Fourth Annual Boards winter forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

WELCOME to the Fourth Annual Winter Forecast Contest. The rules will be similar to past years, and the prize also the same (20 euros to the winner).

The deadline will give you a chance to peer into the first week of December with some idea what's going on as the season starts. In weather circles, winter is December, January and February, and that will be the basis of our contest. Read the rules carefully and feel free to enter any time before the deadline ...

Entries accepted until 0300h Monday 2 December as "on time" and from that point on, will be penalized 10 points per day which means that entries after 11 December will not be scored and in practical terms, entries after 4 Dec will likely not compete.

The top scores in past years were close to 75/100 to give you some idea of what the standard is. Here are the rules, look at the end of this post for a template that you can use to enter. I will make an effort to review all entries and contact anyone who has an incomplete entry. It's up to you to be familiar with the rules in each question.

(1) For each month Dec Jan Feb, predict the "IMT" which is the Irish Mean Temperature, a statistic developed on this forum by Deep Easterly, and the average of five stations in central inland locations (Shannon, Oak Park, Mullingar, Casement, Claremorris). For newbies, this is the average of daily highs and lows. Over recent 30-year periods, the means have been around 5.6 in Dec, 5.3 in Jan and 5.2 in Feb. Very mild months would run around 8-9 C and very cold ones a little below freezing (Dec 2010 was -0.4). These forecasts generate 5 points each, and the seasonal average, which you don't need to calculate (I do that from your entries) counts for 15 points.

(2) For each month Dec Jan Feb, predict the monthly precipitation as a percentage of normal values. This is calculated as in our monthly forecast contest, from records taken at eleven stations that report in the Met Eireann Monthly Summary. Those are the five mentioned above plus Valentia, Cork, Johnstown Castle, Belmullet, Ballyhaise and Belmullet. Note that Dublin is not included. Values under 50% are considered exceptionally dry and above 200% exceptionally wet (for your guidance). The scoring for these three forecasts and the seasonal average which again you don't need to enter, will also be 5,5,5 and 15 points.

(3) For all the reporting stations of Met Eireann, as reported in their Monthly Summary, predict the seasonal highest and lowest temperatures. This will apply only to dates from 1 Dec to 28 Feb for the max, but can apply to dates both before and after the winter for the min (up to 15 April when the contest results are declared). The max in the past three winters has been close to 15 and the min during the first contest was about -16 but then more like -6 in the second contest and -8 last winter. I would guess the long-term average for the winter minimum is around -8 to perhaps -10. These two predictions are worth ten points each.

(4) Predict the seasonal snowfall (in cms) at Casement. This will run from the first measurable snowfall (which has not happened yet, but your forecast should include anything already reported if it does snow in November, check this thread and elsewhere for updates on that) to 15 April (anything after that won't count as the contest is over on 15 April). These daily snowfall values (if they occur) are measured at hourly intervals and summed, which means the snow depth at any point might not be quite as much as the snowfall amount. However, amounts vary a lot from season to season. In the first contest winter 2010-11, there was about 50 or 60 cms but then we used a stat from Boards member "Danno" in Laois who had about 30 cms. In 2011-12, I believe there was almost zero accumulation and our lowest contest guess had the highest score. This was similar to last winter when most of the field guessed higher than what actually fell at Casement (something like 7 cm). This part is worth ten points.

(5) Finally, predict the highest wind gust in knots at any reporting station in Ireland as per the Met Eireann Monthly Summary, but note that in this case, the period is only the three winter months -- strong winds in November or March or early April won't count, the gust has to be between 1 Dec and 28 Feb. Knots are almost double km/hr and about 1.15 times mph. Values between 70 and 100 knots are most likely to verify from climatology, the extreme range would be about 50 to 120 for this statistic. This part is also worth ten points.

Note: All scores are based on rank order, not absolute differences from prediction to actual values. This equalizes the various sections of the contest and distributes the scores evenly. Once we establish the number of entries, I will update this scoring system, but basically, 10% of the entries get top scores in each category and then on down, with any odd numbers left over getting the zero scores. Where it's 10 points, the gradations are 10,9,8,7,6,5,4,3,2,1,0 and where 5 points, half of those values, where 15 we will give equal numbers of scores, and let you know later how many will share each score (based on number of entries).

Okay then, here's the template, once you understand what to predict, just change all the letters here to number values and block copy, submit along with your comments etc. We're open for entries although you'd be smart to wait until near the end of November (but don't forget, those penalties starting on 2 December are going to bite).

TEMPLATE FOR ENTRIES

DEC-IMT
JAN-IMT
FEB-IMT

DEC-PRC
JAN-PRC
FEB-PRC

MAX

MIN

SNOW

GUST

(all temps can have one decimal place, prc % to nearest whole number, snow can also have one decimal place, gust to nearest whole number)

Good luck and check back, also, if you are new to our contests, check out the December monthly contest when it's announced in the last few days of this month. We do those every month.

(Use this template if at all possible)

0.0 _ 0.0 _ 0.0 ___ 100 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 10.0 _ -10.0 __ 00.0 ___ 00

I will post mine in a week or two, see what we're dealing with at Casement.

omicron

5.6 _ 5.2 _ 5.3 ___ 100 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 15.0 _ -8.0 __ 10.0 ___ 80

Bsal

6.0 _ 4.5 _ 4.2 ___ 85 _ 91 _ 107 ___ 14.1 _ -7.3 __ 9.0 ___ 71

Strasser

6.9 _ 5.6 _ 5.9 ___ 80 _ 110 _ 110 ___ 14.1 _ -7.5 __ 5.0 __78

M.T. Cranium

5.9 _ 4.2 _ 5.1 ___ 70 _ 80 _ 90 ___ 15.5 _ -8.0 __ 10.5 _ 92

pauldry

6.4 _ 5.4 _ 5.2___ 107 _ 101 _ 89 ___ 16.0 _ -11.0 __ 8.0 ___ 75

cdev

6.2 _ 4.0 _ 4.9 ___ 75 _ 98 _ 97 ___ 15.5 _ -12.0 __ 10.5 _ 88

dasa29

5.2 _ 4.9 _ 5.0 ___ 90 _ 85 _ 100 ___ 12.5 _ -12.0 __ 15.0 _ 75

Rikand

5.4 _ 4.7 _ 4.8 ___ 100 _ 90 _ 90 ___ 15.1 _ -9.0 __ 2.2 ___ 85

force eleven

5.6 _ 6.3 _ 5.9 ___ 110 _ 130 _ 125 ___ 6.5 _ -6.7 __ 14.7 ___ 80

snowstreams

4.7_ 4.9 _ 5.2 ___ 88 _ 110 _ 120 ___ 14.5 _ -7.0 __ 8.0 __ 68

MiNdGaM3

4.2 _ 3.1 _ 3.2 ___ 092 _ 080 _ 080 ___ 14.5 _ -13.0 __ 55.0 ___ 88

Lumi

5.7_ 5.1_ 4.9 ___ 90 _ 87 _ 85 ___ 14.9 _ -8.8 __ 24.0 ___ 90

westmidlands

5.8 _ 5.2 _ 5.3 ___ 104 _ 108 _ 100 ___ 15.8 _ -8.0 __ 3.0 ___ 90

DOCARCH

5.4 _ 4.9 _ 5.1 ___ 87 _ 92 _ 103 ___ 14.7 _ -9.2 __ 22.0 ___ 72

talkabout

5.7 _ 4.5 _ 5.1 ___ 90 _ 90 _ 95 ___ 13.9 _ -10.4 __ 5.5 _ 81

traecy1

5.6_5.2_4.5__80_110_75__15.3_-7.2__3.5__70

rameire

5.4 _ 4.9 _ 4.8 ___ 086 _ 098 _ 110 ___ 14.7 _ -8.7 __ 10.0 ___ 65

waterways

5.3 _ 5.2_ 4.9___ 88 _ 99 _ 89 ___ 15_ -8.7 __ 0.5 _ 79

Jpmarn

7.6_ 6.5 _ 5.2 ___ 125 _ 110 _ 80 ___ 15.5_ -8.5 __ 10.5 ___ 85

dacogawa

5.1 _ 4.2 _ 4.7 ___ 78 _ 110 _ 90 ___ 13.2 _ -14 __ 28.0 ___ 88

M.T. Cranium

Table of entries for Winter forecast 2013-14
______________________________________________

All of these entries are on time. No further entries will be accepted at this point. Too close to possible wind max event and I like the fact that nobody has time penalties.

The forecasts are arranged by seasonal temperature (in bold) and where tied, the Dec temp forecast, milder at top and colder at bottom.

Good luck, everybody.


FORECASTER _________ IMT D.J.F.mean ___ PRC D.J.F.mean ____ MAX ___ MIN ____ SNOW ____ MAX GUST

JPmarn ______________ 7.6_6.5_5.2 _ 6.4 __125_110_ 80_105 ___ 15.5 _ -8.5 __ 10.5 ___ 85

Strasser _____________ 6.9_5.6_5.9 _ 6.1 __ 80_110_110_ 100 ___ 14.1 _ -7.5 __ 5.0 ___ 78

force eleven __________ 5.6_6.3_5.9 _ 5.9 __110_130_125_ 122 ___ 16.5 _ -6.7 __ 14.7 ___ 80

Pauldry ______________ 6.4_5.4_5.2 _ 5.7 __107_101_ 89_ 99 ____ 16.0 _-11.0 __ 8.0 ___ 75

westmidlands _________ 5.8_5.2_5.3 _ 5.4 __104_108_100_ 104 ___ 15.8 _ -8.0 __ 3.0 ___ 90

omicron ______________5.6_5.2_5.3 _ 5.4 __100_100_100_100 ___ 15.0 _ -8.0 __ 10.0 ___ 80

Lumi ________________ 5.7_5.1_4.9 _ 5.2 __ 90_ 87_ 85_ 87 ____ 14.9 _ -8.8 __ 24.0 ___ 90

M.T. Cranium _________ 5.9_4.2_5.1 _ 5.1 __ 70_ 80_ 90_ 80 ____ 15.5 _ -8.0 __ 10.5 ___ 92

talkabout ____________ 5.7_4.5_5.1 _ 5.1 ___ 90_ 90_ 95_ 92 ____ 13.9 _ -10.4 ___ 5.5 ___ 81

traecy.1 _____________ 5.6_5.2_4.5 _ 5.1 ___ 90_110_75_ 88 ____ 15.3 _ -7.2 ___ 3.5 ___ 70


Consensus ___________ 5.7_4.9_5.0 _ 5.2 ___ 80_ 99_97_ 92 ____ 14.7 _ -7.2 ___10.3 ___ 80


DOCARCH ____________ 5.4_4.9_5.1 _ 5.1 ___ 87_ 92_103_ 94 ____ 14.7 _ -8.5 __ 22.0 ___ 72

waterways ___________ 5.3_5.2_4.9 _ 5.1 ___ 88_ 99_ 89_ 92 ____ 15.0 _ -8.7 ___ 0.5 ___ 79

cdev ________________ 6.2_4.0_4.9 _ 5.0 ___ 75_ 98_ 97_ 90 ____ 15.5 _-12.0 __ 10.5 ___ 88

rameire ______________ 5.4_4.9_4.8 _ 5.0 ___ 86_ 98_110_ 98 ____ 14.7 _ -8.7 __ 10.0 ___ 65

rikand _______________ 5.4_4.7_4.8 _ 5.0 ___100_ 90_ 90 _ 93 ____ 15.1 _ -9.0 ___ 2.2 ___ 85

dasa29 ______________ 5.2_4.9_5.0 _ 5.0 ___ 90_ 85_100_ 92 ____ 12.5 _-12.0 __ 15.0 ___ 75

Bsal _________________ 6.0_4.5_4.2 _ 4.9 ___ 85_ 91_ 107_ 98 ____ 14.1 _ -7.3 __ 9.0 ___ 71

snowstreams __________ 4.7_4.9_5.2 _ 4.9 ___ 88_110_120 _106 ___ 14.5 _ -7.0 __ 8.0 __ 68

dacogawa ____________ 5.1_4.2_4.7 _ 4.7 ___ 78 _110 _ 90_ 93 ___ 13.2 _ -14.0 __ 28.0 ___ 88

MiNdGaM3 ___________ 4.2_3.1_3.2 _ 3.5 ___ 92_ 80_ 80_ 84 ____ 14.5 _-13.0 __ 55.0 ___ 88

__________________________________________________________________

Consensus values are median of 20 entries. The seasonal averages for those are generated from the three median values and do not quite equal consensus of the forecasters' seasonal averages as a result.

Rikand

Given the storms we've had and the highest recorded gusts in the low 70's, why did so many of us go 80+ ?

Almost seems impossible anymore after this!

M.T. Cranium

Wasn't it 78 at Mace Head the three storms back?

Anyway will be 90 before we're done, Jan almost always follows Dec in weather, always on the calendar of course. Oh we're not in my after hours thread here are we?

tphase

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Wasn't it 78 at Mace Head the three storms back?

correct - 2 gusts recorded at 78kts on the 18th, 1800 and 1900

M.T. Cranium

Strasser and waterways say for wind gusts we're just fine now, thanks ... Pauldry (and Strasser, cdev) say two thumbs up for Dec IMT currently 6.6 and maybe ending at 6.5 ... Jpmarn has Dec precip nailed down ... extreme max is in the hands of the Monthly Summary jury.

M.T. Cranium

Scoring updates

The Dec IMT was 6.7 C and precip was 150% of normal. A wind gust of 78 knots has been recorded and a max of 15.2 could be the final value too. It seems doubtful that we've seen the winter's minimum yet. Based on that, some final and provisional scores are inserted in red and blue (blue subject to change). Early days yet but omicron, Jpmarn, waterways and rikand are doing well so far.

Provisional total points in green.


FORECASTER ______ IMT D.J.F.mean ___ PRC D.J.F.mean ___ MAX __ MIN __ SNOW _ MAX GUST __ TOTAL

JPmarn ___________ 5.0_6.5_5.2 _ 6.4 __5.0_110_ 80_105 ___ 8.0 _ -8.5 __ 10.5 ____ 6.0 ____ 24

Strasser __________ 5.0_5.6_5.9 _ 6.1 __ 1.0_110_110_ 100 ___ 3.0 _ -7.5 __ 5.0 ___10.0 _____ 19

force eleven _______ 3.0_6.3_5.9 _ 5.9 __5.0_130_125_ 122 ___ 2.0 _ -6.7 __ 14.7 ___ 9.0 _____ 19

Pauldry ___________ 4.5_5.4_5.2 _ 5.7 __4.5_101_ 89_ 99 ____ 3.5 _-11.0 __ 8.0 ___ 8.0 _____20.5

westmidlands ______ 3.5_5.2_5.3 _ 5.4 __4.5_108_100_ 104 ___ 5.0 _ -8.0 __ 3.0 ___ 2.0 _____15

omicron ___________3.0_5.2_5.3 _ 5.4 __4.0_100_100_100 ___ 9.0 _ -8.0 __ 10.0 ___ 9.0 _____ 25

Lumi _____________ 3.5_5.1_4.9 _ 5.2 __ 3.5_ 87_ 85_ 87 ____ 8.0 _ -8.8 __ 24.0 ___ 2.0 _____ 17

M.T. Cranium ______ 4.0_4.2_5.1 _ 5.1 __ 0.5_ 80_ 90_ 80 ____ 8.0 _ -8.0 __ 10.5 ___ 1.0 _____ 13.5

talkabout _________ 3.5_4.5_5.1 _ 5.1 ___ 3.5_ 90_ 95_ 92 ____ 2.0 _ -10.4 ___ 5.5 ___ 8.0 _____ 17

traecy.1 __________ 3.0_5.2_4.5 _ 5.1 ___ 3.5_110_75_ 88 ____10.0 _ -7.2 ___ 3.5 ___ 4.5 _____ 21


Consensus ________ 3.5_4.9_5.0 _ 5.2 ___ 1.0_ 99_97_ 92 ____6.0 _ -7.2 ___10.3 ___ 9.0 _____ 19.5


DOCARCH ________ 2.0_4.9_5.1 _ 5.1 ___ 2.0_ 92_103_ 94 ____ 6.0 _ -8.5 __ 22.0 ___ 6.5 _____ 16.5

waterways ________1.5_5.2_4.9 _ 5.1 ___ 2.5_ 99_ 89_ 92 ____ 9.0 _ -8.7 ___ 0.5 ___ 9.5 _____ 22.5

cdev _____________ 4.5_4.0_4.9 _ 5.0 ___ 0.5_ 98_ 97_ 90 ____ 8.0 _-12.0 __ 10.5 ___ 4.0 _____ 17

rameire ___________2.0_4.9_4.8 _ 5.0 ___ 1.5_ 98_110_ 98 ____ 6.0 _ -8.7 __ 10.0 ___ 1.0 _____ 10.5

rikand ____________ 2.0_4.7_4.8 _ 5.0 ___4.0_ 90_ 90 _ 93 ____10.0 _ -9.0 ___ 2.2 ___ 6.0 _____ 22

dasa29 ___________ 1.0_4.9_5.0 _ 5.0 ___ 3.5__ 85_100_ 92 ____ 0.5 _-12.0 __ 15.0 ___ 8.0 _____ 13

Bsal ______________ 4.0_4.5_4.2 _ 4.9 ___ 1.5_ 91_ 107_ 98 ____ 3.0 _ -7.3 __ 9.0 ___ 6.0 _____14.5

snowstreams _______ 0.5_4.9_5.2 _ 4.9 ___ 2.5_110_120 _106 ___ 4.5 _ -7.0 __ 8.0 __ 4.0 _____ 11.5

dacogawa _________ 1.0_4.2_4.7 _ 4.7 ___ 1.0 _110 _ 90_ 93 ___ 1.0 _ -14.0 __ 28.0 ___ 4.0 _____ 7

MiNdGaM3 ________ 0.5_3.1_3.2 _ 3.5 ___ 3.5_ 80_ 80_ 84 ____ 4.5 _-13.0 __ 55.0 ___ 4.0 _____ 12.5

M.T. Cranium

Scoring updates

Posted 2 Jan ... The Dec IMT was 6.7 C and precip was 150% of normal. A wind gust of 78 knots has been recorded and a max of 15.2 could be the final value too. It seems doubtful that we've seen the winter's minimum yet. Based on that, some final and provisional scores are inserted in red and blue (blue subject to change). Early days yet but omicron, Jpmarn, waterways and rikand are doing well so far.

Posted 3 Feb ... The JAN IMT was 5.4 C and precip was 158% of normal. The max wind gust remains 78 knots and the max remains 15.2 ... will address the question of the MIN next update ... Casement snowfall less than 1.0 cm so far. No provisional scores for these yet. I am updating provisional scores, JAN IMT and JAN PRC are settled. Red scores are final, green or blue are subject to changes if their current values are amended.

Provisional total points in blue, points subject to revision in green.


FORECASTER ______ IMT D.J.F.mean ___ PRC D.J.F.mean ___ MAX __ MIN __ SNOW _ MAX GUST __ TOTAL

JPmarn ___________ 5.0_1.5_5.2 _ 6.4 __5.0_4.5_ 80_105 ___ 8.0 _ -8.5 __ 10.5 ____ 6.0 ____ 30

Strasser __________ 5.0_5.0_5.9 _ 6.1 __ 1.0_4.5_110_ 100 ___ 3.0 _ -7.5 __ 5.0 ___10.0 _____ 28.5

force eleven _______ 3.0_2.0_5.9 _ 5.9 __5.0_5.0_125_ 122 ___ 2.0 _ -6.7 __ 14.7 ___ 9.0 _____ 26

Pauldry ___________ 4.5_5.0_5.2 _ 5.7 __4.5_3.5_ 89_ 99 ____ 3.5 _-11.0 __ 8.0 ___ 8.0 _____29

westmidlands ______ 3.5_5.0_5.3 _ 5.4 __4.5_3.5_100_ 104 ___ 5.0 _ -8.0 __ 3.0 ___ 2.0 _____23.5

omicron ___________3.0_5.0_5.3 _ 5.4 __4.0_3.0_100_100 ___ 9.0 _ -8.0 __ 10.0 ___ 9.0 _____ 33

Lumi _____________ 3.5_3.5_4.9 _ 5.2 __ 3.5_1.5_ 85_ 87 ____ 8.0 _ -8.8 __ 24.0 ___ 2.0 _____ 22

M.T. Cranium ______ 4.0_1.0_5.1 _ 5.1 __ 0.5_0.5_ 90_ 80 ____ 8.0 _ -8.0 __ 10.5 ___ 1.0 _____ 15

talkabout _________ 3.5_2.0_5.1 _ 5.1 ___ 3.5_1.5_ 95_ 92 ____ 2.0 _ -10.4 ___ 5.5 ___ 8.0 _____ 20.5

traecy.1 __________ 3.0_5.0_4.5 _ 5.1 ___ 3.5_4.5_75_ 88 ____10.0 _ -7.2 ___ 3.5 ___ 4.5 _____ 30.5


Consensus ________ 3.5_3.5_5.0 _ 5.2 ___ 1.0_3.0_97_ 92 ____6.0 _ -7.2 ___10.3 ___ 9.0 _____ 26


DOCARCH ________ 2.0_3.5_5.1 _ 5.1 ___ 2.0_2.0_103_ 94 ____ 6.0 _ -8.5 __ 22.0 ___ 6.5 _____ 22

waterways ________1.5_5.0_4.9 _ 5.1 ___ 2.5_3.0_ 89_ 92 ____ 9.0 _ -8.7 ___ 0.5 ___ 9.5 _____ 30.5

cdev _____________ 4.5_0.5_4.9 _ 5.0 ___ 0.5_2.5_ 97_ 90 ____ 8.0 _-12.0 __ 10.5 ___ 4.0 _____ 20

rameire ___________2.0_3.5_4.8 _ 5.0 ___ 1.5_2.5_110_ 98 ____ 6.0 _ -8.7 __ 10.0 ___ 1.0 _____ 16.5

rikand ____________ 2.0_2.5_4.8 _ 5.0 ___4.0_1.5_ 90 _ 93 ____10.0 _ -9.0 ___ 2.2 ___ 6.0 _____ 26

dasa29 ___________ 1.0_3.5_5.0 _ 5.0 ___ 3.5__1.0_100_ 92 ____ 0.5 _-12.0 __ 15.0 ___ 8.0 _____ 17.5

Bsal ______________ 4.0_2.0_4.2 _ 4.9 ___ 1.5_1.5_ 107_ 98 ____ 3.0 _ -7.3 __ 9.0 ___ 6.0 _____18

snowstreams _______ 0.5_3.5_5.2 _ 4.9 ___ 2.5_4.5_120 _106 ___ 4.5 _ -7.0 __ 8.0 __ 4.0 _____ 19.5

dacogawa _________ 1.0_1.0_4.7 _ 4.7 ___ 1.0 _4.5_ 90_ 93 ___ 1.0 _ -14.0 __ 28.0 ___ 4.0 _____ 12.5

MiNdGaM3 ________ 0.5_0.5_3.2 _ 3.5 ___ 3.5_0.5_ 80_ 84 ____ 4.5 _-13.0 __ 55.0 ___ 4.0 _____ 13.5

Rikand

Surely there was an 80+ in that storm today ?

Jpmarn

Rikand wrote: »

Surely there was an 80+ in that storm today ?

Shannon airport reported 86knts as it's top gust. The max sustained speed was 58 knts violent storm force 11.

M.T. Cranium

I have adjusted the scoring for the max wind gust category using the provisional value 86 knots. This may be revised at some point ... colour coding will not survive this edit, check back a few posts to see what numbers are scores and what numbers are forecasts.

FORECASTER ______ IMT D.J.F.mean ___ PRC D.J.F.mean ___ MAX __ MIN __ SNOW _ MAX GUST __ TOTAL

JPmarn ___________ 5.0_1.5_5.2 _ 6.4 __5.0_4.5_ 80_105 ___ 8.0 _ -8.5 __ 10.5 ___ 10.0 ____ 34

Strasser __________ 5.0_5.0_5.9 _ 6.1 __ 1.0_4.5_110_ 100 ___ 3.0 _ -7.5 __ 5.0 ___4.0 _____ 22.5

force eleven _______ 3.0_2.0_5.9 _ 5.9 __5.0_5.0_125_ 122 ___ 2.0 _ -6.7 __ 14.7 ___ 6.5 _____ 23.5

Pauldry ___________ 4.5_5.0_5.2 _ 5.7 __4.5_3.5_ 89_ 99 ____ 3.5 _-11.0 __ 8.0 ___ 3.5 _____24.5

westmidlands ______ 3.5_5.0_5.3 _ 5.4 __4.5_3.5_100_ 104 ___ 5.0 _ -8.0 __ 3.0 ___ 7.5 _____29

omicron ___________3.0_5.0_5.3 _ 5.4 __4.0_3.0_100_100 ___ 9.0 _ -8.0 __ 10.0 ___ 6.5 _____ 30.5

Lumi _____________ 3.5_3.5_4.9 _ 5.2 __ 3.5_1.5_ 85_ 87 ____ 8.0 _ -8.8 __ 24.0 ___7.5 _____ 27.5

M.T. Cranium ______ 4.0_1.0_5.1 _ 5.1 __ 0.5_0.5_ 90_ 80 ____ 8.0 _ -8.0 __ 10.5 ___ 6.5 _____ 20.5

talkabout _________ 3.5_2.0_5.1 _ 5.1 ___ 3.5_1.5_ 95_ 92 ____ 2.0 _ -10.4 ___ 5.5 ___ 6.5 _____ 19

traecy.1 __________ 3.0_5.0_4.5 _ 5.1 ___ 3.5_4.5_75_ 88 ____10.0 _ -7.2 ___ 3.5 ___ 1.5 _____ 27.5


Consensus ________ 3.5_3.5_5.0 _ 5.2 ___ 1.0_3.0_97_ 92 ____6.0 _ -7.2 ___10.3 ___ 6.5 _____ 23.5


DOCARCH ________ 2.0_3.5_5.1 _ 5.1 ___ 2.0_2.0_103_ 94 ____ 6.0 _ -8.5 __ 22.0 ___ 2.5 _____ 18

waterways ________1.5_5.0_4.9 _ 5.1 ___ 2.5_3.0_ 89_ 92 ____ 9.0 _ -8.7 ___ 0.5 ___ 4.5 _____ 25.5

cdev _____________ 4.5_0.5_4.9 _ 5.0 ___ 0.5_2.5_ 97_ 90 ____ 8.0 _-12.0 __ 10.5 ___ 9.0 _____ 25

rameire ___________2.0_3.5_4.8 _ 5.0 ___ 1.5_2.5_110_ 98 ____ 6.0 _ -8.7 __ 10.0 ___ 0.5 _____ 16

rikand ____________ 2.0_2.5_4.8 _ 5.0 ___4.0_1.5_ 90 _ 93 ____10.0 _ -9.0 ___ 2.2 ___ 10.0 _____ 30

dasa29 ___________ 1.0_3.5_5.0 _ 5.0 ___ 3.5__1.0_100_ 92 ____ 0.5 _-12.0 __ 15.0 ___ 3.5 _____ 13

Bsal ______________ 4.0_2.0_4.2 _ 4.9 ___ 1.5_1.5_ 107_ 98 ____ 3.0 _ -7.3 __ 9.0 ___ 2.0 _____14

snowstreams _______ 0.5_3.5_5.2 _ 4.9 ___ 2.5_4.5_120 _106 ___ 4.5 _ -7.0 __ 8.0 __ 1.0 _____ 16.5

dacogawa _________ 1.0_1.0_4.7 _ 4.7 ___ 1.0 _4.5_ 90_ 93 ___ 1.0 _ -14.0 __ 28.0 ___ 9.0 _____ 17.5

MiNdGaM3 ________ 0.5_0.5_3.2 _ 3.5 ___ 3.5_0.5_ 80_ 84 ____ 4.5 _-13.0 __ 55.0 ___ 9.0 _____ 18.5