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Paddy's Tipping delights

  • 18-12-2011 11:01pm
    #1
    Posts: 0


    So, here I am, a decent bloke who tries to help out those less inclined to do some research on their own tips, in this thread I'll be helping those out by posting my own tips and keeping you up to date daily/bi-daily on my stakes and profit/loss made by each bet. Firstly I'll be introducing this thread by outlining my own personal rules for betting; which are as follows:

    ~~~~~~~~

    1) Never chase Losses!
    2) Avoid betting on sport just because your bored or for interest, the money you will most likely lose could be invested into something much more profitable.
    3) Singles are always better than accumulators.
    4) Research, research research. My brother lost an accumulator today because he went on form rather than team news, find out as much as you can to put you in the best position as possible.
    5) DON'T bet on horses, odds are too market orientated and oftentimes the favourite is dependent on the word of a couple of lads "in the know"", also one fence can feck up a horse's race, remember Kauto Star? Expect that to happen to Frankel.
    6) Open up as many bookmaker accounts as possible, always place your bets at the highest possible price available to maximise your advantage over the bookmakers.
    7) Never bet on Casino or 'Games'. Mugs lose money on these every day.
    8) Its always advised to increase the stake and lower the risk rather than lower the stake and increase the risk.
    9) Asian handicap is the best market to bet on apart from arb's, as the market total is priced higher than any other market. E.g. even chance would be 1.925 vs 1.925 which is higher than fractional odds of 5/6 vs 5/6 (Bet365) and 10/11 vs 10/11 (WH). This minimises the advantage that the bookmaker has.
    11) Avoid betting when under the influence of alcohol or any other substance.
    12) Cover bets, never assume a bet is safe, its always better to 'green out' than risk loosing your stake.
    13) Always check your bets thoroughly before pressing 'place'. Make sure you've not placed on the wrong market.

    ~~~~~~~~~~

    I've been tipping on the private site for some time now and so I thought I'd add my tips on here too! I hope you learn something and start making money yourself from learning from my advice and seeing profit.


«1

Comments

  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    .....................
    5) DON'T bet on horses, odds are too market orientated and oftentimes the favourite is dependent on the word of a couple of lads "in the know"", also one fence can feck up a horse's race, remember Kauto Star? Expect that to happen to Frankel..............

    Best of luck with your log, I don't agree with some aspects of point 5 though :)
    Frankel doesn't go over fences too btw.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    My starting bank will be €1000, This can be followed in any way, but to help you to realise what exactly you should be placing I'll be doing my bets in units, there will be 3 stake sizes, they are as follows:
    Small Stake = 1 unit = 25 euro.
    Medium Stake = 2 units = 50 euro.
    Large Stake = 4 units = 100 euro.
    _______________

    There isn't an awful lot of value for Monday, but there may be some when I do a tad more searching. My First tip on this page shall be on a game not too far from home, on this match:

    http://www.oddschecker.com/football/european-football/other-leagues/northern-ireland/northern-ireland-premier-league/donegal-celtic-v-cliftonville/winner

    The tip is Cliftonville to beat Donegal Celtic in the IFA Premiership, both sides are suffering from different fortunes in this season, Cliftonville though have lost their 2 last matches both against Coleraine, a side who’re on a great patch of form. The odds for Cliftonville are incredibly high considering that before the losses to Cliftonville they had won their previous 13 matches comfortably. While on the other hand Donegal Celtic are one of the worst sides in the league (in my opinion), they’ve got one of the worst home records in the league only winning 3 of their games, with one of them coming against Wakehurst who’re in a lower division. Whenever though they have won in the league its been a tight affair where only 1 goal is in between it, I’m disregarding Cliftonville’s recent dip in form for this one as their price is FAR too high. This tip is in advance as the game is on the 21st you won’t get higher odds than the 1.83 which is being offered on Williamhill.

    Cliftonville to win: 1.67
    WilliamHill


    Kick-off: 21st December @19:45


    The market for this match has already been as low as 1.53 on PP, and if you were lucky enough to get on it yesterday you could have gotten on it at 1.85. Remarkable odds.


    This shall be a high stake so you'll be placing 4 units on it. Your return should either be -4 units or 2.68 units profit.


    Cliftonvilles form is available from here:
    http://www.soccerway.com/teams/northern-ireland/cliftonville-fc/matches/


    Donegal Celtic's form is available here:
    http://www.soccerway.com/teams/northern-ireland/donegal-celtic-fsc/matches/


    Head2Head form is available here:
    http://www.soccerway.com/matches/2011/04/01/northern-ireland/ifa-premiership/cliftonville-fc/donegal-celtic-fsc/1099158/head2head/


    An interesting fact to take from this is that from their previous 14 games Cliftonville have won 9 of the 14 matches, drawn 5 and only lost one. Enjoy.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    RoverJames wrote: »
    Best of luck with your log, I don't agree with some aspects of point 5 though :)
    Frankel doesn't go over fences too btw.

    Some lads like Pyro seem to have it down, I only ever back and lay them myself on the place markets, I guess if you know enough or have enough of an idea about the horse in the race you'll be a better person than most when it comes to it, but the majority of punters seem to just place on horses in hope rather than in knowledge, at least with football betting you can find value in the market and place on it, I know no one event is the same in football either and it is an unpredictable sport to bet on, but with enough research we can limit losses and maximise profit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,408 ✭✭✭ft9


    Are you successful?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,453 ✭✭✭wolfyboy555


    Looking forward to following! You have a great record on the private site and know your stuff! do you have a particular target to reach from 1000?


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    ft9 wrote: »
    Are you successful?

    He is 9.

    Good luck Paddy.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    ft9 wrote: »
    Are you successful?

    Thats quite an open ended question.
    Looking forward to following! You have a great record on the private site and know your stuff! do you have a particular target to reach from 1000?

    Nope, not particularly, I just have a side fund which is for arbs and this is for betting, about 5k in bankroll, 4k split to arbs and I put away a certain amount into a savings scheme. I'm just making sure to have a certain amount able to stake at any one time so that I can live off of my profits. I'm already up 450 in the last 4 days, 50:50 from arbitrage/betting.

    I'll be aiming to double up by the new year.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,357 ✭✭✭✭SteelyDanJalapeno


    Kill em Paddy,


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,408 ✭✭✭ft9


    Thats quite an open ended question.
    I'l simplify it for you. Are you making money or losing money as a result of gambling?

    Answer seems obvious now from other replies. Best of luck


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,610 ✭✭✭shocksy


    Best of luck, look forward to seeing some of your tips :)


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    An interesting thing to take note of about the Cliftonville game is the probability and change in markets, as this game is on the 21st, the odds are going to continue when the masses start placing on the favourites come the hour before kick off meaning probability is likely to increase. At these times where odds shorten you can either choose to hold out for the tip, or to trade out, many times when watching a match you can see who is on top and if your side is still priced favorably it is advised to trade out and to save you from losing as much money as possible.

    Ol03l.png

    Here is the probability and the odds change from the match at hand. As you can see money is already on Cliftonville to win, the odds could shorten to as low at 1.44 for them to win, so I'd recommend to get on early to maximise potential profit from this bet.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The only real bet which interests me for the 19th of December is this:

    85% of the money staked on this game in the Serie B is on under 2.5. its between 2 sides who're playing quite decent but with Sampdoria struggling for goals and having one of the strongest defences in the Division its hard seeing lots of goals in it, Sampdoria's last six games have had a total of 7 goals from both sides in it, I can't see it being any different today as Sampdoria have only been in 1 game with over 2.5 goals in their last 9 outings. Available at the ridiculously high price of 2.75 on StanJames.

    Sampdoria have the 3rd best defense in the league, and are no doubt going to be a hard task for Pescara to break down tomorrow, there is too much value in this one to ignore.

    Small stake on Under 2.5 goals. The 2.75 is already available to be layed on betfair at a value of 2.58, when taking into account commission you're able to get a yield of 1.2%, odds though are shortening on VC, Betfair and WBX, all the money placed on the market is on unders in this one, and well, the price could drop well below the 2.38 offered on most sites.

    http://www.oddschecker.com/football/european-football/italy/serie-b/pescara-v-sampdoria/over-under-2.5

    TIP IS SMALL STAKE ON UNDER 2.5 @2.75

    KO @ 19.45


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    My starting bank will be €1000, ..................
    Small Stake = 1 unit = 25 euro.
    Medium Stake = 2 units = 50 euro.
    Large Stake = 4 units = 100 euro.

    .....................


    ...........



    ...................

    I'll be aiming to double up by the new year.

    This will be savage :cool:
    A grand from a bank of a grand in 10/11 days :cool:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭yesno1234


    The only real bet which interests me for the 19th of December is this:

    85% of the money staked on this game in the Serie B is on under 2.5. its between 2 sides who're playing quite decent but with Sampdoria struggling for goals and having one of the strongest defences in the Division its hard seeing lots of goals in it, Sampdoria's last six games have had a total of 7 goals from both sides in it, I can't see it being any different today as Sampdoria have only been in 1 game with over 2.5 goals in their last 9 outings. Available at the ridiculously high price of 2.75 on StanJames.

    Sampdoria have the 3rd best defense in the league, and are no doubt going to be a hard task for Pescara to break down tomorrow, there is too much value in this one to ignore.

    Small stake on Under 2.5 goals. The 2.75 is already available to be layed on betfair at a value of 2.58, when taking into account commission you're able to get a yield of 1.2%, odds though are shortening on VC, Betfair and WBX, all the money placed on the market is on unders in this one, and well, the price could drop well below the 2.38 offered on most sites.

    http://www.oddschecker.com/football/european-football/italy/serie-b/pescara-v-sampdoria/over-under-2.5

    TIP IS SMALL STAKE ON UNDER 2.5 @2.75

    KO @ 19.45

    Word of warning in respect of this, generally when it's too good to be true, it is and with the history of fixes in Italy I'm not going to follow you on this. Best of luck though and hopefully I'm wrong.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    That's the only reason as to why I'm going small stake on it, I can't see a team like Sampdoria causing any chances of a possible promotion any more harm by fixing their results, currently they're mid table and to fix it in any way it would hamper their already poor chance of promotion, they've not got the firepower to score many either, I think the odds are skewed in such a way due to Pescara's scoring form if anything.

    Were it anywhere other than Italy or Turkey though, this would definitely be a very large stake.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭yesno1234


    That's the only reason as to why I'm going small stake on it, I can't see a team like Sampdoria causing any chances of a possible promotion any more harm by fixing their results, currently they're mid table and to fix it in any way it would hamper their already poor chance of promotion, they've not got the firepower to score many either, I think the odds are skewed in such a way due to Pescara's scoring form if anything.

    Were it anywhere other than Italy or Turkey though, this would definitely be a very large stake.

    Good start Paddy, followed ya with a €10 in the end.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Finished 1 nil to Pescara. Gd shout. I went with under 3.5 goals with PP at 2/1 ON, should of took your advice and went with the under 2.5. Still a happy camper though. I will be following this thread from now on.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Pescara v Sampdoria
    FT: 1-0

    Unders came flying in! I'll have a gander at the DFB Pokal tomorrow to find the best value. Initial interest is in the handicap bets on Bayern and Dortmund, once I hear the team news I'll announce my intent.

    Anyway, thats a decent start to the log.

    +1.75 units!

    Current Bank: 41.75 units.

    _________________________________________

    Don't forget, tomorrow, Cliftonville to win is the tip.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,314 ✭✭✭BOHtox


    Pescara v Sampdoria
    FT: 1-0

    Unders came flying in! I'll have a gander at the DFB Pokal tomorrow to find the best value. Initial interest is in the handicap bets on Bayern and Dortmund, once I hear the team news I'll announce my intent.

    Anyway, thats a decent start to the log.

    +1.75 units!

    Current Bank: 41.75 units.

    _________________________________________

    Don't forget, tomorrow, Cliftonville to win is the tip.



    I think that match is on the following day.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    BOHtox wrote: »
    I think that match is on the following day.

    CORRECT! Its on the Wednesday, I'll give the Pokal a look tomorrow to look for something to keep you interested.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,672 ✭✭✭elefant


    Nice one Paddy! Think I'll follow you on a few more of these (with considerably smaller bets I must admit :p)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 65 ✭✭buzztastic


    Good luck with it, i think organisation and discipline are important in betting and you definitely seem to have the organisation down.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Okay well, I've done a tiny bit of research for tomorrow, this isn't the tip as of yet, its just some thoughts on what I've found so far.

    So here it is! Simple one tomorrow.

    http://www.oddschecker.com/football/european-football/france/ligue-2/monaco-v-clermont-foot

    Looking at this, you'll think, Monaco, former champions league runners up, recently relegated to Ligue 2 with what should have been a good squad to contend in the 2nd division, and Clermont Foot, a side who's name includes foot, so you can only presume that they stink? Right? Wrong. Two sides here who're in completely opposite sides of the table, one on the top, while the other on the bottom. Clermont are the top of the division are are surprisingly underdogs in this battle. This makes me wary of it, so as of yet I've not tipped it, based on my knowledge of the league there isn't many "dodgy" affairs and yet I feel as if the Bookies have an inside knowledge to this one, so until closer to kick off I won't be tipping this bet.

    http://www.soccerway.com/teams/france/clermont-foot-auvergne/matches/

    Looking at this from an outside perspective its 1st against last tomorrow in Ligue 2, not a tip for tomorrow, but I'm wondering what other people think of it:

    Asian Handicap 0: Clermont Foot = 2.25 188Bet
    Asian Handicap +0.5: Clermont Foot = 1.57 Bet365

    Monaco have not won in their last 4 home games, drawing 3 and losing 1, and their most recent victory at home was to Arles, only a position above them in the table in 19th place. Shocking form, while Clermont have won 4 of their last 5 games and have only lost on their travels once to Nantes during a period in which Nantes were on a 6 game no lose streak, Clermont should win tomorrow, but these are the two safest bets.

    Effectively going by form, Clermont should win, but I'm apprehensive. Sorry to sound cliché'd here, but if something sounds too good to be true, it probably is, in this matter I'm going to research this bet a bit more before I place my bet on it tomorrow.

    My current knowledge of the match in terms of injuries is as follows:
    ~
    Monaco missing 3 players through suspension, Clermont are full strength as far as I am aware.
    ~

    From the knowledge I've attained I can see on Pinaccle (one of the sites whose lines only move when large stakes are placed) Odds opened at 3.19 and have moved up to 3.41 but haven't moved an awful lot over the last couple of days. Betfair's odds haven't moved much either over the last 2 days, it seems that they're just overpriced with many sites like Ladbrokes opening up with odds of 2.5 but being swayed due to the opening odds of the Asian Bookies and people arbing on the higher prices placed on the smaller bookies. In all I see no reason for this to be fixed, so I'm going to tip this. (I've been gradually updating and writing as I've researched)

    Asian Handicap 0: Clermont Foot = 2.25 188Bet
    Asian Handicap +0.5: Clermont Foot = 1.57 Bet365

    2 units on +0.5 Asian Handicap (effectively double chance on draw & Clermont)
    1 unit on Asian Handicap 0 (the same as Draw No Bet, just with better odds) Clermont Foot

    If this is a draw or a win for Clermont we'll be very happy. I'm not staking large on it as I'm still a tad tetchy on the pricing.

    _________________________________________________________________


    Tomorrow, is the day of the Pokal in Germany, some of the final games to be played before the teams go on their winter break. With teams wanting to go and smack some lower tier teams ass before they go on a break with their families, or with their class a hookers.

    Two games stick out like sore thumbs for me, and they include the two big boys in the Bundesliga in BVB Dortmund, and the huge Bayern. Both of these sides will win tomorrow, thats for sure, but I've yet to decide on what to place on in this market. Both sides will take these games seriously as they'll be in the quarter finals, should they overcome Dusseldorf and Bochum respectively.

    Dusseldorf will be no easy task for Dortmund to overcome, while with injuries and suspensions for Bayern, Bochum shouldn't be taken as an easy fixture either.

    Both of these games will be offering incredible values in certain markets, expect a nice bet on these before they begin. Bayern kick off at 6pm, while BVB are off at 7.30.

    I'll be seeing you tomorrow. x


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Hello again lads, so, here we are, I said I'd have advice for you on the Pokal, but, due to injuries, suspensions and the form of Dusseldorf I've decided against betting on both of these games, the cup can always be tricky and even though I expect both teams to be winning, there still is a large element of risk with Bayern's injuries and suspensions, and Goetze being injured and Kagawa's poor form for BVB. So I'll be leaving these two for today.


    ___________________________________


    As an update to the bets for today and tomorrow I'll include these two images showing implied probability and how they've changed since I've tipped, which is always good, as both have become more likely, with Cliftonville's best odds dropping to 1.62 and Clermont to win's best odds dropping to 2.88, interestingly enough Monaco are now as high as 2.9 to win on Bwin meaning we could cover now and guarantee profit on both options with 1.86% profit on the double chance bet, and 3.37% profit on the DNB. But we shant be doing that, here are the images:

    Monaco v Clermont Foot

    Q1biX.png

    Donegal Celtic v Cliftonville

    GT3Yv.png

    Expect Cliftonville's odds to continue to drop over the next 24 hours.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    http://women.soccerway.com/matches/2011/12/20/israel/ligat-al-women/maccabi-tzur-shalem/as-tel-aviv-university/1227625/

    This will be in play on BET365.

    ASA TEL AVIV will win, and comfortably. They tend to score early in matches, the 1st half Asian bet on -3, -3.5 will be roughly 1.9.

    2 units on. Very confident.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭yesno1234


    http://women.soccerway.com/matches/2011/12/20/israel/ligat-al-women/maccabi-tzur-shalem/as-tel-aviv-university/1227625/

    This will be in play on BET365.

    ASA TEL AVIV will win, and comfortably. They tend to score early in matches, the 1st half Asian bet on -3, -3.5 will be roughly 1.9.

    2 units on. Very confident.

    FFS, suspended on Bet365 before I get a bet on, reappears at 2-0:mad:

    Took -6.5 AH at 2-0, forgetting that AH is taken as if it's 0-0. Gonna trade out asap


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    http://women.soccerway.com/matches/2011/12/20/israel/ligat-al-women/maccabi-tzur-shalem/as-tel-aviv-university/1227625/

    This will be in play on BET365.

    ASA TEL AVIV will win, and comfortably. They tend to score early in matches, the 1st half Asian bet on -3, -3.5 will be roughly 1.9.

    2 units on. Very confident.

    4-0 after 30 minutes. Easy.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The first half ended 5-0 to Asa Tel Aviv, so there is my second win. 2/2

    +1.8 units!

    Current Bank: 43.55 units.

    Still one to play tonight, Come on Clermont!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,357 ✭✭✭✭SteelyDanJalapeno


    Cheers for giving us a shout on fb, would of missed it otherwise ;)


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Follow the thread, sort out Thunderbird, and whammy, you'll get instant email notifications of when I post ;) Almost easier than FB.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭yesno1234


    Match was gone off Bet365 before I got a chance to trade out. 10-0 now :D. Thanks Paddy (I think :p) and my own stupidity :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,123 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    Following thread


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    yesno1234 wrote: »
    Match was gone off Bet365 before I got a chance to trade out. 10-0 now :D. Thanks Paddy (I think :p) and my own stupidity :pac:

    I think it was settled at 14-0. Watch out for these Israeli women football matches, serious money to be made.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭yesno1234


    I think it was settled at 14-0. Watch out for these Israeli women football matches, serious money to be made.

    http://live2.7m.cn/goals_live_en.aspx?Classid=&view=all&match=&line=no&ordType

    10-0 According to this, live chat on Bet365 gave this link when I went on to complain about the match being pulled.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,408 ✭✭✭ft9


    Paddy any chance you could explain Asian handicaps to me? I followed your 1st 2 bets in a double but did not follow the 2nd 2 as I don't understand them. Incredible picking, long may it last. Love the confidence you deliver your tips with. Well done.


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    <Mod Edit - content removed; No self promoting please>

    So here Asian Handicaps:

    as a newbie to these handicaps I couldn't get my head around the full numbers '0' '1' '2' etc but it simply denotes that the draw is a 'no bet' that is; a draw once the handicap has been applied, obviously for a '0' handicap it simply means that there is no goal advantage to either side but if a draw occurs then it is a no bet. i.e. stake returned.

    0.25 is the same as 0, 0.5 = half bet on 0.5 goal handicap other half on '0' which denotes a 'draw no bet

    0.75 is the same as 0.5, 1.0 = half bet on 0.5 goal handicap, other half of bet on 1 goal handicap if draw then no bet.

    1 .25 is the same as 1, 1 .5 = half bet on 1 goal handicap, draw no bet, other half of bet on 1.5 goal handicap

    1.75 is the same as 1 .5, 2 .0 = half bet on 1.5 goal handicap, other half of bet on 2 goal handicap if draw no bet

    2.25 is the same as 2, 2 .5 = half bet on 2 goal handicap draw no bet, other half of bet on 2.5 goal handicap

    2.75 is the same as 2 .5, 3.0 = half bet on 2.5 goal handicap, the other half of bet on 3 goal handicap with no bet if draw

    Over/Under Asian Handicap
    2.25 = Half bet on over/under 2 goals exactly, half bet on over/under 2.5 goals

    2.75 = Half bet on over/under 2.5 goals, half bet on over/under 3 total goals.

    Explaining the basic handicaps:
    -0.5
    This depends on the side you're betting on, if it is -0.5 on the home side then you're betting on them just to win, sometimes these markets are marked higher than the win markets but it is the exact same as to win. The opposite of this bet is the +0.5

    +0.5
    This bet is betting on the double chance, if you're betting on todays game you'll see I bet on Clermont +0.5, this means I'm betting on them to start the game with a +0.5 goal start, meaning that if the game ends in a draw there is a half goal added to their game, meaning they win if its a draw or a win for them.

    Asians are pretty much markets which are unknown bet the average gambler, they offer better value and the payout is much higher in them than on the draw no bet market for example. If you don't understand something on this just ask and I'll be willing to help.


    _________________________________________


    FT: Monaco: 0 - 0 :Clermont Foot
    Meaning:
    Asian 0: Full stake returned. (1 unit)
    Asian +0.5: 2 units @1.575 = 1.15 units profit!

    Current Bank: 44.70 units.

    In 2 days I'd consider this a decent return. Hope you're following. Now onto tomorrow. Cliftonville! I might get on something in play if it looks tasty, so make sure to get your email notifications set up correctly when following. 4 units on tomorrow looking for 2.68 units profit making it a steady profit over the last couple of days. Talk to you lads.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    <Mod Edit - content removed; No self promoting please>

    _________________________________________


    Summary of today's betting.
    I'm happy with the wins from today, unfortunately I looked past my own advice and decided to do a treble which lost, so today overall I'm down 12 euro, fortunately that wasn't included in my log. But this is just to tell you guys to stick to the singles, increase the stake rather than the risk. Drill this into your mind and you'll become a better gambler.

    In regards to the Pokal I feel as if I chose right to ignore the games today, both games were disappointing, and none of the handicaps which I would have tipped would have come in, luckily I avoided and I hope you did too! There was very little value when looking into the matches in detail. Cliftonville is tomorrows tip, but, I've got a late night surprise for you!

    _____________________________________


    I've an interesting stake on tonight, potentially a very good one too. Another woman's football bet, if any of you remember the last match (yes it was 4 hours ago now), I've got another potential profit maker, the last game was a typical match for womens football, goals goals goals, this game though, I'm expecting to be the polar opposite of it, the game is between these two sides:

    Newcastle Jets women vs Perth Glory women

    Newcastle Jets are the better side in this game, as has been shown through the stats, but in essence they're not a great side themselves either, the last 3 meetings between these hairy chested and beer guzzling women have been 1-0, 1-0 and 0-0. Hardly prolific forwards are they? Both sides are poor in their 7 team league with them both losing by quite large amounts yet neither scoring a lot, both sides have similar form too, losing 4 of their last 5 games, neither side are going to be great in this game and the odds are geared as if it were a normal game and not a game between two sides who've produced 2 goals in total in their last 3 meetings.

    Go on the Goal line under 3.5, 4.0.
    Currently it is 1.925, I got on it at evens but there is definitely large sums being placed on it. Get on quick to avoid disappointment.

    2 units staked!

    5am kickoff.


  • Moderators Posts: 8,754 ✭✭✭x PyRo


    Paddy, I've edited a couple of your posts due to self promotion being against the rules of this site. If you want to advertise, contact the men at the top.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    x PyRo wrote: »
    Paddy, I've edited a couple of your posts due to self promotion being against the rules of this site. If you want to advertise, contact the men at the top.

    Fair enough Pyro, I wasn't sure of the rules, I thought by saying "if you PM me I can give you more details" sort of allusions were allowed on the site as I'm not directly linking to a site or such. Sorry if it caused any hassle.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I've an interesting stake on tonight, potentially a very good one too. Another woman's football bet, if any of you remember the last match (yes it was 4 hours ago now), I've got another potential profit maker, the last game was a typical match for womens football, goals goals goals, this game though, I'm expecting to be the polar opposite of it, the game is between these two sides:

    Newcastle Jets women vs Perth Glory women

    Newcastle Jets are the better side in this game, as has been shown through the stats, but in essence they're not a great side themselves either, the last 3 meetings between these hairy chested and beer guzzling women have been 1-0, 1-0 and 0-0. Hardly prolific forwards are they? Both sides are poor in their 7 team league with them both losing by quite large amounts yet neither scoring a lot, both sides have similar form too, losing 4 of their last 5 games, neither side are going to be great in this game and the odds are geared as if it were a normal game and not a game between two sides who've produced 2 goals in total in their last 3 meetings.

    Go on the Goal line under 3.5, 4.0.
    Currently it is 1.925, I got on it at evens but there is definitely large sums being placed on it. Get on quick to avoid disappointment.

    2 units staked!

    5am kickoff.

    Looked like it was coming in for the large majority of the game, it ended 3-1 meaning half stake was returned, but we've had our first loss.... -1 unit :(


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    3-0 at half time in the Cliftonville match. looking tops.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 322 ✭✭Dunston


    3-0 at half time in the Cliftonville match. looking tops.

    Lovely stuff Paddy, first one i followed you on, keep em coming!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭yesno1234


    Like the look of anything tonight Paddy?


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    yesno1234 wrote: »
    Like the look of anything tonight Paddy?

    Nothing really to be honest with you, I was liking Vitesse, PSV and Uni de Chile, but I'm not too sure on placing due to odds and haven't given it proper research, I'd 2 4000 word research assignments due yesterday so I'm a little tired, if I miss a day don't worry I'll try and make it up.


    _________________________________________


    Currently after the two last bets:
    Newcastle Jets women vs Perth Glory women
    3-1
    Asian under 3.5, 4.0 goals: Half stake returned. (1 unit loss)

    Donegal Celtic 1 v Cliftonville 3 = WIN!
    4 units x 1.67 = 2.68 units profit!

    So in total thats 1.68 units to add to the previous total.

    Current Bank: 46.38 units. Decent.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,110 ✭✭✭markc91




  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]



    What does BTS NO mean?
    (excuse my ignorance if it's obvious :o:) )


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,408 ✭✭✭ft9


    both to score


  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    ft9 wrote: »
    both to score

    Cheers ft9 :)


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]



    I actually can't enjoy anything more than waking up with 2 units profit! Get in!

    Also, yes, BTS is both to score, as it was in play I had to be quick in posting.


    Current Bank: 48.38 units. Decent.


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