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Long Term Tailing Log

  • 09-09-2011 9:00pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭


    It will be my 2nd attempt of log - first one was a disaster and you can read about it here - http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056251690

    I hope that new edition will go much better, as the last one expected me to choose picks by myself. I considered doing D'Alembert one more time, but because of limited funds and with so many tip sources I decided to do it differently. Biggest advantage of it should be the fact that in majority of bets it won't be me who will be making bets, but I will "steal" them from tispters I want to tail. There will be some exceptions (including tips from Headshot/ElLoco/Ade/Evosteo/Clerodara/Yardie/El Horseboxo/Tom Brady and some other guys posting here), but it won't be a big percentage.

    Despite a decent knowledge about various sports (mostly football and basketball) and some interesting contacts (as I work as a sports journalist plus have some contacts inside European basketball) I am a relatively poor tipster. Probably don't feel it like the better ones do. Sometimes I have quite interesting observations and betting ideas (like today just before Lech Poznan - Wisla Cracow match), but usually I am not doing too well. But I consider myself a decent researcher, so I will try to take an advantage of that. I put a lot of effort into this research and based on yield/longevity/staking system I prepared a list of tipsters I will use.

    My starting bank will be around 400 PLN (not sure yet how much exactly as some low stake bets are going on). Majority of games will be staked 5/10, which at the moment will mean 10 PLN. It's probably the biggest challenge, as various tipsters are doing different staking, hopefully I will be able to find a balance between them. No doubles or triples done by me, only singles. Mostly football and basketball. For time being I will be using bet365 exclusively.

    Question - should I publish a list of tipsters I will tail? Anyone interested?

    First picks should be published during the weekend.


«1

Comments

  • Posts: 23,339 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    stingerro wrote: »
    ...........

    Question - should I publish a list of tipsters I will tail? Anyone interested?

    ...........


    Yes and yes :)
    Pity you aren't into the horse racing, I like horse racing logs.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    RoverJames wrote: »
    Yes and yes :)
    Pity you aren't into the horse racing, I like horse racing logs.
    I would love to tail xPyro (plus maybe 1-2 other horse racing tipsters)... but with hot and cold streaks there my bank would possibly couldn't cope with it. Hopefully down the road I will be able to take a risk (which can be very profitable, I know)...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    My tailing links

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056338123 - Tom Brady's log (will split his selections into singles though)

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056377076 - TiltedBrain's log

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055996832 - ElHorseboxo's log

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?p=74312394#post74312394 - Football Tips Thread (selection of Headshot, ElLocoAde, Clerodara, Evosteo and other top tipsters there)

    http://forum.bettingadvice.com/forumdisplay.php?f=40 - daily POD tips (selection of Rogumu, Dakashev, Luka15, Dajkula, Lasso, Iguana, Ivan-dzo, OlhOrebOque, Peri and few other tipsters there), trying to not take bets higher than 2.50 (there is a tendency there to go for a high odds, not good for a stability).

    http://forum.bettingadvice.com/forumdisplay.php?f=51 - Livescore tips (difficult to follow, but some great observations there)

    http://forum.bettingadvice.com/forumdisplay.php?f=43 - Cmiranda78's Chile Football tips

    http://forum.bettingadvice.com/forumdisplay.php?f=24 - Mnc, Ccbll, Esbjenk's Danish Football tips.

    http://www.bettingadvice.com/showPredictionsLeague.php?idMenu=195 - Sirac's Romanian Football tips

    http://www.bettingadvice.com/showPredictionsLeague.php?idMenu=203 - Luna's Ireland Football tips

    http://www.bettingadvice.com/showPredictionsLeague.php?idMenu=176 - Mightye's Norway 1st Division Football tips

    http://bettingadvice.com/showPredictionsLeague.php?idMenu=177 - Mightye's Norway 2nd Division Football tips

    http://www.bettingadvice.com/showPredictionsLeague.php?idMenu=161 - Ashtrey's Russian Football tips

    http://www.betshoot.com/tipster532.html - MrGol's Various Football tips

    http://www.365tip.com/pro-team-andalucia555.html - Andalucia555's Spanish Football tips

    http://www.365tip.com/pro-team-Black-Shadow.html - Black Shadow's Various Sports tips

    http://www.365tip.com/pro-team-Saso.html - Saso's Football tips

    http://www.sport-insight.com/userAE.php?userID=100318&lookup=1&returnPage=users.php - Divad1's Various Sports tips

    http://www.sport-insight.com/userAE.php?lookup=1&userID=100284 - Brettel's Various Sports tips

    http://www.fcbet.com/tipster-Joydi209 - Joydi209's Peru Football tips

    http://www.fcbet.com/tipster-Morandi - Morandi's Turkish Football tips

    http://www.goonersguide.com/MLB_baseball_picks.htm - Addicted's MLB tips

    http://jcgros.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=34&sport=SOC - JcGros' Belgium Football tips.

    http://profitkanon.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=72&sport=SOC - Profitkanon's Holland Football tips

    http://benny1887.blogabet.com/ - Benny1887's 2nd Bundesliga tips

    http://doko.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=28&sport=SOC - Doko's Bulgarian Football tips

    http://doko.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=216&sport=SOC - Doko's Germany Regionalliga Football tips

    http://mentalist.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=93&sport=SOC - Mentalist's Swedish Football tips

    http://mentalist.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=74&sport=SOC - Mentalist's Norway Football tips

    http://oenixftips.blogabet.com/ - Oenixftips' Various Sports tips

    http://seubet.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=84&sport=SOC - Miladans' Ireland Football tips

    http://eurobasket.blogabet.com/ - Eurobasket's Basketball tips

    http://kawabunga.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=35&sport=SOC - Kawabunga's Brazil Football tips

    http://locke5.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=248&sport=SOC - Locke5's Singapore Football tips

    http://mrmacho.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=86&sport=SOC - MrMacho's Scottish Football tips

    http://geckoexpert.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=163&sport=SOC - Geckoexpert's Australian Soccer tips

    http://lokutus.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=243&sport=SOC - Lokutus' Montenegro Football tips

    http://hirtos.blogabet.com/ - Hirtos_Chelsea's Various Football Tips.

    http://macaceresp.blogabet.com/ - Mamaceresp's South America Football tips

    http://spiel.blogabet.com/ - Spiel's ATP/WTA Tennis tips

    http://topqualitypicks.com/ - Free Top Quality Pick of the Day

    http://superbetting.com/palermo-s6.html - Palermo's Various Sports tips

    It's more or less everything ;). All links are checked through statistical data (which usually is verified) or through reccomendations from various sources (mostly with "Reccomendation" topic on BettingAdvice forum)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    After successful Saturday I can announce my starting bank is 503,91 pln. First goal is to not bankrupt, 2nd one - to reach 750 pln, when I will be able to raise my stake to 3 pln per stake (now it's 2 pln). Overall - I hope to be on steady profit, and even if yield wouldn't be too impressive, I hope to improve my bank balance thanks to amount of bets I'm making. Hopefully this tactic will work long term.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Bet #1: Excelsior - Utrecht (AH -0.25) - 3 pln (2.05).

    Bet #2: Betis Sevilla - Mallorca - FT under 1 goal. In live play - 10 pln (2.50).

    Bet #3: Oostende - Aalst (AH +0.5) - 8,90 pln (1.70).

    Bank balance: 482,01 pln. In play: 21.90 pln.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Few more bets:

    Bet #4: Union Berlin (score over 1.5) - FC Ingolstadt. 10 pln (1.83)

    Bet #5: Union Berlin (AH -0.25) - FC Ingolstadt. 14 pln (1.65)

    Bet #6: FSV Frankfurt (AH -0.25) - Erzgebirge Aue. 8 pln (1.90)

    Bet #7: Norwich - West Bromwich Albion (cards under 2.5). 10 pln (2.00).

    Bank balance: 440,01 pln. In play: 63.90 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Bet #8: Serbia - Turkey (HT total points under 66,5 pts - In Play). 10 pln (1.80).

    Bank balance: 430,01 pln. In play: 73.90 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    And more bets:

    Bet #9: Girona - Valladolid (Valladolid over 1,5 goals). 10 pln (2.25)

    Bet #10: Alta (AH -0.5) - Lov-Ham. 10 pln (1.70)

    Bet #11: Sandnes Ulf - Ham-Kam (AH +0.5).10 pln (1.725)

    Bet #12: Ranheim (AH -1.5) - Hodd. 10 pln (3.20).

    Bet #13: Kongsvinger (AH -0.5) - Asker. 10 pln (1.725)

    Bet #14: Randaberg - Sandefjord (AH -1.5). 10 pln (2.05)

    Bet #15: Cleveland Browns (to win) - Cincinnati Bengals. 10 pln (1.35)

    Bet #16: Cleveland Browns (-6.5) - Cincinnati Bengals. 10 pln (1.90)

    Bet #17: STL Rams - Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #18: Fram Reykjavik - Breidablik (total goals - over 2.5). 10 pln (1.65)

    Bet #19: Sportul - CSU Vointa (AH +0.5). 10 pln (1.625)

    Bet #20: Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts (-7). 10 pln (1.90)

    Bet #21: Baltimore Ravens - Pittsburgh Steelers (+1). 10 pln. (1.95)

    Bet #22: Jacksonville Jaguars - Tennesee Titans (+1.0). 10 pln (1.90)

    Bet #23: Arizona Cardinals (-6.5) - Carolina Panthers. 10 pln (1.86).

    Bet #24: VVV - PSV Eindhoven (Total goals - over 6.5, In Play). 10 pln (1.80)

    Bet #25: France - Spain (-4.5). In Play - 10 pln (1.95)

    Bank balance: 270,01 pln. In play: 233.90 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    More bets:

    Bet #26: Figueirense - Vasco da Gama (to win). 8 pln (3.00)

    Bet #27: Ceara - Atletico Goainiense (to win). 14 pln (4.33).

    Bet #28: Coritiba - Botafogo (to win). 9 pln (3.40).

    Bet #29: Coritiba - Botafogo (total goals - over 2.75). 9 pln. (2.00)

    Bet #30: Coritiba - Botafogo (total goals - over 4.50). 1 pln (5.50).

    Bet #31: Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao (both teams to score). 10 pln (2.00)

    Bet #32: Arizona Diamondbacks (to win) - San Diego Padres. 7 pln (1.51).

    Bet #33: Sandnes Ulf - Ham-Kam (to score 3rd goal - In Play). 10 pln (6.00).

    Bank balance: 202,01 pln. In play: 301.90 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 216 ✭✭rodeo1985


    hey stingerro, do any of the tipsters you are following have a decent track record? im looking to follow some new tipsters and it looks like you've got a good few links there, could you strongly recommend any?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    rodeo1985 wrote: »
    hey stingerro, do any of the tipsters you are following have a decent track record? im looking to follow some new tipsters and it looks like you've got a good few links there, could you strongly recommend any?
    I would say all of them have a decent track record, that's the idea of my tailing log. I was looking into so many of them and following list is best of the best (in theory at least). I don't know how to shrink it even more. Some of them are more cold or more hot at the moment, but can't reccomend anyone in particular.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    One more bet to finish this (disastrous) Sunday:

    Bet #34: Velez Sarsfield (to win) - Union de Santa Fe. 10 pln (1.45).

    Bank balance: 192,01 pln. In play: 311.90 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Summary of Sunday bets:

    Bets placed - 34. Bets won - 15. Bets lost - 17.5. Bets Voided - 1.5

    Bank Balance - 450.68 pln (-53.23 pln)


    Not the Sunday I expected. Did very poorly with NFL tips (2-5), also a few bets was really, really close and I missed placing a few as well. I also failed with bet #33, thinking bet365 is making mistake with a live score (it was 0-2, but they had listed player as scorer of 3rd goal). In some of my won bets odds were much lower than expected, as starting yesterday I put tips after a few days they were available. Also should do better with Brazil Football tips - tipster I am tailing I think has a "Chase mode" on, I should back him more carefully. Bigger positive are yesterday's Norway Football 1st Division games.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    First batch of tips for Monday:

    Bet #35: Fenerbahce - Ordusport (total goals over 2.5). 8 pln (1.72).

    Bet #36: CSKA Sofia - Lokomotiv (total goals over 2.5). 10 pln (1.65).

    Bet #37: Marina Erakovic (to win) - Caroline Garcia. 10 pln (1.50).

    Bet #38: Queens Park Rangers - Newcastle United (to win). 5 pln (2.87)

    Bet #39: Queens Park Rangers - Newcastle United (total goals over 2.25). 5 pln (2.025).

    Bet #40: Greece - Georgia (total points: over 145). 10 pln (1.83)

    Bet #41: Benfica Lisbon - Manchester United (to win). 6 pln (1.95).

    Bet #42: Benfica Lisbon - Manchester United (AH -1). 3 pln (2.675).

    Bet #43: Benfica Lisbon - Manchester United (AH -2). 1 pln (6.40).

    Bet #44: Miami Dolphins - New England Patriots (-7). 10 pln (1.91).

    Bank balance: 382,68 pln. In play: 70.00 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Question - why I can no more edit opening post?

    Few more links to tail:


    http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showthread.php?t=59725 - Cgmbet's Various Football tips (based on software he created, I gues it's similar to SST)

    http://skandinavos.blogabet.com/ - Skandinavos' Various Football tips.

    http://indiana.blogabet.com/ - Indiana's Croatian Football/ATP tips

    http://karimkarim.blogabet.com/ - Karimkarim's Various Football tips.

    http://ipanema.blogabet.com/ - Ipanema's Various Football tips

    http://aaaz.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=133&sport=BSK - Aaaz's NCAA Basketball tips

    http://steamplays.blogabet.com/index.php?competition=129&sport=BAS - Steamplays' MLB tips.

    http://www.sportpicksmarket.com/Accounts/Tipsters/?Tipster=intermp1 - Intermp1's MLB/tennis tips

    http://allcourtnewsletter.wordpress.com/ - Gambler87's Tennis tips.

    http://www.bettingadvice.com/showPredictionsLeague.php?idMenu=81 - Caravaggio's Italian Football tips.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14,127 ✭✭✭✭Leeg17


    stingerro wrote: »
    Question - why I can no more edit opening post?

    I think there's a limit of 3/4 days beyond which only a mod can edit your post.

    Best of luck with it :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Leeg17 wrote: »
    I think there's a limit of 3/4 days beyond which only a mod can edit your post.

    Best of luck with it :)
    OK, thanks for clarification... and for wishes.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,317 ✭✭✭Yardie


    Nice one Stingerro, best of luck with it. Some very unlucky ones yesterday. How Velez Sarsfield didn't win is incredible, it was like Russia vs Ireland.. The Union keeper made some amazing saves and then they got caught on counter-attack at the end.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Yardie wrote: »
    Nice one Stingerro, best of luck with it. Some very unlucky ones yesterday. How Velez Sarsfield didn't win is incredible, it was like Russia vs Ireland.. The Union keeper made some amazing saves and then they got caught on counter-attack at the end.
    Thanks. Luck will be needed, as 9 more days like yesterday and I'm out :cool:.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    More picks:

    Bet #45: QPR - Newcastle (total yellow cards: over 4.5). 10 pln (1.83).

    Bet #46: Russia (-9.5) - Macedonia. 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #47: Genk - Valencia (to win). 12.5 pln (1.72).

    Bet #48: Petrolul - FC Cerahlalul (both teams to score). 10 pln (1.80)

    Bet #49: Tromso 2 (AH -1.5) - Hasle/Loren 10 pln (1.425).

    Bet #50: Stromsgodset 2 (AH -2.75) - Senja. 10 pln (3.20)

    Bet #51: Finland - Belgium (total points: over 185.5). 10 pln (1.85).

    Bank balance: 310,18 pln. In play: 140,50 pln.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    One more bet (I couldn't find it earlier and odds are quite lower than when opened, but still - worth trying):

    Bet #52: Vindbjart - Viking Reserves (to win - In Play). 10 pln (2.75).

    Bank balance: 300,18 pln. In play: 150,50 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    In Live:

    Bet #53: Lechia Gdansk - Gornik Zabrze (AH 0.0). 10 pln (2.60).

    Bank balance: 290,18 pln. In play: 160,50 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Last pack of bets for today:

    Bet #54: Sligo Rovers - Bray Wanderers (total goals: under 3.25). 10 pln (1.725).

    Bet #55: Wes Walker (over 60,5 yrds vs Miami Dolphins). 10 pln (1.80)

    Bet #56: Port Vale (AH -0.5) - Bradford. 10 pln (2.025).

    Bet #57: Alison Riske - Irina Falconi (In play - 2.5 points). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #58: Dinamo Dresden - VFL Bochum (In play - AH 0.0). 8 pln (1.95)

    Bets #57 and #58 were taken some time ago, couldn't make a post at that time. Bet #57 lost in the end, so my "cheating" not really helping my status ;).

    Bank balance: 262,18 pln. In play: 188,50 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    I hate the fact that having poor betting days make me losing money even more - I hesitated to back Stromgsgodset during In Live and I backed down from making a play for Falconi winning in 2 sets (3.50). Of course she won in two sets, her win with handicap (- 2.5) has to be enough for me. And looking at other today's bets there's nothing to be happy about...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Am I chasing or what? :)

    Bet #59: Rafael Nadal (to win - In Live) - Novak Djokovic. Took the bet in tie break of 3rd set, when Nadal was two points from winning a 3rd set (Djokovic won first two). 10 pln (3.40).

    Bet #60: Rebecca Marino (to win 2:0) - Stephanie Dubois. 10 pln (2.75).

    Bank balance: 242,18 pln. In play: 208,50 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Summary of Monday bets:

    Bets placed - 20. Bets won - 6,5. Bets lost - 13. Bets Voided - 0,5

    Money invested - 196 pln. Money return - 144,01 Pln (-51,99) pln).


    With such a bad results it's hard to believe that it could be even worse. If not for tennis and NFL bets it would be truly disastrous day, made worse by some poor decisions when I chickened out of backing teams/players with high odds. Need to do better.

    Bets Still In Play - 6 (42.50 pln). Bank Balance - 357.11 pln (-105.22 pln)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    First batch of Tuesday's tips:

    Bet #61: Malaysia U19 - Singapur U19 (AH -4.5 - In Play when 0:4). 10 pln (2.025).

    Bet #62: Crawley Town - Swindon (Total goals: over 3). 10 pln (2.15).

    Bet #63: FC Barcelona (AH -1.5) - AC Milan. 10 pln (1.75).

    Bet #64: FC Barcelona - AC Milan (Total goals: over 3). 10 pln (1.825).

    Bet #65: Plzen (to win) - BATE Borisov. 10 pln (2.10).

    Bet #66: Sheffield United - Huddersfield (total goals: over 2.5). 10 pln (1.85).

    Bet #67: Genk - Valencia (EH -1.0). 10 pln (2.75).

    Bet #68: FC Barcelona - AC Milan (AH -1.75). 10 pln (1.925).

    Bank balance: 287,11 pln. In play: 123.40 pln.

    Had to make an interesting decision - what to do when two or more tipsters I am going to tail is backing the same team with a very similar bets. In the end I decided to back all their tips, so amount of pro-Barcelona tips is quite big. We'll see how it will work, good game by Valencia would be welcomed as well.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,317 ✭✭✭Yardie


    Unlucky again yesterday man, alot of your bets were just a small fraction off but with this strategy a small fraction wrong means 100% loss. What bookies do you use? Is there a way you can use betfair to lock in profit from some of your bets that are borderline win/lose?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Yardie wrote: »
    Unlucky again yesterday man, alot of your bets were just a small fraction off but with this strategy a small fraction wrong means 100% loss. What bookies do you use? Is there a way you can use betfair to lock in profit from some of your bets that are borderline win/lose?
    Use only bet365, not really interested in betfair at the moment. Also, I think my tips on Sunday were much better, yesterday too many of them was way off.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,317 ✭✭✭Yardie


    stingerro wrote: »
    Use only bet365, not really interested in betfair at the moment. Also, I think my tips on Sunday were much better, yesterday too many of them was way off.

    I just looked at your football results as know nothing about basketball and weren't far off and some good wins but as you say you had some fancies that you didn't back which is extremely frustrating. Anyway here's hoping today they fall on your side!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Just had 2 heart attacks :cool:. First in 91th minute... when Malaysia U19 scored to make it 0-5. And 2nd one - much more severe - when I've heard about 6th goal in 96th minute... fortunately it was Malaysia U19 as well. Pick won, but looking back I shouldn't placed it, as for rule of thumb I promised myself to not bet on high scoring teams In Play (to get even higher lead) when I can't find pre game odds (which was the case here). Lucky me. Maybe its a payback day for me, so 1 more tip:

    Bet #69: Chonburi - Nasaf Quarshi (total goals: over 3.0). 10 pln (2.85).

    Bank balance: 277,11 pln. In play: 133.40 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Next batch of Tuesday's tips:

    Bet #70: Genk - Valencia (AH -1). 10 pln (1.975).

    Bet #71: FC Porto - Shakhtar Donetsk (total goals: over 2.5). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #72: Scotland - Georgia (Handicap Draw: +17.0). 1.25 pln (17.0).

    Bet #73: Scotland - Georgia (European Handicap: +17.0). 11.25 pln (2.0).

    Bet #74: (In Play - 1:0). Rosenborg 2 - Tiller (Handicap Draw: +3.0) 3.50 pln (4.75)

    Bet #75: (In Play - 1:0). Rosenborg 2 (European Handicap: -3). 9 pln (2.40).- Tiller

    Bet #76: Al Kuwait SC (HT/FT Win) - Muang Thong Utd. 10 pln (2.10). (2.75).

    Bet #77: Jamie Hampton (to win) - Mirjana Lucic. 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #78: (In play - 2:2) Moldova U19 - Belarus U19 (total goals: over 6). 10 pln (2.25).

    Bet #79 (In play - 4:0). Romania U19 - Macedonia U19 (total goals: over 6). 10 pln (2.20).

    Bet #80 (In play - 4:0) Zenit St. Petersburg II - FK Metallurg (total goals: over 6). 10 pln (2.10).

    Bets: #76, #78, #79, #80 are already over. Unfortunately I couldn't make a post at time I was placing a bet.

    Bank balance: 192,11 pln. In play: 218.40 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Here is the rest of Tuesday's tips (most of them lost...):

    Bet #81: Roberto Soldado FGS. 10 pln (5.00).

    Bet #82: Daniel Sturridge FGS. 10 pln (6.00).

    Bet #83: Lionel Messi FGS. 10 pln (3.20).

    Bet #84: Borussia Dortmund - Arsenal (Both teams to score). 10 pln (1.80).

    Bet #85: Robert Lewandowski FGS. 5.35 (6.50).

    Bet #86: Chelsea (AH -1) - Bayer Leverkusen. 10 pln (1.975).

    Bet #87: (In play - 0:6) FC Fyn - Silkeborg (AH -7.5). 10 pln (2.375).

    Bet #88 (In play - 0:4). SC Concordia - HSV Hamburg (AH -7.0). 10 pln (1.85).

    Bank balance: 106,76 pln. In play: 303.75 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Summary of Tuesday bets:

    Bets placed - 31. Bets won - 11. Bets lost - 18. Bets Voided - 2

    Money invested - 272.85 pln. Money return - 236.17 Pln (-36.68) pln).


    Another poor day, mostly because of Valencia, Barcelona and Rosenborg 2 disappointing. Plus me going heavily on First Time Goalscorers, which I will have to correct. From today I will be betting on them only in doubles or triples for 5 pln (2.5u). Don't want to take a risk similar to horse betting, as it also can be quite hot and cold with bets. And I believe that from time to time Gomez, Messi, Ronaldo, Soldado, Negredo, Rooney, Dzeko, Aguero, etc... can bring me some money. On bet365 they are playing 1.33 if they are on goalscoring list (when not scoring first), so hopefully I should be doing okay.

    Bets Still In Play: 3 (10 pln). Bank Balance - 342.93 pln (-150.98 pln)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Here are the tips for Wednesday:

    Bet #89: (In play: 3:1) Tescoma Zlin B - SK Lisen (total goals: over 6.5). 10 pln (2.025).

    Bet #90: (In play: 41:31) Spain (- 14.5) - Slovenia. 10 pln (1.90)

    Bet #91: Grosswalstadt - HBW Balingen (to win). 10 pln (3.50).

    Bet #92: USA (HT: -2.5) - Russia. 10 pln (1.66).

    Bet #93: Argentina - Romania (FT: +20.5). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #94: Manchester City (AH -1.25). 10 pln (1.775).

    Bet #95: Manchester City - Napoli (AH total goals: over 2.75). 10 pln (1.85).

    Bet #96: Lille (AH -0.75) - CSKA Moscow. 10 pln (1.825).

    Bet #97: Inter - Trabzonspor (total cards: over 3.5). 10 pln (2.10).

    Bet #98: Manchester City (FT: Scored over 2.5 goals). 12.5 pln (2.20)

    Bet #99: Manchester City (FT: Scored over 3.5 goals). 7.5 pln (4.00)

    Bet #100: Benfica - Manchester United (total goals: under 2.5). 10 pln (1.90)

    Bet #101: Villarreal (win or draw) - Bayern Munich. 10 pln (1.80).

    Bet #102: Manchester City - Napoli (total yellow cards: over 4.5). 10 pln (1.925).

    Bet #103: Villarreal - Bayern Munich (total goals: over 3.0). 10 pln (2.30).

    Bet #104: FGS: Edin Dzeko (4.75) & Giuseppe Rossi (7.00). 5 pln

    Bet #105: FGS: Cristiano Ronaldo (3.25) & Mario Gomez (4.00). 5 pln.

    Bet #106: FGS: Sergio Aguero (4.50) & Wayne Rooney (5.00). 5 pln.

    Bank balance: 187.93 pln. In play 165 pln.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Tips for Wednesday's night:

    Bet #107: Iquique (FT AH: +0.25) - Univ. Catolica. 10 pln (2.025).

    Bet #108: Iquique - Univ. Catolica (FT total goals: over 2.5). 10 pln (1.75).

    Bet #109: (In Play: 0:1) St. Catherines Wolves - New York Astros (FT total goals: over 4.5). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #110: (In Play: 4:0) Unam Punas (FT goals scored: over 5.5) - FC Toronto. 10 pln (2.75).

    Bet #111: (In Play: 0:0) Brazil - Argentina (FT correct score: 0:0). 5 pln (5.0).

    Bet #112: (In Play: 19:17) Chinese Taipei - Iran (FT: total points under 103.5). 10 pln (1.80).

    Bet #113: (In Play: 31:32) Chinese Taipei - Iran (4th quarter: no teams scoring 15 pts or more). 10 pln (4.75).

    Bet #114: (In Play: 32:78) Malaysia (+ 52.5) - South Korea. 10 pln (1.90).

    Bank balance: 112.93 pln. In play 240 pln.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Summary of Wednesday bets:

    Bets placed - 28. Bets won - 9,5. Bets lost - 18. Bets Voided - 0,5

    Money invested - 240 pln. Money return - 192.30 Pln (-47.70 pln).


    And one more disastrous day, mostly because of Manchester City and Villarreal games, I can understand City not being able to break stubborn Napoli team, but Villarreal were just shocking. But it wasn't end of the day for me... I also made a "chasing-rookie" mistake going for underdog Handball Ballingen team for the win (3.50), when I should just bet for them covering the handicap, which they did. Oh well...

    Bets Still In Play: 1 (10 pln). Bank Balance - 305.23 pln (-188.68 pln)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Bet #115: (In Play: 1:1) Hermadio - Seattle (Seattle to score 3rd goal). 201 pln (2.60).
    During the Bayern Munich - Villarreal match I thought that bet365 is quite slow announcing goals on In Live betting, especially when Kroos scored the 1st one. Later in the night I saw that they are slow again announcing corners, as well as penalty in Hermadio - Seattle match.

    So I watched closely 2nd half and waited for an opportunity to make a sneaky bet. After big scramble Seatlle scored the 3rd goal, I looked at the referee who fortunately show to start the game from the middle and put a bet worth 201 pln. It was accepted and it still took 2-3 more seconds for bet365 to block betting and announcing 3rd goal. Money are already on my account and I still can fight for my life there :cool:.I will definitely try this in future one more time :D

    Bets Still In Play: 1 (10 pln). Bank Balance - 626.83 pln (+122.92 pln)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Tips for Thursday:

    Bet #116: Phillipines - UAE (total points: under 150.5). 10 pln (1.80).

    Bet #117: (In Play: 0:2) Southport Warriors - Goald Cost United (GCU to score over 3.5 goals). 10 pln (2.20).

    Bet #118: (In Play) Phillipines - UAE (to win: -37.5 pts). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #119: (In Play) Phillipines - UAE (total points scored in 2nd half - under 74.5). 10 pln (1.83).

    Bet #120: Atletico Madrid (total corners: -3.5) - Celtic Glasgow. 10 pln (2.00).

    Bet #121: Tanjong Pagar - Home United (to win: AH -2.5). 12.50 (1.80).

    Bet #122: Saipa - Karpat (to win: AH -0.5). 10 pln (1.80).

    Bet #123: Slovakia - Poland (total points scored: over 184.5). 10 pln (1.85).

    Bank balance: 544.33 pln. In play 92.50 pln (9 bets).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    More tips for Thursday:

    Bet #124: (In Play) France - Greece (HT: total points under 64.5). 10 pln (2.00).

    Bet #125: Fulham - Twente Enschede (total cards: under 3.5). 10 pln (2.10).

    Bet #126: Dinamo Kiev (to win corners: -2) - Stoke City. 14 pln (1.85).

    Bet #127: Saipa - Karpat (Karpat to win: AH -1.0). 10 pln (2.05).

    Bet #128: Atletico Madrid (Atletico to win: AH -1.25) - Celtic Glasgow. 10 pln (1.975).

    Bet #129: Trixie (FT: 0-0): Birmingham-Braga, Dinamo Kiev - Stoke City, Paok Saloniki - Tottenham. 6 pln.

    Bet #130: FGS: Radamel Falcao (4.50) & Fernando Llorente (4.75). 6 pln.

    Bet #131: (In Play - 0:1) Shamrock Rovers - Rubin Kazan (Rubin to score over 2.5 goals). 10 pln (2.10).

    Bet #132: (In Play: 4:1) Vardar Skopje (Vardar to score over 5.5 goals) - Tikves Kavadarci. 10 pln (2.00).

    Bet #133: (In Play: 3:1) Al Jazira SC (Al Jazira to score over 4.5 goals) - Al Wasl. 10 pln (2.10).

    Bet #134: (In play: 49:45) France - Greece (total points: under 121.5). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #135: (In Play: 1:0) Atletico Madrid - Celtic Glasgow (Falcao to score hat trick). 6 pln (5.00).

    Bet #136: (In Play) Russia (to win: AH -8.5) - Serbia. 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #137: (In play: 2:0) Sporting Lisbon U19 (FT goals: over 4.5). - Molde U19. 10 pln (2.37).

    Bank balance: 413.83 pln. In play 223 pln (23 bets).


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    5 tips for late games:

    Bet #138: Independiente (FT to win: -0.5) - Deportivo Cali. 10 pln (1.95).

    Bet #139: Independiente - Deportivo Cali (FT total goals: AH under 2.25). 10 pln (1.875).

    Bet #140: Olimpia (FT to win: -0.5) - Emelec. 10 pln (1.875).

    Bet #141: Olimpia - Emelec (FT total goals: under 2.5). 10 pln (1.80).

    Bet #142: Indonesia - Syria (HT: total points scored under 63.5). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bank balance: 363.83 pln. In play 273 pln (28 bets).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Summary of Thursday bets:

    Bets placed - 27. Bets won - 15,5. Bets lost - 11. Bets Voided - 0,5

    Money invested - 264.50 pln. Money return - 319.78 Pln (+ 55.28).


    Very good day, only disappointment was Kiev not winning their corners handicap against Stoke.

    Bets Still In Play: 1 (10 pln). Bank Balance - 682.11 (+178.20)
    __________________


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    First batch bets for Friday (some of this games will happen during weekend):

    Bet #143: (In Play: 0:3) LFK Torpedo - Prlialit Reutov (HT: Reutov to win by over 3.5 goals). 10 pln (2.125).

    Bet #144: Clemson - Auburn (FT handicap: +3.0). 10 pln (2.00).

    Bet #145: Maryland - West Virginia (FT handicap: +2.0). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #146: Toledo - Boise State (FT handicap: -20.5). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #147: Hodd (HT/FT win) - Alta. 10 pln (2.60).

    Bet #148: Wisconsin (FT handicap: -16.5) - Northern Illinois. 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #149: Ham-Kam - Kongsvinger (FT: draw or win). 10 pln (2.20).

    Bet #150: Hawthorn - Sydney (FT Handicap: +20.5). 10 pln (1.85).

    Bet #151: Iran (FT handicap: -18.5) - Quatar. 14 pln (1.83).

    Bet #152: Wests Tigers (FT handicap: -8.5) - NZ Warriors. 10 pln (1.83).

    Bet #153: Slaven Belup (FT: AH -1.5) - Lucko. 10 pln (1.825).

    Bet #154: Usan Nimes (FT Handicap: +4.5) - Chamberry. 10 pln (1.85).

    Bet #155: Augsburger - DEG Metro Stars (FT to win). 10 pln (1.80).

    Bet #156: ZEA - Bahrain (Ft handicap: +7.0). 10 pln (1.83).

    Bet #157: Hlavackowa (FT to win) - Zahlavova Strycova. 10 pln (1.83).

    Bet #158: Jevnaker (FT to win) - Valdres FK. 10 pln (1.80).

    Bet #159: France - Russia (HT total points: under 67.5). 10 pln (1.95).

    Bet #160: France - Russia (FT total points: under 135.5). 10 pln (1.95).

    Bet #161: Phillipines - China (FT total points: under 143.5). 10 pln (1.83).

    Bet #162: Phillipines - China (HT total points: under 70.5). 10 pln (1.86).

    It's only 1pm CET, and I'm already not happy - didn't back LSU last night (after reading report on GunnersGuide) and I missed two games today on Asia Basketball Championship which would easily win.

    Bank balance: 428.11 pln. In play 264 pln (26 bets).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    More bets for Friday:

    Bet #163: (In Play) Spain (FT handicap: -11.5) - Macedonia. 10 pln (1.86).

    Bet #164: TPS - FF Jaro (FT total goals: over 3.0). 10 pln (2.10).

    Bet #165: Eintracht Frankfurt (FT to win: AH -1.0) - Hansa Rostock. 10 pln (1.975).

    Bet #166: Erzgebirge Aue - Fortuna Dusseldorf (HT result: 0:0). 6 pln (2.62).

    Bet #167: Erzgebirge Aue - Fortuna Dusseldorf (FT: Total goals under 2.0). 10 pln (2.30).

    Bet #168: GAIS (FT: AH -1.0) - IFK Norrkoping. 10 pln (1.775).

    Bet #169: RSA - Fiji (FT handicap: +21.0). 10 pln (1.83).

    Bet #170: Willem II (FT to win: AH -1.0) - Telstar. 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #171: Shaun Murphy (To win 4:0) - Sobradinho de Dues. 14 pln (3.40).

    Bet #172: NEC (FT to win: -1.0) - NAC Breda. 10 pln (2.025).

    Bet #173: NEC - NAC Breda (FT Total goals: over 3.0). 10 pln (2.10).

    Bet #174: Gil Vicente (FT to win: AH -0.5) - Olhanense. 10 pln (1.975).

    Bet #175: Dundalk - Bohemians Dublin (FT to win). 10 pln (2.10).

    Bet #176: Cork City - St. Patricks (FT to win). 10 pln (2.10).

    Bet #177: Wexford Youths - Mervue (FT to win). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #178: Shelbourne (FT to win: AH -0.5) - Limerick37. 10 pln (2.00).

    Bet #179: (In Play: 3:1) Waregem U19 - Lokeren U19 (FT Total goals: over 6). 10 pln

    Bet #180: (In play: 0:4) Uruguay - Argentina (FT total goals: Argentina over 6.5). 10 pln (2.00).

    Bank balance: 288.11 pln. In play 404 pln (40 bets).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Tips for late games:

    Bet #181: Toledo - Boise State (FT handicap: -20.0). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #182: New Mexico - Tezas Tech (FT handicap: -20.5). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #183: Bahrain (FT handicap: +39.5) - Phillipines. 10 pln (1.83).

    Bet #184: South Korea - Indie (FT total points: under 149.5). 10 pln (1.83).

    Bet #185: (In Play - 1:0) Union Espanola - Santiago Morning (FT: X2). 10 pln (2.75).

    Bank balance: 238.11 pln. In play 454 pln (45 bets).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Summary of Friday bets:

    Bets placed - 38. Bets won - 13. Bets lost - 19. Bets Voided - 6

    Money invested - 384 pln. Money return - 343.48 Pln (- 40.52).


    After one day with profit here come the losses again, but not very significant. Way too many use on AH -1 handicap cost me, as few games were refunded after I decided to not back straight win - plan is from now to not doing it in the future when possible, and scrap games where odds for straight win are too low. Also, terrible mistake on my part tailing one person for 2 Bundesliga games and forgetting to get tip for Eintracht (would be 2nd for them) as well, thanks to this I was 0-2 with his bets :mad:

    There is also one more problem - I am struggling to find a balance between getting higher stakes thanks to early betting and playing games where there is a mixed opinion on outcome. That's how I lost both rugby bets, as well as tennis match. If I would wait longer (risking lower odds) I would probably skip this games, as later some other tipsters had a opposite prediction than the ones who posted their early.

    Bets Still In Play: 7 (70 pln). Bank Balance - 571.59 (+137.68)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Time for Saturday bets:

    Bet #186: (In Play: 1-0) Sweden Women U19 (FT: score over 3.5 goals) - Serbia Women U19. 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #187: Iran - Uzbekistan (FT handicap: +26.5). 10 pln (1.83).

    Bet #188: Tom Tomsk - Krasnodar (FT - Krasnodar DNB). 10 pln (2.05).

    Bet #189: Montana 1921 - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (FT total goals: over 2.5). 10 pln (1.75).

    Bet #190: Montana 1921 - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (FT - Lokomotiv DNB). 10 pln (1.66).

    Bet #191: Verl - Kaiserslautern II (FT total goals: over 2.5). 10 pln (1.925).

    Bet #192: Beroe (FT handicap: +2.0) - CSKA Sofia. 10 pln (1.75).

    Bet #193: Energie Cottbus II - Hannover II (FT total goals: over 2.5). 10 pln (1.975).

    Bet #194: Arbroath (FT to win) - Aidrie United. 10 pln (2.00).

    Bet #195: Crawley - Bradford (FT handicap: +0.5). 10 pln (2.20).

    Bet #196: Southend (FT handicap: -1.0) - Plymouth. 10 pln (2.025).

    Bet #197: Djurgardens IF (FT handicap: -1.0) - MODO. 10 pln (1.80).

    Bet #198: HSV Hamburg - Borussia M'gladbach (FT handicap: +0.25). 10 pln (1.80).

    Bank balance: 441.59 pln. In play 200 pln (20 bets).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    More bets for Saturday:

    Bet #199: (In Play: 79-25). Iran (FT handicap: -70.5) - Uzbekistan. 14 pln (1.86).

    Bet #200: (In Play: 88-25). Iran - Uzbekistan (FT total points: over 180.5)..

    Bet #201: PK 35 (FT handicap: -2.5) - FC Espoo. 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #202: POPA - PS Kemi (Ft handicap: -0.5). 10 pln (1.80).

    Bet #203: FC Haamenlinna - OPS-JP (FT handicap: -0.5). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #204: MSV Duisburg - Union Berlin (FT handicap: +0.5). 10 pln (1.875).

    Bet #205: East Sterling - Stanraer (FT handicap: -0.5). 10 pln (1.625).

    Bet #206: Barrow - Mansfield (FT to win). 10 pln (2.20).

    Bet #207: (In Play: 0-2) Kazachstan Women U19 - Romania Women U19 (FT total goals: over 4). 10 pln (2.0).

    Bet #208: Tulsa - Oklahoma State (FT handicap: -13.5). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bet #209: Florida State - Oklahoma (FT handicap: -3.0) & Arizona - Stanford (FT Handicap: -9.0). 10 pln (3.56).

    Bet #210: Wrexham (FT handicap: -0.5) - York. 10 pln (2.20).

    Bet #211: Montrose - Annan Athletic (FT handicap: -0.5). 10 pln (1.83).

    Bet #212: Volga Nizhny (FT handicap: -0.25) - Spartak Nalchik. 10 pln (1.85).

    Bet #213: Kidderminster (FT to win) - Alfreton Town & Eastbourne Borough (FT to win) - Boreham Wood. 10 pln (2.79).

    Bet #214: Luton (Ft handicap: -0.5) - Lincoln City & Darlington (FT to win) & Hayes/Yeading. 10 pln (2.22).

    Bet #215: Gateshead (FT handicap: -0.5) - Cambridge United. 10 pln (1.85).

    Bet #216: Ebbsfleet United - Fleetwood Town (FT handicap: -0.25). 10 pln (1.90).

    Bank balance: 231.59 pln. In play 380 pln (38 bets).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    And even more bets for Saturday:

    Bet #217: Astra Ploiesti - Gaz Metan Medias (FT total goals: under 1.5). 6 pln (2.60).

    Bet #218: Astra Ploiesti (FT handicap: -0.25) - Gaz Metan Medias. 10 pln (1.925).

    Bet #219: FC Brasov - Petrolul Ploiesti (FT handicap: +0.5). 10 pln (1.75).

    Bet #220: CSU Vointa Sibiu - Otelul Galati (FT handicap: -0.25). 10 pln (1.625).

    Bet #221: BiH - Italy (FT correct score: 0-11). 1 pln (101.0)

    Bet #222: BiH - Italy (FT correct score: 0-10). 1.25 pln (51.0)

    Bet #223: BiH - Italy (FT correct score: 0-9). 1.25 pln (34.0)

    Bet #224: BiH - Italy (FT correct score: 0-8). 1.50 pln (21.0)

    Bet #225: BiH - Italy (FT correct score: 0-7). 1.50 pln (13.0).

    Bet #226: BiH - Italy (FT correct score: 0-6). 3.50 pln (9.0)

    Bet #227: Numancia - Girona (FT total goals: over 2.5). 10 pln (2.05).

    Bet #228: VVV - Heerenveen (FT total goals: over 3.5). 10 pln (2.10).

    Bank balance: 145.59 pln. In play 456 pln (50 bets).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Last batch of Satuday bets:

    Bet #229: FGS: Giuseppe Rossi (6.0) & Julio Baptista (7.0). 6 pln.

    Bet #230: (In Play: 3:0) Iceland Women - Norway Women (FT total goals: over 5.5). 10 pln (2.60).

    Bet #231: (In Play 4:0) Denmark Women U19 - Greece Women U19 (FT total goals: over 7.5). 10 pln (2.25).

    Bet #232: FGS: Lionel Messi (2.87) & Diego Milito (5.50) & Alvaro Negredo (4.33). 6 pln.

    Bet #233: Union La Calera - Colo Colo (FT handicap: -0.5). 10 pln (1.60).

    Bet #234: (In Play: 0:2) Longford Town - Athlone Town (FT - Athlone DNB). 10 pln (2.25).

    Bet #235: (In Play: 0:0) Nublense (FT handicap: +1.0) - Universidad Catolica. 10 pln (1.60).

    Bet #236: Nublense - Universidad Catolica (FT: both teams to score). 10 pln (1.61).

    Bet #237: Atletico Goianiense - Atletico Mineiro (FT: both teams to score). 10 pln (1.72).

    Bank balance: 73.59 pln. In play 538 pln (59 bets).


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