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The Irish kick in the face to the EU is disgusting

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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 646 ✭✭✭end a eknny


    JustinDee wrote: »
    Its not a dump now compared to before. I guess you were either too young to remember or fast asleep.


    If you live well beyond your means, thats no-one else's fault. No-one forced you to go that extra mile.


    Its a reputation Ireland had and was at the height during the late 60s and early and still has to this day in some corners. The Irish have a reputaiton as being drinkers.

    The late 60s and early 70s was before Ireland joined the Common Market? Methinks not, fella. The country had a woeful reputation in with regards terrorism regardless of what you think.


    Moral relativism aside, I'm not asking 'Ireland' to apologise for anything. With hindsight, I'd say a lot of the criticism on being heavily influenced by the catholic church was quite justified all the same.
    Again, thats the reputation the country had.
    Don't worry though, its not unusual for people here to suddenly start moaning a sook when the good times go pear-shaped. Harking back to the way it was before though? Oh dear. Self-subsistent Ireland? Laughable.
    if you dont remember at least read a book other than the beano before you come on here spouting facts


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,980 ✭✭✭meglome


    Yahew wrote: »
    1) We were all happy to have immigrants doing jobs were didnt want to do.

    Nonsense, plenty of people were unhappy as unskilled labour pushes down the cost of labour. Why would working class people be happy with that, it was clear they weren't from forums here and radio shows and letters to papers. A policy imposed on people which benefited an elite is now blamed on "everybody". And Irish people were in construction, just they earned less than they otherwise would have.

    But it didn't push labour costs down. The country was awash with builders and yet building a garden wall cost and arm and a leg. The unions kept pushing the wage bills up to completely unsustainable levels. Builders are still on those rates and unsurprisingly very little is being built. And don't tell me people weren't generally happy to see someone else doing the shítty jobs.
    Yahew wrote: »
    2) We all wanted higher house prices.

    If you asked people in 2006 whether they would prefer lower house costs the answer from FTB's would be YES, of course. High house prices are not to the benefit of the ordinary guy. He might still buy, as he would believe ( and be told by the media onslaught) that prices would never fall, but that is naivity not greed. Ask a developer and he would support high prices, expect them not to fall, and suggest they were a good thing. As would a bank manager. The buyer sees house prices as a bad thing, the seller as a good thing. Being panicked into buying is not the same as greed.

    Why were people panicked? They could easily rent, there weren't going to be out on the streets. People borrowed way more than made any sense and the banks gave it to them. Selling high priced houses to each other was a disaster.
    ahal wrote: »
    What have Shell been up to in the West again? ...

    Would that be the same Shell who have spent a very large sum of money and have landed exactly zero gas?
    Worse than the fantasy €200 billion in fish there are now people talking about fantasy trillions in oil/gas. I say fantasy as all those fish and all the gas/oil doesn't exist, well at anything near the numbers being stated anyway.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,684 ✭✭✭JustinDee


    if you dont remember at least read a book other than the beano before you come on here spouting facts
    Easy, tiger.
    Nothing wrong with my post.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,224 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    Scofflaw wrote: »
    OK - you asked me whether we had functioning banks. We do have functioning banks - even though you don't want to admit it, you've had to describe them as semi-functioning, because 4 of the 6 are rather obviously doing exactly what I said.

    I will admit we have some semi functioning banks, in that we can desposit money and access it.
    4 out of 6, would you consider that good percentage return on your investment ?
    Why I said semi functioning is because they are not truly engaged in the other side of banking, the lending side necessary for commercial business to properly function.
    They went from a position of firing money at certain people/certain businesses to now being ultra cautious with even proven businesses.
    Scofflaw wrote: »
    So you've turned to concentrate on Anglo and INBS, which aren't functioning. Sure, but I didn't say they were. I said that ECB life-support enabled us to keep functioning banks, which it does. I didn't say every bank being given ELA by the ECB or guaranteed by the State was a functioning bank.

    Well sorry for stating the obvious and harping on the negative. :o
    But we did spend a bloody fortune on two entities that are now defunct and leaving them out of the equation is being economical with the facts.
    We have the most expensive publicly funded semi functioning banking system in the world.
    Scofflaw wrote: »
    By the way, that's the total cost of the bank bailout you're citing there, not Anglo & INBS. Not sure why you're doing that - Anglo & INBS between them were €35bn last time I looked, which is half the total cost.

    Ehhh is that 35bn not just recapitalisation costs ?

    How much has the crud that NAMA bought from these two institutions cost, even after markdown ?
    When the loans bought by NAMA have been paid back or more correctly the assets supporting these loans have been sold then lets say it is no longer a cost.
    Although I guess you would claim it is an investment. :D

    BTW I hate when people view one in isolation to the other.
    NAMA and recapitalisation go hand in hand and are instrinically linked.
    What we save in one costs us in the other.
    The ones that usually view them as separate processes are usually the supporters of the processes.
    The bright idea that NAMA costs could be separated through clever SPIVs was seen through by the ever so important markets.
    Scofflaw wrote: »
    I'm neither claiming nor hinting it - it's open for debate, but the need would be at the least very much reduced, and I'd agree that possibly we wouldn't have had a bailout at all.

    Boom boom. (possibly bad choice of phrase here)
    You appear to have got what I am saying.
    We could have cut deficit and used pension reserve fund as the rainy day fund to try stimulation of the eocnomy.
    Instead most if not all of it has been pis**d away to pay for the gambles of our bankers and developers. :mad:
    Scofflaw wrote: »
    However, see the point above - €35bn for the functioning part of the banking system is still a lot of money, and still we'd have had a deficit of €108bn to fund.

    True we may have had to have bailout if we only had costs of AIB/BOI/IL&P/EBS.
    But at least most of us doubters would have felt we had saved something rather than pi**ed money into a black hole. :(
    Scofflaw wrote: »
    So we'd have gone from c. €210bn to c. €175bn without Anglo/INBS - a 17% saving. It's not that much when you look at it like that.

    Again does that include cost of NAMA ?
    BTW all the pennies or rather billions add up and it means less government spending in our country (some of the government spending is actually good you know) and more taxes.
    Icepick wrote: »
    ...
    But we would have needed a bailout if the spending continued at the rate it was going.
    This year's deficit is €22.45 billion.

    Yeah right, the markets wouldn't have touched us this year with a deficit like that. :rolleyes:
    Also claiming that we would have continued the deficit is wrong since the EU/ECB would have forced to cut the deficit through cuts and tax increases.

    So basically your claim we would have had to have a bailout due to our deficit is nonsense.

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    jmayo wrote: »
    I will admit we have some semi functioning banks, in that we can desposit money and access it.
    4 out of 6, would you consider that good percentage return on your investment ?

    Not hugely so, but then I wouldn't have included Anglo in the guarantee. It needed something done to it, certainly, but not what was done.
    jmayo wrote: »
    Why I said semi functioning is because they are not truly engaged in the other side of banking, the lending side necessary for commercial business to properly function.
    They went from a position of firing money at certain people/certain businesses to now being ultra cautious with even proven businesses.

    Sure - but then they do that in every recession. Banks are very pro-cyclic.
    jmayo wrote: »
    Well sorry for stating the obvious and harping on the negative. :o
    But we did spend a bloody fortune on two entities that are now defunct and leaving them out of the equation is being economical with the facts.
    We have the most expensive publicly funded semi functioning banking system in the world.

    Sure - but as I said.
    jmayo wrote: »
    Ehhh is that 35bn not just recapitalisation costs ?

    How much has the crud that NAMA bought from these two institutions cost, even after markdown ?
    When the loans bought by NAMA have been paid back or more correctly the assets supporting these loans have been sold then lets say it is no longer a cost.
    Although I guess you would claim it is an investment. :D

    That's because it is an investment. Maybe a poor investment, but nevertheless, not simply the same as p***ing money down the drain.
    jmayo wrote: »
    BTW I hate when people view one in isolation to the other.
    NAMA and recapitalisation go hand in hand and are instrinically linked.
    What we save in one costs us in the other.
    The ones that usually view them as separate processes are usually the supporters of the processes.
    The bright idea that NAMA costs could be separated through clever SPIVs was seen through by the ever so important markets.

    And I hate when people just add the amount paid by NAMA to our debt, as if there was absolutely nothing at all on the other side of the balance sheet, but there we go, eh? I can't stop people doing it, apparently.
    jmayo wrote: »
    Boom boom. (possibly bad choice of phrase here)
    You appear to have got what I am saying.
    We could have cut deficit and used pension reserve fund as the rainy day fund to try stimulation of the eocnomy.
    Instead most if not all of it has been pis**d away to pay for the gambles of our bankers and developers. :mad:

    True we may have had to have bailout if we only had costs of AIB/BOI/IL&P/EBS.
    But at least most of us doubters would have felt we had saved something rather than pi**ed money into a black hole. :(

    Maybe. Maybe not, though. After all, we dodged a bullet with Depfa, but nobody really takes that into account.
    jmayo wrote: »
    Again does that include cost of NAMA ?
    BTW all the pennies or rather billions add up and it means less government spending in our country (some of the government spending is actually good you know) and more taxes.

    No...as above. You can't simply add what NAMA has paid as debt, because, like it or not, it's an investment. The current non-Government view (courtesy of NAMAWinelake) is that it will lose about €3bn over its lifetime.
    jmayo wrote: »
    Yeah right, the markets wouldn't have touched us this year with a deficit like that. :rolleyes:
    Also claiming that we would have continued the deficit is wrong since the EU/ECB would have forced to cut the deficit through cuts and tax increases.

    So basically your claim we would have had to have a bailout due to our deficit is nonsense.

    It's arguable, but it's not even close to "nonsense". A lot would have depended on the extent to which there was seen to be a will to tackle the deficit.

    Because deficits add up - and I mention that only because it seems too often to be ignored. People say "pfft! Deficit of €22.45bn? That's nothing!" - but it's not nothing, particularly if the previous year's deficit was similarly sized, and the next year's expected to be.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,491 ✭✭✭Yahew


    But it didn't push labour costs down. The country was awash with builders and yet building a garden wall cost and arm and a leg. The unions kept pushing the wage bills up to completely unsustainable levels. Builders are still on those rates and unsurprisingly very little is being built. And don't tell me people weren't generally happy to see someone else doing the shítty jobs.

    it pushed prices down releative to what they would have been. The effect of immigration on unskilled labour costs is well document. Increase the supply, reduce the demand. The "happy to see other's do these jobs" is just cant, really. People did those jobs before the boom, and would have done them after. What you say was employers replacing low skilled Irish workers with immigrants, as they were cheaper, or worker harder. Unions have nothing to do with any of this - the private sector is barely unionised.
    Why were people panicked? They could easily rent, there weren't going to be out on the streets. People borrowed way more than made any sense and the banks gave it to them. Selling high priced houses to each other was a disaster.

    Nobody is saying it wasn't. What I was saying was that houses were not in the interest of people who bought in the last decade. You were suggesting that buyers welcomed the hike in prices, they didn't.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 536 ✭✭✭ahal


    meglome wrote: »
    Would that be the same Shell who have spent a very large sum of money and have landed exactly zero gas?

    Sure they're saints so they are! Hanging on in there despite all of the opposition when they know they're going to get nothing. Corporate Martyrs eh? :pac:

    meglome wrote: »
    Worse than the fantasy €200 billion in fish there are now people talking about fantasy trillions in oil/gas. I say fantasy as all those fish and all the gas/oil doesn't exist, well at anything near the numbers being stated anyway.

    Bloomin 'eck, it's 200 billion now?! It's so nice of all these people to spend so much time and money here when they're getting nothing! That's even more fishy than the original alleged fishiness :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,980 ✭✭✭meglome


    Yahew wrote: »
    it pushed prices down releative to what they would have been. The effect of immigration on unskilled labour costs is well document. Increase the supply, reduce the demand. The "happy to see other's do these jobs" is just cant, really. People did those jobs before the boom, and would have done them after. What you say was employers replacing low skilled Irish workers with immigrants, as they were cheaper, or worker harder. Unions have nothing to do with any of this - the private sector is barely unionised.

    As I keep saying wages went up. I can't think of anything that was cheaper here because of the influx of labour. In the real world yes I agree wages could be forced down but thanks to an inept government and greedy unions they went up here. There was no real unemployment (you could work if you actually wanted to) so we weren't replacing anyone with immigrants. The fact some of those immigrants are now unemployed is tough, we wanted them at the time and they had jobs.
    Yahew wrote: »
    Nobody is saying it wasn't. What I was saying was that houses were not in the interest of people who bought in the last decade. You were suggesting that buyers welcomed the hike in prices, they didn't.

    Many people believed they were rich as their house was 'worth' a million euro or whatever. Many have since learned that a house is only worth what someone will pay for it.
    ahal wrote: »
    Sure they're saints so they are! Hanging on in there despite all of the opposition when they know they're going to get nothing. Corporate Martyrs eh? :pac:

    They are here to make a profit, which so far they haven't. However it doesn't stop people saying they are making squillions.
    ahal wrote: »
    Bloomin 'eck, it's 200 billion now?! It's so nice of all these people to spend so much time and money here when they're getting nothing! That's even more fishy than the original alleged fishiness :pac:

    That's the figure that some people quote for how much fish was taken out of Irish waters by EU states. It's complete fantasy. There are figures for this so we don't need to believe anything, it's all there in black and white.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    ahal wrote: »
    Bloomin 'eck, it's 200 billion now?! It's so nice of all these people to spend so much time and money here when they're getting nothing! That's even more fishy than the original alleged fishiness :pac:

    €200bn was regularly claimed, as were, occasionally, even higher figures. None of them have any basis in reality.

    Inshore Ireland on the subject: http://www.inshore-ireland.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=769&Itemid=175

    The claims for trillions in oil and gas are equally questionable.

    cordially,
    Scofflaw


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 536 ✭✭✭ahal


    Scofflaw wrote: »
    The claims for trillions in oil and gas are equally questionable.

    I'm sure they are. It's handy for some of the 'facts' to be confused.


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