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Fine Gael Leadership: Contest or Coronation?

  • 17-05-2017 8:24pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,408 ✭✭✭


    My tuppence worth (as someone who is not an FG fan)

    Simon Coveney is the classic, polished frontman.

    Leo Varadkar is the classic fixer/enforcer/henchman. (& with the breadth of intellect for Finance)

    A marriage (ahem!) made in (political) heaven?

    Would like to see an agreed coronation.

    D.

    Ps. Then Varadkar assumes the crown in 5 years, or whatever.


«13

Comments

  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 14,535 Mod ✭✭✭✭johnnyskeleton


    Dinarius wrote: »
    Simon Coveney is the classic, polished frontman.

    Leo Varadkar is the classic fixer/enforcer/henchman. (& with the breadth of intellect for Finance)

    I would be inclined to think the opposite. Coveney is the party insiders choice and would appeal to most FGers as maintaining the consensus or soft leadership style of Kenny.

    Varadkar would be a much more popular leader and would be more inclined to make statements and be the face of FG.

    I would think Varadkar would be better because people want a strong leader in these uncertain times, but Im resigned to the fact that FG party members are still shaken from their 2002 electoral collapse and will be very conservative.

    So Coveney will almost certainly be elected as party leader in my view. The only possible spanner in the works for him to then go on to be Taoiseach would be the Dail vote, but Im not sure FF would hold it up over the leadership battle!


  • Registered Users Posts: 683 ✭✭✭conditioned games


    Leo Varadkar is a spoofer. Can't see myself voting fine gael if he was leader.


  • Registered Users Posts: 71 ✭✭MySandwich


    It's surely going to be Covney, the farmers love him


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,336 ✭✭✭Mr.Micro


    MySandwich wrote: »
    It's surely going to be Covney, the farmers love him

    They sure do. He could not do enough for them. He is just Enda lite....a yes man IMO with no plan. Varadkar is not great either. In fact no real personality in FG to lead the party or give it a boost. The new leader would get a big boost by dealing with the festering Garda issue.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,408 ✭✭✭Dinarius


    Mr.Micro wrote: »
    They sure do. He could not do enough for them. He is just Enda lite....a yes man IMO with no plan. Varadkar is not great either. In fact no real personality in FG to lead the party or give it a boost. The new leader would get a big boost by dealing with the festering Garda issue.

    ....and water, and housing, and Brexit, and take your pick...


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,397 ✭✭✭✭FreudianSlippers


    I would be inclined to think the opposite. Coveney is the party insiders choice and would appeal to most FGers as maintaining the consensus or soft leadership style of Kenny.

    Varadkar would be a much more popular leader and would be more inclined to make statements and be the face of FG.

    I would think Varadkar would be better because people want a strong leader in these uncertain times, but Im resigned to the fact that FG party members are still shaken from their 2002 electoral collapse and will be very conservative.

    So Coveney will almost certainly be elected as party leader in my view. The only possible spanner in the works for him to then go on to be Taoiseach would be the Dail vote, but Im not sure FF would hold it up over the leadership battle!
    +1

    Coveney is very much seen as a continuation of the status quo - a slightly-left-of-centre economic view point with a fairly traditional right-of-centre social view.

    Varakdar is probably the most centrist economic politician (or the furthest right in terms of FG) that we have in this country; however, he's still firmly within the Irish version of centre (i.e. fairly leftist) so that works for FG. I'd say Varadkar's main problem in FG is his socially liberal views and (IMHO) for FG his sexuality will play a part regardless of what they say in the voxpops.


  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 22,980 Mod ✭✭✭✭bk


    I'd say Varadkar's main problem in FG is his socially liberal views and (IMHO) for FG his sexuality will play a part regardless of what they say in the voxpops.

    You aren't wrong about any of that and it is also why FG badly needs him as leader!

    FG really need to appeal to the younger generation of urban more socially liberal people of Ireland.

    FG staying a rural party will end up wiping the party out. Ireland's demographics are quickly shifting to urban areas. Ireland is now undergoing the urbanisation that happened all across Europe more then 50 years ago (England, France, etc. populations are now 90% urban) and there is little that can be done to stop it, it is just what happens to modern, service oriented Western countries.

    FG desperately needs to re-invent itself to appeal to an increasingly urban, liberal population, sticking to their rural roots is a losing proposition IMO.

    An economically centerist (for Ireland), socially liberal leader and party is exactly what the majority of younger, urban people have been waiting for IMO.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,408 ✭✭✭Dinarius


    bk wrote: »
    You aren't wrong about any of that and it is also why FG badly needs him as leader!

    FG really need to appeal to the younger generation of urban more socially liberal people of Ireland.

    FG staying a rural party will end up wiping the party out. Ireland's demographics are quickly shifting to urban areas. Ireland is now undergoing the urbanisation that happened all across Europe more then 50 years ago (England, France, etc. populations are now 90% urban) and there is little that can be done to stop it, it is just what happens to modern, service oriented Western countries.

    FG desperately needs to re-invent itself to appeal to an increasingly urban, liberal population, sticking to their rural roots is a losing proposition IMO.

    An economically centerist (for Ireland), socially liberal leader and party is exactly what the majority of younger, urban people have been waiting for IMO.

    Given the state of political stasis that has paralysed politics since the election, can either candidate gain by winning the leadership now?

    Or do they risk losing out by not being in, so to speak?

    Is an FF/FG grand coalition inevitable?

    D.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,337 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    Dinarius wrote: »
    Given the state of political stasis that has paralysed politics since the election, can either candidate gain by winning the leadership now?

    Or do they risk losing out by not being in, so to speak?

    Is an FF/FG grand coalition inevitable?

    D.

    I don't think it is inevitable as I remember when it was been talked about during the last election and I'd know a good few FG members both young and old and it really wasn't very popular.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,762 ✭✭✭✭Inquitus


    The bookies seem to differ from the sentiment in this thread, the 3 quoting odds have:

    Varadkar 1/10
    Coveney 11/2


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 38,930 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    I'm very surprised at how good it looks for Varadkar. I'm of the opinion that if he gets the leadership that support for Fine Gael will drop massively. There were a lot of voters who voted against gay marriage and before we even think about those who voted in favour of it you have to accept that almost all of those who voted against will not vote for a party led by a gay man.

    Coveney looks like a safe bet to me for the next five/ten years.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,061 ✭✭✭irishfeen


    The current declared voting intetions according to RTÉ, With 65% of the vote, the 73-member Fine Gael parliamentary party will have the biggest say in who the new leader is.... 32 Members yet to declare.

    VARADKAR: - 27/73

    TDs - Brendan Griffin, Josepha Madigan, Helen McIntee, Joe McHugh, Peter Burke, Eoghan Murphy, Richard Bruton, Michael D'Arcy, Sean Kyne, Colm Brophy, Noel Rock, Pat Deering, John Paul Phelan, Ciaran Cannon, Alan Farrell, Mary Mitchell O'Connor, Paddy Burke, Heather Humphreys

    Senators - Ray Butler, Maria Byrne, Martin Conway, Frank Feighan, Maura Hopkins, Michelle Mulherin, Catherine Noone, Neale Richmond

    MEPs - Brian Hayes

    COVENEY: 14/73

    TDs - Simon Harris, Damien English, Dara Murphy, Maira Bailey, Kate O'Connell, David Stanton, Marcella Corcoran Kennedy,

    Senators - James Reilly, Tim Lombard, John O'Mahony, Gabrielle McFadden, Colm Burke, Jerry Buttimer, Paudie Coffey



    Looking like a landslide tbh..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,845 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    irishfeen wrote: »
    The current declared voting intetions according to RTÉ, With 65% of the vote, the 73-member Fine Gael parliamentary party will have the biggest say in who the new leader is.... 32 Members yet to declare.

    VARADKAR: - 27/73

    TDs - Brendan Griffin, Josepha Madigan, Helen McIntee, Joe McHugh, Peter Burke, Eoghan Murphy, Richard Bruton, Michael D'Arcy, Sean Kyne, Colm Brophy, Noel Rock, Pat Deering, John Paul Phelan, Ciaran Cannon, Alan Farrell, Mary Mitchell O'Connor, Paddy Burke, Heather Humphreys

    Senators - Ray Butler, Maria Byrne, Martin Conway, Frank Feighan, Maura Hopkins, Michelle Mulherin, Catherine Noone, Neale Richmond

    MEPs - Brian Hayes

    COVENEY: 14/73

    TDs - Simon Harris, Damien English, Dara Murphy, Maira Bailey, Kate O'Connell, David Stanton, Marcella Corcoran Kennedy,

    Senators - James Reilly, Tim Lombard, John O'Mahony, Gabrielle McFadden, Colm Burke, Jerry Buttimer, Paudie Coffey



    Looking like a landslide tbh..

    Lot of ppl to declare yet


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,061 ✭✭✭irishfeen


    Lot of ppl to declare yet
    Oh yeah of course there is but I would be amazed if Coveney won it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,599 ✭✭✭matthew8


    bk wrote: »
    You aren't wrong about any of that and it is also why FG badly needs him as leader!

    FG really need to appeal to the younger generation of urban more socially liberal people of Ireland.

    FG staying a rural party will end up wiping the party out. Ireland's demographics are quickly shifting to urban areas. Ireland is now undergoing the urbanisation that happened all across Europe more then 50 years ago (England, France, etc. populations are now 90% urban) and there is little that can be done to stop it, it is just what happens to modern, service oriented Western countries.

    FG desperately needs to re-invent itself to appeal to an increasingly urban, liberal population, sticking to their rural roots is a losing proposition IMO.

    An economically centerist (for Ireland), socially liberal leader and party is exactly what the majority of younger, urban people have been waiting for IMO.

    Your view of Fine Gael is outdated by around 15 years. Fine Gael did perfectly well in urban/suburban areas in 2016. In fact, their losses were far, far worse in the countryside and they even managed to gain a seat in a Dublin consituency (Dublin North West) where they didn't win one in 2011.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,541 ✭✭✭Leonard Hofstadter


    matthew8 wrote: »
    Your view of Fine Gael is outdated by around 15 years. Fine Gael did perfectly well in urban/suburban areas in 2016. In fact, their losses were far, far worse in the countryside and they even managed to gain a seat in a Dublin consituency (Dublin North West) where they didn't win one in 2011.

    Absolutely, it was rural Ireland that turned its back on Fine Gael in the 2016.

    FG barely lost any seats in Dublin, in wealthy South County Dublin especially they more than held their own.

    I still want Leo to win, though, about time FG shook things up and got rid of their staid and boring image.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,102 ✭✭✭✭Annasopra


    Dinarius wrote: »
    My tuppence worth (as someone who is not an FG fan)

    Simon Coveney is the classic, polished frontman.

    Leo Varadkar is the classic fixer/enforcer/henchman. (& with the breadth of intellect for Finance)

    A marriage (ahem!) made in (political) heaven?

    Would like to see an agreed coronation.

    D.

    Ps. Then Varadkar assumes the crown in 5 years, or whatever.

    I don't think Coveney is "polished" at all. He isn't a great public speaker. When he speaks I get too distracted by his blandness and all the "um", "eh", "ah" in the midst

    It was so much easier to blame it on Them. It was bleakly depressing to think that They were Us. If it was Them, then nothing was anyone's fault. If it was us, what did that make Me? After all, I'm one of Us. I must be. I've certainly never thought of myself as one of Them. No one ever thinks of themselves as one of Them. We're always one of Us. It's Them that do the bad things.

    Terry Pratchet



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,408 ✭✭✭Dinarius


    I'm surprised Varadkar appears to be such a shoo-in. Would have expected it to be closer.

    May be indicative of the ever increasing urban/rural divide in this country.

    Speaking personally, throughout their entire existence, FG have been a disaster for culture and the arts. While I detest FF, just about anything of cultural and artistic significance, in the last 100 years, has happened under their watch.

    If Varadkar becomes leader, I hope it presages a change in outlook in this area at least.

    D.

    (Urban) wife's view is this: "Mná na hÉireann will vote for Coveney, not Varadkar. (The short odds on Varadkar) is the boys (in FG) thinking they're getting it right, and they'll be proved wrong at the election."

    Think of it like this: Given our increasingly personalised approach to politics (it's the Theresa May battle bus, not the Conservative Party battle bus - very presidential) who are Joe and Josephine Public more likely to go for, Varadkar or Martin? I'm not sure.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,845 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    Dinarius wrote: »
    I'm surprised Varadkar appears to be such a shoo-in. Would have expected it to be closer.

    May be indicative of the ever increasing urban/rural divide in this country.

    Speaking personally, throughout their entire existence, FG have been a disaster for culture and the arts. While I detest FF, just about anything of cultural and artistic significance, in the last 100 years, has happened under their watch.

    If Varadkar becomes leader, I hope it presages a change in outlook in this area at least.

    D.

    (Urban) wife's view is this: "Mná na hÉireann will vote for Coveney, not Varadkar. (The short odds on Varadkar) is the boys (in FG) thinking they're getting it right, and they'll be proved wrong at the election."

    Think of it like this: Given our increasingly personalised approach to politics (it's the Theresa May battle bus, not the Conservative Party battle bus - very presidential) who are Joe and Josephine Public more likely to go for, Varadkar or Martin? I'm not sure.

    I interact with a lot of people throughout the country on a daily basis and honestly can say Varadkar is not half as popular as the media bubble would have you believe. Bit of emperors new clothes about him. Although I must say I'm not too enthused about coveney either.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,263 ✭✭✭mattser


    Inquitus wrote: »
    The bookies seem to differ from the sentiment in this thread, the 3 quoting odds have:

    Varadkar 1/10
    Coveney 11/2

    Get on 11/2 as fast as you can. Coveney is going to grow impress in the next 16 days. Bookies don't get it wrong too often, but that's a ridiculous price in a two horse race that's just beginning.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,408 ✭✭✭Dinarius


    I interact with a lot of people throughout the country on a daily basis and honestly can say Varadkar is not half as popular as the media bubble would have you believe. Bit of emperors new clothes about him. Although I must say I'm not too enthused about coveney either.

    So, we agree then? :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,408 ✭✭✭Dinarius


    mattser wrote: »
    Get on 11/2 as fast as you can. Coveney is going to grow impress in the next 16 days. Bookies don't get it wrong too often, but that's a ridiculous price in a two horse race that's just beginning.

    Very good point.

    D.


  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 14,535 Mod ✭✭✭✭johnnyskeleton


    eagle eye wrote: »
    I'm very surprised at how good it looks for Varadkar. I'm of the opinion that if he gets the leadership that support for Fine Gael will drop massively. There were a lot of voters who voted against gay marriage and before we even think about those who voted in favour of it you have to accept that almost all of those who voted against will not vote for a party led by a gay man.

    I dont think so. Most if not all of the campaigners made the point that they were against changing the law on marriage, not that they are against gay people. Moreover, even if they are against gay people, Irish people vote for the local candidate rather than based on the party leaders.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,845 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    Dinarius wrote: »
    So, we agree then? :)

    Yep. Leo has his support base for sure. I just don't think it's as all encompassing as the media would have us believe


  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 22,980 Mod ✭✭✭✭bk


    matthew8 wrote: »
    Your view of Fine Gael is outdated by around 15 years. Fine Gael did perfectly well in urban/suburban areas in 2016. In fact, their losses were far, far worse in the countryside and they even managed to gain a seat in a Dublin consituency (Dublin North West) where they didn't win one in 2011.

    But wasn't their 2016 defeats in rural Ireland led by a lad from rural Mayo and a big GAA supporter?

    What more could they do to appeal to rural Ireland? Perhaps they might be more successful trying something different, maybe our assumptions about what rural Ireland want are wrong?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,103 ✭✭✭✭loyatemu


    I don't think Leo being gay will make that much of a difference if he becomes leader.

    A lot of the people who voted against the marriage referendum would be older FF or FG supporters, they tend not to switch parties - they'll just keep voting for their local TD because he fixed the roads or whatever.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,408 ✭✭✭Dinarius


    Took 6/1 on Coveney; a tiny (and I mean tiny!) punt to maintain my interest in the campaign.

    Satisfies the contrarian in me! :)

    D.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,336 ✭✭✭Mr.Micro


    I just get the feeling that many would like to vote Varadkar but will opt for the bland Coveney as the safer option. We need another candidate, a real one.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,103 ✭✭✭✭loyatemu


    Mr.Micro wrote: »
    I just get the feeling that many would like to vote Varadkar but will opt for the bland Coveney as the safer option. We need another candidate, a real one.

    who exactly?


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 697 ✭✭✭wordofwarning


    I don't think Coveney is "polished" at all. He isn't a great public speaker. When he speaks I get too distracted by his blandness and all the "um", "eh", "ah" in the midst

    I agree. He can barely go 10 seconds without you thinking is he lost?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g_UvPK8xYyA

    Leo is a good public speaker. He can get his point across. He gets it across maybe too curtly. But at the end of the day, he is a Dubliner. Dubliners aren't going to waffle on for 10 mins when you can say it in 2 mins


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,845 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    I agree. He can barely go 10 seconds without you thinking is he lost?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g_UvPK8xYyA

    Leo is a good public speaker. He can get his point across. He gets it across maybe too curtly. But at the end of the day, he is a Dubliner. Dubliners aren't going to waffle on for 10 mins when you can say it in 2 mins

    Eh...the quintessential Dubliner, Bertie, was the all time great waffler lol


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,292 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    mattser wrote: »
    Get on 11/2 as fast as you can. Coveney is going to grow impress in the next 16 days. Bookies don't get it wrong too often, but that's a ridiculous price in a two horse race that's just beginning.

    Is it only beginning or is it over already?


    https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2017/0519/876356-fine-gael-leadership-campaign/

    Varadkar has established a substantial lead while not overwhelming, it is of a size that will encourage the undecided to back the winner, especially among councillors looking for promotion.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    I'm not sure what's been going on behind the scenes, but certainly from the outside it seems like Leo has been taking part in this contest for six months, while Coveney has been sitting back and waiting for Enda to retire before making a move.

    So Varadkar's early lead could just be down to him having done the legwork to get more firm supporters early on, and it doesn't mean that he's going to take two-thirds of the whole party.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,533 ✭✭✭AnGaelach


    bk wrote: »
    You aren't wrong about any of that and it is also why FG badly needs him as leader!

    FG really need to appeal to the younger generation of urban more socially liberal people of Ireland.

    FG staying a rural party will end up wiping the party out. Ireland's demographics are quickly shifting to urban areas. Ireland is now undergoing the urbanisation that happened all across Europe more then 50 years ago (England, France, etc. populations are now 90% urban) and there is little that can be done to stop it, it is just what happens to modern, service oriented Western countries.

    FG desperately needs to re-invent itself to appeal to an increasingly urban, liberal population, sticking to their rural roots is a losing proposition IMO.

    An economically centerist (for Ireland), socially liberal leader and party is exactly what the majority of younger, urban people have been waiting for IMO.

    The problem is that the "urban and liberal" youth don't turn out to vote. It's all good and well appealing to them, but that doesn't really matter if they're don't bother voting.

    Honestly, no matter who wins, Fine Gael is unlikely to remain popular - Coveney is more rural and lacks the charisma that Martin would, whilst Vradkar is too liberal for rural Ireland. It's all good and well saying Ireland is urbanising so the rural vote will matter less and less, but the rural vote still matters and I don't think FG are willing to lose the next 2 or 3 elections and waiting for the tide to shift in their favour.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,654 ✭✭✭✭For Forks Sake


    seamus wrote: »
    I'm not sure what's been going on behind the scenes, but certainly from the outside it seems like Leo has been taking part in this contest for six months, while Coveney has been sitting back and waiting for Enda to retire before making a move.

    So Varadkar's early lead could just be down to him having done the legwork to get more firm supporters early on, and it doesn't mean that he's going to take two-thirds of the whole party.

    Parliamentary Party counts for 65% of the total vote, Councillors 10 % and ordinary members 25%.

    The way things are going, Varadkar will have 2/3 of the Parliamentary party, apparently he's been canvassing support amongst the councils the length of the country for the past 12 months.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,476 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    This race is over already.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,798 ✭✭✭goose2005


    Parliamentary Party counts for 65% of the total vote, Councillors 25 % and ordinary members 10%.

    The way things are going, Varadkar will have 2/3 of the Parliamentary party, apparently he's been canvassing support amongst the councils the length of the country for the past 12 months.

    No, it's 25% for members and 10% for councillors


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,654 ✭✭✭✭For Forks Sake


    goose2005 wrote: »
    No, it's 25% for members and 10% for councillors

    Yikes, brainfart on my part there, trying to post multiple things at the same time doesn't compute. Edited accordingly.

    I think the way things have been going with the number of TD/MEP's backing him early, will influence thinking amongst those yet to vote (membership), and to a lesser extent councillors who won't want to be seen backing the losing horse.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 451 ✭✭hurler32


    If Leo varadker gets in we might as well closedown Rural Ireland...Dublin , Dublin and more Dublin will be Fine Gaels mantra as if they arent bad enough towards rural Ireland.:mad:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,432 ✭✭✭willmunny1990


    Sickening to think Varadkar will probably win, everything about him makes my skin crawl.

    He's one of the most Narcissistic, egotistical, smug, arrogant nanny state pushing vomit inducing politician ive ever seen or heard of.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,337 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    I'm listening to Simon coveneys opening press conference and he's not as flashy as Leo in terms of soundbits but he seems like a very honest and genuine guy. Now whether that will be a help or hinderance I don't know.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,336 ✭✭✭Mr.Micro


    loyatemu wrote: »
    who exactly?

    That is the point. Neither of the two candidates are going to revive the fortunes of FG. Dull and staid. FF will be delighted.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,031 ✭✭✭✭murphaph


    hurler32 wrote: »
    If Leo varadker gets in we might as well closedown Rural Ireland...Dublin , Dublin and more Dublin will be Fine Gaels mantra...
    Will make a pleasant change. Dublin has been starved of infrastructure since the foundation of the state. A couple of disconnected tram lines do not a thriving capital city make.

    The whole country is about to pay the price for this as Brexit bankers move to Amsterdam and Luxembourg instead of Dublin but most will not even realise how we've shot ourselves in the foot by endlessly de-prioritising our only city capable of winning those lucrative jobs.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Calina


    murphaph wrote: »
    Will make a pleasant change. Dublin has been starved of infrastructure since the foundation of the state. A couple of disconnected tram lines do not a thriving capital city make.

    The whole country is about to pay the price for this as Brexit bankers move to Amsterdam and Luxembourg instead of Dublin but most will not even realise how we've shot ourselves in the foot by endlessly de-prioritising our only city capable of winning those lucrative jobs.

    We didn't really do that. What we have is a tendency in Ireland to do as little as we can get away with doing. The Luas lines as they exist were an example of that. The single M50 bridge for years was another example of that. This is not a rural versus Dublin thing: it's a lack of imagination thing

    I live in Luxembourg. They have a lot of problems in terms of transport and infrastructure at the moment But they are also being imaginative in dealing with some of them. The population of the city area is around 150K. There is a 16 km tramline going in and a major transport hub being developed at one end of it to release pressure on parts of the public transport infrastructure as exists. It will integrate three modes. At the other end, another hub is integrating trams, buses, mainline rail via a funicular. All of this is connecting to the airport as well. Like Ireland, Luxembourg recognises that one of the big problems it has is relative population dispersal. This means that they lack critical mass for making commuter rail work.

    I left Dublin for a lot of reasons but key contributions to them were a) cancellation of Metro north. b) lapsing of the Dublin underground interconnector. Both of these were justified by "we'll see if we can do it cheaper" and "maybe we will have a look at the route again. The M20 likewise was shelved and will have to be restarted from scratch - this is outside Dublin.

    The issues here are linked, I think, to some of the Anglo-culture we have where we look at short term gains versus long term gains.

    But the people of Dublin have contributed to this too. They have a critical mass of public representatives and their councils comparatively get more money than most of the other councils. What happens to the property tax? Their councils vote to reduce it. They don't demand that something is done about their public transport. They moan at length about their buses, they moan at length about their trams. How many of them write to their local representatives demanding that things are reprioritised?

    I fully agree that Dublin is very poor for infrastructure. But I don't blame rural Ireland for that. I blame Dublin for that because they have the wherewithal to campaign and demand and none of them do it. The most effort being made is coming from the cycle lobby and they are making progress. The rail users lobbies were just pathetic when I had anything to deal with with them. No one has a vision for what Dublin could be. We talk every once in a while about the airport. Metro North slashed. The spur to the DART line gets picked up because hey it will be cheap but the capacity in the city centre is not there because the interconnector got dropped for now. The ministers for transport responsible for these were both Dublin TDs. One of them was, oh wait, one of them was Leo Varadkar. Who is the leading candidate for the leadership of FG.

    Nothing is going to change. It's not that Varadkar will close down rural Ireland. It's that when he had the chance to influence the future of Dublin and moving people around it, he did not exactly shine a light there either.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,541 ✭✭✭Leonard Hofstadter


    At the end of the day, Transport and Infrastructure don't win elections - freebies and tax cuts do.

    The only time we ever get stuff done on Transport is when we manage to convince the EU to give us free money to do stuff we really should be doing anyway.

    Until such time that we grow up as a nation and enough people decide investing in our transport infrastructure is an election issue we will continue to have substandard roads and rail, not just in Dublin, but everywhere else as well.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,408 ✭✭✭Dinarius


    In the U.K., they are obsessed with theory to the point of stasis. How often have you heard of the "So and So Think Tank" and the "Such and Such Think Tank". They are two a penny. Their problem is that they theorise to the point of doing nothing.

    Our problem is the total opposite. We have no strategic thinking, or virtually none. Then, when the wheels come off, we think, "Oh, dear!", and apply an Elastoplast, for as little cost as possible. Or do what Brussels tells us to do to solve the problem.

    D.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,408 ✭✭✭Dinarius


    So, will the (essentially urban) Fine Gael TD elite ignore the wishes of the masses?

    I wrote at the beginning of this thread that it should be Coveney's smoother front man to Varadkar's backroom fixer.

    I still believe it should be.

    They may yet regret their decision.

    D.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,208 ✭✭✭HivemindXX


    Dinarius wrote: »
    So, will the (essentially urban) Fine Gael TD elite ignore the wishes of the masses?

    I wrote at the beginning of this thread that it should be Coveney's smoother front man to Varadkar's backroom fixer.

    I still believe it should be.

    They may yet regret their decision.

    D.

    That's an interesting way of characterising a 48-44 split in a poll that has such a large margin of error that they felt compelled to mention it in the article. I believe "essentially even" would be a better description than "urban elite ignores wishes of the masses".


  • Registered Users Posts: 215 ✭✭vimalandrew


    vimalandrew2017
    pending
    Microsoft CEO is an Indian. Google CEO is an Indian. Now irish taoiseach is an Indian. Next US president will also be an Indian. The game of Zionism. Otherwise Americans and Europeans will have to go to India and China in 20 years for daily wage work.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,655 ✭✭✭Royal Legend


    get the impression that the media are pushing for Coveney, I suppose its not as if they have to be impartial like in an normal election, take RTE news last night on the hustings, mostly about what Coveney said then one sentence at the end for Varadker. Well I suppose Money talks ;)


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