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Group races, Ireland & England, 2015, flat

  • 17-11-2014 12:44am
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    • I will bet on group races in 2015: Group 1, 2, 3, some listed.
    • The bank will be small, probably €200.
    • Each bet will be about 1.5% of the bank at the time of the bet.
    • Because the stakes are small I will use a betting exchange.
    • I will try to ignore the traditional influences: previous form/going/distance, trainer, jockey, rumour, engagements, comments.
    • Bets will be win only, with possibly a few place lays.
    • I will post the bet very close to race time. This will avoid comment before the race, and allow me choose my price.
    • If nothing appeals, or odds are low, no bet.
    • My pedigree analysis will guide me.
    • Reasons for the selections will not be disclosed, as explanations would be too confusing (some may feel this goes against the thread sticky).
    Below is a list of the 2014 Group races and the day the race was held in 2014.


«134

Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Day_Date/___Race_____________________Course___years___GR___Dist_f

    Sat_22/03___Winter Derby________________Lingfield___4yo+___G3___10f
    Sun_23/03___Park Express________________The Curragh___3yo+___G3___8f
    Sun_30/03___2000 Guineas Trial__________Leopardstown___3yo___L___8f
    Mon_07/04___Ballyroan__________________Leopardstown___3yo+___G3___12f
    Sat_12/04___Fred Darling________________Newbury___3yo___G3___7f
    Sat_12/04___Greenham__________________Newbury___3yo___G3___8f
    Sat_12/04___Ballysax__________________Navan___3yo___G3___10f
    Sat_12/04___John Porter_________________Newbury___4yo+___G3___12f
    Sun_13/04___Gladness__________________The Curragh___4yo+___G3___7f
    Wed_16/04___Nell Gwyn__________________Newmarket___3yo___G3___7f
    Thu_17/04___Abernant__________________Newmarket___3yo+___G3___6f
    Thu_17/04___Craven__________________Newmarket___3yo___G3___8f
    Thu_17/04___Earl Of Sefton______________Newmarket___4yo+___G3___9f
    Fri_25/04___Sandown Mile________________Sandown___4yo+___G2___8f
    Fri_25/04___Gordon Richards_____________Sandown___4yo+___G3___10f
    Fri_25/04___Thresher Classic____________Sandown___3yo___G3___10f
    Wed_30/04___Sagaro__________________Ascot___4yo+___G3___16f
    Sat_03/05___Palace House________________Newmarket___3yo+___G3___5f
    Sat_03/05___2000 Guineas________________Newmarket___3yo___G1___8f
    Sat_03/05___Jockey Club_________________Newmarket___4yo+___G2___12f
    Sat_03/05___Jockey Club Cup_____________Newmarket___4yo+___G3___12f
    Sun_04/05___1000 Guineas________________Newmarket___3yo___G1___8f
    Sun_04/05___Dahlia__________________Newmarket___4yo+___G3___9f
    Mon_05/05___Athasi__________________The Curragh___3yo___G3___7f
    Mon_05/05___Tetrarch__________________The Curragh___3yo___L___7f
    Mon_05/05___Mooresbridge________________The Curragh___4yo+___G3___10f
    Thu_08/05___Huxley__________________Chester___4yo+___G3___10.3f
    Thu_08/05___Chester Vase________________Chester___3yo___G3___12.3f
    Fri_09/05___Dee__________________Chester___3yo___G3___10.4f
    Fri_09/05___Ormonde__________________Chester___4yo+___G3___13.4f
    Sat_10/05___Chartwell Fillies___________Lingfield___3yo+___G3___7f
    Sat_10/05___Lingfield Derby Trial_______Lingfield___3yo___L___11.5f
    Sun_11/05___1000 Guineas Trial__________Leopardstown___3yo___G1___7f
    Sun_11/05___Amethyst__________________Leopardstown___3yo+___G3___8f
    Sun_11/05___Derby Trial_________________Leopardstown___3yo___G2___10f
    Wed_14/05___Duke Of York________________York___3yo+___G2___6f
    Wed_14/05___Blue Wind__________________Naas___3yo+___G3___10f
    Wed_14/05___Musidora__________________York___3yo___G3___10.4f
    Thu_15/05___Dante__________________York___3yo___G2___10.4f
    Thu_15/05___Middleton__________________York___4yo+___G2___10.4f
    Fri_16/05___Yorkshire Cup_______________York___4yo+___G2___14f
    Sat_17/05___Lockinge__________________Newbury___4yo+___G1___8f
    Sat_24/05___Temple__________________Haydock___3yo+___G2___5f
    Sat_24/05___Greenlands__________________The Curragh___3yo+___G3___6f
    Sat_24/05___2000 Guineas________________The Curragh___3yo___G1___8f
    Sat_24/05___Ridgewood Pearl_____________The Curragh___4yo+___G3___8f
    Sat_24/05___Lanwades Stud Fillies_______The Curragh___3yo+___G3___9f
    Sun_25/05___1000 Guineas________________The Curragh___3yo___G1___8f
    Sun_25/05___Gallinule__________________The Curragh___3yo___G3___10f
    Sun_25/05___Gold Cup__________________The Curragh___4yo+___G1___10.5f
    Thu_29/05___Brigadier Gerard____________Sandown___4yo___G3___10f
    Thu_29/05___Henry Ii__________________Sandown___4yo+___G3___16.4f
    Sat_31/05___John Of Gaunt_______________Haydock___4yo+___G3___7f
    Sat_31/05___Pinnacle__________________Haydock___4yo+___G3___11.9f
    Mon_02/06___Fillies Sprint______________Naas___2yo___L___6f
    Fri_06/06___Diomed__________________Epsom___3yo+___G3___8.5f
    Fri_06/06___Princess Elizabeth__________Epsom___3yo+___G3___8.5f
    Fri_06/06___Oaks__________________Epsom___3yo___G1___12f
    Fri_06/06___Saval Beg__________________Leopardstown___4yo+___L___14f
    Sat_07/06___Coronation Cup______________Epsom___4yo+___G1___12f
    Sat_07/06___Derby__________________Epsom___3yo___G1___12f
    Thu_12/06___Ballyogan__________________Leopardstown___3yo+___G3___6f
    Sun_15/06___Nobless__________________Cork___3yo+___G3___12f
    Tue_17/06___King'S Stand________________Ascot___3yo+___G2___5f
    Tue_17/06___Coventry__________________Ascot___2yo___G2___6f
    Tue_17/06___Queen Anne__________________Ascot___4yo+___G1___8f
    Tue_17/06___St James Palace_____________Ascot___3yo___G1___8f
    Wed_18/06___Queen Mary__________________Ascot___2yo___G2___5f
    Wed_18/06___Jersey__________________Ascot___3yo___G3___7f
    Wed_18/06___Duke Of Cambridge___________Chester___4yo+___G2___8f
    Wed_18/06___Prince Of Wales_____________Ascot___4yo+___G1___10f
    Thu_19/06___Norfolk__________________Ascot___2yo___G2___5f
    Thu_19/06___Ballycorus__________________Leopardstown___3yo+___G3___7f
    Thu_19/06___Tercentenary________________Ascot___3yo+___G3___10f
    Thu_19/06___Ribblesdale_________________Ascot___3yo___G2___12f
    Thu_19/06___Ascot Gold Cup______________Ascot___4yo+___G1___20f
    Fri_20/06___Albany__________________Ascot___2yo___G3___6f
    Fri_20/06___Coronation__________________Ascot___3yo___G1___8f
    Fri_20/06___King Edward Vii_____________Ascot___3yo___G2___12f
    Fri_20/06___Queen'S Vase________________Ascot___3yo___G3___16f
    Sat_21/06___Cork And Orrery_____________Ascot___3yo+___G1___6f
    Sat_21/06___Hardwicke__________________Ascot___4yo+___G2___12f
    Sat_28/06___Sapphire__________________The Curragh___3yo+___G3___5f
    Sat_28/06___Chipchase__________________Newcastle___3yo+___G3___6f
    Sat_28/06___Railway__________________The Curragh___2yo___G2___6.3f
    Sat_28/06___Criterion__________________Newmarket___3yo+___G3___7f
    Sat_28/06___Irish Derby_________________The Curragh___3yo___G1___12f
    Sun_29/06___Balanchine__________________The Curragh___2yo___G3___6f
    Sun_29/06___International_______________The Curragh___3yo+___G3___9f
    Sun_29/06___Pretty Polly________________The Curragh___3yo+___G1___10f
    Sun_29/06___Curragh Cup_________________The Curragh___3yo+___G3___14f
    Wed_02/07___Brownstown__________________Fairyhouse___3yo+___G3___7f
    Sat_05/07___Sprint__________________Sandown___3yo+___G3___5f
    Sat_05/07___Eclipse__________________Sandown___3yo+___G1___10f
    Sat_05/07___Lancashire Oaks_____________Haydock___3yo+___G2___12f
    Thu_10/07___July__________________Newmarket___2yo___G2___6f
    Thu_10/07___Princess Of Wales___________Newmarket___3yo+___G2___12f
    Thu_10/07___Bahrain Trophy______________Newmarket___3yo___G3___13f
    Fri_11/07___Cherry Hinton_______________Newmarket___2yo___G2___6f
    Fri_11/07___Summer__________________York___3yo+___G3___6f
    Fri_11/07___Falmouth__________________Newmarket___3yo+___G1___8f
    Sat_12/07___July Cup__________________Newmarket___3yo+___G1___6f
    Sat_12/07___Superlative_________________Newmarket___2yo___G2___7f
    Sat_12/07___Summer Mile_________________Ascot___4yo+___G3___8f
    Sat_19/07___Hackwood__________________Goodwood___3yo+___G3___6f
    Sat_19/07___Anglesey__________________The Curragh___2yo___G3___6.3f
    Sat_19/07___Minstrel__________________The Curragh___3yo+___G3___7f
    Sat_19/07___Irish Oaks__________________The Curragh___3yo___G1___12f
    Sun_20/07___Kilboy Estate_______________The Curragh___3yo+___G2___9f
    Sun_20/07___Meld__________________The Curragh___3yo+___G3___10f
    Thu_24/07___Silver Flash________________Leopardstown___2yo___G3___7f
    Thu_24/07___Tyros__________________Leopardstown___2yo___G3___7f
    Sat_26/07___Princess Margaret___________Ascot___2yo___G3___6f
    Sat_26/07___York__________________York___3yo+___G2___10.4f
    Sat_26/07___King George Vi & Queen El___Ascot___3yo+___G1___12f
    Tue_29/07___Molecomb__________________Goodwood___2yo___G3___5f
    Tue_29/07___Lennox__________________Goodwood___3yo+___G2___7f
    Wed_30/07___Lanson Champagne Vintage____Goodwood___2yo___G3___7f
    Wed_30/07___Sussex__________________Goodwood___3yo+___G1___8f
    Wed_30/07___Gordon__________________Goodwood___3yo___G3___12f
    Thu_31/07___Richmond__________________Goodwood___2yo___G2___6f
    Thu_31/07___Lillie Langtry______________Goodwood___3yo+___G3___14f
    Fri_01/08___Glorious__________________Goodwood___4yo+___G3___12f
    Fri_01/08___King George V_______________Goodwood___3yo+___G2___5f
    Fri_01/08___Oak Tree__________________Goodwood___3yo+___G3___7f
    Fri_01/08___Thoroughbred________________Goodwood___3yo___G3___8f
    Sat_02/08___Nassau__________________Goodwood___3yo+___G1___9.9f
    Tue_05/08___Give Thanks_________________Cork___3yo+___G3___12f
    Sat_09/08___Sweet Solera________________Newmarket___2yo___G3___7f
    Sat_09/08___Rose Of Lancaster___________Haydock___3yo+___G3___10.4f
    Sun_10/08___Phoenix__________________The Curragh___2yo___G1___6f
    Sun_10/08___Phoenix Sprint______________The Curragh___3yo+___G3___6f
    Thu_14/08___Sovereign__________________Salisbury___3yo+___G3___8f
    Thu_14/08___Desmond__________________Leopardstown___3yo+___G3___8f
    Sat_16/08___Hungerford__________________Newbury___3yo+___G3___7.3f
    Sat_16/08___Geoffrey Freer______________Newbury___3yo+___G2___13.3f
    Wed_20/08___Acomb__________________York___2yo___G3___7f
    Wed_20/08___International_______________York___3yo+___G1___10f
    Wed_20/08___Great Voltiguer_____________York___3yo___G2___12f
    Thu_21/08___Lowther__________________York___2yo___G2___6f
    Thu_21/08___Yorkshire Oaks______________York___3yo___G1___12f
    Fri_22/08___Nunthorpe__________________York___2yo+___G1___5f
    Fri_22/08___Lonsdale Cup________________York___3yo+___G2___16.4f
    Sat_23/08___Celebration Mile____________Goodwood___3yo+___G2___0f
    Sat_23/08___Renaissance_________________The Curragh___3yo+___G3___0f
    Sat_23/08___Curragh__________________The Curragh___2yo___L___5f
    Sat_23/08___Gimcrack__________________York___2yo___G2___6f
    Sat_23/08___Prestige__________________Goodwood___2yo___G3___7f
    Sat_23/08___Strensall__________________York___3yo+___G3___8.9f
    Sat_23/08___Winter Hill_________________Windsor___3yo+___G3___10f
    Sun_24/08___Futurity__________________The Curragh___2yo___G2___7f
    Sun_24/08___Debutante__________________The Curragh___2yo___G2___7f
    Sun_24/08___Supreme__________________Goodwood___3yo+___G3___7f
    Sun_24/08___Royal Whip__________________The Curragh___3yo+___G3___10f
    Sun_24/08___Irish St Leger Trial________The Curragh___3yo+___G3___14f
    Thu_28/08___Fairy Bridge________________Tipperary___3yo+___G3___7.5f
    Sat_30/08___Solario__________________Sandown___2yo___G3___7f
    Sat_30/08___Atalanta__________________Sandown___3yo+___G3___8.1f
    Sun_31/08___Round Tower_________________The Curragh___2yo___G3___6f
    Sat_06/09___Haydock Sprint Cup__________Haydock___3yo+___G1___6f
    Sat_06/09___Sirenia__________________Kempton___2yo___G3___6f
    Sat_06/09___Superior Mile_______________Haydock___3yo+___G3___8f
    Sat_06/09___September__________________Kempton___3yo+___G3___12f
    Thu_11/09___Sceptre__________________Doncaster___3yo+___G3___7f
    Fri_12/09___Flying Childers_____________Doncaster___2yo___G2___5f
    Fri_12/09___May Hill__________________Doncaster___2yo___G2___8f
    Fri_12/09___Doncaster Cup_______________Doncaster___3yo+___G2___18f
    Sat_13/09___Kiveton Park________________Doncaster___3yo+___G2___0f
    Sat_13/09___Champagne__________________Doncaster___2yo___G2___7f
    Sat_13/09___Matron__________________Leopardstown___3yo+___G1___8f
    Sat_13/09___Breeders Cup Juvenile Tur___Leopardstown___2yo___G3___8f
    Sat_13/09___Irish Champion______________Leopardstown___3yo+___G1___10f
    Sat_13/09___Kilternan__________________Leopardstown___3yo+___G3___10f
    Sat_13/09___St Leger__________________Doncaster___3yo___G1___14.6f
    Sat_13/09___Park Hill__________________Doncaster___3yo___G2___14.6f
    Sun_14/09___Flying Five_________________The Curragh___3yo+___G3___5f
    Sun_14/09___Moyglare Stud_______________The Curragh___2yo___G1___7f
    Sun_14/09___National__________________The Curragh___2yo___G1___7f
    Sun_14/09___Blandford__________________The Curragh___3yo+___G2___10f
    Sun_14/09___Irish St Leger______________The Curragh___3yo+___G1___14f
    Mon_15/09___Solonaway__________________Leopardstown___3yo+___G3___8f
    Sat_20/09___World Trophy________________Newbury___3yo+___G3___5.2f
    Sat_20/09___Mill Reef__________________Newbury___2yo___G2___6f
    Sat_20/09___Firth Of Clyde______________Ayr___2yo___G3___6f
    Sat_20/09___Arc Trial__________________Newbury___3yo+___G3___11f
    Sun_21/09___Denny Cordell Fillies_______Gowran Park___3yo+___G3___9.5f
    Thu_25/09___Somerville Tattersall_______Newmarket___2yo___G3___7f
    Fri_26/09___Rockfel__________________Newmarket___2yo___G2___7f
    Fri_26/09___Joel_____________________Newmarket___3yo+___G2___8f
    Sat_27/09___Cheveley Park_______________Newmarket___2yo___G1___6f
    Sat_27/09___Royal Lodge_________________Ascot___2yo___G2___8f
    Sun_28/09___C L Weld Park_______________The Curragh___2yo___G3___0f
    Sun_28/09___Beresford__________________The Curragh___2yo___G2___8f
    Fri_03/10___Diamond__________________Dundalk___3yo+___G3___10.7f
    Sat_04/10___Bengough__________________Ascot___3yo+___G3___0f
    Sat_04/10___Oh So Sharp_________________Newmarket___2yo___G3___7f
    Sat_04/10___Sun Chariot_________________Newmarket___3yo+___G1___10f
    Sat_04/10___Cumberland Lodge____________Ascot___3yo___G3___12f
    Sun_05/10___Concorde__________________Tipperary___3yo+___G3___7.5f
    Sat_11/10___Autumn__________________Newmarket___2yo___G3___8f
    Fri_17/10___Cornwallis__________________Ascot___2yo___G3___5f
    Fri_17/10___Middle Park_________________Newmarket___2yo___G1___6f
    Fri_17/10___Dewhurst__________________Newmarket___2yo___G1___7f
    Fri_17/10___Challenge__________________Newmarket___2yo+___G2___7f
    Fri_17/10___Fillies Mile________________Ascot___2yo___G1___8f
    Fri_17/10___Darley__________________Newmarket___3yo+___G3___9f
    Sat_18/10___Diadem__________________Ascot___3yo___G2___6f
    Sat_18/10___Queen Elizabeth Ii__________Ascot___3yo+___G1___8f
    Sat_18/10___Champion__________________Ascot___3yo+___G1___10f
    Sat_18/10___Princess Royal______________Ascot___3yo+___G2___12f
    Sat_25/10___Killavullan_________________Leopardstown___2yo___G3___7f
    Sat_25/10___Horris Hill_________________Newbury___2yo___G3___7.3f
    Sat_25/10___Racing Post Trophy__________Doncaster___2yo___G1___8f
    Sat_25/10___St Simon__________________Newbury___3yo+___G3___12f
    Sun_26/10___Eyrefield__________________Leopardstown___2yo___L___9f


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    I have been doing a bit of work on the 2014 Group races.
    My idea is to run my pedigree selection process over the 2014 races to see if it is a goer or not.
    If my selections can produce something around break-even against the 2014 returned bookmaker starting prices there may be profit potential on Betfair.
    2014 SPs for 214 Group races Ireland & England: Average 115.7%; median 115.0%; highest 131.1%; lowest 106.7%

    Here is a list of the beaten odds-on 2014 flat Group races favourites.
    Horse_______________Race________________Finish___Odds_____Trainer / Jockey_____________________Going_____(Note)
    Royal Navy Ship_____Killavullan Stakes_______2 ___1/6F_______Aidan O'Brien / Seamus Heffernan_______Yd/Sft
    Taghrooda__________Yorkshire Oaks__________2 ___1/5F_______John Gosden / Paul Hanaghan_________Good____(1)
    Australia___________Irish Champion Stakes____2 ___30/100F____Aidan O'Brien / Joseph O'Brien________Gd/Fm
    High Celebrity_______Cherry Hinton____________2 ___4/9F_______Andre Fabre / Maxime Guyon_________Soft____(2)
    Ivawood_____________Middle Park____________2 ___1/2F_______Richard Hannon / Richard Hughes_____Soft____(3)
    Joyeuse_____________Ballyogan Stakes________2 ___8/13F_______Lady Cecil / James Doyle_____________Good____(4)
    True Story___________Dante__________________3 ___8/13F_______Saeed bin Suroor / Kieren Fallon_______Gd/Sft____(5)
    Treve_______________Prince Of Wales_________3 ___8/13F_______Mme C Head-Maarek / Frankie Dettori____Gd/Fm____(6)
    Trading Leather______Jockey Club Stakes_______3 ___4/6F_______J S Bolger / Kevin Manning______________Gd/Fm
    Kool Kompany________Phoenix Stakes_________2 ___8/11F_______Richard Hannon / Richard Hughes_______Soft
    Hillstar______________Ormonde_______________2 ___ 4/5F_______Sir Michael Stoute / Ryan Moore_______Soft____(7)
    Toormore____________Lennox Stakes___________2 ___5/6F_______Richard Hannon / Richard Hughes_______Gd/Fm____(8)
    The Great War________Norfolk________________5 ___5/6F_______Aidan O'Brien / Joseph O'Brien___________Gd/Fm
    Leading Light_________Irish St Leger___________2 ___9/10F_______Aidan O'Brien / Joseph O'Brien__________Gd/Fm____(7)
    Beacon______________Molecomb______________3 ___10/11F_____Richard Hannon / Richard Hughes_______Gd/Fm____(9)
    Stellar Glow__________C L Weld Park Stakes_____3 ___10/11F_____J S Bolger / Kevin Manning____________Gd/Fm____(10)

    Notes
    1) Beaten in next race, Gr 1 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe 9/2fav
    2) won next race, Gr 3 Prix d'Arenberg, 7/10fav
    3) won previous race, Gr 2 Richmond Stakes 2/5fav
    4) ran in four Group races afterwards without winning
    5) beaten in 2 x Gr1 and 2 x Gr 3 afterwards
    6) beaten three times at odds-on (30/100f France, 8/13f UK, 4/5f France) before winning the Arc
    7) Brown Panther overturned these two odds-on favourutes
    8) went on to greater "glory" when 3rd of 7 when 1/5 fav in a Group 2 in Turkey
    9) two races later won the Flying Childers Gr 2 at a tasty 8/1
    10) and lost her next race, a maiden, also as 10/11fav


    Here is a list of the biggest price 2014 flat Group races winners.
    Horse_______________Race_________________Finish__Odds______Trainer / Jockey___________________Going
    Night Of Thunder____2000 Guineas_____________1___40/1_______Richard Hannon / Kieren Fallon______Gd/Fm
    Penitent____________John Of Gaunt Stakes______1___ 33/1______David O'Meara / Daniel Tudhope____Gd/Sft
    Dark Reckoning______Firth Of Clyde Stakes_______1___ 25/1______Ann Duffield / Graham Lee_________Gd/Fm
    Charming Thought____Middle Park______________1___22/1_______Charlie Appleby / William Buick______Soft
    Scream Blue Murder__Phoenix Sprint Stakes_____1___20/1_______T Stack / Pat Smullen_______________Soft
    Berkshire____________Darley Stakes____________1___20/1_______Paul Cole / Jim Crowley_____________Soft
    Purr Along___________Ridgewood Pearl Stakes___1___ 20/1_______J P Murtagh / Jamie Spencer________Sft/Hvy


    Comments:
    The above lists of turned over odds-on shots and long priced winners are not part of the selection process. They are just amusing output from the 214 2014 Group races.
    Some trainer/Jockey combinations were often beaten at odd-on, but the betting public decide the price.
    Many of the beaten odds-on horses lost on good to firm. My guess is the ground was firm but racecourses do not like to say that.
    6f is a regular odds-on losing distance, especially with good to firm ground.
    Soft ground produced many long-priced winners, but good to firm (probably firm) also featured.



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Summary of 2014 Group races Ireland & England
    214 races with 1,893 runners; 943 individual horses.
    The average price of winners was between 11/4 and 3/1.
    Only ten winners were 16/1 or higher.

    Before betting on Group races in 2015 I decided to run my “system” over the 2014 races to see what would have happened if I used the “system” in 2014.
    I used the 2014 race history and started with a €200 bank. Betting 2% of the declining bank on each race would have left the bank at €33.21 (an 83.4% loss) at the end of the year. Selections were based on a pedigree “system”.

    There were 29 winners; 185 losers.
    The system picked these long-priced losers:
    7 x 100/1 shots; 4 x 66/1; 6 x 50/1; 2 x 40/1; 4 x 33/1; 1x28/1; 24 x 25/1; 1 x 22/1 (a winner); 8 x 20/1; 1 x 18/1; 8x16/1; 15 x 14/1; 4x 12/1; 7 x 11/1; 11 x 10/1 (one winner) = 101 losers; 2 winners. 27 of the 29 winners were 9/1 or less.

    I doubt I would have backed 7 horses at 100/1 and the others at high odds above.
    Using hindsight :rolleyes: what would have happened if I picked the highest ranked horse paying odds of 9/1 or less? This might cause me to reject my first four or five rated horses to find one that the public rate as a contender. It gives 53 winners; 161 losers with a closing bank of €152.57 for a loss of €47.43. (using bookies SP). Assuming about 10% better prices with Betfair it would still only be slightly above break even.

    There is a positive correlation between my pedigree rating and race finishing positions but as yet not enough to make money. It is nice to know a horse I might have rated 8th actually finished 10th but that does not pay.

    I am now starting another version of the analysis.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Ord…Country……Race………………...…………..………...…Course........…Date…..Dist f …Age…Group

    1….…England……Winter Derby………………..………...…Lingfield.......…14/03/15…10f …4+…G3 .... no bet
    2….…Ireland……Park Express Stakes……………...……The Curragh…..29/03/15…8f …3yo+…G3 ....will post pre-race
    3….…Ireland……1000 Guineas Trial Stakes……………Leopardstown…12/04/15…7f …3yo…G3
    4….…Ireland……Ballysax Stakes…………………...…...Leopardstown.…12/04/15…10f …3yo…G3
    5….…England……Nell Gwyn Stakes……………………..Newmarket....…15/04/15…7f …3yo…G3
    6….…England……Abernant Stakes…………………..…...Newmarket…..16/04/15…6f …3yo+…G3
    7….…England……Craven Stakes…………………..…...…Newmarket…..16/04/15…8f …3yo…G3
    8….…England……Earl Of Sefton Stakes………………..Newmarket..…16/04/15…9f …4+…G3
    9….…England……Greenham Stakes……………….…....Newbury.....…18/04/15…7f …3yo…G3
    10….…England……John Porter Stakes……………………Newbury.....…18/04/15…12.02f …4+…G3
    11….…England……Fred Darling Stakes……………………Newbury…....18/04/15…7f …3yo…G3
    12….…Ireland……Gladness Stakes………………………...The Curragh..19/04/15…7f …3yo+…G3
    13….…England……Classic Trial…………………..……...…Sandown….....24/04/15…10.03f …3yo…G3
    14….…England……Gordon Richards Stakes……….….Sandown….....24/04/15…10.03f …4+…G3
    15….…England……Sandown Mile…………………..……..…Sandown....…24/04/15…8.06f …4+…G2
    16….…England……Pavilion Stakes…………………..……...Ascot........…29/04/15…6f …3yo…G3
    17….…England……Sagaro Stakes…………………..…...…Ascot….........29/04/15…16f …4+…G3


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    2….…Ireland……Park Express Stakes……………...……The Curragh…..29/03/15…8f …3yo+…G3
    Bank €200: Bet 15:45 Odeliz €4 at 4.1


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed



    Bank €196.00
    3….…Ireland……1000 Guineas Trial Stakes……………Leopardstown…12/04/15…7f …3yo…G3
    15:15 Legatissimo €4 at 5.1
    4….…Ireland……Ballysax Stakes…………………...…...Leopardstown.…12/04/15…10f …3yo…G3
    15:50 John F Kennedy €4 at 1.31


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed



    Summary: start €200, 3 losers x €4, bank €188
    1….…England……Winter Derby………………..………..…Lingfield.......…14/03/15…10f …4+..G3 .... [no bet, artificial surface]
    2….…Ireland……Park Express Stakes……………..……The Curragh…..29/03/15…8f …3yo+G3 ....[Odeliz 4.1 Betfair 7th of 12, winner Ramone 100/1 (330s on Betfair]
    3….…Ireland……1000 Guineas Trial Stakes….….…Leopardstown…12/04/15…7f …3yo…G3 … [Legatissimo 5.1 Betfair 4th of 8, winner Stormfly 4/1J]
    4….…Ireland……Ballysax Stakes…………………......Leopardstown.…12/04/15…10f …3yo…G3 … [John F Kennedy 1.31 Betfair, 1/4f fav 3rd of 3, winner Success Days 10/1]
    5….…England……Nell Gwyn Stakes……………………..Newmarket....…15/04/15…7f …3yo…G3 … [no bet. winner Osaila 4/1 (did analysis yesterday, picked narrow winner Osaila*]

    [*But I forgot about the race until hour after it was run. My analysis focuses on females in pedigrees, and this was a fillies race, good fit between 1,2,3,4 result and analysis. Might be luck/randomness, might not translate to colts races.]
    [in future I will post picks when selected, possibly day before, not just minutes before the race.]
    [Abernant and Craven at Newmarket tomorrow]


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    6….…England……Abernant Stakes…………Newmarket…..16/04/15…6f …3yo+..G3 ... 16:05: selection is American Hope €4 at 22
    7….…England……Craven Stakes……………Newmarket…..16/04/15…8f …3yo…G3 ..... 15:30: selection is Hail The Hero €4 at 16


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed



    Summary: start €200, 0 winners, 5 losers x €4, bank €180
    6….…England……Abernant Stakes…………Newmarket…..16/04/15…6f …3yo+..G3 ... 16:05: selection is American Hope €4 at 22 ... [result American Hope 22s Betfair 7th of 11, winner Astaire 9/2]
    7….…England……Craven Stakes……………Newmarket…..16/04/15…8f …3yo…G3 ..... 15:30: selection is Hail The Hero €4 at 16 … [result Hail The Hero 16s Betfair 6th of 7, winner Kool Kompany 14/1]
    8….…England……Earl Of Sefton Stakes……Newmarket..…16/04/15…9f …4+…G3 … no bet, didn’t know the race was on [winner was French Navy 3/1]


    Today/tomorrow bets
    9…..…England……Greenham Stakes…............Newbury....…18/04/15…7f …3yo…G3 … 14:50 …selection is Fannaan €4 at 12.5
    10….…England……John Porter Stakes………………Newbury....…18/04/15…12.02f …4+…G3 … 13:45 …selection is Romsdal €4 at 2.9
    11….…England……Fred Darling Stakes……………Newbury…....18/04/15…7f …3yo…G3 … 14:15 …selection is Tiggy Wiggy €4 at 2.1
    12….…Ireland……Gladness Stakes………………….The Curragh..19/04/15…7f …3yo+…G3 … 15:50 …selection is Cable Bay €4 at ??? (prices not up yet)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Summary: start €200, 0 winners, 9 losers x €4, bank €166
    9…..…England……Greenham Stakes…............Newbury....…18/04/15…7f …3yo…G3 … 14:50 … selection is Fannaan €4 at 12.5 … [result Fannaan 12.5 Betfair 7th of 9, winner Muhaarar 16/1]
    10….…England……John Porter Stakes………………Newbury....…18/04/15…12.02f …4+..G3 … 13:45 …selection is Romsdal €4 at 2.9 … [result Romsdal 2.9 Betfair 3rd of 8, winner Arab Spring 11/4]
    11….…England……Fred Darling Stakes……………Newbury…....18/04/15…7f …3yo…G3 … 14:15 …selection is Tiggy Wiggy €4 at 2.1 … [result Tiggy Wiggy 2.1 Betfair 3rd of 11, winner Redstart 12/1]
    12….…Ireland……Gladness Stakes………………….The Curragh..19/04/15…7f …3yo+…G3 … 15:50 …selection is Cable Bay €4 at 9.4 … [result Cable Bay 9.4 Betfair 3rd of 11, winner Flight Risk 50/1]


    Selections Friday 24/4/15
    13….…England……Classic Trial…………………..…Sandown…....24/04/15…10.03f …3yo…G3…selection is Grey Lion €4 at ???
    14….…England……Gordon Richards Stakes….Sandown…....24/04/15…10.03f …4+…G3…selection is Cannock Chase €4 at ???
    15….…England……Sandown Mile………………..…Sandown....…24/04/15.…8.06f …4+…G2…selection is Bow Creek €4 at ???


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Selections Friday 24/4/15
    13….…England……Classic Trial…………………..…Sandown…....24/04/15 15:00 …10.03f …3yo…G3…selection is Grey Lion €4 at ??? <--- non-runner Cape Clear Island €4 at 4
    14….…England……Gordon Richards Stakes….Sandown…....24/04/15 14:00 …10.03f …4+…G3…selection is Cannock Chase €4 at ???
    15….…England……Sandown Mile………………..…Sandown....…24/04/15 14:30 .…8.06f …4+…G2…selection is Bow Creek €4 at 5
    My record losing run is 23


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Summary: start €200, 0 winners, 12 losers x €4, bank €152
    Selections Friday 24/4/15
    13….…England……Classic Trial…………………..…Sandown…....24/04/15 15:00 …10.03f …3yo…G3…selection is Cape Clear Island €4 at 4… [result Cape Clear Island 2nd of 4, winner Master Apprentice 12/1]
    14….…England……Gordon Richards Stakes….Sandown…....24/04/15 14:00 …10.03f …4+…G3…selection is Cannock Chase €4 at 3.2..… [result Cannock Chase 3rd of 5, winner Western Hymn 7/2]
    15….…England……Sandown Mile………………..…Sandown....…24/04/15 14:30 .…8.06f …4+…G2…selection is Bow Creek €4 at 5..........… [result Bow Creek 6th of 6, winner Custom Cut 4/1]

    Selections Wednesday 29/4/15
    16….…England……Pavilion Stakes…………..…Ascot…....29/04/15 16:05 …6f …3yo…G3…selection is Limato €4 at ???
    17….…England……Sagaro Stakes............Ascot…....29/04/15 15:30 ..16f …4yo+…G3…selection is Tac De Boistron €4 at ???


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Group races - May 2015
    18 England Palace House Stakes Newmarket 2/5/15 5 3yo+
    19 England Jockey Club Stakes Newmarket 2/5/15 12 4+
    20 England 2000 Guineas Stakes Newmarket 2/5/15 8 3yo
    21 England Dahlia Stakes Newmarket 3/5/15 9 4+
    22 England 1000 Guineas Stakes Newmarket 3/5/15 8 3yo
    23 Ireland Athasi Stakes The Curragh 4/5/15 7 3yo+
    24 Ireland Mooresbridge Stakes The Curragh 4/5/15 10 4+
    25 England Huxley Stakes Chester 7/5/15 10.34 4+
    26 England Chester Vase Chester 7/5/15 12.3 3yo
    27 England Ormonde Stakes Chester 8/5/15 13.4 4+
    28 England Chartwell Fillies Stakes Lingfield 9/5/15 7 3yo+
    29 Ireland Amethyst Stakes Leopardstown 10/5/15 8 3yo+
    30 Ireland 1000 Guineas Trial Leopardstown 10/5/15 8 3yo
    31 Ireland Derby Trial Stakes Leopardstown 10/5/15 10 3yo
    32 Ireland Blue Wind Stakes Naas 13/5/15 10 3yo+
    33 England Duke Of York Stakes York 13/5/15 6 3yo+
    34 England Musidora Stakes York 13/5/15 10.4 3yo
    35 England Dante Stakes York 14/5/15 10.4 3yo
    36 England Middleton Stakes York 14/5/15 10.4 4+
    37 England Yorkshire Cup  York 15/5/15 14 4+
    38 England Lockinge Stakes Newbury 16/5/15 8 4+
    39 Ireland Vintage Crop Stakes Navan 17/5/15 14 4+
    40 Ireland Ridgewood Pearl Stakes The Curragh 23/5/15 8 4+
    41 Ireland Irish 2000 Guineas The Curragh 23/5/15 8 3yo
    42 Ireland Greenlands Stakes The Curragh 23/5/15 6 4+
    43 England Temple Stakes Haydock 23/5/15 5 3yo+
    44 Ireland Gallinule Stakes The Curragh 24/5/15 10 3yo
    45 Ireland Irish 1000 Guineas The Curragh 24/5/15 8 3yo
    46 Ireland Tattersalls Gold Cup The Curragh 24/5/15 10.5 4+
    47 England Brigadier Gerard Stakes Sandown 28/5/15 10.03 4+
    48 England Henry II Stakes Sandown 28/5/15 16.35 4+
    49 England Sandy Lane Stakes Haydock 30/5/15 6 3yo
    50 England Pinnacle Stakes Haydock 30/5/15 11.91 4+
    51 England John Of Gaunt Stakes Haydock 30/5/15 7 4+


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Selections Saturday 02/05/15, Sunday 03/05/15
    18 … England … Palace House Stakes, Newmarket, 02/05/15 14:30, 5f, 3yo+, selection is Mecca’s Angel, €4 at ???
    19 … England … Jockey Club Stakes, Newmarket, 02/05/15 15:05, 12f, 4yo+, selection is Telescope, €4 at ???
    20 … England … 2000 Guineas Stakes, Newmarket, 02/05/15 8f, 3yo, selection is Nafaqa, €4 at 300
    21 … England … Dahlia Stakes, Newmarket, 03/05/15 14:25, 9f, 4yo+, selection is Belle D’Or, €4 at ???
    22 … England … 1000 Guineas Stakes, Newmarket, 03/05/15 8f, 3yo, selection is Irish Rookie, €4 at 38


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Selections Wednesday 29/4/15
    16….…England……Pavilion Stakes…………..…Ascot…....29/04/15 16:05 …6f …3yo…G3…selection is Limato €4 at 2.34
    17….…England……Sagaro Stakes............Ascot…....29/04/15 15:30 ..16f …4yo+…G3…selection is Tac De Boistron €4 at ??? non-runner High Jink €4 at 14.5


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Selections Wednesday 29/4/15
    17….…England……Sagaro Stakes............Ascot…....29/04/15 15:30 ..16f …4yo+…G3…selection is / Tac De Boistron €4 at ??? non-runner / High Jink €4 at 14.5 non-runner / Seismos €4 at 11.5


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Selections Saturday 02/05/15, Sunday 03/05/15
    18 … England … Palace House Stakes, Newmarket, 02/05/15 14:30, 5f, 3yo+, selection is Mecca’s Angel non-runner Stepper Point, €4 at ???


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Selections and Results
    29/03/15…The Curragh…Park Express Stakes…[Selection: Odeliz, (€4 at odds 4.1) ,7th of 12. Winner: Ramone 100/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 3.1/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 100./1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/1] Cum €-4.
    12/04/15…Leopardstown…1000 Guineas Trial Stakes…[Selection: Legatissimo, (€4 at odds 5.1) ,4th of 8. Winner: Stormfly 4/1J] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 3.6/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 52./1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/2] Cum €-8.
    12/04/15…Leopardstown…Ballysax Stakes…[Selection: John F Kennedy, (€4 at odds 1.31) ,3rd of 3. Winner: Success Days 10/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 2.5/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 38./1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/3] Cum €-12.
    15/04/15…Newmarket…Nell Gwyn Stakes…[Selection: no bet, (€4 at odds n/a) ,n/a of 8. Winner: Osaila 4/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 2.5/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 38./1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/4] Cum €-16.
    16/04/15…Newmarket…Abernant Stakes…[Selection: American Hope, (€4 at odds 22) ,7th of 11. Winner: Astaire 9/2] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 7.1/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 29.6/1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/5] Cum €-20.
    16/04/15…Newmarket…Craven Stakes…[Selection: Hail the Hero, (€4 at odds 16) ,6th of 7. Winner: Kool Kompany 14/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 8.7/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 26.5/1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/6] Cumul €-24.
    16/04/15…Newmarket…Earl Of Sefton Stakes…[Selection: no bet, (€4 at odds n/a) ,n/a of 8. Winner: French Navy 3/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 8.7/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 26.5/1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/7] Cum €-28.
    18/04/15…Newbury…Greenham Stakes…[Selection: Fannaan, (€4 at odds 12.5) ,7th of 9 , Winner: Muhaarar 16/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 9.2/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 24.8/1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/8] Cum €-32.
    18/04/15…Newbury…John Porter Stakes…[Selection: Romsdal, (€4 at odds 2.9) ,3rd of 8. Winner: Arab Spring 11/4] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 8.1/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 21.5/1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/9] Cum €-36.
    18/04/15…Newbury…Fred Darling Stakes…[Selection: Tiggy Wiggy, (€4 at odds 2.1) ,3rd of 11. Winner: Redstart 12/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 7.3/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 20.3/1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/10] Cum €-40.
    19/04/15…The Curragh…Gladness Stakes…[Selection: Cable Bay, (€4 at odds 9.4) ,3rd of 11. Winner: Flight Risk 50/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 7.4/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 23.6/1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/11] Cum €-44.
    24/04/15…Sandown…Classic Trial…[Selection: Cape Clear Island, (€4 at odds 4.0) ,2nd of 4. Winner: Master Apprentice 12/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 6.9/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 22.4/1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/12] Cum €-48.
    24/04/15…Sandown…Gordon Richards …[Selection: Cannock Chase, (€4 at odds 3.2) ,3rd of 5. Winner: Western Hymn 7/2] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 6.5/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 20.7/1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/13] Cum €-52.
    24/04/15…Sandown…Sandown Mile…[Selection: Bow Creek, (€4 at odds 5.0) ,6th of 6. Winner: Custom Cut 4/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 6.3/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 19.3/1 ..... [Win/Lose 0/14] Cum €-56.
    29/04/15…Ascot…Pavilion Stakes…[Selection: Limato, (€4 at odds 2.34) ,1st of 12. Winner: Limato 6/4] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 5.9/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 17.9/1 ..... [Win/Lose 1/15] Cum €-50.91
    29/04/15…Ascot…Sagaro Stakes…[Selection: Seismos, (€4 at odds 11.5) ,7th of 8 , Winner: Mizzou 4/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 6.2/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 16.9/1 ..... [Win/Lose 1/16] Cum €-54.91
    02/05/15…Newmarket…Palace House Stakes…[Selection: Stepper Point, (€4 at odds 5.5) ,4th of 9. Winner: Goldream 7/2] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 6.1/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 16.1/1 ..... [Win/Lose 1/17] Cum €-58.91
    02/05/15…Newmarket…Jockey Club Stakes…[Selection: Telescope, (€4 at odds 1.62) ,2nd of 4] Winner: Second Step 7/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 5.8/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 15.5/1 ..... [Win/Lose 1/18] Cum €-62.91
    02/05/15…Newmarket…2000 Guineas …[Selection: Nafaqa, (€4 at odds 300) ,a/post n/r of 18 , Winner: Gleneagles 4/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 23./1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 14.8/1 ..... [Win/Lose 1/19] Cum €-66.91
    03/05/15…Newmarket…Dahlia Stakes…[Selection: Belle D'Or, (€4 at odds 7.54) ,3rd of 8. Winner: Bragging 9/2] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 22.1/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 14.2/1 ..... [Win/Lose 1/20] Cum €-70.91
    03/05/15…Newmarket…1000 Guineas …[Selection: Irish Rookie, (€4 at odds 38) ,6th of 13. Winner: Legatissimo 13/2] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 22.9/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 13.8/1 ..... [Win/Lose 1/21] Cum €-74.91
    04/05/15…The Curragh…Athasi Stakes…[Selection: Stellar Glow, (€4 at odds 19)
    04/05/15…The Curragh…Mooresbridge Stakes…[Selection: Parish Hall, (€4 at odds 4.2)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Results
    04/05/15…The Curragh…Athasi Stakes…[Bet: Stellar Glow, (€4 at odds 19), 4th of 6, Winner: Iveagh Gardens 25/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 22.7/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 14.4/1 ... [Win/Lose 1/22] Cum €-78.91
    04/05/15…The Curragh…Mooresbridge Stakes…[Bet: Parish Hall, (€4 at odds 4.2), 2nd of 4, Winner: Fascinating Rock 2/5] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 21.7/1: Avg Cum winner SP odds 14.4/1 ... [Win/Lose 1/23] Cum €-82.91


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    07/05/15…Chester…Huxley Stakes … G3 … 10f
    07/05/15…Chester…Chester Vase … G3 … 10f
    08/05/15…Chester…Ormonde Stakes … G2 … 6f
    09/05/15…Lingfield…Chartwell Fillies Stakes … G3 … 10.4f
    10/05/15…Leopardstown…Amethyst Stakes … G2 … 10.4f
    10/05/15…Leopardstown…1000 Guineas Trial … G2 … 10.4f
    10/05/15…Leopardstown…Derby Trial Stakes … G2 … 14f
    13/05/15…Naas…Blue Wind Stakes … G1 … 8f
    13/05/15…York…Duke Of York Stakes … G3 … 14f
    13/05/15…York…Musidora Stakes … G2 … 8f
    14/05/15…York…Dante Stakes … G1 … 8f
    14/05/15…York…Middleton Stakes … G2 … 6f
    15/05/15…York…Yorkshire Cup  … G2 … 5f
    16/05/15…Newbury…Lockinge Stakes … G3 … 10f
    17/05/15…Navan…Vintage Crop Stakes … G1 … 8f
    23/05/15…The Curragh…Ridgewood Pearl Stakes … G1 … 10.5f
    23/05/15…The Curragh…Irish 2000 Guineas … G3 … 10.03f
    23/05/15…The Curragh…Greenlands Stakes … G3 … 16.35f
    23/05/15…Haydock…Temple Stakes … G2 … 6f
    24/05/15…The Curragh…Gallinule Stakes … G3 … 11.91f
    24/05/15…The Curragh…Irish 1000 Guineas … G3 … 7f
    24/05/15…The Curragh…Tattersalls Gold Cup … G3 … 6f
    28/05/15…Sandown…Brigadier Gerard Stakes … G3 … 8.52f
    28/05/15…Sandown…Henry Ii Stakes … G1 … 12.05f
    30/05/15…Haydock…Sandy Lane Stakes … G3 … 8.52f
    30/05/15…Haydock…Pinnacle Stakes … G1 … 12.05f
    30/05/15…Haydock…John Of Gaunt Stakes … G1 … 12.05f
    01/06/15…Naas…Lacken Stakes … G3 … 6f
    05/06/15…Epsom…Diomed Stakes … G3 … 12f
    05/06/15…Epsom…English Oaks … G2 … 6f
    05/06/15…Epsom…Princess Elizabeth Stakes … G1 … 5f
    06/06/15…Epsom…Coronation Cup … G1 … 8f
    06/06/15…Epsom…English Derby … G1 … 8f
    07/06/15…The Curragh…Ballyogan Stakes … G2 … 8f


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Selections
    07/05/15…Chester…Huxley Stakes…[Bet:Maverick Wave, (€4 at ??? odds )]
    07/05/15…Chester…Chester Vase…[Bet:Hans Holbein, (€4 at ??? odds )]
    08/05/15…Chester…Ormonde Stakes…[Bet:Deuce Again, (€4 at ??? odds )]


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Results
    25...07/05/15…Chester…Huxley Stakes…[Bet: Maverick Wave, (€4 at 5.83), 1st of 5, Winner: Maverick Wave 4/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 21./1: Avg Cum winner SP 13.3/1 ... [Win/Lose 2/24] [race €18.35; Cum €-64.56]
    26...07/05/15…Chester…Chester Vase…[Bet: Hans Holbein, (€4 at 3.5), 1st of 6, Winner: Hans Holbein 7/4] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 20.2/1: Avg Cum winner SP 12.8/1 ... [Win/Lose 3/25] [race €9.50; Cum €-55.06]
    27...08/05/15…Chester…Ormonde Stakes…[Bet: Deuce Again, (€4 at 11.5), 3rd of 8, Winner: Clever Cookie 8/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 19.8/1: Avg Cum winner SP 12.6/1 ... [Win/Lose 3/26] [race €-4.00; Cum €-59.06]

    Selections
    28...09/05/15…Lingfield…Chartwell Fillies Stakes…[Bet: Lightning Thunder, (€4 at odds ???)
    29...10/05/15…Leopardstown…Amethyst Stakes…[Bet: Geoffrey Chaucer, (€4 at odds ???)
    30...10/05/15…Leopardstown…1000 Guineas Trial…[Bet: Kissed By Angels, (€4 at odds ???)

    31...10/05/15…Leopardstown…Derby Trial Stakes…[Bet: Order Of St George, (€4 at odds ???)




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Selections update
    28...09/05/15…Lingfield…Chartwell Fillies Stakes…[Bet:Lightning Thunder, (€4 at 4.9), 9th of 11, Winner: Majestic Queen 16/1]Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 19.1/1:Avg Cum winner SP 12.7/1 ... [Win/Lose 3/27][race €-4.00; Cum €-63.06]
    29...10/05/15…Leopardstown…Amethyst Stakes…[Bet:Geoffrey Chaucer, (€4 at 9)]
    30...10/05/15…Leopardstown…1000 Guineas Trial…[Bet:Kissed By Angels, (€4 at 5.6)]
    31...10/05/15…Leopardstown…Derby Trial Stakes…[Bet: Order Of St Geroge n/r Summaya, (€4 at 2.42)]


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    28...09/05/15…Lingfield…Chartwell Stakes…[Bet: Lightning Thunder, (€4 at 4.9), 9th of 11, 1st-Majestic Queen 16/1] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 19.1/1: Avg Cum SP 12.7/1 ... [Win/Lose 3/25] [race €-4.00; Cum €-55.06]
    29...10/05/15…Leopard…Amethyst Stakes…[Bet: Geoffrey Chaucer, (€4 at 9), 7th of 7, 1st-Onenightidreamed 15/8] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 18.7/1: Avg Cum SP 12.3/1 ... [Win/Lose 3/26] [race €-4.00; Cum €-59.06]
    30...10/05/15…Leopard…1000 Guineas Trial…[Bet: Kissed By Angels, (€4 at 5.6), 1st of 9, 1st-Kissed By Angels 13/2] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 18.2/1: Avg Cum SP 12.1/1 ... [Win/Lose 4/27] [race €17.48; Cum €-41.58]
    31...10/05/15…Leopard…Derby Trial Stakes…[Bet: Summaya, (€4 at 2.42), 2nd of 4, 1st-Success Days 8/13] Odds: Avg Cum Betfair 17.6/1: Avg Cum SP 11.7/1 ... [Win/Lose 4/28] [race €-4.00; Cum €-45.58]


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Selections
    32) 13.May...Naas...........Blue Wind Stakes...Bet: Zannda, (€4 at ???)
    33) 13.May...York...........Duke Of York Stakes...Bet: Astaire, (€4 at ???)
    34) 13.May...York...........Musidora Stakes...Bet: Star Of Seville, (€4 at ???)
    35) 14.May...York...........Dante Stakes...Bet: Jack Hobbs, (€4 at ???)
    36) 14.May...York...........Middleton Stakes...Bet: Belle D'Or, (€4 at ???)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Results
    32) 13.May...Naas...........Blue Wind Stakes......[Bet: Zannda, (€4 at 4), 2nd of 7, 1st-Pleascach 10/11] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 17.1: SP 11.3 ... [Win/Lose 4/25] [race €-4.00; cum €-49.58]
    33) 13.May...York...........Duke Of York Stakes...[Bet: Astaire, (€4 at 7.2), 6th of 15, 1st-Glass Office 40/1] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 16.7: SP 12.3 ... [Win/Lose 4/26] [race €-4.00; cum €-53.58]
    34) 13.May...York...........Musidora Stakes.........[Bet: Star Of Seville, (€4 at 1.7), 1st of 5, 1st-Star Of Seville 4/6] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 16.2: SP 11.9 ... [Win/Lose 5/26] [race €2.66; cum €-50.92]
    35) 14.May...York...........Dante Stakes............[Bet: Jack Hobbs, (€4 at 3.9), 2nd of 8, 1st-Golden Horn 4/1] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 15.8: SP 11.9 ... [Win/Lose 5/27] [race €-4.00; cum €-54.92]
    36) 14.May...York...........Middleton Stakes.......[Bet: Belle D'Or, (€4 at 7), 7th of 9, 1st-Secret Gesture 7/2] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 15.5: SP 11.9 ... [Win/Lose 5/28] [race €-4.00; cum €-58.92]

    Selection
    37) 15.May...York...........Yorkshire Cup ........[Bet: Brown Panther, (€4 at 3.35)]


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Results
    37) 15.May...York...........Yorkshire Cup ...........[Bet: Brown Panther, (€4 at 3.35), 2nd of 6, 1st-Snow Sky 5/2] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair .0: SP .0 ... [Win/Lose 5/29] [race €-4.00; cum €-62.92]

    Selections
    38) 16.May...Newbury.......Lockinge Stakes........[Bet: Custom Cut, (€4 at ???)]
    39) 17.May...Navan..........Vintage Crop Stakes...[Bet: Answered, (€4 at ???)]


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Results
    37) 15.May...York............Yorkshire Cup ...........[Bet: Brown Panther, (€4 at 4.2), 2nd of 6, 1st-Snow Sky 5/2] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 15.1: SP 10.9 ... [Win/Lose 5/29] [race €-4.00; cum €-62.92]
    38) 16.May...Newbury........Lockinge Stakes.......[Bet: Custom Cut, (€4 at 10), 9th of 16, 1st-Night Of Thunder 11/4] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 14.9: SP 10.7 ... [Win/Lose 5/30] [race €-4.00; cum €-66.92]
    39) 17.May...Navan..........Vintage Crop Stakes...[Bet: Answered, (€4 at 3.35), 2nd of 8, 1st-Forgotten Rules 8/11] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 14.6: SP 10.4 ... [Win/Lose 5/31] [race €-4.00; cum €-70.92]

    Selections
    40) 23.May...The Curragh....Ridgewood Pearl Stakes...[Bet: Brooch, (€4 at 2.3)]
    41) 23.May...The Curragh....Irish 2000 Guineas.........[Bet: Gleneagles, (€4 at 1.41)]
    42) 23.May...The Curragh....Greenlands Stakes.........[Bet: Astaire, (€4 at 6.2)]
    43) 23.May...Haydock........Temple Stakes.............[Bet: Jack Dexter, (€4 at 19)]
    44) 24.May...The Curragh....Gallinule Stakes..........[Bet: Giovanni Canaletto, (€4 at ???)]
    45) 24.May...The Curragh....Irish 1000 Guineas.......[Bet: Kissed By Angels, (€4 at ???)]
    46) 24.May...The Curragh....Tattersalls Gold Cup.....[Bet: Al Kazeem, (€4 at ???)]


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Results
    40) 23.May...The Curragh....Ridgewood Pearl Stakes...[Bet: Brooch, (€4 at 2.3), 1st of 9, 1st-Brooch 8/11] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 14.2: SP 10.3 ... [Win/Lose 6/31] [race €4.94; cum €-65.98]
    41) 23.May...The Curragh....Irish 2000 Guineas.........[Bet: Gleneagles, (€4 at 1.41), 1st of 11, 1st-Gleneagles 2/5] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 13.9: SP 10.1 ... [Win/Lose 7/31] [race €1.56; cum €-64.42]
    42) 23.May...The Curragh....Greenlands Stakes.........[Bet: Astaire, (€4 at 6.2), 5th of 9, 1st-Mustajeeb 4/1] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 13.6: SP 9.9 ... [Win/Lose 7/32] [race €-4.00; cum €-68.42]
    43) 23.May...Haydock........Temple Stakes..............[Bet: Jack Dexter, (€4 at 19), 2nd of 11, 1st-Pearl Secret 10/1] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 13.8: SP 9.9 ... [Win/Lose 7/33] [race €-4.00; cum €-72.42]
    44) 24.May...The Curragh....Gallinule Stakes............[Bet: Giovanni Canaletto, (€4 at 1.8), 2nd of 7, 1st-Curvy 15/2] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 13.4: SP 9.9 ... [Win/Lose 7/34] [race €-4.00; cum €-76.42]
    45) 24.May...The Curragh....Irish 1000 Guineas.........[Bet: Kissed By Angels, (€4 at 8.4), 17th of 18, 1st-Pleascach 11/2] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 13.3: SP 9.8 ... [Win/Lose 7/35] [race €-4.00; cum €-80.42]
    46) 24.May...The Curragh....Tattersalls Gold Cup.......[Bet: Al Kazeem, (€4 at 3.65), 1st of 6, 1st-Al Kazeem 3/1] Avg Cum Odds/1: Betfair 13.1: SP 9.6 ... [Win/Lose 8/35] [race €10.07; cum €-70.35]


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,745 ✭✭✭ diomed


    Won €69.65; Lost €140.00;= Loss €70.35. Winners 8; losers 35.

    1st .............. 8
    2nd ............ 10
    3rd .............. 7
    4th .............. 3
    5th .............. 1
    6th .............. 4
    7th .............. 6
    9th .............. 2
    17th ............ 1
    non-runner .... 1
    no bet .......... 3
    Races ......... 46


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