Winter 2011/2012

Musicman2000

mcriot29 wrote: »

10mb warming on European over the pole by 360 hrs reaches 50C!!!! This is a huge event and will have N hemisphere cold implications
From job b
Also strat forum on netweather is saying the same thing but as i said before, will the cold air hit ireland if it does we could see record temps worse the last dec

If the cold did hit Ireland it would make last dec look mild, but thats down the line yet and its a very big IF, The models are not picking up much of a change yet and when they do they just flop back to the zonal theme.

mercurialhaze

I only joined yesterday but ye have kept me entertained for over a year especially during the winter months.. I probably won't post again simply because i haven't a clue on how to read weather maps etc but il continue to watch .. cheers guys

maquiladora

mcriot29 wrote: »

10mb warming on European over the pole by 360 hrs reaches 50C!!!! This is a huge event and will have N hemisphere cold implications
From job b
Also strat forum on netweather is saying the same thing but as i said before, will the cold air hit ireland if it does we could see record temps worse the last dec

I don't have much faith in computer models at 360 hours.

TheMilkyPirate

Musicman2000 wrote: »

If the cold did hit Ireland it would make last dec look mild, but thats down the line yet and its a very big IF, The models are not picking up much of a change yet and when they do they just flop back to the zonal theme.

How good are the models at picking up SSW events. Or do they not recognize it till it actually happens?

rKossi

mercurialhaze wrote: »

I only joined yesterday but ye have kept me entertained for over a year especially during the winter months.. I probably won't post again simply because i haven't a clue on how to read weather maps etc but il continue to watch .. cheers guys

Agree with you I have been reading posts here for the past year but never posted until now:pac:
I just want to thank EVERYONE who posts on the weather fourm you all are doing a great job.

10mb warming on European over the pole by 360 hrs reaches 50C!!!! This is a huge event and will have N hemisphere cold implications
From job b
Also strat forum on netweather is saying the same thing but as i said before, will the cold air hit ireland if it does we could see record temps worse the last dec

What are the odds of this being hitting us?
and if we were hit are we talking record breaking lows?.

200motels

rKossi wrote: »

Agree with you I have been reading posts here for the past year but never posted until now:pac:
I just want to thank EVERYONE who posts on the weather fourm you all are doing a great job.


What are the odds of this being hitting us?
and if we were hit are we talking record breaking lows?.

High odds I would say but it's too far out in fantasyland, but if it did and I make it a 33/1 chance it would be bitter cold.

Wild Bill

Late winters are common...like this utterly forgotten snowy spell in early March 2006.

Keep the faith :cool:

Wild Bill

Or late Feb 2005.........

Elmer Blooker

I noticed a post on netweather tonight saying this winter has a 88-89 feel to it.
I couldn't agree more!
posted nov 16th
ignore E.B. at your peril.

http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?p=75508493

Wild Bill

Or even on the 11th March 2004!

Winter doesn't end in January

Wild Bill

And more recently....10th Feb 2009

Lucreto

Elmer Blooker wrote: »

I noticed a post on netweather tonight saying this winter has a 88-89 feel to it.
I couldn't agree more!
posted nov 16th
ignore E.B. at your peril.

http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?p=75508493

Was 88/89 particularly heavy snow or prolonged cold? How does it compare to 2010 snowfall?

davidsr20

Lucreto wrote: »

Was 88/89 particularly heavy snow or prolonged cold? How does it compare to 2010 snowfall?

I don't remember anything special about 88/89 :rolleyes:

Elmer Blooker

davidsr20 wrote: »

I don't remember anything special about 88/89 :rolleyes:

you dont remember anything special about the winter of 88/89 because there was nothing to remember about it. It was as boring and coma inducing as this one! This chart looks familiar doesn't it - same as the s***e we've been looking at all this winter.

Wild Bill

Then there was the 8" fall in Dublin on 28th February 2001; it remained on the ground for another 8 days in cloudless skies and near freezing temps till about the 7th March.

Not many people remember this!

snowstreams

Wasn't that during the foot and mouth epidemic. I remember going up the liffey source in the Wicklow mountains to see (at the time) the most amount of snow I had ever seen. The river was filled in with snow but you weren't allowed to hike far off road markings due to foot and mouth signs everywhere(they weren't quite buried unfortunately!).

Elmer Blooker

Wild Bill wrote: »

Then there was the 8" fall in Dublin on 28th February 2001; it remained on the ground for another 8 days in cloudless skies and near freezing temps till about the 7th March.

Not many people remember this!

I remember it I had one of those old max/min thermometers then (pre digital era) and I can remember the temp only got up to about 2c in the middle of the day and -8c at night.

Redsunset

And just to highlight that just 2 weeks before that we had the this,


Notice Greenland like now.

In fact it's nearly a Carbon copy +144hrs on current GFS run



Then the blocking happened as the AO went negative



And more importantly to note is that we had a Sudden Strat Warming in mid Jan which caused a splitting of the polar vortex in Feb01

tzfrantic

were can i see the NAO forecast

Redsunset

tzfrantic wrote: »

were can i see the NAO forecast

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml

Wild Bill

I'm really looking forward (with confidence) to this again

tzfrantic

redsunset wrote: »

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml

thanks

Wild Bill

snowstreams wrote: »

Wasn't that during the foot and mouth epidemic. I remember going up the liffey source in the Wicklow mountains to see (at the time) the most amount of snow I had ever seen. The river was filled in with snow but you weren't allowed to hike far off road markings due to foot and mouth signs everywhere(they weren't quite buried unfortunately!).

It was indeed during the F&M outbreak!

But I doubt that cause the snow

TheMilkyPirate

Loving the pictures wild bill are they all your own? And as ever great informative post redsunset.

Lucreto

Wild Bill wrote: »

Then there was the 8" fall in Dublin on 28th February 2001; it remained on the ground for another 8 days in cloudless skies and near freezing temps till about the 7th March.

Not many people remember this!

I don't remember it sadly. If it was a decent snowfall I would remember it. I think I had less than 5 snow days off school.

Wild Bill

baraca wrote: »

Loving the pictures wild bill are they all your own?

100% - guaranteed Wild Bill

Note the lesser number of pixels in the earlier pics...but at the time it was fairly up to date.

Joe Public

If prayers from this forum could be turned into snow we'd be snowed in for months.

Wild Bill

Lucreto wrote: »

I think I had less than 5 snow days off school.

Like....in 2001.... or in your entire school years

Danno

davidsr20 wrote: »

I don't remember anything special about 88/89 :rolleyes:

That winter of 88-89 was one damn wet one, rivers around here burst their banks and were ten to fifteen feet above normal! Considering there are 5 rivers in my area and the Nore is the fastest flowing river in Ireland that drains here too, it takes serious rains for flooding in South Laois!!!

Lucreto

Wild Bill wrote: »

Like....in 2001.... or in your entire school years

Sorry I was meant to say in my whole school career. 14 years and only 5 days due to snow. Well I did live in Bray until 1997 moved to Naas then I had about 3.