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Media: Rents at all-time high, supply all-time low - RTE

  • 22-08-2017 8:29am
    #1
    Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 32,286 Mod ✭✭✭✭


    https://www.rte.ie/news/2017/0822/899045-daft_rents/

    First of all- to clarify- the report is a DAFT report, by Ronan Lyons, which is specifically dealing with properties available to rent- and the rent levels sought for these properties- it is not about the rent being paid by tenants in pre-existing tenancies, or the absolute number of pre-existing tenancies.

    Also- despite it highlighting that only 3,000 properties are available to rent nationally- an all-time low- it doesn't reference the fact that the actual number of properties let- is at an all-time high (as per registered tenancies with the RTB).

    The major issue highlighted in the report- and in the interview Ronan gave on Morning Ireland this morning- is the appalling failure of the government to deliver on supply.

    Ronan reckons we need 18,000 units annually in Dublin- of which 5-6,000 units should be social housing housing units. This seems like a fair and reasonable assessment.

    The government is in the corner on a soapbox- preaching how they have spent 3.6 billion on housing from an earmarked fund of 5.8 billion- which while its true- is missing the point entirely- we have a supply issue- the government- while throwing money at the issue- is, through its policies, exacerbating the supply issue- and is not going to acknowledge this under any circumstance.


«1345

Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 22,648 ✭✭✭✭beauf


    They have outsourced the blame for it to everyone else.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 992 ✭✭✭jamesthepeach


    https://www.rte.ie/news/2017/0822/899045-daft_rents/

    First of all- to clarify- the report is a DAFT report, by Ronan Lyons, which is specifically dealing with properties available to rent- and the rent levels sought for these properties- it is not about the rent being paid by tenants in pre-existing tenancies, or the absolute number of pre-existing tenancies.

    Also- despite it highlighting that only 3,000 properties are available to rent nationally- an all-time low- it doesn't reference the fact that the actual number of properties let- is at an all-time high (as per registered tenancies with the RTB).

    The major issue highlighted in the report- and in the interview Ronan gave on Morning Ireland this morning- is the appalling failure of the government to deliver on supply.

    Ronan reckons we need 18,000 units annually in Dublin- of which 5-6,000 units should be social housing housing units. This seems like a fair and reasonable assessment.

    The government is in the corner on a soapbox- preaching how they have spent 3.6 billion on housing from an earmarked fund of 5.8 billion- which while its true- is missing the point entirely- we have a supply issue- the government- while throwing money at the issue- is, through its policies, exacerbating the supply issue- and is not going to acknowledge this under any circumstance.

    Who is going to buy these properties now to rent them out?
    Any investor would be mad now to invest in the current pro tenant, anti landlord legislation ridden Ireland of today.
    Possibly REITs if they don't have to pay tax I suppose.
    But while landlords are being forced out, the other side of that is that no more will be attracted in.

    So unless the government is going to buy all the houses and rent them out to people nice and cheap, I don't know how rental supply will increase no matter how many you build. Oh yes, they will probably just make the pensioners give over their houses to the rental market instead.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 32,286 Mod ✭✭✭✭The_Conductor


    beauf wrote: »
    They have outsourced the blame for it to everyone else.

    That's what politicians do- blame someone else- and when that doesn't work- use the old Roman idiom of divide and conquer. Hell, if works, why change their gameplay..........

    It suits the government to have a bogeyman in the corner- who they can heap whatever manure that needs to be dolloped at..........

    In related news- Dublin City Council, Dunlaoghaire Rathdown, South Dublin Co. Co. and Fingal Co. Co. - turned down planning applications for over 200 multi unit developments this year thus far, featuring over 7000 dwellings. Over 20 of the refused applications were for student halls- in the immediate vicinities of the major universities.

    Sigh........ I'm getting old. Why does all of this sound so damn familiar..........


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 57 ✭✭angiogoir


    Allow high rises. In all areas. Especially in leafy south Dublin. Problem solved.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 136 ✭✭Den14


    So unless the government is going to buy all the houses and rent them out to people nice and cheap, I don't know how rental supply will increase no matter how many you build. Oh yes, they will probably just make the pensioners give over their houses to the rental market instead.

    Who is going to buy these properties now to rent them out? Any investor would be mad now to invest in the current pro tenant, anti landlord legislation ridden Ireland of today. Possibly REITs if they don't have to pay tax I suppose. But while landlords are being forced out, the other side of that is that no more will be attracted in.


    You are spot on there. I think it's just amazing how what you've just said never seems to be raised in the media. Typical one sided rubbish from them!


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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Music Moderators, Politics Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 22,360 CMod ✭✭✭✭Dravokivich


    angiogoir wrote: »
    Allow high rises. In all areas. Especially in leafy south Dublin. Problem solved.

    High rise isn't the answer if it's gonna be high rise shoe boxes.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 992 ✭✭✭jamesthepeach


    angiogoir wrote: »
    Allow high rises. In all areas. Especially in leafy south Dublin. Problem solved.

    How will they reach the rental market?
    I'd say builders are sh1tting themselves now.
    All these plans to build and Noone to buy them.
    You have to reduce the price significantly to a significant number of owner occupiers into the affordability range.

    Anyone with money to spend for investment on rentals won't be spending it on Irish properties for sure. Squeeky bum time for the builders again.


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,601 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    I don't see rent prices stabilising, let alone dropping, any time soon. We simply aren't seeing the supply of housing needed to bring us back to a properly functioning market. 2,076 homes were built in 2016 and the Government itself admitted that at least 15,000 needed to be delivered. The situation hasn't exactly improved all that much this year either.

    I reckon there will be a big increase in rents next year as we approach the end of the two year window for rent freezes. The Government had hoped that the supply of houses would have increased significantly by the time the rent's were up for review hence negating the impact of rent rises. That hasn't happened. Danger here.
    High rise isn't the answer if it's gonna be high rise shoe boxes.

    There's also the problem of infrastructure - you can't just start approving high rise developments over night. You need the supporting infrastructure in place to allow high rise - water, sewage, electricity, broadband, public transport etc all need to be factored into planning.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,471 ✭✭✭Mrs Shuttleworth


    Oh yes, they will probably just make the pensioners give over their houses to the rental market instead.

    I know there's another thread running on this, but it's completely impracticable and I know from first hand experience and the following has not been noted.

    An elderly person going into a nursing home - that is not merely the end of the matter. They veer in and out of hospitals and their own home in spite of being formally admitted under Fair Deal and often can pass away quite quickly - literally a few months - after going into long term care. The house then becomes the subject of probate/sale so there isn't any real long term security of tenure for a tenant going in. Unless the Government plans that executors of elderly persons estates will also get screwed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,223 ✭✭✭Michael D Not Higgins


    With such limited supply and surging demand, the only thing that will happen is more overcrowding. We're going to see more ads with bunk beds and sharing rooms in order to cope.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 22,648 ✭✭✭✭beauf


    Who is going to buy these properties now to rent them out?
    Any investor would be mad now to invest in the current pro tenant, anti landlord legislation ridden Ireland of today.
    Possibly REITs if they don't have to pay tax I suppose.
    But while landlords are being forced out, the other side of that is that no more will be attracted in.

    So unless the government is going to buy all the houses and rent them out to people nice and cheap, I don't know how rental supply will increase no matter how many you build. Oh yes, they will probably just make the pensioners give over their houses to the rental market instead.

    I expect more LL will try to get out of it now before the Govt locks them into it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 724 ✭✭✭Askthe EA


    beauf wrote: »
    They have outsourced the blame for it to everyone else.

    They were also warned. They didnt listen. We now have to pay for their incompetence and pig headedness.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 32,286 Mod ✭✭✭✭The_Conductor


    Who is going to buy these properties now to rent them out?
    Any investor would be mad now to invest in the current pro tenant, anti landlord legislation ridden Ireland of today.
    Possibly REITs if they don't have to pay tax I suppose.
    But while landlords are being forced out, the other side of that is that no more will be attracted in.

    So unless the government is going to buy all the houses and rent them outto people no e and cheap, I don't know how rental supply will increase no matter how many you build.

    Obviously this argument hasn't occurred to the Minister.
    The whole system is a series of knee-jerk reactions- rather than a coordinated response, cognisant of the bigger picture. Occasionally- the baying hordes at kept away- by sacrificing a few more landlords to the media- however, this cannot be viewed by anyone as a manner of dealing with what is a national crisis.

    Wholly aside from the homeless issue- our housing problems have been cited by 7 different financial institutions as the reason they moved units to Amsterdam, Luxembourg or elsewhere- rather than Dublin- and yet, even with multinational companies screaming at us- the various Ministers very obviously aren't talking to one another............

    Sigh.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,544 ✭✭✭sk8board


    One important point regarding the tenancies being at an all time high - this is only a measure of the tenancies registered with the RTB, who are finding and registering 20-25k unregistered landlords annually, according to their annual reports (25k solicitors letters sent out last year alone).
    It's not necessarily a reflection of there being more actual houses being rented than before.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 992 ✭✭✭jamesthepeach


    One of the predicted effects of rent control was that people stay put reducing supply even more.
    That's happening too.
    Rent control never works. Ever.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 22,648 ✭✭✭✭beauf


    I think its to force up the price of housing to encourage funds to invest in Ireland. Likewise the squeezing for small LL out of the market for large scale LLs.

    Everything else is smoke and mirrors to deflect attention from this. Its been going on for over a decade.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 992 ✭✭✭jamesthepeach


    sk8board wrote: »
    One important point regarding the tenancies being at an all time high - this is only a measure of the tenancies registered with the RTB, who are finding and registering 20-25k unregistered landlords annually, according to their annual reports (25k solicitors letters sent out last year alone).
    It's not necessarily a reflection of there being more actual houses being rented than before.

    I got a letter from them last month. But the property is short term now, so I just ignored it.
    They'll probably send me another one.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,471 ✭✭✭Mrs Shuttleworth


    One of the predicted effects of rent control was that people stay put reducing supply even more.
    That's happening too.
    Rent control never works. Ever.

    You are correct. My tenant is leaving end September and I've decided having considered all options to formally exit the market for two years. I may move back in as my PPR as I'm currently living with someone else in their solely owned house.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,544 ✭✭✭sk8board


    I got a letter from them last month. But the property is short term now, so I just ignored it.
    They'll probably send me another one.

    Very good point - I'd forgotten about previously registered tenancies


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 32,286 Mod ✭✭✭✭The_Conductor


    I don't see rent prices stabilising, let alone dropping, any time soon. We simply aren't seeing the supply of housing needed to bring us back to a properly functioning market. 2,076 homes were built in 2016 and the Government itself admitted that at least 15,000 needed to be delivered. The situation hasn't exactly improved all that much this year either.

    We *need* 18,000 residential dwellings in the greater Dublin area per annum- of which 5-6,000 should be social housing units. We also need a net increase of 7-8,000 additional units nationally. This is to stand still. In 2016- we delivered 16,200 units- which while its a massive ramp-up in the right direction- we now simply don't have the construction workers to build more units- or local authorities willing to countenance solutions such as high density units and height restrictions. We have to get over this preciousness.
    I reckon there will be a big increase in rents next year as we approach the end of the two year window for rent freezes. The Government had hoped that the supply of houses would have increased significantly by the time the rent's were up for review hence negating the impact of rent rises. That hasn't happened. Danger here.

    Almost 70% of all residential tenancies are in RPZs- presuming these are all increased next year on the elapse of the 2 year standstill- the max increase is 4% initially- and 4% per annum thereafter. This is not the massive increases that the DAFT report is featuring- which is rent on new tenancies. The feature of the market that they are not reporting on- is the manner in which tenancies are lengthening the whole time- so while the average tenancy was 3.2 years in 2010- in 2016 this had increased to 5.8 years. I.e. tenants are not moving in the manner they once used to.

    Yes- there will be increases- however, the RPZs will negate a lot of the increases people are expecting- and the DAFT report- which is being latched onto by Threshold and other bodies- is a bit of a red herring- as it only relates to new tenancies, and not pre-existing tenancies.
    There's also the problem of infrastructure - you can't just start approving high rise developments over night. You need the supporting infrastructure in place to allow high rise - water, sewage, electricity, broadband, public transport etc all need to be factored into planning.

    We have some councils gone giddy on issuing planning permissions- which have in the name of sanity, had to be shot down by the Minister- Kildare Co. Co. immediately comes to mind in this respect.

    Its all well and good pointing to access to critical infrastructure- which is obviously necessary- however, you also have to look at specific areas and how they would be affected by massive development. I'll be the first person to call for a massive increase in supply- however, sticking another 800 low density houses in Sallins- for example- who on earth came up with that nutty notion?

    There is *no* joined up thinking happening- period.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,094 ✭✭✭DubCount


    There is *no* joined up thinking happening- period.

    This one line sums up why we have a problem with housing. There is no point addressing one piece of the jigsaw and doing noting about the other pieces. All we are going to get is more media/politician rambling about getting more rent controls, more tenants rights and more government market interference which is doing nothing to help.

    Why does anyone think that 10% growth in the asking prices for new properties is not attracting in more investors? Does nobody want improving yields? Its time to wake up and understand that we have a choice between making the business of residential letting more attractive to landlords, or we have a lot more rental inflation to see yet.

    My views, for what they are worth are:
    1) we need to address the time and cost involved in evicting a non-paying or overholding tenant. The private rental market will never function properly until this is addressed.
    2) The government should look to provide social housing directly, in stead of expecting the private rental market to provide it. The government should build and manage their own social housing stock - like the good old days.
    3) The entire property market is over-regulated. Building regulations make building reasonably priced housing impossible. Red tape delays and stops supply to the market and pushes up the cost of units which do make it to the market.

    I'm struck by the media coverage of the last 2 days. Yesterday we had FLAC on the news gloating about taking a private landlord for 40k plus costs for discriminating against HAP tenants. Today we have tears because we have a shortage of rental supply and prices going up because of of a lack of supply. Does nobody get the fact these are related? In the next year, how many landlords will have a vacant property that they can only advertise for well below market rate. when the 200+ expressions of interest come in and they can only choose 1 to be a tenant, how may discrimination cases will they face because they didn't choose tenant A who is black, or tenant B who is gay or tenant C who is Jewish, or tenant D who is on HAP or....... Sure its easier to just sell up or move to AirBnB letting. There are just easier ways to make money.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,918 ✭✭✭yosser hughes


    angiogoir wrote: »
    Allow high rises. In all areas. Especially in leafy south Dublin. Problem solved.

    You're assuming the government see this as a problem.
    They really don't.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,670 ✭✭✭quadrifoglio verde


    We've undeveloped land from adamstown as far back as hazelhatch. It is ideal for building new towns of the future.
    Plenty of space either side of the tracks for infrastructure such as roads as well as plenty of room for housing.
    The only problem is a developer would need his head examined to go in there. The investment in infrastructure that is needed before you could sell one house would be astronomical.
    Probably why most of the developments appear to be infill.

    The biggest issue is that we've had what 8 years of very little infrastructure investment. Everything from social housing to water to public transport has been ignored. There was no option but to ignore it and get the books balanced but the consequences of that now have to be dealt with.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,437 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Askthe EA wrote:
    They were also warned. They didnt listen. We now have to pay for their incompetence and pig headedness.

    They were indeed warned, people like Ronan and Tom Lyons have been writing about this for almost 10 years now. I now class this as a morality issue, we have decided it's morally ok to allow thousands to become homeless and possible thousands more to follow over the coming years, all while we call ourselves a 'wealthy' nation. It's time for us to do some deep sole searching as a country!
    The biggest issue is that we've had what 8 years of very little infrastructure investment. Everything from social housing to water to public transport has been ignored. There was no option but to ignore it and get the books balanced but the consequences of that now have to be dealt with.


    I'd have to agree with Australian economist Steve keen in that, we really need to get over this idea of balancing the books, it's doing great harm to our country's when there's no clear benefits by doing so. I'd also agree with Joe stiglitz, in that, 'contractionary policies such as austerity, are indeed contractionary'! Our politicians and their advisers are clueless, dangerous in fact.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 724 ✭✭✭Askthe EA


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    Our politicians and their advisers are clueless, dangerous in fact.

    Something we can all agree on!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭MayoSalmon


    Wanderer78 wrote:
    I'd have to agree with Australian economist Steve keen in that, we really need to get over this idea of balancing the books, it's doing great harm to our country's when there's no clear benefits by doing so. I'd also agree with Joe stiglitz, in that, 'contractionary policies such as austerity, are indeed contractionary'! Our politicians and their advisers are clueless, dangerous in fact.


    No clear benefits? Greece have virtually been in a recession for 10 years now and who knows for how much longer.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 32,286 Mod ✭✭✭✭The_Conductor


    MayoSalmon wrote: »
    No clear benefits? Greece have virtually been in a recession for 10 years now and who knows for how much longer.

    For the record- Greece's economy grew in each of the last 2 quarters- and only yesterday, their sovereign debt rating was increased to 'B'- firmly away from the junk status at which it has traded in the not so distant past........


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 724 ✭✭✭Askthe EA


    For the record- Greece's economy grew in each of the last 2 quarters- and only yesterday, their sovereign debt rating was increased to 'B'- firmly away from the junk status at which it has traded in the not so distant past........

    I sense a major swerve off topic!!! ;-)


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 32,286 Mod ✭✭✭✭The_Conductor


    Askthe EA wrote: »
    I sense a major swerve off topic!!! ;-)

    +1 - and no prizes to anyone who guesses what my day job is........

    Back on topic please (myself included!)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,670 ✭✭✭quadrifoglio verde


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    I'd have to agree with Australian economist Steve keen in that, we really need to get over this idea of balancing the books, it's doing great harm to our country's when there's no clear benefits by doing so. I'd also agree with Joe stiglitz, in that, 'contractionary policies such as austerity, are indeed contractionary'! Our politicians and their advisers are clueless, dangerous in fact.

    Ah yes the money tree argument


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,468 ✭✭✭CruelCoin


    High rise isn't the answer if it's gonna be high rise shoe boxes.

    It's exactly what is needed.

    People don't want a-rated premodelux homes, they just want homes

    Relax the regulations, slap up a load of crap and let the market get us over the supply slump.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,352 ✭✭✭alias no.9


    I have one rental property. It's been rented for nearly 4 years to the same tenants and is well below market rent. When it becomes available to rent, I will absolutely adhere to all of the relevant legislation but I simply cannot advertise it at the allowed rent as I would be inundated with calls and emails. It will be let through word of mouth, something that I've noticed other friends who have rental properties increasingly doing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,437 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Ah yes the money tree argument

    i do believe theyre are actual 'magical money trees' available to us, we just need a dramatic change in our thinking of money and its creation as explained very well by people such as steve keen etc. we seemed to be stuck in some what draconian methods of thinking in such matters. sadly i dont see much changing in the near future regarding these issues, in fact i suspect we may need to experience a couple of more dramatic incidents such as the crash of 2008, before we even consider these alternatives.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,468 ✭✭✭CruelCoin


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    i do believe theyre are actual 'magical money trees' available to us, we just need a dramatic change in our thinking of money and its creation as explained very well by people such as steve keen etc.

    Inflation is imaginary then?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,437 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    CruelCoin wrote: »
    Inflation is imaginary then?

    unfortunately this is where my knowledge runs out on such matters, but there are many researchers out there explaining in great detail how some of these approaches wouldnt cause the inflationary issues regularly trotted out. i do think their ideas should at least be looked at as our current approaches and models are simply failing us


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭MayoSalmon


    For the record- Greece's economy grew in each of the last 2 quarters- and only yesterday, their sovereign debt rating was increased to 'B'- firmly away from the junk status at which it has traded in the not so distant past........

    A quarter of the country is unemployed over 2.5 million people..but yeah they have turned a corner:confused:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,950 ✭✭✭ChikiChiki


    High rise isn't the answer if it's gonna be high rise shoe boxes.

    It partly the answer though. If your a professional in your twenties getting started in life, you dont mind living in a high rise shoe box for a few years. Then the same property can be rented out to the next generation. It better than nothing which is where many are at now.

    Supply has been an issue for a long time now and our govt seem wholly incompetent or not even bothered to deal with it.

    Shame on them to be blunt.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,468 ✭✭✭CruelCoin


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    unfortunately this is where my knowledge runs out on such matters, but there are many researchers out there explaining in great detail how some of these approaches wouldnt cause the inflationary issues regularly trotted out. i do think their ideas should at least be looked at as our current approaches and models are simply failing us

    To quote Friedrich A. Hayek (nobel economics laureate) - “If socialists understood economics they wouldn't be socialists.”

    There is no such thing as free money.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,468 ✭✭✭CruelCoin


    For the record- Greece's economy grew in each of the last 2 quarters- and only yesterday, their sovereign debt rating was increased to 'B'- firmly away from the junk status at which it has traded in the not so distant past........

    They're on track to looking for yet another bailout. How on earth are they above junk status?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,223 ✭✭✭Michael D Not Higgins


    Okay everyone, the credit status of Greece and competing macroeconomic theories are well outside the purview of the forum. Bring it back to A&P please.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,544 ✭✭✭sk8board


    I can't seem to find where the RTB list the number of current landlords.
    a press release last year said 170k (with 125k of them having 1 rental property) and just 16% had three or more.

    Theres A lot of current talk that there are LLs leaving in their droves, but is it actually the case?

    Tenancies are up from 300k in 2013 to 330k in 2017, but that doesn't mean the number of individual landlords has changed.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 22,648 ✭✭✭✭beauf


    sk8board wrote: »
    I can't seem to find where the RTB list the number of current landlords.
    a press release last year said 170k (with 125k of them having 1 rental property) and just 16% had three or more.

    Theres A lot of current talk that there are LLs leaving in their droves, but is it actually the case?

    Tenancies are up from 300k in 2013 to 330k in 2017, but that doesn't mean the number of individual landlords has changed.

    Consider the flip side. if the number of house sales, or AirBNB is up. Where did that housing stock come from.

    Also how does net immigration impact the tenancies totals.

    We have incomplete data. You have to be critical and consider if its being selectively reported.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,544 ✭✭✭sk8board


    beauf wrote: »
    Consider the flip side. if the number of house sales, or AirBNB is up. Where did that housing stock come from.

    Also how does net immigration impact the tenancies totals.

    We have incomplete data. You have to be critical and consider if its being selectively reported.

    Agree, and also need to include the 25k solicitor letters the RTB send to LLs that haven't registered (although that would include people who moved to the airbnb market), but it wouldn't mean there are actually any more properties in the market than before.

    Either way, it still doesn't answer the question - why does they publish the number of landlords? As you allude to, are they ignoring it as it's dropping.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,223 ✭✭✭Michael D Not Higgins


    sk8board wrote: »
    Agree, and also need to include the 25k solicitor letters the RTB send to LLs that haven't registered (although that would include people who moved to the airbnb market), but it wouldn't mean there are actually any more properties in the market than before.

    Either way, it still doesn't answer the question - why does they publish the number of landlords? As you allude to, are they ignoring it as it's dropping.

    They haven't published the 2016 report yet. Last year the 2015 accounts weren't approved until end of September, expect a similar timeline this year.

    If you want to look the trend, this is what was published in the previous years.

    2015 - 170k landlords - 320k tenancies
    2014 - 160k landlords - 304k tenancies
    2013 - 179k landlords - 283k tenancies
    2012 - 212k landlords - 264k tenancies

    That's a clear trend of fewer landlords and more tenancies, and taking into account the published increase in the size of REITs in Ireland, you can determine that one-off landlords are getting out of the market and REITs are replacing them.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 22,648 ✭✭✭✭beauf


    I think its an inescapable conclusion policy is to move the market to REITs .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,793 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Wanderer78 wrote:
    Our politicians and their advisers are clueless, dangerous in fact.
    It was policy to create an environment that supported higher house/rent prices

    Expecting Government to fix this is a waste of time. They are a large portion of the problem.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,378 ✭✭✭✭jimmycrackcorm


    ChikiChiki wrote:
    Supply has been an issue for a long time now and our govt seem wholly incompetent or not even bothered to deal with it.

    Shame on them to be blunt.

    People are quick to complain but never have any actual solutions. The only one that is mentioned is that the government should build massive social housing, effectively handing out free 300k houses to people en masse.

    The government doesn't have the money and the banks are still not in a position to fund the scale of developer builds needed. Even if the government could build lots of social housing art scale, people object because of social problems, instead of examining ways to curb those problems.

    Where there are builds, people rise up in nimbyism. There was a guy posting not so long ago objection to a group of new houses being built on his road because it didn't suit the existing residents views.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 724 ✭✭✭Askthe EA


    ChikiChiki wrote:
    Supply has been an issue for a long time now and our govt seem wholly incompetent or not even bothered to deal with it.

    Shame on them to be blunt.

    People are quick to complain but never have any actual solutions. The only one that is mentioned is that the government should build massive social housing, effectively handing out free 300k houses to people en masse.

    The government doesn't have the money and the banks are still not in a position to fund the scale of developer builds needed. Even if the government could build lots of social housing art scale, people object because of social problems, instead of examining ways to curb those problems.

    Where there are builds, people rise up in nimbyism. There was a guy posting not so long ago objection to a group of new houses being built on his road because it didn't suit the existing residents views.

    That's extremely unfair. He was asking what to expect as 50% of the estate was being taken over by respond. That's a huge amount of social housing in one estate.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 59 ✭✭audi5


    Who is going to buy these properties now to rent them out?
    Any investor would be mad now to invest in the current pro tenant, anti landlord legislation ridden Ireland of today.
    Possibly REITs if they don't have to pay tax I suppose.
    But while landlords are being forced out, the other side of that is that no more will be attracted in.

    So unless the government is going to buy all the houses and rent them out to people nice and cheap, I don't know how rental supply will increase no matter how many you build. Oh yes, they will probably just make the pensioners give over their houses to the rental market instead.

    I agree with the sentiment that government is doing everything possible to discourage landlords. I will be in a position to let out a property in a few months time, wasn't overly keen due to outrageous personal taxation in this country (52% when you include PRSI + USC) on income but after seeing last few days news about HAP case and now after reading housing ministers statement in Irish times I am seriously reconsidering:

    It is understood the Minister is also considering introducing a deposit protection scheme for renters as well as a deposit cap of one month’s rent. These will address situations where landlords have been demanding non-refundable deposits as well as deposits of two months rent or more in advance of agreeing a letting.

    I don't know how these moves are going to increase supply in rental market. Maybe I have missed it but can someone show me one government move in recent times that will encourage me to let and not sell?

    If government is relying on REITS to increase supply then perhaps they should read IRES REIT quarterly report from last week:

    Continued evaluation of new acquisition opportunities, although it is I-RES’s belief that the multi-residential market is currently trading at unattractive prices for the Company

    Given current rental prices/caps, they think Dublin apartment prices are not a good value at the moment. It seems to me they would either need lower prices or higher rents to justify further acquisitions. Then you add planning rejections on their new development projects due to height restrictions to the mix. Lot of their apartment were lent below market rate due to 2 year restriction and then government imposed rent cap.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,793 ✭✭✭Villa05


    People are quick to complain but never have any actual solutions. The only one that is mentioned is that the government should build massive social housing, effectively handing out free 300k houses to people en masse.

    I have seen plenty of workable solutions on these forums. Social housing does not mean free homes and can be built for 1/2 the cost of your quote.

    What is the cost of losing productive investment as outlined in the conductors earlier post
    The government doesn't have the money and the banks are still not in a position to fund the scale of developer builds needed. Even if the government could build lots of social housing art scale, people object because of social problems, instead of examining ways to curb those problems.

    Banks are very comfortable with the current situation of restricted supply as it drives up prices and improves there balance sheet.

    Government has the money they just don't spend it wisely. My local school is busy putting in an array of portakakins rented at extortionate prices. 2 years rent would easily build a proper permanent structure


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