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Boards Premier League Predictions

  • 13-08-2015 7:23pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    Based on this thread

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057468671

    This is just out of interest. Play money rather than actual cash. Will do a theoretical tenner on the leader's correct score selections each week and see how good we are against the bookies. Best prices according to Oddschecker used.

    In the interest of having a complete season's fixtures included I've used the selections of last season's winner for the first round.
    Oranage2 wrote: »
    Wow nearly forgot about this, Cheers for running it again.

    Man Utd 2-1 Tottenham
    Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa
    Everton 2- 0 Watford
    Leicester 0-0 Sunderland
    Norwich 1-2 Crystal Palace
    Chelsea 3-0 Swansea

    Sunday

    Arsenal 3-1 West Ham
    Newcastle 0- 1 Southampton
    Stoke 1-1 Liverpool

    Monday

    West Brom 0-2 Man City


    Of course I'll win it again :)

    There were zero correct scores there so running total of -€100 and obviously an ROI of -100%

    And this week's selections are below with odds
    Nib wrote: »
    Gameweek 2

    Friday

    Aston Villa 0-2 Man Utd @ 7/1

    Saturday

    Southampton 2-1 Everton @ 17/2
    Tottenham 1-1 Stoke @ 7/1
    Sunderland 1-0 Norwich @ 7/1
    Swansea 2-1 Newcastle @ 17/2
    Watford 1-1 West Brom @ 6/1
    West Ham 2-2 Leicester @ 14/1

    Sunday

    Crystal Palace 1-3 Arsenal @ 14/1
    Man City 2-3 Chelsea @ 45/1

    Monday

    Liverpool 4-0 Bournemouth @ 21/1


«1345

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,561 ✭✭✭ Winston Payne


    I'm going to be keeping an eye on this thread over the season. I'm not a gambler, but one thing I'm very thankful to the predictions thread for doing is blowing away those hazy delusions I had of maybe putting down bets now and again. This will put it in black and white just how much money I'd lose over a season.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    Zero correct scores again in week two. Expecting this to be a losing log by the way - just curious as to how bad it will be. That said, I thought there'd have been even one correct score out of twenty.

    Amount staked: €200
    Profit/Loss: -€200
    ROI: -100%


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,717 ✭✭✭ batistuta9


    by the leader, you mean the overall leader in the table & not the one who got most from the previous week yeah?
    if you use the overall leader, i don't think it'll be that bad, as those at the top will need to get a lot of scores right.

    2 posters that added up their scores in the thread there, got 11 & 12 points with 3 correct scores each.
    one had swansea, leicester & arsenal right with would've gave him 295 back , profit of 195 for the week
    the other had man u, norwich & swansea. 480 back, profit 380

    myself, missed last week & 1 from 7 (swansea) this week. profit 35
    i'll post mine in here too if you don't mind?


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    batistuta9 wrote: »
    myself, missed last week & 1 from 7 (swansea) this week. profit 35
    i'll post mine in here too if you don't mind?

    No, **** off and get your own thread.

    Kidding. Fire away. Was gonna do the same for myself but thought this would be more interesting/less of a loser and didn't want to embarrass myself - have only one correct score so far from two full rounds.

    And yes, I'll be using the overall leader rather than winner of previous round


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    Another new leader so let's hope his picks cam make some money. Had to do a few hours in work this morning so missed KO of United game. Have taken an IR price for that with score at 0-0 after 40 minutes
    Cass wrote: »
    Gameweek 3

    Saturday

    Man Utd 2 - 0 Newcastle @ 26/5
    Crystal Palace 2 - 0 Aston Villa @ 8/1
    Leicester 1 - 1 Tottenham @ 13/2
    Norwich 1 - 0 Stoke @ 7/1
    Sunderland 1 - 2 Swansea @ 9/1
    West Ham 1 - 0 Bournemouth @ 17/2

    Sunday

    West Brom 1 - 2 Chelsea @ 17/2
    Everton 0 - 2 Man City @ 8/1
    Watford 1 - 1 Southampton @ 6/1

    Monday

    Arsenal 2 - 1 Liverpool @ 8/1 (hope i'm wrong)


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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,717 ✭✭✭ batistuta9


    Collie D wrote: »
    No, **** off and get your own thread.

    Kidding. Fire away. Was gonna do the same for myself but thought this would be more interesting/less of a loser and didn't want to embarrass myself - have only one correct score so far from two full rounds.

    And yes, I'll be using the overall leader rather than winner of previous round

    :D throw them up sure, see how it goes. I'd say i'll be embarrassing myself too.

    united 2-0 was 11/2 some places btw, you can check the cached page on google


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,717 ✭✭✭ batistuta9


    none this week. 1/17 overall

    Amount staked: 170
    Profit/Loss: -65


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    2 correct scores for Cass giving a profit of €65. I actually had three myself this week.

    Total staked: €300
    Profit/Loss: -€135
    ROI: -45%


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    Same leader this week
    Cass wrote: »
    Gameweek 4

    Saturday

    Newcastle 0 - 1 Arsenal @ 15/2
    Aston Villa 2 - 0 Sunderland @ 19/2
    Bournemouth 1 - 1 Leicester @ 7/1
    Chelsea 2 - 1 Crystal Palace @ 17/2
    Liverpool 3 - 1 West Ham @ 12/1
    Man City 3 - 0 Watford @ 8/1
    Stoke 1 - 0 West Brom @ 23/4
    Tottenham 1 - 1 Everton @ 7/1

    Sunday

    Southampton 1 - 0 Norwich @ 7/1
    Swansea 1 - 0 Man Utd @ 10/1


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,293 CMod ✭✭✭✭ ShamoBuc


    Collie D wrote: »
    Same leader this week

    First result is a winner!


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  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    ShamoBuc wrote: »
    First result is a winner!

    And another to put him in profit for the week and freerolling today. Was actually harbouring hopes of catching up on him this week but had a bad one myself


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,717 ✭✭✭ batistuta9


    0/8 this week. 1/25 overall, getting bad :pac:

    Amount staked: 250
    Profit/Loss: -145


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    2 correct scores for Cass giving a profit of €65 for second week running.

    Total staked: €400
    Profit/Loss: -€70
    ROI: -17.5%

    Best weekly performance: Cass in Gameweeks 3/4 €65 profit


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    Same leader for third week in a row but with less than an hour until the early kickoff he hasn't posted his selections. There are two lads tied for second and again one hasn't posted yet. I'll use the one who has for now and if either of the other two post before 12.45 I'll edit the post.
    Chagan wrote: »
    Gameweek 5

    Saturday

    Everton 2-1 Chelsea @ 14/1
    Arsenal 3-0 Stoke @ 8/1
    Crystal Palace 1-2 Man City @ 8/1
    Norwich 0-0 Bournemouth @ 10/1
    Watford 1-2 Swansea @ 11/1
    West Brom 1-1 Southampton @ 6/1
    Man Utd 2-0 Liverpool @ 9/1

    Sunday

    Sunderland 1-3 Tottenham @ 17/1
    Leicester 1-0 Aston Villa @ 7/1

    Monday

    West Ham 1-2 Newcastle @ 12/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,717 ✭✭✭ batistuta9


    batistuta9 wrote: »
    0/8 this week. 1/25 overall, getting bad :pac:

    Amount staked: 250
    Profit/Loss: -145

    2/10 (tottenham 7 & west ham 11.5) - profit 105.

    3/35 overall
    Amount staked: 350
    Profit/Loss: -40


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    Nothing this week. The actual leader had two correct but he didn't have his predictions in when I was doing this.

    Total staked: €500
    Profit/Loss: -€170
    ROI: -34%

    Best weekly performance: Cass in Gameweeks 3/4 €65 profit


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,717 ✭✭✭ batistuta9


    He had the two same results right as me, you may as well use them


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    batistuta9 wrote: »
    He had the two same results right as me, you may as well use them

    Cheers...only seeing this post now. Will do just that. Hope this won't be construed as fiddling or aftertiming as the plan was always to use the leader's scores and it's not real money anyway.

    Total staked: €500
    Profit/Loss: +€35
    ROI: +7%
    Best performance: Cass in Week 5 +€105


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    Missed KO of Chelsea game so have taken an IR price with score at 0-0 with 26:10 on clock
    Cass wrote: »
    Gameweek 6

    Saturday

    Chelsea 1 - 0 Arsenal (they have to win at some stage) @ 8/1
    Aston Villa 1 - 2 West Brom @ 13/1
    Bournemouth 2 - 1 Sunderland @ 8/1
    Newcastle 1 - 1 Watford @ 6/1
    Stoke 0 - 1 Leicester @ 9/1
    Swansea 1 - 1 Everton @ 13/2
    Man City 3 - 0 West Ham @ 8/1

    Sunday

    Tottenham 1 - 1 Crystal Palace @ 7/1
    Liverpool 2 - 1 Norwich (please, please , please) @ 8/1
    Southampton 0 - 1 Man Utd @ 7/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,717 ✭✭✭ batistuta9


    batistuta9 wrote: »
    2/10 (tottenham 7 & west ham 11.5) - profit 105.

    3/35 overall
    Amount staked: 350
    Profit/Loss: -40

    none this week

    3/45 overall
    Amount staked: 450
    Profit/Loss: -140


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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,717 ✭✭✭ batistuta9


    Collie D wrote: »
    Cheers...only seeing this post now. Will do just that. Hope this won't be construed as fiddling or aftertiming as the plan was always to use the leader's scores and it's not real money anyway.

    Total staked: €500
    Profit/Loss: +€35
    ROI: +7%
    Best performance: Cass in Week 5 +€105

    it keeps it as planned yeah.

    do you still think it'll turn out to be a loser? i posted in the predictions thread that i think you'd need an average of 2 right/week to make money. there appears to be money in it for someone like Cass

    correct scores are considered a 'bad bet' though aren't they?


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    batistuta9 wrote: »
    it keeps it as planned yeah.

    do you still think it'll turn out to be a loser? i posted in the predictions thread that i think you'd need an average of 2 right/week to make money. there appears to be money in it for someone like Cass

    correct scores are considered a 'bad bet' though aren't they?

    They would be, yeah. Too risky for the rewards offered IMO. Although I'm hoping to see if this log can prove me wrong.


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    No correct scores this week for Cass which puts us back in negative figures.

    Amount staked: €600
    Profit/Loss: -€65
    ROI: -10.83%
    Best Performance: Cass in week 5 +€105


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    Still Cass in the lead this week
    Cass wrote: »
    Saturday

    Tottenham 0 - 2 Man City @ 21/2
    Leicester 1 - 2 Arsenal @ 17/2
    Liverpool 1 - 0 Aston Villa @ 6/1
    Man Utd 3 - 0 Sunderland @ 7/1
    Southampton 1 - 0 Swansea @ 13/2
    Stoke 2 - 1 Bournemouth @ 10/1
    West Ham 2 - 0 Norwich @ 13/1
    Newcastle 0 - 1 Chelsea @ 15/2

    Sunday

    Watford 1 - 1 Crystal Palace @ 6/1

    Monday

    West Brom 1 - 2 Everton @ 10/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,717 ✭✭✭ batistuta9


    batistuta9 wrote: »
    none this week

    3/45 overall
    Amount staked: 450
    Profit/Loss: -140

    only made a prediction for tonights game this round & got it wrong.

    3/46 overall
    Amount staked: 460
    Profit/Loss: -150


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    Two correct scores for a profit of €90 puts us back in the black (slightly).

    Amount staked: €700
    Profit/Loss: +€25
    ROI: +3.57%
    Best Performance: Cass in week 5 +€105


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    Still Cass in the lead. Selections below.
    Cass wrote: »
    Gameweek 8

    Saturday

    Crystal Palace 2 - 0 West Brom @ 17/2
    Aston Villa 1 - 2 Stoke @ 12/1
    Bournemouth 1 - 1 Watford @ 13/2
    Man City 2 - 0 Newcastle @ 15/2
    Norwich 2 - 1 Leicester @ 9/1
    Sunderland 0 - 1 West Ham @ 17/2
    Chelsea 1 - 0 Southampton @ 15/2

    Sunday

    Everton 3 - 2 Liverpool @ 37/1
    Arsenal 1 - 2 Man Utd @ 13/1
    Swansea 0 - 1 Tottenham @ 19/2


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    Collie D wrote: »
    Still Cass in the lead. Selections below.
    Cass wrote: »
    Gameweek 8

    Saturday

    Crystal Palace 2 - 0 West Brom @ 17/2
    Aston Villa 1 - 2 Stoke @ 12/1
    Bournemouth 1 - 1 Watford @ 13/2
    Man City 2 - 0 Newcastle @ 15/2
    Norwich 2 - 1 Leicester @ 9/1
    Sunderland 0 - 1 West Ham @ 17/2
    Chelsea 1 - 0 Southampton @ 15/2

    Sunday

    Everton 3 - 2 Liverpool @ 37/1
    Arsenal 1 - 2 Man Utd @ 13/1
    Swansea 0 - 1 Tottenham @ 19/2

    Two correct results for a profit of €70

    Total staked: €800
    Profit/Loss: +€95
    ROI: +11.88%


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,717 ✭✭✭ batistuta9


    batistuta9 wrote: »
    only made a prediction for tonights game this round & got it wrong.

    3/46 overall
    Amount staked: 460
    Profit/Loss: -150

    one this week, 30 profit (leicester 12/1)

    4/56 overall
    Amount staked: 560
    Profit/Loss: -120


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  • Registered Users Posts: 11,073 ✭✭✭✭ Collie D


    In a rush this morning so will do this before 3pm KOs. In early game Cass has gone for a 1-2 win to Liverpool priced at 11/1


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