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Monday

  • 23-11-2014 8:59pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭


    Think I've got the winner of the 4:35 at Wolverhampton. Watched Don't Be the last time it ran and it came from last to third with Luke Morris giving the horse a ride which suggested to me that that day wasn't the day for it. Was having a pint with a friend and remarked that we would be seeing that horse soon enough and that it was going to be winning next time out. Tomorrow is that day it makes its reappearance and I think the Morris/Prescott combination will have the measure of this 7f race at Wolverhampton and what this horse can do over it. Expect it to be given a perfectly judged ride.with the horse not being given as much to do as it had last time. Horse has already seen a bit of dough with some 5/1 still available with Coral$. Price is already being nibbled at, so I'm hoping this is another Prescott plot horse.


Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,761 ✭✭✭redzerdrog


    I like the look of Rathurgan in Wolver aswell tomorrow


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 344 ✭✭wackokid


    Two problems with your tip Francie ( At Least)
    This 4yr old filly has run 4 times , once in France as a 2yr old.
    Disappeared as a 3yr old
    Run 3 times this year without success but the biggest negative is this distance. Sir Mark's speciality is long distance from 1 1/2 miles up to 2 miles. He don't do 7fr gambles but I suppose there is always a 1st. Best of luck to you.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 809 ✭✭✭Earendil


    Fancy Queen Aggie in the 5.05 - 5-1 BetV


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 16,096 ✭✭✭✭the groutch


    Chemical Nicky has 5 short priced ones today, worth sticking in an accum at about 16/1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 449 ✭✭Pinesky


    wackokid wrote: »
    Two problems with your tip Francie ( At Least)
    This 4yr old filly has run 4 times , once in France as a 2yr old.
    Disappeared as a 3yr old
    Run 3 times this year without success but the biggest negative is this distance. Sir Mark's speciality is long distance from 1 1/2 miles up to 2 miles. He don't do 7fr gambles but I suppose there is always a 1st. Best of luck to you.

    His biggest and most successfull gambles were in the Cambridegeshire 9f.
    Particularly Pasternak which was a monumental gamble into 4/1 fav .


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,484 ✭✭✭Peintre Celebre


    Pinesky wrote: »
    His biggest and most successfull gambles were in the Cambridegeshire 9f.
    Particularly Pasternak which was a monumental gamble into 4/1 fav .

    Cannot stand Prescott. He may operate within the rules but I despise what he does. Run your horses over 6 furlongs too short in maidens and let them rack up a 4 timer in handicaps upped in trip. It shows how poor the rules are when he can do this with 90% of the horses he has


    Would love it if his horses automatically were allotted marks of 90 and told to try harder :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,645 ✭✭✭Luap


    Think Fanning has a nice lot of rides today.

    2:00 Pavers Bounty 10/1

    4:05 Penelope Pitstop 6/1

    4:35 Rich Again 4/1

    5:35 Act Your Shoe Size 6/1

    Lucky 15.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,895 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    TopTempo 3.35
    10-1 ew
    Me like
    Think it has a great ew chance in this group/

    Bogsnog 5.05 16-1 ew
    Good draw , nice weight/ I expect it will compete here/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,645 ✭✭✭Luap


    Think I've got the winner of the 4:35 at Wolverhampton. Watched Don't Be the last time it ran and it came from last to third with Luke Morris giving the horse a ride which suggested to me that that day wasn't the day for it. Was having a pint with a friend and remarked that we would be seeing that horse soon enough and that it was going to be winning next time out. Tomorrow is that day it makes its reappearance and I think the Morris/Prescott combination will have the measure of this 7f race at Wolverhampton and what this horse can do over it. Expect it to be given a perfectly judged ride.with the horse not being given as much to do as it had last time. Horse has already seen a bit of dough with some 5/1 still available with Coral$. Price is already being nibbled at, so I'm hoping this is another Prescott plot horse.

    If anyone is Backing this. Bet365 has it as a 4/1+ race and is currently 4/1.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42 awwalsh


    Well done Francie. Great spot. Thanks for highlighting.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 449 ✭✭Pinesky


    Luap wrote: »
    If anyone is Backing this. Bet365 has it as a 4/1+ race and is currently 4/1.

    Get In there


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,722 ✭✭✭posturingpat


    Well done Francie,as i've said previously i don't back on the all weather unless i've got strong word from connections so i didn't punt it,but nice winner for you all the same. Hope you made plenty.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,645 ✭✭✭Luap


    Great stuff man!

    Winnings on Random in the next.

    Will be laughing all the way to the bank.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,315 ✭✭✭Soft Falling Rain


    Fair Play Francie, bit of respite from the pool eh? :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,895 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    d4uou4w.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Fair Play Francie, bit of respite from the pool eh? :pac:
    Don't mention the war :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    5/1 still available with Coral$.
    n/m - rule 4 :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 344 ✭✭wackokid


    Well done Francie. They didn't back it this time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Heads up, Don't Be declared for Lingfield on the 3rd of December. Races with only a 6lb penalty this time, and after hearing the comments of Luke Morris after the race last week, it sounds like this horse still has more to give.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Heads up, Don't Be declared for Lingfield on the 3rd of December. Races with only a 6lb penalty this time, and after hearing the comments of Luke Morris after the race last week, it sounds like this horse still has more to give.
    Winner again :cool:


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42 awwalsh


    Great stuff again Francie. U da man.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Thought it won well without even being given a particularly easy run. Will be interesting to see what happens next with it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42 awwalsh


    Don't Be out again tomorrow Kempton 3.20, up in grade but the way she picked up last time, she looks capable of taking the step up in her stride. Hat trick beckons methinks. What do you think Francie?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    awwalsh wrote: »
    Don't Be out again tomorrow Kempton 3.20, up in grade but the way she picked up last time, she looks capable of taking the step up in her stride. Hat trick beckons methinks. What do you think Francie?
    I'll be on, but will only be having a small bet this time. Horses that it will be up against tomorrow are in some cases a stone better than what it has faced. Signs are encouraging that Don't Be can improve further, but at 5/2, I feel the price is a tad skinny.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42 awwalsh


    Get in. Hat trick landed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Get the fack in! Was touch and go at the close but Luke got it home.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42 awwalsh


    She's out again tomorrow. Lingfield 2.15, into Class 2 company. Don't Be's form is stacking up with Brigliadoro winning at Kempton yesterday. Luke is back from Dubai and has only one other runner on the card. What do you think Francie? Can she land the 4 timer?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    awwalsh wrote: »
    She's out again tomorrow. Lingfield 2.15, into Class 2 company. Don't Be's form is stacking up with Brigliadoro winning at Kempton yesterday. Luke is back from Dubai and has only one other runner on the card. What do you think Francie? Can she land the 4 timer?
    Horse owes me nothing at this stage, so will be having another small bet on it tomorrow. Only thing is that this is another step up in class with all of the opposition tomorrow showing about as much as Don't Be. The worry for me tomorrow is that this will be run at a much stronger pace earlier on, which won't suit Don't Be, which seems to like to finish strongly. 9/4 is no price at all though.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 372 ✭✭hawkeyethenoo


    Horse owes me nothing at this stage, so will be having another small bet on it tomorrow. Only thing is that this is another step up in class with all of the opposition tomorrow showing about as much as Don't Be. The worry for me tomorrow is that this will be run at a much stronger pace earlier on, which won't suit Don't Be, which seems to like to finish strongly. 9/4 is no price at all though.

    the stronger the early the pace the better for horses coming off the pace, especially at lingfield.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,172 ✭✭✭NaiveMelodies


    the stronger the early the pace the better for horses coming off the pace, especially at lingfield.

    This is what I always thought was the general for all racing too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Yes, but the opposition tomorrow will stay a lot better at the finish. Last time out I thought Don't Be was very lucky to overturn the second place horse at the close. In that case, a strong pace tomorrow won't suit my horse - or so I think at least.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    What a horse! Winner again!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Also, can we get this horse inducted into Legends Of The Forum, please! :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,645 ✭✭✭Luap


    He was been back to win and I overlooked it.

    Silly me.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Out again tomorrow in only a 5 runner field in the 3:10. Best price 6/5, but the opposition doesn't look strong.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42 awwalsh


    5 timer up. Never in doubt.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,172 ✭✭✭NaiveMelodies


    Nice Francie, going to be about 30 pounds higher than when you first mentioned him.. lovely spot.

    Whats the record for most handicaps won in a row? I'm sure I heard it was 5 here(on the flat).. that might apply to GB too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Gets bumped up to listed company today in the opener at Wolverhampton with many of the horses rated a stone better. Sovereign Debt for example has finished second in the Lockinge, Chookie Royal has won a bunch of class 1/Listed races over the AW. Horse should not be winning this kind of race, but given it has a nice draw, it might very well place. 14/1 best price with a few, use Bet365 and you get 1/4 the odds instead of 1/5.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Took 4/1 for this tonight at Dundalk 7:20. Bet of the month for me - the opposition isn't anywhere near as proven as Don't Be.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,625 ✭✭✭✭Johner


    Well done Francie, won nicely in the end. Been some horse to follow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,931 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    What a year I've had following this filly :) Just brilliant when you can follow a horse like this and know when it's going to win.


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