The Bad Man Tipster

tinpib

Oh dear. Big time spew for those who went in heavy.

4068ac1elhodqr

Went through WillBill, their site is so bad, only went hit the wrong(right) market at 8:28


Imagine 365's share price will bump up tomorrow morning

Glen_Quagmire

That's why I would cash out at about 400 every time. Too risky after that. Wait for the next round and start again.

4068ac1elhodqr

Glen_Quagmire wrote: »

Wait for the next round and start again.

Or not, 87mins in on the fresh one, that would be two losses in a row for his followers unless there's an injury time goal.



Someone pointed out he simply uses stats as his model/basis, the one yesterday had goals scored in all previous 38 meetings between the two teams, until last night that is.

tinpib

Oh deary, deary me. Not a good start. Ya a mate of mine used to bet mainly on goals and just trawled through the stats on soccerway and the in game stats on bet365.

Always backed fairly short prices and did well, of course a very short cold streak would wipe out profits pretty quick.

Thankfully I've gotten around that problem buy always backing at fairly generous prices that never win.

Harry Palmr

Oh well! Next time he'll get on a run, but even I would check the line ups to make sure the goal scorers are starting.

4068ac1elhodqr

He's still trying, just posted at 66mins in for over 0.5 @1.5.
Probably best considered with a big stick, or as selection on 'fourfold from six' only.
Some of the twitter comments are funnytimes after the bad run.

tinpib

Oh dear. His midas touch for finding 1.33 winners has gone.

4068ac1elhodqr

much lol's on his twitter yet still with 46500 followers.
Of all the Austrian games... this was the one without goals.

tinpib

His treble posted on his app came through. England, Ireland + 1 and Slovakia.

Paying out around a whopping 2.18 or 5/4 :eek:

Glen_Quagmire

So is the general consensus he's a money grabbing bet365 affiliate hooer?

tinpib

He has posted up a 6 game accum paying 16/1.

That's not too bad, at least some of those 6 are actually at decent prices.

Some of course are around 1.2

Edit: I tweaked his selections and put on a small stake for the laugh. I have lots of followers on Twitter, possibly even up to the high teens at this stage.

I reckon I could probably get a side business going tweeting my tweaked selections. Many of my followers are females in the porn industry and I imagine no one has thought of targetting this untapped market for backing overs in Swedish 3rd tier football league games

eamonnq

Glen_Quagmire wrote: »

So is the general consensus he's a money grabbing bet365 affiliate hooer?

I don't think it matters what else he does when his tips are winning, but when they are not it might be a different matter.

If you can get the 25 - 1000 challenge going and get out early with a couple of hundred quid, what matter if it goes awry a bit further down the line.

I think at the odds he is working on most of the time it would probably not be too difficult to have a few good runs, but the wheels will come off eventually.

Harry Palmr

Last night we picked up our first loser in FIVE Banker Trebles as Republic Of Ireland, who I thought were the biggest bankers of all three, were beaten at home by Belarus! So today we get back on the winner's trail with another Banker Treble.

PLUS, if there's enough interest I've potentially got something REALLY SPECIAL for you all for Euro 2016. It's just over a week to go until the tournament starts and I for one cannot wait!

LIKE AND COMMENT below if you want another Banker Treble today.

If you're new here then I suggest that you get a bet365 account

Bad Man Tipster Sorry guys. I got this Spain v South Korea game completely wrong! Hands up.

South Korea unbeaten in 23 before this, and had only conceded ONE goal in their last 15 matches, but clearly the gulf in class between Europe and Asia is still HUGE.

FT 6-1 to Spain!

Korea thrashed such giants as Laos, Kuwait, Myanmar, Lebanon....seriously this guy is an idiot

tipptom

Glen_Quagmire wrote: »

It would be the same except if you have two bets running in parallel, if one fails you still have the second bet to go with.

Its a good system, pity I don't have an online account to give it a go:( - (I dont have one because I was told by a mate who works for the largest bank in Ireland, I cannot get a mortgage if I have an online gambling account)

Do you know if that an official policy or is one where they look through your statements, see it and make some other excuse for the refusal.

retalivity

Its unwritten, but they will ask for statements and if there are multiple withdrawals to a bookies, there will be red flags all over the application.

tinpib

Lads, the penny finally dropped for me. No one knows anything when it comes to tipping.

You're welcome.

Glen_Quagmire

tinpib wrote:

Lads, the penny finally dropped for me. No one knows anything when it comes to tipping.

tinpib wrote:

You're welcome.

Made me laugh anyway. Good man!

tinpib

Glen_Quagmire wrote: »

Made me laugh anyway. Good man!

Thanks. The reason I've decided to go public with my revelation is that if I could just help out one mug then it will have all been worth it.

Copper_pipe

Starting a similar challenge myself today:



3 bets per day. 7 days (hopefully) :P

Harry Palmr

Good luck - if you reach day three you'll be doing well!

Shanotheslayer

Copper_pipe wrote: »

Starting a similar challenge myself today:



3 bets per day. 7 days (hopefully) :P

You've been warned so many times :pac:

poa

Here is some good advice when it comes to gambling.
Never bet on tips given by an online tipster who is an affiliate marketer for a bookies.
Think about it, they are paid by a bookies to tip.
They are not gambling with their own money, they are being paid money by a bookie win or lose.
So you are now betting on someone's tips; knowing they get paid by a bookie win or lose?
A fool and his money are easily parted.
When it comes to pro-gamblers with insider knowledge; the last thing they will do is come on social media and give tips; or insider knowledge.
The successful pro-gamblers keep that very quiet. Mugs punters will always follow tipsters, when they don't have their own edge.
My advice is if you need the help of a tipster to make money gambling, then stop gambling. Its throwing good money after bad.
One gets what one pays for when it comes to gambling information; a free tipping service on Twitter is worth just that; nothing.
So the advice is; stay away from online tipsters. Do your own research, and trust your own instincts.
I get asked for tips all the time, and will give them when I have money backed personally; and I know it's a dead cert.
I don't like to lose, nor do I like to see others lose money; so I will never take payment for tips, nor give them unless I have quality information that something is going to come off.
For example, I was ready to place a 7 figure amount on a 50/50 event, and a pro-gambler I know advised against it; despite the shirt odds indicating it was a dead cert. I was convinced the money in the market knew. But the pro had insider knowledge that it wasn't going to come off; so against my instinct I left it alone, and sure enough the bet didn't come off. I would have done my balls in had I backed it.
Now at the time social media was on fire with these so called tipsters giving the heads up about said dead cert; but they were wrong.
I had a lucky escape, and learned the the pro-gamblers have the insider knowledge; and not the online tipsters that claim to.
I have personally seen people back 7 figure sums on the basis of an online tipsters tip and lose it all. Don't do it.
Before I place a bet, I do around 2-3 months in-depth research. And even then sometimes I leave it alone if the risk/value margin isn't as one would like.
If one cannot put that effort into gambling, one shouldn't be doing it; and certainly one shouldn't be betting on the basis of online tipsters tips. It's a quick route to the poorhouse.

Shanotheslayer

poa wrote: »

Here is some good advice when it comes to gambling.
Never bet on tips given by an online tipster who is an affiliate marketer for a bookies.
Think about it, they are paid by a bookies to tip.
They are not gambling with their own money, they are being paid money by a bookie win or lose.
So you are now betting on someone's tips; knowing they get paid by a bookie win or lose?
A fool and his money are easily parted.
When it comes to pro-gamblers with insider knowledge; the last thing they will do is come on social media and give tips; or insider knowledge.
The successful pro-gamblers keep that very quiet. Mugs punters will always follow tipsters, when they don't have their own edge.
My advice is if you need the help of a tipster to make money gambling, then stop gambling. Its throwing good money after bad.
One gets what one pays for when it comes to gambling information; a free tipping service on Twitter is worth just that; nothing.
So the advice is; stay away from online tipsters. Do your own research, and trust your own instincts.
I get asked for tips all the time, and will give them when I have money backed personally; and I know it's a dead cert.
I don't like to lose, nor do I like to see others lose money; so I will never take payment for tips, nor give them unless I have quality information that something is going to come off.
For example, I was ready to place a 7 figure amount on a 50/50 event, and a pro-gambler I know advised against it; despite the shirt odds indicating it was a dead cert. I was convinced the money in the market knew. But the pro had insider knowledge that it wasn't going to come off; so against my instinct I left it alone, and sure enough the bet didn't come off. I would have done my balls in had I backed it.
Now at the time social media was on fire with these so called tipsters giving the heads up about said dead cert; but they were wrong.
I had a lucky escape, and learned the the pro-gamblers have the insider knowledge; and not the online tipsters that claim to.
I have personally seen people back 7 figure sums on the basis of an online tipsters tip and lose it all. Don't do it.
Before I place a bet, I do around 2-3 months in-depth research. And even then sometimes I leave it alone if the risk/value margin isn't as one would like.
If one cannot put that effort into gambling, one shouldn't be doing it; and certainly one shouldn't be betting on the basis of online tipsters tips. It's a quick route to the poorhouse.

I find it really hard to believe anybody regularly backs 7 figure sums in a singular bet unless ridiculously rich.

As for somebody saying something is a 'Dead Cert'. Isn't the rule of thumb nothing is a dead cert? Just highly likely to happen.

poa

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

I find it really hard to believe anybody regularly backs 7 figure sums in a singular bet unless ridiculously rich.

As for somebody saying something is a 'Dead Cert'. Isn't the rule of thumb nothing is a dead cert? Just highly likely to happen.

Believe it.
Don't take my word for it though. Have a look at the EU referendum market on Betfair's exchange right now.
43M Euro on it, 33M on Bremain, 10M on Brexit.
Now have a look at the 7 and 8 figure amounts traded and exchanged.
1M went on yesterday alone.
Many pro-gamblers think nothing of regularly backing 7 figures.
One doesn't have to be ridiculously rich to do so, any pro will often stake 50% of their balance and that is often more than 7 figures.
If one is trying to be a pro with a 4 figure bank one should stop.
Dead certs do exist of course. When one sees Djokovic playing a 20 seed in an ATM and his odds are 1.1 v 5.0 for example. Djokovic is a dead cert. Remember unlike football, there are no draws in tennis. So its a 50/50 win/lose bet with the odds-odds on favourite at 1.1. You think that isn't a dead cert? This is what a pro will lump 7 figures on all day long with confidence. OK so its only a small margin, but a dead cert profit margin.
Short odds, low risk, low value, but dead cert. Upsets rarely happen at 1.1 with a world number 1 playing world 22 etc.
I am not a pro myself, but I have on occasion backed 6 and 7 figures on something 50/50.
My biggest all time win came on Oscars best actor. I was 100% DiCaprio would win so lumped on balls deep. I would regard that as a dead cert for example, my only regret is that I only had 5 figures on it.
I know a pro and he will average 10K per race at Ascot or Cheltenham etc.
In a day he can back 10 races and come away with 10-50k net profit from a day's work. So backing 7 figures regularly is a reality for many pro-gamblers.

poa

tinpib wrote: »

Lads, the penny finally dropped for me. No one knows anything when it comes to tipping.

You're welcome.

I am only 500 Euro on it myself.
But here is a tip for you.
EU referendum, remain wins.
Sure as night follows day.
When the odds on Paddypower drift more than 1.5 next week I will top up another 200 on it.
When it comes to tipping some do know something.
Personally I like this Professor's economic analysis.
https://twitter.com/leightonvw?lang=en

tinpib

poa wrote: »

Believe it.

My biggest all time win came on Oscars best actor. I was 100% DiCaprio would win so lumped on balls deep. I would regard that as a dead cert for example, my only regret is that I only had 5 figures on it.

How did you manage to get 5 figures on that? I would've thought you'd have trouble getting on 50!

mailburner

poa wrote: »

For example, I was ready to place a 7 figure amount on a 50/50 event, and a pro-gambler I know advised against it; despite the shirt odds indicating it was a dead cert.

.

poa wrote: »

I am only 500 Euro on it myself.
But here is a tip for you.
EU referendum, remain wins.
Sure as night follows day.
When the odds on Paddypower drift more than 1.5 next week I will top up another 200 on it.

You considered putting a seven figure sum on something yet are only putting 700 or so on something you consider to be a cert above
would you not put on more if that were the case?

Shanotheslayer

poa wrote: »

Dead certs do exist of course. When one sees Djokovic playing a 20 seed in an ATM and his odds are 1.1 v 5.0 for example. Djokovic is a dead cert. Remember unlike football, there are no draws in tennis. So its a 50/50 win/lose bet with the odds-odds on favourite at 1.1. You think that isn't a dead cert? This is what a pro will lump 7 figures on all day long with confidence. OK so its only a small margin, but a dead cert profit margin.
Short odds, low risk, low value, but dead cert. Upsets rarely happen at 1.1 with a world number 1 playing world 22 etc.

I wouldn't call them pros. I'd call them people lumping large sums on money on bets that shouldn't lose. Pretty standard tbf.

ROI % Would be the exact same based on a % of bankroll.

poa

tinpib wrote: »

How did you manage to get 5 figures on that? I would've thought you'd have trouble getting on 50!

Betfair exchange.