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Derek's new (and hopefully improved) log.
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Today I have decided to write out the stats behind why I'm pickin what I pick, not that it's been workin
but I hope it will help me pick better bets.
Avai v Atletico Goianiense
Avai have a home record of 71.42% goin over 2.5 goals this season
Atletico Goianiense on the other hand have an away record of 50% goin overs this season.
That is a worry but they concede quite a lot. 2 from 3 have been overs in the H2H
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America MG v Ceara
America MG have 64.28% overs at home this season
Ceara's record is only 50% overs away from home
When both sides played last time it was a 4-0 home win for Ceara so hopefully there will be more goals in this one.
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KuPS Kuopio v FC Honka
KuPS Kuopio 57.14% overs at home
FC Honka 69.23% overs away
The last match resulted in a 3-1 win for Honka.
Lookin at the H2H record only 3 of the last 10 between the 2 have been unders.
All of those were 2-0 away wins for Honka.
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TPS v MyPa
TPS home record of 73.33% overs at home
MyPa have an away record for overs of 50%
Again lookin at the H2H record 3 from 10 have been unders including a 0-0 last time they played.
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6 x €5 doubles, all over 2.5 goals
1. Avai v Atletico Goianiense 20:00
2. America MG v Ceara 20:00
3. KuPS Kuopio v FC Honka Thursday 16:30
4. TPS v MyPa Thursday 16:30
If 1 and 2 win I get back €16.65
If 1 and 3 win I get back €14.14
If 2 and 3 win I get back €14.54
If 1 and 4 win I get back €14.85
If 2 and 4 win I get back €15.26
If 3 and 4 win I get back €12.96
If all win the return would be €88.40 (€58.40 profit)
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And I'm goin to waste a €5 free bet on them all in a accumulator
€5 (free bet) returns €38.170 -
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It's fairly annoyin when you get nothin back for the time ya put in.RoverJames wrote: »Join the club
A treble of overs in these matches.
Rosenborg v Aalesund 19:00
SC Freiburg v Hamburg 14:30
Ljungskile v IK Brage 14:00
€15 returns €560 -
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No goals at all in the 2nd half for 2 of the matches, things looked so good at HT
Staked: €784
Returned: €713.04
-€70.96
An over 1.5 treble today with the kind of odds you'd expect.
I wouldn't be half surprised to see this one fail given the way the log is goin.
Statistically it has a great chance :rolleyes:
1860 Munich v Paderborn
Fortuna Dusseldorf v Hansa Rostock
De Graafschap v NAC
€20 returns €35.200 -
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-€5 today, the log is goin a bit **** but it's workin wonders in me keepin my discipline
Staked: €809
Returned: €748.24
-€60.76
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An over 2.5 double
Real and Barca games tonight
€20 returns €42
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