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2016 General Election Waterford

2456716

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,510 ✭✭✭Max Powers


    Gardner wrote: »
    Am i the only one who thinks Cullinane is going to struggle to take a seat?

    in the 2011 GE he polled 5,342 1st pref votes and by the time he went out on the 10th count he only increased his vote by 956 when there was 8,795 transferable votes (9.5%).

    Furthermore, 54k people voted in the last GE with 15 candidates. GE16 has 9 taking up the running which may decrease people coming out to vote.

    when looking at the 9 candidates it is safe to say Milo Power, Grace O Sullivan, Una Dunphy and Ciara Conway will all be gone before Cullinane. the only transfers Cullinane is likely to get is from Una Dunphy but John Halligan will take a sizable amount of these also. After that Cullinane would be lucky to get 600 votes in transfers from the other 3 candidates.

    lets look at it like this incorporating opinion polls %........ 51k people vote:
    (based on 1st pref votes)

    John Deasy 10,000 (just down from GE11).
    John Halligan 8,500 (will pick up from middle class vote and Seamus Ryan not running from GE11)
    David Cullinane 8,000 (up 2.7k votes from 2011)
    Paudie Coffey 7,000 (Sh!t talk about him been minister will get votes)
    Mary Butler 7,000 (remember in GE11 Kenneally got 7500 1st pref when FF were toxic and there less toxic now, depending who you ask).
    Ciara Conway 4,000 (Labour polled 10k 1st pref in GE11)
    Grace O Sullivan 2,500 (Tramore - female vote that Conway loses)
    Una Dunphy 2,000 (WP and female vote)
    Milo Power 1,500 (loony tune vote)

    So Cullinane is well below the quota. as stated when the 4 likely below candidates are eliminated there will be possibly 10k transferable votes again. say he gets 1k of those, he is sitting at 9000ish.

    Power's votes (1200) will go to FG +FF so Coffey and Butler are already catching.

    Dunphy is next to go with about 2000 transfers including Powers 3rd pref etc.). Halligan 700 Cullinane 700 and balance to rest (Cullinane at 8700).

    O Sullivan goes next, Cullinane likely to pick up 300 odd votes from about 2500 transfers (including others). FG and FF will gain here considerably.

    Conway is next to go with about 4000 transfers (including others). FG and FF will gain with Cullinane likely to get about 300.

    so this makes Cullinane on about 9,200ish.

    i expect Deasy, Halligan and Coffey to be ahead. Cullinane and Butler will be head to head! id expect a recount!!!!

    my prediction: 2 FG 1 IND and 1 FF/SF

    btw im not anti SF i just looking at realistically with figures.

    Surprised with all the negativity and bad mouthing of Coffey,I would consider him the main catalyst/power in much of the positive investment that had happened in Waterford...court house etc.
    I'm equally surprised by people's comments who think people like cullinane, halligan can do anything because they "have the Balls"..this is just naive, not in power, no one is listening.IMO Coffey is best chance we have of any investment, of course if you think some lad banging a drum is a good thing


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,453 ✭✭✭jmcc


    Gardner wrote: »
    Am i the only one who thinks Cullinane is going to struggle to take a seat?
    It is still unclear. Basically the old dynamics of the constituency have changed and some of the old certainties (FF guaranteed a seat) no longer apply. It could, as you mentioned, come down to whoever survives longest before elimination.

    The most interesting thing will be how the Mary Butler, the FF candidate does. FF has always benefited from buying the floating vote and its vote used to consist of FF supporters and floating voters who were convinced to vote FF because FF bought their votes with tax breaks and other stuff. However FF have been out of power since the last GE and could not buy this floating vote. Some of this floating vote drifted to Labour and FG in the last GE (hence the election of Ciara Conway/Labour). Coffey also benefited from this floating vote in 2011 when there was a revulsion against FF and the Greens.

    Labour has collapsed in the last five years and now it is close to being a Margin of Error party. Its core support percentage in the polls is between 4% and 7% though the polls are closer to numerology than Mathematics in terms of reliability. Labour is actually more hated than Fine Gael. This means that the floating vote that gave Labour its massive seat gain in 2011 no longer wants to vote for it. That may be fatal to Conway/Labour. If she is an early elimination, then the important thing to watch is where her transfers go and in what quantity.

    There is a section of the floating vote that moves between FF and Labour. The reinvention of Labour as a D4 wannabe Middle Class party complete with the usual liberal dogma and Politically Correct stuff that does not resonate with voters has basically killed the party. It used to be a party of the Working Class but it sold that out for a few seats at cabinet and pensions for the aging politburo. Sinn Fein took over much of the Working Class support so now Labour is competing with FF, FG and the SDs in a very crowded middle ground.

    The transfers from Labour, if Conway is eliminated early, will be important. If some go to FF, then it could have David Cullinane/SF in a fight for a seat. But in Cullinane's favour, he's a known quantity. People in Waterford are aware of him. Mary Butler/FF is not. This might work against her.

    Labour has historically benefited from a kind of vote from voters who considered themselves too sophisticated to vote for FF/FG/SF. Now these bien pensant types, school teachers and others, could split to the Green candidate, Grace O'Sullivan. This is a possible explanation for why she did so well in the Euro elections. It is an outside chance that she would get a seat though.

    Mailo Power/Renua is a very dangerous threat to Fine Gael. John Deasy may be safely elected but there is an FG vote in the city who may vote for her rather than for Coffey and this could cost FG that second seat.

    John Halligan's transfers could benefit Cullinane but he could equally cost Cullinane some floating votes.
    my prediction: 2 FG 1 IND and 1 FF/SF
    A lot can change between now and the GE.

    Regards...jmcc


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,611 ✭✭✭deisemum


    Paudie Coffey has jumped the gun with his posters up before the election was called. I doubt he'll be fined though.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,453 ✭✭✭jmcc


    deisemum wrote: »
    Paudie Coffey has jumped the gun with his posters up before the election was called. I doubt he'll be fined though.
    Well at least he can claim he created one job in Waterford. He gave an Irish Water director a job as his driver. :)

    Regards...jmcc


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,642 ✭✭✭MRnotlob606


    Is she trying to come across as some sort of Waterford Maggie Thatcher?


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,174 ✭✭✭hardybuck


    Gardner wrote: »
    Am i the only one who thinks Cullinane is going to struggle to take a seat?

    in the 2011 GE he polled 5,342 1st pref votes and by the time he went out on the 10th count he only increased his vote by 956 when there was 8,795 transferable votes (9.5%).

    Furthermore, 54k people voted in the last GE with 15 candidates. GE16 has 9 taking up the running which may decrease people coming out to vote.

    when looking at the 9 candidates it is safe to say Milo Power, Grace O Sullivan, Una Dunphy and Ciara Conway will all be gone before Cullinane. the only transfers Cullinane is likely to get is from Una Dunphy but John Halligan will take a sizable amount of these also. After that Cullinane would be lucky to get 600 votes in transfers from the other 3 candidates.

    lets look at it like this incorporating opinion polls %........ 51k people vote:
    (based on 1st pref votes)

    John Deasy 10,000 (just down from GE11).
    John Halligan 8,500 (will pick up from middle class vote and Seamus Ryan not running from GE11)
    David Cullinane 8,000 (up 2.7k votes from 2011)
    Paudie Coffey 7,000 (Sh!t talk about him been minister will get votes)
    Mary Butler 7,000 (remember in GE11 Kenneally got 7500 1st pref when FF were toxic and there less toxic now, depending who you ask).
    Ciara Conway 4,000 (Labour polled 10k 1st pref in GE11)
    Grace O Sullivan 2,500 (Tramore - female vote that Conway loses)
    Una Dunphy 2,000 (WP and female vote)
    Milo Power 1,500 (loony tune vote)

    So Cullinane is well below the quota. as stated when the 4 likely below candidates are eliminated there will be possibly 10k transferable votes again. say he gets 1k of those, he is sitting at 9000ish.

    Power's votes (1200) will go to FG +FF so Coffey and Butler are already catching.

    Dunphy is next to go with about 2000 transfers including Powers 3rd pref etc.). Halligan 700 Cullinane 700 and balance to rest (Cullinane at 8700).

    O Sullivan goes next, Cullinane likely to pick up 300 odd votes from about 2500 transfers (including others). FG and FF will gain here considerably.

    Conway is next to go with about 4000 transfers (including others). FG and FF will gain with Cullinane likely to get about 300.

    so this makes Cullinane on about 9,200ish.

    i expect Deasy, Halligan and Coffey to be ahead. Cullinane and Butler will be head to head! id expect a recount!!!!

    my prediction: 2 FG 1 IND and 1 FF/SF

    btw im not anti SF i just looking at realistically with figures.

    If you drill into the 17-20% of the electorate who appear to be SF supporters, you'll see that the largest groupings of their vote are in the younger age groups and much lesser in the 65 up.

    As time goes on a progressively smaller portion of the electorate will remember the Troubles, the most recent ceasefire and what SF are/were.

    In the five years since the last election five years of new voters are involved. I think the 18-25 bracket accounts for a large amount of SF's support, and that could make a difference.

    Also, what makes you think that Halligan would get the middle class vote?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,606 ✭✭✭schemingbohemia


    jmcc wrote: »
    It is still unclear. Basically the old dynamics of the constituency have changed and some of the old certainties (FF guaranteed a seat) no longer apply. It could, as you mentioned, come down to whoever survives longest before elimination.

    The most interesting thing will be how the Mary Butler, the FF candidate does. FF has always benefited from buying the floating vote and its vote used to consist of FF supporters and floating voters who were convinced to vote FF because FF bought their votes with tax breaks and other stuff. However FF have been out of power since the last GE and could not buy this floating vote. Some of this floating vote drifted to Labour and FG in the last GE (hence the election of Ciara Conway/Labour). Coffey also benefited from this floating vote in 2011 when there was a revulsion against FF and the Greens.

    Labour has collapsed in the last five years and now it is close to being a Margin of Error party. Its core support percentage in the polls is between 4% and 7% though the polls are closer to numerology than Mathematics in terms of reliability. Labour is actually more hated than Fine Gael. This means that the floating vote that gave Labour its massive seat gain in 2011 no longer wants to vote for it. That may be fatal to Conway/Labour. If she is an early elimination, then the important thing to watch is where her transfers go and in what quantity.

    There is a section of the floating vote that moves between FF and Labour. The reinvention of Labour as a D4 wannabe Middle Class party complete with the usual liberal dogma and Politically Correct stuff that does not resonate with voters has basically killed the party. It used to be a party of the Working Class but it sold that out for a few seats at cabinet and pensions for the aging politburo. Sinn Fein took over much of the Working Class support so now Labour is competing with FF, FG and the SDs in a very crowded middle ground.

    The transfers from Labour, if Conway is eliminated early, will be important. If some go to FF, then it could have David Cullinane/SF in a fight for a seat. But in Cullinane's favour, he's a known quantity. People in Waterford are aware of him. Mary Butler/FF is not. This might work against her.

    Labour has historically benefited from a kind of vote from voters who considered themselves too sophisticated to vote for FF/FG/SF. Now these bien pensant types, school teachers and others, could split to the Green candidate, Grace O'Sullivan. This is a possible explanation for why she did so well in the Euro elections. It is an outside chance that she would get a seat though.

    Mailo Power/Renua is a very dangerous threat to Fine Gael. John Deasy may be safely elected but there is an FG vote in the city who may vote for her rather than for Coffey and this could cost FG that second seat.

    John Halligan's transfers could benefit Cullinane but he could equally cost Cullinane some floating votes.

    A lot can change between now and the GE.

    Regards...jmcc

    Whilst Labour are suffering in the polls - 10% is not margin of error stuff, you're also forgetting that Waterford has had a Labour seat for the past 20 years, so whilst Conway will struggle to get back in I don't think she should be written off quite so boldly.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,132 ✭✭✭tombliboo83


    Conway ruined her chances of reelection when she ran for deputy leader of labour and proudly announced that she wouldn't accept a ministry if she won. For me that encapsulated the attitude of politics in Waterford, that somehow we don't deserve to dine at the top table.
    It's a sad indictment of Waterford when paudie is our best chance of a ministry.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,453 ✭✭✭jmcc


    Whilst Labour are suffering in the polls - 10% is not margin of error stuff, you're also forgetting that Waterford has had a Labour seat for the past 20 years, so whilst Conway will struggle to get back in I don't think she should be written off quite so boldly.
    At a national level, people seem to hate Labour. As for Waterford, Labour seems to have betrayed it. It is unlikely that Labour is anywhere near 10% support and most of the polls puff up Labour's actual support (core figures).

    Regards...jmcc


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,510 ✭✭✭Max Powers


    I think we can all agree Ciara Conway doesnt have a hope.

    What do people make of talk of John Deasy to be Ceann Comhairle, will that mean he loses his lobbying for Waterford capacity or can he still speak out like that, would be a shame if he was silenced or does the ceann comhairle have any power that he could use to benefit Waterford?

    Gerry Adams was out over the weekend saying getting rid of the special criminal court is a priority.....is he insane? yeah you can argue its not very democratic because no jury but c'mon jerry, the reason it is there is because of his old buddies and criminal gangs.

    ..isnt it great to see all the communion posters back on the street lights:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 120 ✭✭brickysession


    Butler being Fianna Fáils waterford candidate is disastrous in my opinion.Because Fianna Fáil have a substantial amount of city councilors and did not put forward any of them - it looks like it could cause some problems.

    Why not Murphy ? Quinlan or Mulligan ?

    Looks like she was chosen for the gender quota, as I don't think many in the city know her.

    I wonder is Eddie Mulligan regretting his decision to switch to FF now after he didn't get the nod for the General elections considering that he was seen to have duped the people who voted for him as an independant?

    He possibly could have fared quite well as an independant perhaps!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,909 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    id be very grateful folks for links to podcasts, debates, interviews etc, related to the elections. thank you


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,472 ✭✭✭AdMMM


    You ask, I deliver.

    Twitter #GE16 Tag - https://twitter.com/search?q=%23GE16&src=tyah
    Tweets about the General Election itself

    Twitter #GE16Wat Tag - https://twitter.com/search?q=%23GE16WAT&src=typd
    Tweets about the Waterford constituency - will imagine this usage will increase as the campaign goes on

    Irish Times Constituency Profile - http://www.irishtimes.com/election-2016/waterford

    Newstalk Constituency Profile - https://www.newstalk.com/reader/47.1252/64395/0/

    RTE Election Profile - http://www.rte.ie/news/election-2016/constituencies/waterford/

    Inside Politics Podcast - https://soundcloud.com/irishtimes-politics


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,909 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    AdMMM wrote:
    You ask, I deliver.


    Legend. Thank you


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,472 ✭✭✭AdMMM


    Fianna Fail realistically need to poll 20% to be certain of a seat in Waterford. They're currently polling 20% nationally, however the last constituency level poll i.e. poll that breaks down support by constituency, on the 31st January has them at 14% in Waterford.

    That's a lot of ground to make up and they'll face difficulty given the profile of the candidate and bitter memories of FF for Waterford in their last Government. Even the Portlaw vote is going to be split between herself and Coffey.

    I'm going to call it:

    Deasy
    Halligan
    Cullinane
    Coffey

    Butler
    Conway

    Halligan and Cullinane will be closer than the odds make out and their order could even possibly reverse. Coffey and Butler will probably poll similarly but it'll be Conway's transfers going to Coffey that will seal the deal.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,123 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    AdMMM wrote: »
    Fianna Fail realistically need to poll 20% to be certain of a seat in Waterford. They're currently polling 20% nationally, however the last constituency level poll i.e. poll that breaks down support by constituency, on the 31st January has them at 14% in Waterford.

    That's a lot of ground to make up and they'll face difficulty given the profile of the candidate and bitter memories of FF for Waterford in their last Government. Even the Portlaw vote is going to be split between herself and Coffey.

    I'm going to call it:

    Deasy
    Halligan
    Cullinane
    Coffey

    Butler
    Conway

    Halligan and Cullinane will be closer than the odds make out and their order could even possibly reverse. Coffey and Butler will probably poll similarly but it'll be Conway's transfers going to Coffey that will seal the deal.
    I'd agree with a lot of that but I don't think SF will get enough votes to take the second seat. It would be fairly humiliating for Labour to come behind Fianna Fáil.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,756 ✭✭✭✭Jamie2k9


    I don't see SF getting a seat. To much of a city boi

    Will give my vote to both FG and maybe a transfer to Conway. Not because they are doing a good job but better than the rest.
    Gerry Adams was out over the weekend saying getting rid of the special criminal court is a priority.....is he insane? yeah you can argue its not very democratic because no jury but c'mon jerry, the reason it is there is because of his old buddies and criminal gangs.

    Can they get rid without a referendum?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,756 ✭✭✭✭Jamie2k9


    Conway ruined her chances of reelection when she ran for deputy leader of labour and proudly announced that she wouldn't accept a ministry if she won. For me that encapsulated the attitude of politics in Waterford, that somehow we don't deserve to dine at the top table.
    It's a sad indictment of Waterford when paudie is our best chance of a ministry.

    Looks like a change of mind according to Journal Election page:
    Q.
    What one thing would you like to do in your first 100 days of the new Dáil if you are elected?

    I would like to see Waterford get a senior minister. Tell Joan Burton I am happy to serve & for a referendum on #repealthe8th to be held.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,123 ✭✭✭✭Gael23


    Jamie2k9 wrote: »
    I don't see SF getting a seat. To much of a city boi

    Will give my vote to both FG and maybe a transfer to Conway. Not because they are doing a good job but better than the rest.



    Can they get rid without a referendum?
    I think I'd rather see them get it than FF because nobody will form a government with them so there not any threat.
    A referendum is needed to repeal the 8th amendment


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,472 ✭✭✭AdMMM


    https://twitter.com/AskPaddyPower/status/695248072058785793

    Odds for "To Top The Poll" will be online by the end of the day. Could be some value in Halligan or Cullinane, depending on how you see the FG vote split and the prices obviously.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,453 ✭✭✭jmcc


    Jamie2k9 wrote: »
    Looks like a change of mind according to Journal Election page:
    She wanted to make Waterford a "city of sanctuary" but she doesn't live here and that was before Paris and New Year's Eve in Germany.

    Regards...jmcc


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,472 ✭✭✭AdMMM


    Odds are up for the To Top the Poll market.

    http://www.paddypower.com/bet/other-politics/irish-politics/To-Top-The-Poll-%28Waterford%29-10130266.html?force_racing_css=N

    Deasy 1/2
    Halligan 6/4
    Cullinane 20/1


    Very tempting prices for supporters of either candidate there!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,909 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Anymore election related podcasts, interviews etc. out there folks? Thank you


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,909 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,642 ✭✭✭MRnotlob606


    It aint easy being Deasy


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,472 ✭✭✭AdMMM


    It aint easy being Deasy
    What happened?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,909 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    It aint easy being Deasy

    nice lyric! :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,132 ✭✭✭Gardner


    AdMMM wrote: »
    Odds are up for the To Top the Poll market.

    http://www.paddypower.com/bet/other-politics/irish-politics/To-Top-The-Poll-%28Waterford%29-10130266.html?force_racing_css=N

    Deasy 1/2
    Halligan 6/4
    Cullinane 20/1


    Very tempting prices for supporters of either candidate there!

    very much in line with my earlier prediction. the 20/1 on Cullinane must have some maths to it. is it from there internal polls showing a huge gap between 2nd and 3rd seats? if so i think my prediction on the transfers might have a bit of logic to it.

    dont be surprised if FG release something big on SF in the coming weeks. Same as locally, will Coffey go after Cullinane on what dirt he has on him?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,453 ✭✭✭jmcc


    Gardner wrote: »
    very much in line with my earlier prediction. the 20/1 on Cullinane must have some maths to it. is it from there internal polls showing a huge gap between 2nd and 3rd seats? if so i think my prediction on the transfers might have a bit of logic to it.
    Those are the odds on which candidate will top the poll not on their election chances.

    Regards...jmcc


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,196 ✭✭✭fuzzy dunlop


    jmcc wrote: »
    She wanted to make Waterford a "city of sanctuary" but she doesn't live here and that was before Paris and New Year's Eve in Germany.

    Regards...jmcc

    It would be difficult I believe to find anyone who has failed Waterford politically more than her. She seems to think she has free reign to pursue identity politics without representing the interests of her constituents. I don't see how anyone can seriously think there is anyone worse than her and keep a straight face. Its burned in my memory her smiling to the cameras like 600 people losing their jobs in Talk Talk was some sort of movie premier.

    Coffey is not much better. He got the junior ministers job because FG knew he was a gonner if they did not throw some sort of crumb to Waterford but it was too little too late. If he gets re-elected he will be on the back benches again. I think the government are doing a lot worse than the polls are reporting and Coffey is just not going to register after the election with regard to any potential position. Coffey and Conway were utterly useless in preventing Phil Hogan and Howlin from pillaging the place and that should not be forgotten. Deasy not much better but at least he was an irritant.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,196 ✭✭✭fuzzy dunlop


    Gardner wrote: »
    dont be surprised if FG release something big on SF in the coming weeks. Same as locally, will Coffey go after Cullinane on what dirt he has on him?

    Can't see what Coffey would have on Cullinane that he wouldn't have used already. I don't think he was born when Jeam McConville was murdered but it wouldn't surprise me if FG tried to play that card again. A few days in and SF already have them on the ropes with regard to their economic projections i.e the fiscal space Buzz word Enda can't understand. Not to mention the revelations that Michael Noonan had information with regard to vulnerable people being abused while he was minister for Health which he did next to nothing about. Then all the siteserve and IBRC irregularities can be regurgitated if things get ugly which they inevitably will.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,132 ✭✭✭Gardner


    jmcc wrote: »
    Those are the odds on which candidate will top the poll not on their election chances.

    Regards...jmcc

    Hence why I said the gap between 2nd and 3rd in my original post


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,639 ✭✭✭south


    Coffey promised a higher position if returned to government according to the canvasser who called to my door the other day. I'm sure everyone in the party has been told the same thing..


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,073 ✭✭✭Xenophile


    south wrote: »
    Coffey promised a higher position if returned to government according to the canvasser who called to my door the other day. I'm sure everyone in the party has been told the same thing..

    Coffey is growing in stature as every year goes by. There is a lot to be said about "wisdom comes the greying of the hair"

    The Forum on Spirituality has been closed for years. Please bring it back, there are lots of Spiritual people in Ireland and elsewhere.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,196 ✭✭✭fuzzy dunlop


    south wrote: »
    Coffey promised a higher position if returned to government according to the canvasser who called to my door the other day. I'm sure everyone in the party has been told the same thing..

    He would say that though, wouldn't he?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 557 ✭✭✭Taxburden carrier


    Xenophile wrote: »
    Coffey is growing in stature as every year goes by. There is a lot to be said about "wisdom comes the greying of the hair"

    Excellent accurate fact based analysis....NOT !


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,114 ✭✭✭noby


    Interesting thread. Any chance a mod could put a link to it on the county forum? I don't always check the city forum, so maybe others haven't seen it too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,473 ✭✭✭robtri


    south wrote: »
    Coffey promised a higher position if returned to government according to the canvasser who called to my door the other day. I'm sure everyone in the party has been told the same thing..

    christ scrapping the barrell if thats part of their pitch on the doors, Vote for Coffey so he can get a better job.......


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,453 ✭✭✭jmcc


    Xenophile wrote: »
    Coffey is growing in stature as every year goes by. There is a lot to be said about "wisdom comes the greying of the hair"
    So, in your mind, we should elect more midgets to the Dail?

    He seems to be another school teacher of the Enda Kenny ilk.

    Those are not reasons to vote for him.

    Regards...jmcc


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,196 ✭✭✭fuzzy dunlop


    jmcc wrote: »
    So, in your mind, we should elect more midgets to the Dail?

    He seems to be another school teacher of the Enda Kenny ilk.

    Those are not reasons to vote for him.

    Regards...jmcc

    This is the electoral ploy.The resident FG'rs on this site were saying the same thing back in 2010:D If he does get the call he will get toward the end of the next government in order to shore up the constituency near the end of the dail term. Like the abolition of the USC:D


  • Registered Users Posts: 629 ✭✭✭gowley


    Sully wrote: »
    If Cullinane doesn't get it now, he may as well just walk from politics tbh.

    Is he married to Kathleen funchion a candidate in carlow kilkenny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,382 ✭✭✭jimmyw


    gowley wrote: »
    Is he married to Kathleen funchion a candidate in carlow kilkenny

    Yeah


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,132 ✭✭✭Gardner


    gowley wrote: »
    Is he married to Kathleen funchion a candidate in carlow kilkenny

    there separated


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,472 ✭✭✭AdMMM


    I linked to the Inside Politics podcast earlier in the thread, but I'd recommend signing up for their daily email. Focused on a national level, but our candidates are featuring here and there. http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/inside-politics

    The Independent have published their Waterford constituency preview here: http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/election-2016/deasy-to-top-poll-but-big-battle-in-store-for-final-seat-34435945.html . I generally think that constituency previews by commentators based outside the constituencies have a pretty wide margin for error as they simply don't have enough knowledge of what the local issues are, or the strengths and weaknesses of the candidates.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,472 ✭✭✭AdMMM


    I linked to the Inside Politics podcast earlier in the thread, but I'd recommend signing up for their daily email. Focused on a national level, but our candidates are featuring here and there. http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/inside-politics

    The Independent have published their Waterford constituency preview here: http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/election-2016/deasy-to-top-poll-but-big-battle-in-store-for-final-seat-34435945.html . I generally think that constituency previews by commentators based outside the constituencies have a pretty wide margin for error as they simply don't have enough knowledge of what the local issues are, or the strengths and weaknesses of the candidates.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,972 ✭✭✭spookwoman




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 700 ✭✭✭kayaksurfbum


    spookwoman wrote: »

    Thats a weird one! Who benefits from that?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,972 ✭✭✭spookwoman


    spookwoman wrote: »

    Thats a weird one! Who benefits from that?
    God knows probably peed off voters. Seems Paudy coffee got hit as well http://www.wlrfm.com/news-single.php?cat=1&id=61163


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,909 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    AdMMM wrote: »
    I linked to the Inside Politics podcast earlier in the thread, but I'd recommend signing up for their daily email. Focused on a national level, but our candidates are featuring here and there. http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/inside-politics

    any other podcasts? times are very good


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,611 ✭✭✭deisemum


    The council have taken down about 30 posters that were put up where they shouldn't have been or put up too low and were dangerous and have posted that the owners can collect them.


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