Exit poll: The post referendum thread. No electioneering.

farmchoice

Hotblack Desiato wrote: »

Prediction - Yes 58%-60% (ten days ago I would have said it was on a knife edge)

Turnout 68%-70% which would be very high for a referendum.

if turnout goes over 65% then i would suggest that pretty much every percentage point over that will go to the yes side.

Galwayguy35

Galwayguy35 wrote: »

Voted Yes.

82 people had voted before me which isn't bad for a rural village at 12.30 in the day, unfortunately most of them were probably older folk who could be No voters.

Hehe. Lovely insight right there. This democracy stuff can be very tough. Don't worry, so far 81% of After Hours voters voted 'Yes'. This will be replicated across the state...

bleary

Yes I think this yes voters are young. No voters are old is simplistic . I've spoken to groups of lads in their 20s and 30s all voting no. Apparently in a backlash to feminism. My mam told me all her mass crew are voting yes. I think they see a broader picture. They remember the first referendum and voted for it. They've lost faith in groups telling them their world will collapse unless they do what they're told.

Fr_Dougal

RobertKK wrote: »

How did I vote....from 2 Unlimited...

No no, no no no no, no no no no, no no there's no limit!
No no, no no no no, no no no no, no no there's no limit!

Interesting you should quote them, a song about freedom:

No no limits, we'll reach for the sky!
No valley to deep, no mountain too high
No no limits, won't give up the fight
We do what we want and we do it with pride.

I voted Yes.

farmchoice

Trasna1 wrote: »

Tonight. Rte are doing an exit poll of 3000 voters. With a sample size that large it should be pretty accurate.

We will have a very good idea of the result at 10:01 tonight

i heard tubirdy mention on the radio this morning that they will be having the exit poll on the late late at 11.30pm so its possible that RTE are actually going to hold it back until then to force us all to watch the late late!!!!

Billy86

Hitman3000 wrote: »

LoveBothDrogheda had a callout for volunteers to act as security and check for ID's at polling stations. The tweet was deleted but not before being report to the Gaurds multiple times. I have a screenshot of the tweet but can't post it here.

Well as it turns out...

https://twitter.com/LoveBothDrog/status/999978070999273474

thecommander

superman28 wrote: »

Amazingly I can't vote.. I was deleted from the Fingal Register. (their words) just found out yesterday.

Apparently, my parents filled out a form stating that its just the 2 of them living at their address (true) last year. So my name was taken off the Fingal register,, I was not notified of this... , Only when my voting card didn't arrive at my parents house did I check,, quickly tried to sort it out,, but was too late as cards arrived after cut off point of May 8th... lady said in Fingal Co Co there are loads of similar cases.. as you can imagine f**king fuming..

How would you be notified if you don't live at that address any more and haven't given them your new one?

Hitman3000

Billy86 wrote:

Well as it turns out...

Showing my age regards Twiiter and my lack of recognising parody.

uptherebels

Billy86 wrote: »

Well as it turns out...

https://twitter.com/LoveBothDrog/status/999978070999273474

Poor attempt at reverse psychology. Why not wait till after the vote

Arghus

I voted Yes.

It's about time Ireland grew up and started dealing with reality, instead of being in thrall to some religious dogma.

revelman

Hitman3000 wrote: »

Showing my age regards Twiiter and my lack of recognising parody.

Maybe it is my age too but in what way is parody like this helpful? I understand the role that parody played in East Germany during the 1980s, for example. But what kind of 'parody' pretends that one side is seeking to illegally prevent people from voting? I really see this as unhelpful and divisive. All of social media (barring boards of course ) should just shut up and leave people vote. We will all need to come together tomorrow after the vote.

Rossie11

No

Wife voted yes as did few of her friends all of who's husbands all voted No
30-40s age group

_Dara_

Just voted Yes.

Turnout at my station was at 17-18% at 1pm.

We were the only souls there though.

munsterlegend

I voted no.referendums much quicker than general elections to get the job done.

freshpopcorn

My father Yes in the end. He is a tad religious and wouldn't love abortion being on demand.
He says doctors should just be able to look after women without all this fuss and it's a complete waste of money which could be better spent.

Nettle Soup

I proudly voted Yes with a big smile on my face!

I hear the turnout is high. I think this great weather will help the Yes vote too.

AllForIt

OP needs to add abstained to the poll.

Moanyhole

Got up at 7am to vote today.

Lady had said it had been a lot busier than they expected it to be.


There will be 3 yes votes from my house. My husband, my daughter and me.

Galwayguy35

Deleted User wrote: »

Hehe. Lovely insight right there. This democracy stuff can be very tough. Don't worry, so far 81% of After Hours voters voted 'Yes'. This will be replicated across the state...

I don't see anything wrong with my original post, of course people can vote either way but each side wants their own to win.

Hitman3000

revelman wrote:

Maybe it is my age too but in what way is parody like this helpful? I understand the role that parody played in East Germany during the 1980s, for example. But what kind of 'parody' pretends that one side is seeking to illegally prevent people from voting? I really see this as unhelpful and divisive. All of social media (barring boards of course ) should just shut up and leave people vote. We will all need to come together tomorrow after the vote.

To be honest I can't answer your question regarding parody. Social Media however is deeply engrained in society for too long now for it not to have an impact on political and social matters. Agree with you regards coming together but I don't think there will be an issue , the most vocal on either side tend to only mix with others who share there views. The majority held their counsel and have or will vote as they see fit with no fanfare.

tigger123

Nettle Soup wrote: »

I proudly voted Yes with a big smile on my face!

I hear the turnout is high. I think this great weather will help the Yes vote too.

Good weather will help the turnout which will help the Yes vote I think.

arybvtcw0eolkf

I voted earlier in the week via a postal vote (I've never been inside a polling booth!), anyway its YES from me.

But I'll be honest, it wasn't entirely without wrestling with my conscience, but after some soul searching and some research, plus common fecking sense I had to vote YES.

Abortion is indeed a dreadful place for a girl, or a couple if she's lucky enough to have a caring partner, to find herself. I couldn't ignore the fact that over two thousand women are traveling to the UK in the most dire of circumstances.

And I'll be honest, I won't rejoice at a YES win. I'll be happy that woman no longer need to travel. And I was disgusted at the lies the NO campaign came out with, absolutely fvcking disgusted by their campaign.

revelman

_Dara_ wrote: »

Just voted Yes.

Turnout was at 17-18% at 1pm.

We were the only souls there though.

All sorts of things can have an impact on when people vote (e.g. weather, work etc). It could be that women in general feel more motivated to vote in this referendum than in other referenda. There are more women than men who are stay-at-home parents and will have been in a position to have voted in the morning. It will be interesting to see if voting picks up again after 5pm. Do men (as a general class) feel just as motivated as women to vote in this referendum? (BTW - before I'm attacked - I'm trying to point to a fact that in the general population there are more women than men who are stay-at-home parents - I'm not making some sort of sexist point about the role of women in society!)

I'd be very surprised if the turnout was higher than the SSM referendum. I'd say it will be roughly the same or lower.

xzanti

2 big fat YES votes from this household.

Mike Litoris

Yes. Surprised at the large amount of people out to vote.

Arghus

Matthew Bald Mimosa wrote: »

I voted earlier in the week via a postal vote (I've never been inside a polling booth!), anyway its YES from me.

But I'll be honest, it wasn't entirely without wrestling with my conscience, but after some soul searching and some research, plus common fecking sense I had to vote YES.

Abortion is indeed a dreadful place for a girl, or a couple if she's lucky enough to have a caring partner, to find herself. I couldn't ignore the fact that over two thousand women are traveling to the UK in the most dire of circumstances.

And I'll be honest, I won't rejoice at a YES win. I'll be happy that woman no longer need to travel. And I was disgusted at the lies the NO campaign came out with, absolutely fvcking disgusted by their campaign.

Nail on the head mate. It was the lies - the shamefaced, utterly brazen lies - more than anything else that compelled me to Vote and Vote Yes.

dark crystal

Popped in during my lunch hour and voted YES.


The nerves starting to kick in now about the result...

mloc123

Matthew Bald Mimosa wrote: »

And I was disgusted at the lies the NO campaign came out with, absolutely fvcking disgusted by their campaign.

I think in the final 2 weeks of the campaign the NO campaign did more work pushing undecided people to a yes vote than anyone else could.

Icsics

Yes yes yes!

B0jangles

Four YES votes from my family this morning!

The amount of double-checking I did to make sure I was X-ing the right box was just ridiculous though