Winter 2011/2012

Newtown90

Snow shower reported in Kerry!

Was just on Kerry Radio there before 1!

WolfeIRE

Here is a map of webcams that I did up earlier this year.

Might be handy during the coming winter

je55ie

Got to 2c here in Kerry ,just had some hailstone and there's snow on the mountains

Newtown90

jessie37 wrote: »

Got to 2c here in Kerry ,just had some hailstone and there's snow on the mountains

Bad hail here now at the minute in North Kerry!

Its gone really dark!

Was ment to be knocking a chimney today

secrecy_ie

Glenviewjf wrote: »

Bad hail here now at the minute in North Kerry!

Its gone really dark!

Was ment to be knocking a chimney today

Is it sticking?

Newtown90

secrecy_ie wrote: »

Is it sticking?

Nope...

je55ie

Glenviewjf wrote: »

Nope...

Didnt last here either ,I'm in South Kerry

nacho libre

blackius wrote: »

That said if the average of their solutions is to have a high meandering out west,and nao does eventually go nicely negative towards the end of december,that high could tilt to suck down cold air wanting to head south west as pressure builds over the artic/greenland.The same high out to our west being part of what drives warm air up greenland way building higher pressure up there.

s.

A high pressure to the west of us retrogressing towards Greenland later in December, doesn't seem likely if the Polar Vortex is still strong due to the cold stratosphere. We need to see it ideally split, or at least displaced.

With this in mind M.T.'s and Stuart Rampling's thinking about sustained colder weather later in the season(albeit a difference of an opinion in timing) seem to be largely predicated on the idea of a SSW event happening around the middle of December, with a lag of about two-three weeks. This may not happen, even if it does, we might miss out.

A winter without a blocking pattern doesn't mean we won't get snow, but if we want sustained cold and snowy weather, an east-west flow is what we want to see at some point this winter!

YouTookMyName

Bastard shower of hailstones in Mayo.

More and Heavier FFS.

Iancar29

Carrantuohill , Image Fiona Quirke

mcriot29

Su Campu wrote: »

What a chancer! Who told him that, the Tooth Fairy? And does he not check these things himself?

yeah i have sent him another email saying where did he see ao was low its at record high for the next 2 weeks god id swear he does not even know what the Ao index is

Tom Cruises Left Nut

Glenviewjf wrote: »

Bad hail here now at the minute in North Kerry!

Its gone really dark!

Was ment to be knocking a chimney today

Hail sticks

kkontour

mcriot29 wrote: »

yeah i have sent him another email saying where did he see ao was low its at record high for the next 2 weeks god id swear he does not even know what the Ao index is

Starting to Dip maybe?

patneve2

Why don't we look at the positive side of having a positive AO? At least the polar vortex will pump up and get colder...and arctic sea ice will extend...:cool:
It still has a lot of time to dip and go below zero like last winter... :rolleyes:

Not

mcriot29 wrote: »

yeah i have sent him another email saying where did he see ao was low its at record high for the next 2 weeks god id swear he does not even know what the Ao index is

Maybe he doesn't know what year it is. He seems to be following last years script.

WolfeIRE

LATEST GFS ensemble

mcriot29

patneve2 wrote: »

Why don't we look at the positive side of having a positive AO? At least the polar vortex will pump up and get colder...and arctic sea ice will extend...:cool:
It still has a lot of time to dip and go below zero like last winter... :rolleyes:

yep thats true has anyone any idea is this AO we have going to break any records for being so high like a plus 4 or maybe a plus 5 i have not seen ao that high
if it goes neg soon we could really get hit hard with all that cold up north :eek:

ct5amr2ig1nfhp

Wasn't Piers supposed to have a further update at 12 today?

Speak Now

WolfeIRE wrote: »

LATEST GFS ensemble

You off to Aberdeen Wolfe

Speak Now

BearNecessities wrote: »

Wasn't Piers supposed to have a further update at 12 today?

Heard he got buried in a snow drift :pac:

Caff Caff

BearNecessities wrote: »

Wasn't Piers supposed to have a further update at 12 today?

That was just another prediction:cool:

mcriot29

BearNecessities wrote: »

Wasn't Piers supposed to have a further update at 12 today?

yep and id say no one turned up he will say snow snow snow all dec and then when it does not snow he will say its late and went to the wrong country .
He will say russia as a sunspot he did not see blasted the snow away from uk and ireland
Can he not just admit he was totally wrong and give everyone back there money they spent on his forecasts there great forecasts he goes by as he seems to think the AO is low when its at a all time high

WolfeIRE

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

You off to Aberdeen Wolfe

:pac:

The Derry image was a hell of a lot more depressing.

Must get my crayola out. I will draw a much nicer graph for you.

Hang on....

ct5amr2ig1nfhp

I'm sensing a little hostility towards Piers.

mcriot29

The ao maybe at record highs but
The UN weather office has said world temperatures have maintained a long-term upward trend with Arctic sea ice shrinking to record low volumes this year.

The report released at today's UN climate talks provide a bleak backdrop to negotiators seeking ways to limit pollution blamed for global warming.

Thirteen of the warmest years have been in the last 15 ye
saying that its
-50F in Lena River valley in Eastern Siberia currently
also heres a link to a good website im sure some of you know it allready

http://ukweather.wordpress.com/2011/11/28/cold-snap-just-around-the-corner/



ALSO this next website was correct with last years forecast he seems to think ao will dip this year too
http://www.landscheidt.info/?q=node/224

mcriot29

WolfeIRE wrote: »

:pac:

The Derry image was a hell of a lot more depressing.

Must get my crayola out. I will draw a much nicer graph for you.

Hang on....

ha thats where piers got this years forecast from lol

maquiladora

Gettin kinda tired of readin about Piers now.

WolfeIRE

maquiladora wrote: »

Gettin kinda tired of readin about Piers now.

Nobody else to talk about now that Ken Ring has retired.

mcriot29

anyone know why irishweatheronline closed down frist i was told mark was away and would be back now it seems he wont

Derfil

My sister was telling me today she heard a psychic ( mabe Piers? ha ) on the radio predict a major weather related event which will kill large numbers in Ireland and the UK towards the end of next spring. Anyone else hear any such rubbish?