The Snow Lovers Appreciation Society Winter 2014/15 #MOD NOTE #1

LordNorbury

I swear I just saw a bit of Graupel at the red Cow roundabout! :D:D

Tabnabs

More likely to be shrapnel in that part of Dublin...

Nabber

4 years on from 2010. Do ye think the snow tyres and bags of salt peddlers will make an appearance this year?

Lucreto

Nabber wrote: »

4 years on from 2010. Do ye think the snow tyres and bags of salt peddlers will make an appearance this year?

I didn't see any last year and the usual places didn't even sell salt didn't get much of a supply.

The snow is waiting until we are completely unprepared to reappear.

SeaBreezes

Anyone know if extraordinary amounts of S02 having been released will affect weather in any way?

http://www.visir.is/iceland-releases-more-sulphur-than-all-of-europe-due-to-eruption/article/2014140929356

Elmer Blooker

Nabber wrote: »

4 years on from 2010. Do ye think the snow tyres and bags of salt peddlers will make an appearance this year?

I bought a big snow shovel in Lidl in 2011, three winters have come and gone - never used!

kstand

SeaBreezes wrote: »

Anyone know if extraordinary amounts of S02 having been released will affect weather in any way?

http://www.visir.is/iceland-releases-more-sulphur-than-all-of-europe-due-to-eruption/article/2014140929356

I cant say this for certain and I'm open to correction, but I recall seeing somewhere in 2010 that the vast number of particles in the atmosphere following the Eyjafjallajökull eruption would have contributed to the amount of snow that fell that winter - as snow forms in the atmosphere when water droplets freeze on to dust particles - so the more dust particles the more snowflakes - or something along those lines.

Tabnabs

Elmer Blooker wrote: »

I bought a big snow shovel in Lidl in 2011, three winters have come and gone - never used!

I use mine for gathering up garden waste...

rat catcher

Elmer Blooker wrote: »

I bought a big snow shovel in Lidl in 2011, three winters have come and gone - never used!

Plus 1

kstand

I'm waiting for the first person to analyse the charts into FI and then start pontificating about what might happen in 3 weeks time and use the immortal phrase "the building blocks are in place". And then for them to fall down.

Red Nissan

I was coming down on the side of no snow this winter, but we have a severely active eruption on going that today has been compared to the famous Vesuvius eruption almost two millennia ago.

The possibility of an even bigger eruption may cause an unforecast event.

stevire

UK Weather is predicting snow, get those PP bets on...

UK Winter 2014/15 Model Conclusion.

It’s hard to argue with that fact that most of the long range models are in some sort of agreement, that there will be a blocking event this winter. However, this pattern will not be dominant all winter, there will be breakdowns to milder conditions at times, although the transition will be difficult as cold air is notoriously difficult to displace. It may also be possible that the blocking set up will return, after any brief mild incursion.

So from what the seasonal forecast models are predicting, coupled with historical data, the conclusion at this moment in time, is that winter will indeed be colder than average. The pattern being predicted is likely to produce some lengthy cold periods, which will no doubt produce periods of snow.

http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/uk-winter-201415-weather-forecast-predictions/

Tabnabs

stevire wrote: »

which will no doubt produce periods of snow

uck51js9zml2yt

I still have my snow chains

tylercollins

stevire wrote: »

UK Weather is predicting snow, get those PP bets on...



http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/uk-winter-201415-weather-forecast-predictions/

So what's going to happen is the opposite lol

tylercollins

Well some of the long range forecasters are at it already.

Snippet taken from: http://goo.gl/w2VXy4

It appears that the famous Donegal postman ‘Michael Gallagher’ has called for heavy snowfalls affecting Ireland before Xmas – saying he is 99 percent sure that the country will see heavy falls of snow before Christmas and that Ireland will shiver soon, claiming that he has never seen so many berries on the trees – a thing which he claims among other things as a sure sign of a cold winter weather ahead. However, he stated that he does not think it will be as cold as the recent severe seasons.



Joe Bastardi of weatherbell.com, a well known and highly respected long range forecaster, among others, has said Ireland and the UK will see prolonged severe freezes this season. However, many forecasters have been skeptical – saying a mild winter season is on the way.

Lucreto

stevire wrote: »

UK Weather is predicting snow, get those PP bets on...



http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/uk-winter-201415-weather-forecast-predictions/

And the rollercoaster begins.

tylercollins wrote: »

Well some of the long range forecasters are at it already.

Snippet taken from: http://goo.gl/w2VXy4

The postman is really early this year. It is usually late October before we hear anything.

I would love it to be a cold snowy Winter but it more than likely mainland Europe and we miss out again. I remember the picture from 2 years ago showing only Ireland green while the rest of Europe was white.

Calibos

Think that was the year that Algeria/Tunisia/Turkey/Lebanon etc got snow. ie. Pretty much the whole Northern Hemisphere from North Africa North....except our little Oasis of green

ectoraige

I'm thinking of visiting relatives in New York for Christmas 2018, can anybody tell me if Dublin Airport will be closed due to snow on the morning of the 23rd and if I might be better off looking into flights from Shannon? You'd think somebody would fly into Cork to take advantage of the snow shield, really. This is or course assuming the eastern seaboard of the US hasn't been devastated by the eruption of Cumbre Vieja, of course.

Thanks.

hatrickpatrick

ectoraige wrote: »

I'm thinking of visiting relatives in New York for Christmas 2018, can anybody tell me if Dublin Airport will be closed due to snow on the morning of the 23rd and if I might be better off looking into flights from Shannon? You'd think somebody would fly into Cork to take advantage of the snow shield, really. This is or course assuming the eastern seaboard of the US hasn't been devastated by the eruption of Cumbre Vieja, of course.

Thanks.

This is absurd, everyone knows 2018 is the year for the Campi Flegrei to erupt. The Cumbre Vieja has been bumped to 2020 after Yellowstone outrageously slipped a bribe to steal the 2019 spot.

Get your facts straight

Calibos

Have you guys integrated European Summer 2014 wild berry tonnage into your calculations for the Winter forecast?

jfSDAS

Well, we don't want to drop another one ... http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/sep/25/goundhog-dies-bill-de-blasio-mayor-drop-zoo

Isn't that pic amazing ... "Sooooo, Phil, what's this about another 6 weeks of winter?"

Sam Kade

Scrappychimow wrote: »

Ok then, everyone that doubts my prediction pays 20 euro in November when there is a blanket of snow across the country :cool:

Only if you are prepared to pay the doubters €20 each if you are wrong

Alun

stevire wrote: »

http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk/uk-winter-201415-weather-forecast-predictions/

FYI That picture is of Tan Hill Inn, the highest pub in England.

derekon

Thanks for the daily forecasts MT - I think you usually issue your Ireland Winter Forecast around mid October? Do you think the Ireland Winter Forecast 2014/2015 will be issued over the coming weeks. Also, do you have any sneak previews in terms of "winter blasts"?

Thanks
D

Tindie

First snowfalls of the season on Scotland's high summits

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-29490869


Well there bit of frost on cars this morning!, when I woke up

Scrappychimow

Sam Kade wrote: »

Only if you are prepared to pay the doubters €20 each if you are wrong

I will seriously

nelly17

tylercollins wrote: »

Well some of the long range forecasters are at it already.

Snippet taken from: http://goo.gl/w2VXy4

But are the high amount of berries not symptomatic of the Mild Indian summer we have had - means nothing really

Missymoohaa

nelly17 wrote: »

But are the high amount of berries not symptomatic of the Mild Indian summer we have had - means nothing really

Came across this article from Nov. 16 2010, less that two weeks before the Big Freeze. It's mentions the bountiful berries, but is referring to Holly Berries. I myself noticed that we have an abundance of berries on our trees this year, so I'll be testing that old wives tale this year once and for all

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/8135035/Holly-berries-suggest-harsh-winter-on-the-way.html

Spring Onion

I saw hailstones today in Galway. Very exciting!