##RAMPING THREAD##

Spindle

Mr Cumulonimbus wrote: »

600+ viewers at the moment!

Did someone say 12h GFS run.........

channaigh

This bloody Rollercoaster is making me sick. Something is brewing though the birds are going mental the last two days so is the bloody cat lol

Spindle

channaigh wrote: »

This bloody Rollercoaster is making me sick. Something is brewing though the birds are going mental the last two days so is the bloody cat lol

My dog keeps on barking 1947, I think he is trying to say something to me

BEASTERLY

Seen a lot of dogs like this recently...


The postman was right!

ktulu123

Will hopefully take a trip up the wicklow mountains in my Jeep Friday or Saturday and get some pictures for you guys

M.T. Cranium

Remember the Greenland Express? This will be more like the Scotland Slow Train stopping at all stations, but it has set out on its journey and the first stop is Ulster east, then Ulster west, then north Connacht then on to Dublin.

Pack a lunch or two because it won't be going a lot faster than walking pace, but I do think it will call just about everywhere before it reaches Cork on Monday.

Put into forecasting terms, this looks like being a gradual north to south replacement of mild Atlantic air now present by snow-chilled air masses seeping into the increasingly easterly circulation from a much colder Britain. The process starts late Friday night when tonight's frontal system stalls and gets pulled back into low pressure near Donegal. That should place most of Ulster in the colder variety of air masses near -1 C with sleet changing to snow, and there could be heavy falls on higher terrain. Expect 5-10 cm in places but 15-25 cm on some hills in the north by late Saturday.

The seepage continues all day Saturday placing parts of inland Connacht and north Leinster on the cold side of a frontal boundary but also the air mass to the south of the boundary will lose its connection to the milder Atlantic source and will begin to modify itself, with temperatures sinking towards 2 C by late Saturday. That will turn showers in the milder air mass more wintry while snow is pushing south. By late Saturday night the frontal boundary will dissolve and all regions will be getting a roughly equal easterly feed of colder air that will now be modified only by crossing the Irish Sea. I would expect streamers to develop with mixed sleety showers near sea level and heavy snow potential in higher parts of Dublin and Wicklow. If any stronger low pressure does develop in the Atlantic and begins to interact with all of this, heavy snow could develop, but if not, the process will remain gradual with further outbreaks of light snow here and there across the central and eventually southern counties. The last district to fall to this process would probably be west Cork and coastal Kerry and that might take most of Monday to finish up, with the possibility that one or two really mild spots could stay above freezing throughout.

I think that by mid-day Monday about 50-70 per cent of the country will have snow cover with an average depth of perhaps 2-4 cm and some fairly isolated falls of 10-30 cm are possible. The most likely places to see heavy snow would be hills in south Donegal and about halfway up the eastern slopes in Wicklow and south Dublin (around 350m might see the heaviest accumulations). I expect reports to be highly variable simply because there won't be strong organization taking place in this colder pattern. Overnight temperatures could eventually fall to about -7 C (would say -3 C for Dublin at some point mid-week) so today would be the day to get yourself some de-icing materials for both the vehicle (if you park outside, expect some hassles with frozen locks and iced over windscreens) and the pavement around your home.

Musicman2000

Sunday night into monday is looking very interesting, from the GS12z run, but take these charts with a pinch of salt:)

Saganist

Musicman2000 wrote: »

Sunday night into monday is looking very interesting, from the GS12z run, but take these charts with a pinch of salt:)

heffoo

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Remember the Greenland Express? This will be more like the Scotland Slow Train stopping at all stations, but it has set out on its journey and the first stop is Ulster east, then Ulster west, then north Connacht then on to Dublin.

Pack a lunch or two because it won't be going a lot faster than walking pace, but I do think it will call just about everywhere before it reaches Cork on Monday.

Put into forecasting terms, this looks like being a gradual north to south replacement of mild Atlantic air now present by snow-chilled air masses seeping into the increasingly easterly circulation from a much colder Britain. The process starts late Friday night when tonight's frontal system stalls and gets pulled back into low pressure near Donegal. That should place most of Ulster in the colder variety of air masses near -1 C with sleet changing to snow, and there could be heavy falls on higher terrain. Expect 5-10 cm in places but 15-25 cm on some hills in the north by late Saturday.

The seepage continues all day Saturday placing parts of inland Connacht and north Leinster on the cold side of a frontal boundary but also the air mass to the south of the boundary will lose its connection to the milder Atlantic source and will begin to modify itself, with temperatures sinking towards 2 C by late Saturday. That will turn showers in the milder air mass more wintry while snow is pushing south. By late Saturday night the frontal boundary will dissolve and all regions will be getting a roughly equal easterly feed of colder air that will now be modified only by crossing the Irish Sea. I would expect streamers to develop with mixed sleety showers near sea level and heavy snow potential in higher parts of Dublin and Wicklow. If any stronger low pressure does develop in the Atlantic and begins to interact with all of this, heavy snow could develop, but if not, the process will remain gradual with further outbreaks of light snow here and there across the central and eventually southern counties. The last district to fall to this process would probably be west Cork and coastal Kerry and that might take most of Monday to finish up, with the possibility that one or two really mild spots could stay above freezing throughout.

I think that by mid-day Monday about 50-70 per cent of the country will have snow cover with an average depth of perhaps 2-4 cm and some fairly isolated falls of 10-30 cm are possible. The most likely places to see heavy snow would be hills in south Donegal and about halfway up the eastern slopes in Wicklow and south Dublin (around 350m might see the heaviest accumulations). I expect reports to be highly variable simply because there won't be strong organization taking place in this colder pattern. Overnight temperatures could eventually fall to about -7 C (would say -3 C for Dublin at some point mid-week) so today would be the day to get yourself some de-icing materials for both the vehicle (if you park outside, expect some hassles with frozen locks and iced over windscreens) and the pavement around your home.

Score !!! Im 215mtr ish up the wicklow hills around 4to 5mins drive from lug

Lucreto

Musicman2000 wrote: »

Sunday night into monday is looking very interesting, from the GS12z run, but take these charts with a pinch of salt:)

leahyl

Oh God that update from MT was like a dream! :pac: Hopefully Cork City will get a bit of that action! Either way it's gonna be bitter!

SnowDrifts

heffoo wrote: »

Score !!! Im 215mtr ish up the wicklow hills around 4to 5mins drive from lug

Glenmalure? Any chance you could report any snowfall tomorrow morning on here?

Tabnabs

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

I would expect streamers to develop with mixed sleety showers near sea level and heavy snow potential in higher parts of Dublin and Wicklow.

Weather Satan has a name, I call him Isle of Mann :mad:

BEASTERLY

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Remember the Greenland Express? This will be more like the Scotland Slow Train stopping at all stations, but it has set out on its journey and the first stop is Ulster east, then Ulster west, then north Connacht then on to Dublin.

Pack a lunch or two because it won't be going a lot faster than walking pace, but I do think it will call just about everywhere before it reaches Cork on Monday.

Put into forecasting terms, this looks like being a gradual north to south replacement of mild Atlantic air now present by snow-chilled air masses seeping into the increasingly easterly circulation from a much colder Britain. The process starts late Friday night when tonight's frontal system stalls and gets pulled back into low pressure near Donegal. That should place most of Ulster in the colder variety of air masses near -1 C with sleet changing to snow, and there could be heavy falls on higher terrain. Expect 5-10 cm in places but 15-25 cm on some hills in the north by late Saturday.

The seepage continues all day Saturday placing parts of inland Connacht and north Leinster on the cold side of a frontal boundary but also the air mass to the south of the boundary will lose its connection to the milder Atlantic source and will begin to modify itself, with temperatures sinking towards 2 C by late Saturday. That will turn showers in the milder air mass more wintry while snow is pushing south. By late Saturday night the frontal boundary will dissolve and all regions will be getting a roughly equal easterly feed of colder air that will now be modified only by crossing the Irish Sea. I would expect streamers to develop with mixed sleety showers near sea level and heavy snow potential in higher parts of Dublin and Wicklow. If any stronger low pressure does develop in the Atlantic and begins to interact with all of this, heavy snow could develop, but if not, the process will remain gradual with further outbreaks of light snow here and there across the central and eventually southern counties. The last district to fall to this process would probably be west Cork and coastal Kerry and that might take most of Monday to finish up, with the possibility that one or two really mild spots could stay above freezing throughout.

I think that by mid-day Monday about 50-70 per cent of the country will have snow cover with an average depth of perhaps 2-4 cm and some fairly isolated falls of 10-30 cm are possible. The most likely places to see heavy snow would be hills in south Donegal and about halfway up the eastern slopes in Wicklow and south Dublin (around 350m might see the heaviest accumulations). I expect reports to be highly variable simply because there won't be strong organization taking place in this colder pattern. Overnight temperatures could eventually fall to about -7 C (would say -3 C for Dublin at some point mid-week) so today would be the day to get yourself some de-icing materials for both the vehicle (if you park outside, expect some hassles with frozen locks and iced over windscreens) and the pavement around your home.

Thanks MT. Could you shed some light on midweek, when do you think a return to milder weather will occur, and would you back the GFS's way of going about it?

Mars rover

Hi,

Like so many I have been reading this for ages but am only posting now

It has been brilliant reading all the insights and learning so many bits about the weather and charts, ok I admit I only like the winter ones!!!! But a big thanks to everyone for looking at the charts and breaking it down into simple terms for the likes of me to understand. I talk about it so much now everyone in work thinks I am a full geek now. (Star Trek/Wars/Gate and the weather???:eek:)

I am trying so hard not to get too excited about the chance of waking up to a dusting of white but my tummy hurts form the excitement of this rollercaoster.

I will be up non stop tonight looking at lamp posts for even a hint of a flake!!

Again big thanks for all the information it helps those who are weather dim like me learn a little bit more

leahyl

Mars rover wrote: »

Hi,

Like so many I have been reading this for ages but am only posting now

It has been brilliant reading all the insights and learning so many bits about the weather and charts, ok I admit I only like the winter ones!!!! But a big thanks to everyone for looking at the charts and breaking it down into simple terms for the likes of me to understand. I talk about it so much now everyone in work thinks I am a full geek now. (Star Trek/Wars/Gate and the weather???:eek:)

I am trying so hard not to get too excited about the chance of waking up to a dusting of white but my tummy hurts form the excitement of this rollercaoster.

I will be up non stop tonight looking at lamp posts for even a hint of a flake!!

Again big thanks for all the information it helps those who are weather dim like me learn a little bit more

My mum thinks I'm half cracked at this stage :pac: It's all part of the fun!

Dead_Rabbits

I CAN'T TAKE ANYMORE UBER RAMPING FROM MT OR THESE UBER CHARTS

Pangea

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

The most likely places to see heavy snow would be hills in south Donegal

Brillant

Mars rover

leahyl wrote: »

My mum thinks I'm half cracked at this stage :pac: It's all part of the fun!

Oh I'm half cracked alright!!! I am now telling everyone in here to keep cat litter in their car and some snacks......just in case. I'm heading out to get fluffy socks (too poor for snow boots) and am packing a bag for my car, not getting caught out like 2010!!!

I blame 1982 for all this waking up to all that snow and being snowed in for days was amazing, getting lost in the snow out the back garden (and my brother stepping out and not being able to find him...class!!)

*sigh*

Dead_Rabbits

I wonder if Gerry Murphy has hit the booze yet, it he coulda been a HERO last night!

zidewayz

heffoo wrote: »

Score !!! Im 215mtr ish up the wicklow hills around 4to 5mins drive from lug

Are you on the east or west side. If MT's forecast is correct east side of mountains should get more snow.

Lagoona Blue

hey everyone so it's happening ..... it's actually happening ?

snow :eek::D




*reads MT's update and falls off chair *

zidewayz

Kippure wrote: »

We need photos.There has to be snow lying in the wicklow mountains by now for sure

I didn't head up there today. Gave it a miss as the temps rose big time yest eve and today so I would of expected a good bit of thaw in progress. Hopefully the next couple of days we will see low lying snow.

Dead_Rabbits

Lagoona Blue wrote: »

hey everyone so it's happening ..... it's actually happening ?

snow :eek::D




*reads MT's update and falls off chair *

leahyl

Dead_Rabbits wrote: »

Where do you find those moving pictures??!!

channaigh

Lagoona Blue wrote: »

hey everyone so it's happening ..... it's actually happening ?

[SIZE="4"]snow[/SIZE] :eek::D




*reads MT's update and falls off chair *

Dont jinks it. Until we see snow then it's happening.
My stomach is in knots

snowstorm445

It's good there are signs of snow but little sustained cold beyond the middle of next week if the charts verify. Some very good snow for most over the weekend and into next week, though, if it verifies.

maquiladora

A ramp from the king of ramps on NW, Steve Murr. :P

Good luck to ireland- the NE part is in a big sweet spot tomorrow- maybe 20cms & beyond...

similar to that easterly from a couple of years ago that landed 12 inches- cant remember the year?

Pangea

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Pack a lunch or two because it won't be going a lot faster than walking pace, but I do think it will call just about everywhere before it reaches Cork on Monday.
.

Meanwhile in Cork

Dead_Rabbits

leahyl wrote: »

Where do you find those moving pictures??!!

The answer you seek is on the "MOVING PICTURE"

munsterlegend

Pangea wrote: »

Meanwhile in Cork

Did you ever hear the phrase saving the best wine till last???!!!

lucy2010

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Remember the Greenland Express? This will be more like the Scotland Slow Train stopping at all stations, but it has set out on its journey and the first stop is Ulster east, then Ulster west, then north Connacht then on to Dublin.

Pack a lunch or two because it won't be going a lot faster than walking pace, but I do think it will call just about everywhere before it reaches Cork on Monday.

Put into forecasting terms, this looks like being a gradual north to south replacement of mild Atlantic air now present by snow-chilled air masses seeping into the increasingly easterly circulation from a much colder Britain. The process starts late Friday night when tonight's frontal system stalls and gets pulled back into low pressure near Donegal. That should place most of Ulster in the colder variety of air masses near -1 C with sleet changing to snow, and there could be heavy falls on higher terrain. Expect 5-10 cm in places but 15-25 cm on some hills in the north by late Saturday.

The seepage continues all day Saturday placing parts of inland Connacht and north Leinster on the cold side of a frontal boundary but also the air mass to the south of the boundary will lose its connection to the milder Atlantic source and will begin to modify itself, with temperatures sinking towards 2 C by late Saturday. That will turn showers in the milder air mass more wintry while snow is pushing south. By late Saturday night the frontal boundary will dissolve and all regions will be getting a roughly equal easterly feed of colder air that will now be modified only by crossing the Irish Sea. I would expect streamers to develop with mixed sleety showers near sea level and heavy snow potential in higher parts of Dublin and Wicklow. If any stronger low pressure does develop in the Atlantic and begins to interact with all of this, heavy snow could develop, but if not, the process will remain gradual with further outbreaks of light snow here and there across the central and eventually southern counties. The last district to fall to this process would probably be west Cork and coastal Kerry and that might take most of Monday to finish up, with the possibility that one or two really mild spots could stay above freezing throughout.

I think that by mid-day Monday about 50-70 per cent of the country will have snow cover with an average depth of perhaps 2-4 cm and some fairly isolated falls of 10-30 cm are possible. The most likely places to see heavy snow would be hills in south Donegal and about halfway up the eastern slopes in Wicklow and south Dublin (around 350m might see the heaviest accumulations). I expect reports to be highly variable simply because there won't be strong organization taking place in this colder pattern. Overnight temperatures could eventually fall to about -7 C (would say -3 C for Dublin at some point mid-week) so today would be the day to get yourself some de-icing materials for both the vehicle (if you park outside, expect some hassles with frozen locks and iced over windscreens) and the pavement around your home.

MT any chance you could spare some travel info with regards flights over next few days - flying Into paris in the morning then back Monday night ?
Thanks

leahyl

Dead_Rabbits wrote: »

The answer you seek is on the "MOVING PICTURE"

thanks....

leahyl

Pangea wrote: »

Meanwhile in Cork

:mad:

MoodeRator

GIFSFORUM.COM maybe?

pebbles21

lucy2010 wrote: »

MT any chance you could spare some travel info with regards flights over next few days - flying Into paris in the morning then back Monday night ?
Thanks

Lol!

maquiladora

sunbabe08

leahyl wrote: »

:mad:

don't know whether to cry, get pissed or laugh at that picture.

heffoo

zidewayz wrote: »

Are you on the east or west side. If MT's forecast is correct east side of mountains should get more snow.

East side

Deank

maquiladora wrote: »

Ah Gerry's just having a laugh with us again, I'm surprised he hasn't put some misht in there...:D

Spindle

Nobody does a ramp like MT, I want to catch a lift on the slow train from Scotland!

shmaupel

Pangea wrote: »

Brillant

Did you ever think you'd see the day south Donegal would be isolated as a potential snow spot in one of mt's forecasts :O exciting :-)

edit: not entirely sure what I'm at with these emoticons but you get my drift...... Pun most definitely intended.

tomcosgrave

Folks, the one question I haven't seen asked is - will there be any graupel? And what is graupel anyway?

:D:D

Mr Benevolent

tomcosgrave wrote: »

Folks, the one question I haven't seen asked is - will there be any graupel? And what is graupel anyway?

:D:D

It'll be mostly graupel. Soft snow pellets.

tomcosgrave

Confab wrote: »

It'll be mostly graupel. Soft snow pellets.

I know, I was just making a joke about what the most obvious question seems to be in these forums when the snow starts falling.

The next question is "What's the Isle of Man shadow?"

Chicken Run

Pangea wrote: »

Meanwhile in Cork AND CLARE

irish1967

BEFORE THE SNOW ARRIVES TOMORROW COULD EVERYONE ENSURE THEY HAVE THEIR LOCATION LISTED AND IF POSSIBLE THEIR HEIGHT ABOVE SEA LEVEL.

THANKS

Harry Deerpark

irish1967 wrote: »

BEFORE THE SNOW ARRIVES TOMORROW COULD EVERYONE ENSURE THEY HAVE THEIR LOCATION LISTED AND IF POSSIBLE THEIR HEIGHT ABOVE SEA LEVEL.

THANKS

Do you know of a website where I can find my altitude?

Supercell

Harry Deerpark wrote: »

Do you know of a website where I can find my altitude?

Easiest way I think is to install google earth and put the pointer over your house, it should show your height on the bottom.

stooge

Harry Deerpark wrote: »

Do you know of a website where I can find my altitude?

I used http://dateandtime.info/citycoordinates.php