league still.




  • thanks doyler, feel free to comment on any of mine good or bad

    its all about opinions :)




  • I will indeed. I got off to a good start with over 40 booking points in the Utd Chelsea game albeit it was only 5/6.




  • Interesting match tonight - the uefa super cup between Liverpool and Chelsea. The referee is called Stephanie Frappart from France. I really don’t know how it’s going to go but I’m going to take the over 40 points with paddy power at 7/5.




  • Referee stats
    Fri 09/08/19 LI2 Guingamp 1 - 0 Orléans x4
    Sun 07/07/19 WWC United States 2 – 0 Netherlands x3
    Sat 29/06/19 WWC Germany 1 – 2 Sweden
    Thu 20/06/19 WWC Netherlands 2 – 1 Canada x4

    Can't take anything out of that lot really.


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  • Doyler92 wrote: »
    Interesting match tonight - the uefa super cup between Liverpool and Chelsea. The referee is called Stephanie Frappart from France. I really don’t know how it’s going to go but I’m going to take the over 40 points with paddy power at 7/5.

    bit of a nothing match if you ask me and hard to be confident of either tbh




  • Turned out I was wrong (again). I honestly thought it would have swaying the other way but apparently not. Ah well on to the next one!




  • Bayern v herth

    kimmich to be shown a card 5/1 betway
    5


    price a tad too big possibly
    only 3 mins away, bit of an afterthought




  • Cork to be shown a card 4.75
    5

    Millivojevic 11/4
    5.50
    888

    Romeu 11/5
    5

    Holebas 12/5
    Skybet

    3x50c trebles 50acca

    Cork gets booked in this fixture quite a bit and as long as Burnley can hold arsenal the more chance of cards.
    I'm banking on burnleys promising start hoping they'll be still in this with an hour gone or so

    Romeu usually gets booked in this fixture yet (3 in last 4) with some of the pool lads having played 2hours midweek there might be one or two from the squad worth backing like Henderson

    Millivojevic looks Value at those odds, loves cards and sheff utd will also be up for their first home game here in a long time

    Holebas booked in 3 of last 5 in this fixture

    There seems to be good value in the championship if you know teams/players
    Only 888 betting on these going by oddschecker

    Jake Cooper Derick Williams Nathan Byrne caught my eye at 3s 7/2 4/1
    I'll watch and see how they get on before going there apart from a small trixie

    Would normally wait for teams but can't today




  • So far (holebas stake was 5) holebas romeu the only two winners

    Staked 39/ret 33/-6


    Williams did get booked for Blackburn at 4s

    Nathan Byrne got booked minutes ago for Wigan so will keep these two in mind for again

    Sterling another lad likely to pick up a card regardless if city are home and dry being a bit of a brat
    Wondering what his odds were, decent I'd imagine

    Edit jake Cooper booked for millwall Earlier also


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  • Just a heads up Mailburner...

    Lee cattermole signed\is going to for VVV venlo
    888sports has cards for the eredivisie




  • inforfun wrote: »
    Just a heads up Mailburner...

    Lee cattermole signed\is going to for VVV venlo
    888sports has cards for the eredivisie

    Cheers infor
    It'll be interesting to see how he's priced up




  • Wouldnt surprise me if not at all.
    888 always has a select few, not the full team available.
    But then there is always match and\or team cards available.




  • A few early ones with prices I'm taking now for value

    Sterling to be carded 11/1 bet365
    5
    4pts bigger than the next and some going 11/2
    Booked in both games so far

    Kane 6/1
    Lamela 6/1
    3 on each
    2x1euro doubles
    a couple of bookies under 3/1 on Lamela always a great shout for a card should he start
    if Newcastle don't put up a fight it could be over by half time however




  • Not seeing a whole lot in the premiership today apart from holebas who's been booked in 3 of his last 4 starts v wham and sent off in this last season
    Price is decent and higher than last week

    Holebas card 11/4
    6
    Antonio card 13/2
    2
    Holebas 1st card 10/1
    1
    Holebas red 33/1
    1

    Bet 365




  • Better prices with pp on most of these and most of the team priced up (forshaw not priced on 888)

    Boro millwall
    Ayala 3/1
    3
    Jake Cooper 16/5
    3
    1.50 double at 20.92/1
    Leeds
    Forshaw 4/1
    2.50
    Wigan
    Nathan Byrne 5/2
    3

    Same 4 with Derick Williams 4/1

    7x20c trebles
    2x25c fourfolds
    Paddy

    (14.90 staked)




  • David Luiz card 3/1
    5
    888

    Like xhaka also but only 9/5 at best, regularly booked in this.
    Fabinho another value one at 7/2




  • Neves card 10/3
    5
    1st card 12/1
    1
    Bet365

    There's 8/9 players shorter in the cards market, makes no sense.
    Booked in last 2 of this fixture also

    Tempted by Bennett at 7/2 also




  • inforfun wrote: »
    Just a heads up Mailburner...

    Lee cattermole signed\is going to for VVV venlo
    888sports has cards for the eredivisie

    booked 11 mins into his debut :pac: unsure if it was offered


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  • Shame nobody was pricing and sure if 888 were he would have needed to start




  • Cardiff Fulham

    Joe bennett to be carded 4/1
    5
    888




  • To be booked

    Jorginho 4/1
    4
    Schar 12/5
    5
    Millivojevic 3/1
    5

    3x50 trebles 50c acca. (With David Luiz 2/1)
    888




  • Single
    Arfield, Scott @ 3/1
    Rangers v Celtic

    To Be Carded


    £6.00
    Est. Returns
    £24.00
    Double
    Arfield, Scott @ 3/1
    Rangers v Celtic

    To Be Carded

    Luiz, David @ 2/1
    Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur
    To Be Carded
    £2.00
    Est. Returns
    £24.00


    betfred


    always a good fixture for cards and some scandalous pricing on these by the likes of paddy
    who go 8/11 brown and went 8/13 lerma yesterday when the general price was around 6/4

    I'm taking arfield for value alone




  • mailburner wrote: »
    A few early ones with prices I'm taking now for value

    Sterling to be carded 11/1 bet365
    5
    4pts bigger than the next and some going 11/2
    Booked in both games so far

    Kane 6/1
    Lamela 6/1
    3 on each
    2x1euro doubles
    a couple of bookies under 3/1 on Lamela always a great shout for a card should he start
    if Newcastle don't put up a fight it could be over by half time however
    only one silly challenge by sterling which was almost enough for a card

    -13
    mailburner wrote: »
    Not seeing a whole lot in the premiership today apart from holebas who's been booked in 3 of his last 4 starts v wham and sent off in this last season
    Price is decent and higher than last week

    Holebas card 11/4
    6
    Antonio card 13/2
    2
    Holebas 1st card 10/1
    1
    Holebas red 33/1
    1

    Bet 365
    booked first, I like jose :pac:
    staked 10
    ret 32.50
    +22.50


    mailburner wrote: »
    Better prices with pp on most of these and most of the team priced up (forshaw not priced on 888)

    Boro millwall
    Ayala 3/1
    3
    Jake Cooper 16/5
    3
    1.50 double at 20.92/1
    Leeds
    Forshaw 4/1
    2.50
    Wigan
    Nathan Byrne 5/2
    3

    Same 4 with Derick Williams 4/1

    7x20c trebles
    2x25c fourfolds
    Paddy

    (14.90 staked)
    Think I'll just avoid this division altogether
    -14.90
    mailburner wrote: »
    David Luiz card 3/1
    5
    888

    Like xhaka also but only 9/5 at best, regularly booked in this.
    Fabinho another value one at 7/2
    Booked first also
    staked 5
    ret 20
    +15

    mailburner wrote: »
    Neves card 10/3
    5
    1st card 12/1
    1
    Bet365

    There's 8/9 players shorter in the cards market, makes no sense.
    Booked in last 2 of this fixture also

    Tempted by Bennett at 7/2 also
    nope, never good when a goal down in the latter stages of a game
    -6
    mailburner wrote: »
    Cardiff Fulham

    Joe bennett to be carded 4/1
    5
    888
    -5
    mailburner wrote: »
    To be booked

    Jorginho 4/1
    4
    Schar 12/5
    5
    Millivojevic 3/1
    5

    4x50 trebles 50c acca. (With David Luiz 2/1)
    888
    Milli booked
    staked 16.50
    ret 20
    +3.50


    Staked 70.40/ret 72.50/+2.10

    Total staked 109.40/ret 105.50/-3.90

    I haven't had time to bet in play which isn't helping but hope to going forward as it's the best way of doing this.




  • mailburner wrote: »
    Single
    Arfield, Scott @ 3/1
    Rangers v Celtic

    To Be Carded


    £6.00
    Est. Returns
    £24.00
    Double
    Arfield, Scott @ 3/1
    Rangers v Celtic

    To Be Carded

    Luiz, David @ 2/1
    Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur
    To Be Carded
    £2.00
    Est. Returns
    £24.00


    betfred


    always a good fixture for cards and some scandalous pricing on these by the likes of paddy
    who go 8/11 brown and went 8/13 lerma yesterday when the general price was around 6/4

    I'm taking arfield for value alone
    staked 8
    ret 24
    +16


    only two bookings in the old firm derby but arfield got one thankfully, luiz
    never looked like picking up a card, probably should have taken lamela also who was 29/10


    Total staked 117.40/Ret 129.50/+12.10




  • cagliari inter

    brozovic card 17/10
    5

    vila v real
    casermiro card 17/10
    5

    2 double
    888


    better price available on broz, too much hassle depositing for the sake of half
    a point at these stakes




  • mailburner wrote: »
    cagliari inter

    brozovic card 17/10
    5

    vila v real
    casermiro card 17/10
    5

    2 double
    888


    better price available on broz, too much hassle depositing for the sake of half
    a point at these stakes
    Both get a card

    staked 12/ret 41.58/+29.58

    Total Staked 129.40/ret 171.08/+41.68




  • If anybody here is on a Twitter, a guy I like following for his card bets handle is @MyBets
    Worth a follow if you like the card markets.

    I’ve been too busy with work to be betting but I hope it’s going well for you!


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  • Doyler92 wrote: »
    If anybody here is on a Twitter, a guy I like following for his card bets handle is @MyBets
    Worth a follow if you like the card markets.

    I’ve been too busy with work to be betting but I hope it’s going well for you!

    Cheers, will keep an eye on him. https://twitter.com/MyBets

    See nothing in the ireland game regarding cards at all.
    We're only averaging one card in our last 5 games, swiss have players
    who get booked regularly especially xhaka and schar though


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