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April 2011 Boards forecast contest

  • 27-03-2011 7:03pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,917 ✭✭✭✭


    The usual five questions, followed by a bonus:

    (1) Predict the "IMT" (Irish mean temp) in deg C ... long-term avg 7.9 C.

    (2) Predict the highest temperature of the month as reported in the Monthly Summary.

    (3) Predict the lowest temperature of the month as reported in the Monthly Summary.

    (4) Predict the average rainfall (precip) as percentage of normal as per the graphs in the Monthly Summary.

    (5) Predict the total sunshine as percentage of normal as per the graphs in the Monthly Summary.

    (6) Looking way ahead to Easter Sunday (24th) predict the rainfall in mm for Mullingar (liquid equivalent in case of snow).

    Template that can be used if you wish to help ...

    IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... MUL

    _________________________________________________

    Note the rules for entry, you have to the end of Friday 1st of April to enter without penalty. Entries in at that time cannot be edited. Entries made on Sat 2nd are penalized 10% of points above 60 (min score 60). Entries considered "late-late" on Sunday 3rd are allowed on the basis of one per year per contestant, must be an entrant in a previous month, and penalty is 20% of points above 55 (min score 55). No second "late-late" entries allowed per calendar year. No further entries accepted after that. Dates are calendar with one hour grace period (e.g. Friday 1st ends 0100 summer time 2nd).

    Note also the rules for qualifying stats have been edited to make the met.ie publication the sole source of accepted stats -- they do the quality control, I do the looking up. Makes my life that little bit easier. :)


«1

Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,701 ✭✭✭Offy


    Whats the prize?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,792 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    Offy wrote: »
    Whats the prize?

    Honor, glory, prestige, fame, bragging rights .........


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    8 ..... 20 ..... -2.7 ..... 81 ..... 152 ..... 0


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭Pwindedd


    I PM'd you about this MT.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,530 ✭✭✭TheInquisitor


    IMT 8.6 MAX 21 MIN -7 PRC 136 SUN 97 MUL 0


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,342 ✭✭✭snowstreams


    IMT 9.6 MAX 21 MIN 2 PRC 94% SUN 120% MUL 0mm

    Im getting married on the 16th, so im hoping for 0mm on that date anyway.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,331 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    8.8 ..... 19.1 ..... -2.1..... 97 ..... 128 ..... 0


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,619 ✭✭✭200motels


    IMT .8.3.... MAX 22.5..... MIN .-1.6.... PRC .80.... SUN .129.... MUL 4.5


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    8.2 ..... 19.8 ..... -1.9 ..... 125 ..... 90 ..... 3


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 695 ✭✭✭talkabout


    IMT 8.4 MAX 21.9 MIN -4.2 PRC 123% SUN 95% MUL 1.2


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 777 ✭✭✭H2UMrsRobinson


    IMT-9.2 MAX-20.2 MIN-3.2 PRC-113% SUN-89% MUL-10.6mm

    Thanks :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 748 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    8.4 ..... 19.9 ..... -1.8 ..... 139 ..... 92 ..... 0.4


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    8.5 20 6 90 160 1.0


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,387 ✭✭✭pauldry


    8.5 ..... 20.3 ..... -3 ..... 115 ..... 125 ..... 0.8


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 240 ✭✭Strasser


    IMT .....8.2 MAX .....21.4 MIN .....-1.1 PRC .....105% SUN .....94% MUL 5mm


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,736 ✭✭✭ch750536


    IMT 8.1 MAX 21.6 MIN 0.5 PRC 86 SUN 106 MUL 0


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭BEASTERLY


    IMT:9.1 MAX:18.7 MIN:-0.9 PRC:85 SUN:135 MUL:3.7mm


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    9.0 ..... 20.9 ..... -2.6 ..... 108 ..... 112 ..... 2.3


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,466 ✭✭✭Lumi


    8.9 ..... 22.1 ..... -1.9 ..... 112 ..... 125 ..... 0.3


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,080 ✭✭✭homolumo


    8.3 ..... 20.9..... -1.5 ..... 115..... 105 ..... 2.8


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,259 ✭✭✭rameire


    8.4 ..... 21.1 ..... -0.6 ..... 98 ..... 114 ..... 3mm

    🌞 3.8kwp, 🌞 Clonee, Dub.🌞



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,594 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    IMT 8.5 MAX 21.4 MIN 0.7 PRC 120 SUN 90 MUL 5.0mm


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,210 ✭✭✭nilhg


    9.3 ..... 22.5 ..... -3.2 ..... 90 ..... 131 ..... 0


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 921 ✭✭✭MiNdGaM3


    IMT 9.2 MAX 21.9 MIN -1.9 PRC 84% SUN 118% MUL 0.9mm


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,854 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    IMT 9.4 MAX 21.1 MIN -1.7 PRC 110 SUN 107 MUL 0


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,747 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    8.2c ..... 21.3c ..... -1.2c ..... 90% ..... 105% ..... 0.0mm


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,917 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    10.7 ..... 22.0 ..... -0.5 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 2.2


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,159 ✭✭✭John mac


    8.7 ..... 19.1..... -2.0 ..... 120 ..... 143..... 2.4


    and about 300mm of snow .;);)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,551 ✭✭✭SeaFields


    8.9..... 22.2..... 1.5 ..... 125 ..... 90 ..... 3

    Crap, I forgot :(


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 399 ✭✭fizzycyst


    9.9 ..... 21.8 ..... -1.2 ..... 080 ..... 120 ..... 3


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,499 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    IMT 9.9 MAX 21.7 MIN 0.0 PRC 82 SUN 127 MUL 0.0mm


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 587 ✭✭✭dasa29


    IMT ...8.3 MAX ...20.5 MIN ..-2 PRC ..95% SUN ...115% MUL 4mm


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,792 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    11.9 ..... 22.9 ..... -1.9 ..... 069 ..... 139 ..... 0

    Dust off the BBQ:)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,749 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    9.8 ..... 22 ..... -3 ..... 125 ..... 95 ..... 7


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,159 ✭✭✭John mac


    an nuts , just read the forecast..
    OUTLOOK ... Rest of the week very mild or warm, highs could reach 20 C in places
    :D:D


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,774 ✭✭✭jd


    8.3 ..... 21.8 ..... -1.5 ..... 120 ..... 92 ..... 1.5


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 354 ✭✭kindredspirit


    8.9 ..... 22.0 ..... -1.5 ..... 100 ..... 120 ..... 0


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    Cutting it a bit finer than usual.:P

    9.3 ..... 20.58..... -1.0 ..... 80 ..... 120 ..... 0


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    7.7 ..... 21.7 ..... -4.6 ..... 125 ..... 110 ..... 4.7


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 389 ✭✭waterways


    8.6 ..... 22.3 ..... -2.3 ..... 92 ..... 120 ..... 5.0


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    8.3....22.7... -1.6....115..... 117.... 0.0mm


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,917 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Just a reminder, we have now reached the "late penalty" stage, entries are still accepted with the late penalty (see first post in thread).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,917 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    April forecasts
    ____________________

    FORECASTER ..... IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... Mul.24
    _______________________________________________________________

    Joe Public ......... 11.9 ..... 22.9 ..... -1.9 ..... 069 ..... 139 ..... 0
    M.T. Cranium .... 10.7 ..... 22.0 ..... -0.5 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 2.2
    mickger844posts ..9.9 ..... 21.7 ...... 0.0 ..... 082 ..... 127 ..... 0.0
    fizzycyst ........... 9.9 ..... 21.8 ..... -1.2 ..... 080 ..... 120 ..... 3
    Jerry Seinfeld ..... 9.8 ..... 22.0 ..... -3.0 ..... 125 ..... 095 ..... 7
    snowstreams ...... 9.6 ..... 21.0 ..... +2.0 ..... 094 ..... 120 ..... 0
    dacogawa .......... 9.4 ..... 21.1 ..... -1.7 ..... 110 ..... 107 ..... 0
    thetonynator ...... 9.3 ..... 20.6 ..... -1.0 ..... 080 ..... 120 ..... 0
    nilhg ................. 9.3 ..... 22.5 ..... -3.2 ..... 090 ..... 131 ..... 0
    MiNdGaM3 .......... 9.2 ..... 21.9 ..... -1.9 ..... 084 ..... 118 ..... 0.9
    H2UMrsRobinson .. 9.2 ..... 20.2 ..... +3.2 ..... 113 ..... 089 ..... 10.6
    BEASTERLY ........ 9.1 ..... 18.7 ..... -0.9 ..... 085 ..... 135 ..... 3.7
    Deep Easterly ..... 9.0 ..... 20.9 ..... -2.6 ..... 108 ..... 112 ..... 2.3
    Fionagus ........... 8.9 ..... 22.1 ..... -1.9 ..... 112 ..... 125 ..... 0.3
    kindredspirit ....... 8.9 ..... 22.0 ..... -1.5 ..... 100 ..... 120 ..... 0
    SeaFields .......... 8.9 ..... 22.2 ..... +1.5 ..... 125 ..... 090 ..... 3
    Rebelbrowser ..... 8.8 ..... 19.1 ..... -2.1 ..... 097 ..... 128 ..... 0
    John mac .......... 8.7 ..... 19.1 ..... -2.0 ..... 120 ..... 143 ..... 2.4
    waterways ........ 8.6 ..... 22.3 ..... -2.3 ..... 092 ..... 120 ..... 5.0

    Con Sensus ....... 8.6 ..... 21.1 ..... -1.6 ..... 100 ..... 115 ..... 1.2

    TheInquisitor ..... 8.6 ..... 21.0 ..... -7.0 ..... 136 ..... 097 ..... 0
    redsunset ......... 8.5 ..... 20.0 ..... +0.6 ..... 090 ..... 160 ..... 1.0
    pauldry ............. 8.5 ..... 20.3 ..... -3.0 ..... 115 ..... 125 ..... 0.8
    nacho libre ........ 8.5 ..... 21.4 ..... +0.7 ..... 120 ..... 090 ..... 5.0
    talkabout .......... 8.4 ..... 21.9 ..... -4.2 ..... 123 ..... 095 ..... 1.2
    Tae laidir ........... 8.4 ..... 19.9 ..... -1.8 ..... 139 ..... 092 ..... 0.4
    rameire ............. 8.4 ..... 21.1 ..... -0.6 ..... 098 ..... 114 ..... 3
    jd .................... 8.3 ..... 21.8 ..... -1.5 ..... 120 ..... 092 ..... 1.5
    Sponge Bob ....... 8.3 ..... 22.7 ..... -1.6 ..... 115 ..... 117 ..... 0.0
    dasa29 ............. 8.3 ..... 20.5 ..... -2.0 ..... 095 ..... 115 ..... 4
    homolumo .......... 8.3 ..... 20.9 ..... -1.5 ..... 115 ..... 105 ..... 2.8
    200motels ......... 8.3 ..... 22.5 ..... -1.6 ..... 080 ..... 129 ..... 4.5
    Harps ............... 8.2 ..... 19.8 ..... -1.9 ..... 125 ..... 090 ..... 3
    Strasser ............ 8.2 ..... 21.4 ..... -1.1 ..... 105 ..... 094 ..... 5
    DOCARCH .......... 8.2 ..... 21.3 ..... -1.2 ..... 090 ..... 105 ..... 0.0
    ch750536 .......... 8.1 ..... 21.6 ..... +0.5 ..... 086 ..... 106 ..... 0
    Hellboy99 .......... 8.0 ..... 20.0 ..... -2.7 ..... 081 ..... 152 ..... 0
    Danno .............. 7.7 ..... 21.7 ..... -4.6 ..... 125 ..... 110 ..... 4.7

    ________________________________________________________

    Note that late entries are still accepted and will be incorporated into the table subject to late penalties.

    The bonus question (rainfall 24th Mullingar) had 13 zero rainfall entries and the consensus is the median value (as with all other consensus stats).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,523 ✭✭✭jambofc


    7.9 ..... 18.1 ..... -1.6 ..... 110 ..... 125 ..... 1.2

    late again


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Shíte, I forgot to enter this before now..... :rolleyes:

    8.3 ..... 22.0 ..... -1.5 ..... 105 ..... 95 ..... 0.0


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 613 ✭✭✭4Sheets


    8.0 ..... 18.0 ..... -3 ..... 95 ..... 105 ..... 0.0

    Hope its not too late


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,917 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Three additional entries then ... marked " for potential late penalty.

    April forecasts
    ____________________

    FORECASTER ..... IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... Mul.24
    _______________________________________________________________

    Joe Public ......... 11.9 ..... 22.9 ..... -1.9 ..... 069 ..... 139 ..... 0
    M.T. Cranium .... 10.7 ..... 22.0 ..... -0.5 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 2.2
    mickger844posts ..9.9 ..... 21.7 ...... 0.0 ..... 082 ..... 127 ..... 0.0
    fizzycyst ........... 9.9 ..... 21.8 ..... -1.2 ..... 080 ..... 120 ..... 3
    Jerry Seinfeld ..... 9.8 ..... 22.0 ..... -3.0 ..... 125 ..... 095 ..... 7
    snowstreams ...... 9.6 ..... 21.0 ..... +2.0 ..... 094 ..... 120 ..... 0
    dacogawa .......... 9.4 ..... 21.1 ..... -1.7 ..... 110 ..... 107 ..... 0
    thetonynator ...... 9.3 ..... 20.6 ..... -1.0 ..... 080 ..... 120 ..... 0
    nilhg ................. 9.3 ..... 22.5 ..... -3.2 ..... 090 ..... 131 ..... 0
    MiNdGaM3 .......... 9.2 ..... 21.9 ..... -1.9 ..... 084 ..... 118 ..... 0.9
    H2UMrsRobinson .. 9.2 ..... 20.2 ..... +3.2 ..... 113 ..... 089 ..... 10.6
    BEASTERLY ........ 9.1 ..... 18.7 ..... -0.9 ..... 085 ..... 135 ..... 3.7
    Deep Easterly ..... 9.0 ..... 20.9 ..... -2.6 ..... 108 ..... 112 ..... 2.3
    Fionagus ........... 8.9 ..... 22.1 ..... -1.9 ..... 112 ..... 125 ..... 0.3
    kindredspirit ....... 8.9 ..... 22.0 ..... -1.5 ..... 100 ..... 120 ..... 0
    SeaFields .......... 8.9 ..... 22.2 ..... +1.5 ..... 125 ..... 090 ..... 3
    Rebelbrowser ..... 8.8 ..... 19.1 ..... -2.1 ..... 097 ..... 128 ..... 0
    John mac .......... 8.7 ..... 19.1 ..... -2.0 ..... 120 ..... 143 ..... 2.4
    waterways ........ 8.6 ..... 22.3 ..... -2.3 ..... 092 ..... 120 ..... 5.0
    TheInquisitor ..... 8.6 ..... 21.0 ..... -7.0 ..... 136 ..... 097 ..... 0
    redsunset ......... 8.5 ..... 20.0 ..... +0.6 ..... 090 ..... 160 ..... 1.0
    pauldry ............. 8.5 ..... 20.3 ..... -3.0 ..... 115 ..... 125 ..... 0.8

    Con Sensus ....... 8.5 ..... 21.1 ..... -1.6 ..... 100 ..... 115 ..... 1.2

    nacho libre ........ 8.5 ..... 21.4 ..... +0.7 ..... 120 ..... 090 ..... 5.0
    talkabout .......... 8.4 ..... 21.9 ..... -4.2 ..... 123 ..... 095 ..... 1.2
    Tae laidir ........... 8.4 ..... 19.9 ..... -1.8 ..... 139 ..... 092 ..... 0.4
    rameire ............. 8.4 ..... 21.1 ..... -0.6 ..... 098 ..... 114 ..... 3
    jd .................... 8.3 ..... 21.8 ..... -1.5 ..... 120 ..... 092 ..... 1.5
    Sponge Bob ....... 8.3 ..... 22.7 ..... -1.6 ..... 115 ..... 117 ..... 0.0
    dasa29 ............. 8.3 ..... 20.5 ..... -2.0 ..... 095 ..... 115 ..... 4
    homolumo .......... 8.3 ..... 20.9 ..... -1.5 ..... 115 ..... 105 ..... 2.8
    200motels ......... 8.3 ..... 22.5 ..... -1.6 ..... 080 ..... 129 ..... 4.5
    Su Campu* ....... 8.3 ..... 22.0 ..... -1.5 ..... 105 ..... 095 ..... 0.0
    Harps ............... 8.2 ..... 19.8 ..... -1.9 ..... 125 ..... 090 ..... 3
    Strasser ............ 8.2 ..... 21.4 ..... -1.1 ..... 105 ..... 094 ..... 5
    DOCARCH .......... 8.2 ..... 21.3 ..... -1.2 ..... 090 ..... 105 ..... 0.0
    ch750536 .......... 8.1 ..... 21.6 ..... +0.5 ..... 086 ..... 106 ..... 0
    Hellboy99 .......... 8.0 ..... 20.0 ..... -2.7 ..... 081 ..... 152 ..... 0
    4Sheets* .......... 8.0 ..... 18.0 ..... -3.0 ..... 095 ..... 105 ..... 0.0
    jambofc* .......... 7.9 ..... 18.1 ..... -1.6 ..... 110 ..... 125 ..... 1.2
    Danno .............. 7.7 ..... 21.7 ..... -4.6 ..... 125 ..... 110 ..... 4.7

    ________________________________________________________

    * subject to late penalty

    With the three additional entries, there are slight changes to the Con Sensus entry.

    Okay then, entries are closed unless we have a regular contest entrant who wants to cash in their one annual late-late entry today. This has to be somebody with 2/3 or more entries already this year. Not sure if we're missing anyone on that basis.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,387 ✭✭✭pauldry


    IMT is currently at an impressive 9.7c and will continue to be high for the next 7 days possibly getting as high as 11c by midmonth.

    There may be a slow fall in it after this


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,387 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Rainfall in Claremorris has past the 100% mark for the month after 5days! :eek:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,917 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    The first seven days of the month ...

    IMT .... 11.1 C

    rainfall ... 185% of normal

    sunshine ... 88% of normal


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