Potential Stormy Conditions 21st-23rd May

Mayo Exile

At 7pm BST.

redsteveireland

Gone dark here as the first of the cloud from this system arrives in the west. Here's hoping the trampoline is well secured!:D

Lumi

redsteveireland wrote: »

Gone dark here as the first of the cloud from this system arrives in the west.

Looks kinda pretty from above doesn't it




Image courtesy Met.no

je55ie

Fionagus wrote: »

Looks kinda pretty from above doesn't it




Image courtesy Met.no

looks fairly intense :eek:

dexter647

Is it normal to see a system as intense as this at this time of year

emo72

such a nice evening in dublin too. hard to believe its incoming. getting sick of this conveyor belt of bad weather.

Darwin

dexter647 wrote: »

Is it normal to see a system as intense as this at this time of year

I was wondering the same thing too. Usually storm systems such as these peter out around late March / early April but I'm open to correction

Nabber

It's all to quite at the moment

maquiladora

18Z GFS is another slight upgrade.

By the way, the name of this system is Udo.

There is a Red Meteoalarm warning for Donegal.

"Gusts of 110 to 140 km/h over land, southwest storm at sea."

http://www.meteoalarm.eu/index3.php?area=IE002&day=1&lang=

M.T. Cranium

As to the probability of seeing a storm this intense in May, I have estimated the probability of a 60 kt gust at Belmullet at least once in any month as follows:

JAN 70%
FEB 65%
MAR 70%
APR 55%
MAY 35%
JUN 20%
JUL 15%
AUG 30%
SEP 55%
OCT 65%
NOV 75%
DEC 70%

You could take about 5% off that for each 5 kt speed above 60kt.

Just a note here about observations, the M3 buoy has windspeed disabled, the current and past several hours showing 2 kts clearly bogus. the M6 buoy is currently in the slight gap between strong warm advection and strong cold advection and has lost a few knots but will pick up probably around 00z.

Satellite imagery showing the genesis now of the expected frontal shape which will be a reverse-C shape extending from the low centre southeast then south and southwest hooking through Ireland during the morning hours. The most active convection at present appears to be developing around 50 to 51 N at 20 W, heading ENE, so likely to cross southern half of Ireland between 0700h and 1200h.

Would advise readers in Kerry and Cork not to underestimate this storm as it may pack a double punch for both Connacht and Munster.

Harps

How does that meteoalarm site work? Is it through warnings submitted by each individual met office or is there a central office that decides on the warnings?

Just seems odd that we have a red alert yet Scotland only has yellow

On the storm, its been dead calm here all evening, I can hear a bit of wind out now since the rain arrived but nothing more than a breeze so far. Hard to believe theres a storm on the horizon

irish1967

Same here Harps. Just a regular Sunday night. Most nights this past week have been worse at this time. Though, having said that, any increase in wind speed will be easily noticeable from this standing start. I expect to be woken up at some stage during the early hours.

John mac

lashing rain here and getting windy.

nacho libre

The wind is howling here now. It's definitely hard to imagine a storm is on the way given the time of year. I don't recall a storm in May before since my memory has been active.
So it'll be somewhat surreal if a tree happens to falls here in the next 12 hours.

John mac

John mac wrote: »

lashing rain here and getting windy.

location?

here in Dublin west seems ok right now



Update 00.15 - can hear the wind pick up every so often now nothing major yet

John mac

location here






<<<


foxford

Tooshjr81

can anyone tell me what the wind situation will be around north wexford area tomorrow? I'm building a house in that area and don't quiet fancy fresh walls been blown down on top of me :eek:

Deep Easterly

Raining here but only lightly (1.0mm since midnight) with a light 8mph mean wind speed from SSW.

1009.1mb falling rapidly.

IMBACKLATER

starting to get very windy here on the coast in Mayo.

nacho libre

Fairly blustery here now.

Joe10000

I'm also in Mayo and it sounds rough out there, have to drive to dub at 6, forgot to take the washing in too !!

squonk

Not seeming too bad here in Galway city at he moment. Windy but nothing extreme. Gusts last night seemed worse in those showers.

Oscar Bravo

Getting very windy-Castlebar.

IMBACKLATER

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OqBTL-HWPvA

galwaybabe

All quiet still in Gailimh

S McC

Getting stronger winds here in SW Sligo now at 1:29 AM Can hear it in the trees. Looks like we are in for a bad one by morning.

IMBACKLATER

the wind is really ferocious here in squally bursts with driving rain-in Louisburgh.

Mayo Exile

Image at 1am BST. Some light rain and just a slight breeze here in Dundalk at the moment.

nacho libre

Getting very windy now in the squally showers.

M.T. Cranium

post 48 ... wind direction likely to be SSW to about 0900 then more like WSW, unless you have large elevation differences nearby that could channel strong winds. Just to be clear, wind from those directions. Take care.