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Rainfall Warning : Heavy Rain and Potential Thunderstorms Thurs 8 - Fri 9 Aug 2019

  • 06-08-2019 8:57pm
    #1
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,453 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    Thought it would be a good time to start a dedicated thread for what now looks like very heavy rain Thurs Night / Fri and risk of potential thunderstorms also. Currently looks like having a risk of spot flooding in parts. Models differing in where the heaviest rainfall will be but the S and SE coasts are standing out at this stage. Worth keeping a track of developments over the coming days.


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    Note: Updated warning Thurs 20.13

    Met Eireann


    Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Ireland
    Update to warning:
    A spell of heavy rain this evening and tonight will lead to rainfall accumulations of 25 to 40mm. Spot flooding possible.

    Valid: Thursday 08 August 2019 19:00 to Friday 09 August 2019 07:00



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«13456721

Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,453 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    IMO It looks windy from early Friday with the frontal passage sweeping up over the country but currently below warning level at this stage. During the day windier on coasts with variable wind directions as the Low will more than likely be close to being centered over us, as it moves further N could get quite windy in the SW but again in general just below warning level at this stage. Gales at sea. On Sat in general looks windier across the country and up along the E for a time but below warning level going by the main models apart from ARPEGE which is showing yellow warning level winds for a time , atm looking like gusting 60 to 70 km/h overland for the most , possibly higher near coasts. Fri could have strong convective gusts as it there is a threat of thunderstorms.

    The models are tweaking the track and timing of this so can expect some changes over the coming days.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 529 ✭✭✭ aisling86


    Will be interesting to see how this plays out. Wonder will it change dramatically over the next 48hrs, if not I'm situated in a good location for it!


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,453 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,666 ✭✭✭ igCorcaigh




  • Registered Users Posts: 12,554 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    Let's not post about the big phony that is the "Joint Cyclone Center".
    Note that, despite the name, very official-looking logo and flashy graphics, the Joint Cyclone Center is nothing more than one private individual in Miami and has no links to any official forecasting service.

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,847 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    Probably one of those 25 to 40mm warnings that we get.

    Munster and South Leinster worse Thursday possibly lingering in Ulster and Sligo Friday


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,454 ✭✭✭ Storm 10


    Pictures taken by my Son while out training with Galway Lifeboat tonight in Galway Bay cool cloud formations


  • Registered Users Posts: 31 tartetatin


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Pictures taken by my Son while out training with Galway Lifeboat tonight in Galway Bay cool cloud formations

    Spectacular pictures Storm 10


  • Registered Users Posts: 21,794 ✭✭✭✭ Kermit.de.frog


    This could well dump a lot of rain in a relatively short period across the country. Spot flooding seems likely through Thursday night and Friday morning at least.

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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,277 ✭✭✭✭ Dorian Little Mummy


    Typical. I take the week off to do work outside and it does nothing but rain.

    Might go back to work just to spoil it for you all :D


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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,454 ✭✭✭ Storm 10


    tartetatin wrote: »
    Spectacular pictures Storm 10

    Thanks tartetatin it really shows the kind of weather conditions that our Lifeboat Crews face on a regular basis.


  • Registered Users Posts: 529 ✭✭✭ aisling86


    https://www.met.ie/warnings

    Here we go......


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,862 ✭✭✭✭ leahyl


    Talking about a subtroical storm now on Facebook and quoting the Cyclone Centre that another poster said wasn't very reliable :rolleyes:

    It's not like we're not used to rain; it'll be pretty wet but I'm sure we'll get through it....cue massive hurricane :P


  • Registered Users Posts: 33,549 ✭✭✭✭ RobertKK


    The weather respects the boundaries of the provinces.

    Some areas of the south east still have not received a lot of rain so it will be welcome.


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,391 ✭✭✭ Oscar Bravo


    Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Munster and Leinster

    Heavy Rain will spread from the south Thursday evening and night. Accumulations of 25 to 40mm will occur over a relatively short time period. Spot flooding is likely.

    Valid: Thursday 08 August 2019 19:00 to Friday 09 August 2019 07:00


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,306 ✭✭✭ SleetAndSnow


    Do I stay in cork city or go to west cork by the coast.. wonder which will see more rain :p


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,322 ✭✭✭ m17


    The m17 near Athenry yesterday morning


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,251 ✭✭✭ TheW1zard


    The amount of **** that will be released into the Liffey will be tremendous


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,554 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    aisling86 wrote: »
    Whilst not being a windstorm, I think it's quite the coincidence that this deep low is impacting Ireland a few days before the 40th anniversary of the Fastnet 1979 disaster.

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,453 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    24 hr precipitation predicted by the main models.Quite a difference in the models but ECM and ARPEGE and UKMO quite similar where the highest totals will be.

    Peculiar that ICON is so different.

    ECM

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    ARPEGE

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    UKMO

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    GEM

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    GFS

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    ICON

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  • Registered Users Posts: 87 ✭✭ SlinkyL


    hmmmm... camping in Dungarvan til Saturday.. thinking packing up on Thursday morning looking like a good idea!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 529 ✭✭✭ aisling86


    Do I stay in cork city or go to west cork by the coast.. wonder which will see more rain :p

    My mother loves a good storm, they have headed to bantry for a few days, she will be in her element.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,453 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    Mod Note: squarecircles moved your post re Met Eireann to the Met Eireann dedicated thread https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056857470

    Please do not drag this thread off topic.


  • Registered Users Posts: 347 ✭✭ Reversal


    Is there any more confidence of where/when, or even if the threat of thunderstorms still exists?


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,454 ✭✭✭ Storm 10


    Guys the talk of a possible wind event when is that likely to happen


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,847 ✭✭✭✭ Villain


    Potential to go to Orange level in the Southeast based on some models, will be interesting to see 12z updates.

    Storm 10 the wind event looks to mainly be offshore based on most tracks but certainly a windy day likely Saturday.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,454 ✭✭✭ Storm 10


    Just had a shower like I have never seen in a long time East side of Galway City, flooding on all roads they are like rivers.


  • Registered Users Posts: 529 ✭✭✭ aisling86


    What time are the new runs out? Is there a slight shift east? The heaviest rain was coming in over Bantry yesterday, looking like east cork now.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,030 ✭✭✭ Oneiric 3


    Latest ECMWF offering. Hourly totals of up to 10mm reaching the south coast by Thursday evening:

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    If as forecast, no doubt we'll be seeing flood reports from prone areas in Cork City.

    New Moon



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