The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread IV

The real mccoy 91

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

Btts
Allen to be booked
Over 3.5 cards
17/2

7 cards in total 5 for stoke unfortunately Allen wasn't one of them

mailburner

Doucoure 9/2 for a card with skybet, most cards in the league with 10 (and barnes)

livermore card 9/2
ki sun yeung card 4/1 bookied in all three h2h

singles treble to get all those losses back over the past couple of month

inforfun

Last round of the eredivisie



Also on all matches overs @24.3

Took that earleir this week, probably lower now.

PopePalpatine

inforfun wrote: »

That card bet was a bit of a joke bet, hadnt even looked up which ref was at which match.
Hope same bet is available next week, last round.

Out of the 9 matches next, 6 are without anything to play for.
Only ADO, PEC and Heerenveen have a "play off for EL" place to play for, with 2 places available for the 3 of them.
Suspicion that Feyenoord will give Heerenveen the point they need.
Gentlemens agreement from 2012. Although that result was the best for both of them. Feyenoord CL and Heerenveen 2nd round El Qual instead of 3rd.
Something to keep an eye on in play.

Ugh, nothing worse than a stoppage time loser. It stings that little bit more as I had Heerenveen +0.5 doubled with o4.5 Hamburg corners.

ShamoBuc

Hoping the pressure and importance of the Prem game will lead to one or both winning.

Pen awarded 10/3

Red card yes 3/1

Edit barely a tackle, pity.

shmeee

Corners galore tonight in the relegation scrap.

In Southampton's last 9 games highs of 13,14,11,14,14,19 and 12 have been hit and Swansea game against Bournemouth at weekend saw 17.

All with BFSB:

Over 10.5
Swansea v Southampton - Total Corners
@ 1/1

Over 11.5
Swansea v Southampton - Total Corners
@ 13/8

Over 12.5
Swansea v Southampton - Total Corners
@ 5/2

shmeee

shmeee wrote: »

Corners galore tonight in the relegation scrap.

In Southampton's last 9 games highs of 13,14,11,14,14,19 and 12 have been hit and Swansea game against Bournemouth at weekend saw 17.

All with BFSB:

Over 10.5
Swansea v Southampton - Total Corners
@ 1/1

Over 11.5
Swansea v Southampton - Total Corners
@ 13/8

Over 12.5
Swansea v Southampton - Total Corners
@ 5/2

Not a corner for the first 25 minutes but then......

Danick

shmeee wrote: »

Not a corner for the first 25 minutes but then......

Brill tip - thanks!

spurshero

Are spurs very short tonight at 1 to 5 ?? Just look a tired team to me last fortnight or so

akelly02

Madrid @2/1 tonight looks huge?

Sprinter Sacre

Madrid have a very weak squad.

No Ronaldo, Isco, Carvajal and Bale is out suspended. Resting Navas, Kroos, Modric, Marcelo. Very average squad they're bringing. Ramos, Casemiro, Benzema, Asensio only big players they're playing. @3.3 looks short if anything although Sevilla are very so so.

mailburner

akelly02 wrote: »

Madrid @2/1 tonight looks huge?

reasons to back and reasons to avoid posted above

sevilla have been on a horrible run at home but its a crazy price now for real
the dc at 4/5 might be some gift
one win at home in last 6 for sevilla who have been rubbish at times this season...one loss in last ten away for real (8wins) away

pretty sure they go second if they win tonight also

ShamoBuc

2 bets for tonight, expecting tight games.

Draw ht either team to win in Leicester game 9/4 and Chelsea game 5/2

mailburner

anyone think newc are overpriced at 16s? record v spurs aint bad either

probably one of many bad bets ive done lately but feck it

16/1 and 30/1 newc/btts

PopePalpatine

I'll dip my toe in that and go for Newcastle +0.5 @5.25 on Bet365.

The real mccoy 91

Little late posting but doubled
Chelsea and under 3.5 4/5
Spurs and under 3.5 6/5

shmeee

A corner race double tonight @ 2.8 with BFSB

Man City v Brighton
Neither
Race To 9 Corners @ 8/11

Tottenham v Newcastle
Neither
Race To 9 Corners @ 8/13

Spurs aren't banging them in lately at home, only once would they have hit 9+ in their last 8 home games. And Man City were the last team to hit 9+ against Newcastle last January.

With no Sterling or Silva in the city team, could lead to a lower corner count.

shmeee

shmeee wrote: »

A corner race double tonight @ 2.8 with BFSB

Man City v Brighton
Neither
Race To 9 Corners @ 8/11

Tottenham v Newcastle
Neither
Race To 9 Corners @ 8/13

Spurs aren't banging them in lately at home, only once would they have hit 9+ in their last 8 home games. And Man City were the last team to hit 9+ against Newcastle last January.

With no Sterling or Silva in the city team, could lead to a lower corner count.

Was nearly up by HT, cash out was @ 2.6.

Spurs with a late bust to finish on 6 but not any closer elsewhere.

Was surprised enough by the prices.

Gavin "shels"

PuntersHangout - how do you select your bets as a matter of interest? Stats, etc...?

callaway92

PuntersHangout wrote: »

Stats, reviews, watching games, highlights, discussions with other people I have made connections with over the years but basically it all comes down to years of trial and error. At this stage I know exactly what I'm looking for and what to avoid while taking a very analytical approach to my analysis. It all takes time but my bankroll is at a level now where I can justify it.

I only post a small sample of my bets... Are you wondering how I have tipped a variety of leagues recently?:)

You're not "The Division" are you? Similar style of posting/betting

mailburner

callaway92 wrote: »

You're not "The Division" are you? Similar style of posting/betting

exactly what I was wondering?

same guy surely

Loafing Oaf

My playoff accas:
Fulham, Coventry, Lincoln to reach their finals
Exeter and Middlesborough to be promoted
Villa to be promoted and Notts County to reach the final

Sprinter Sacre

PuntersHangout wrote: »

Stats, reviews, watching games, highlights, discussions with other people I have made connections with over the years but basically it all comes down to years of trial and error. At this stage I know exactly what I'm looking for and what to avoid while taking a very analytical approach to my analysis. It all takes time but my bankroll is at a level now where I can justify it.

I only post a small sample of my bets... Are you wondering how I have tipped a variety of leagues recently?:)

I don't doubt your edge or your claims, and I understand you only post a selection of bets but I do find it interesting that the bets you post here are usually high odds on picks, something which seems the opposite of the norm for a smart bettor. Is there value to be found on short price selections, there is for sure but it has bound to be rarer and slimmer.

Now due to gambling addiction issues I've taken a back seat to it, especially obscure football leagues and markets but I still look and study at the markets and in particular, I see opportunities on Betfair Exchange very often and more often than not they involve opposing the odds on pick in the same way you'd back the underdog as the favourite is at a compressed price. I find it interesting someone who has an idea of what they're doing is finding an edge on picks that have already been pounded in to death by big players.

ShamoBuc

Only noticed that pp are doing Same Game Multi now,
Utd win, btts, red card yes, 5 on the treble for interest at nearly 25/1

5 on both teams to gave a red also, 60/1 is too big I think.

Edit, no joy, although Noble and Pogba gave me a little hope at the very end.

Sprinter Sacre

Hmmmmmmm

Sprinter Sacre

Someone is having a lot of fun

buckfasterer

Ascoli 1 up. Btts around 1/2 but would be tempted to put the house on it lookin at the draw odds.

buckfasterer

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Only noticed that pp are doing Same Game Multi now,
Utd win, btts, red card yes, 5 on the treble for interest at nearly 25/1

5 on both teams to gave a red also, 60/1 is too big I think.

Edit, no joy, although Noble and Pogba gave me a little hope at the very end.

Betfair have the same aswell but anytime you click into it, it says not available.

langer91

buckfasterer wrote: »

Ascoli 1 up. Btts around 1/2 but would be tempted to put the house on it lookin at the draw odds.

13/5 on bet365 for the draw, i’ve had a nibble

eh i dunno

Only 1 bet for the last day of the season. Over 1.5 in all prem games 13/2