April 2011 Boards forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

The usual five questions, followed by a bonus:

(1) Predict the "IMT" (Irish mean temp) in deg C ... long-term avg 7.9 C.

(2) Predict the highest temperature of the month as reported in the Monthly Summary.

(3) Predict the lowest temperature of the month as reported in the Monthly Summary.

(4) Predict the average rainfall (precip) as percentage of normal as per the graphs in the Monthly Summary.

(5) Predict the total sunshine as percentage of normal as per the graphs in the Monthly Summary.

(6) Looking way ahead to Easter Sunday (24th) predict the rainfall in mm for Mullingar (liquid equivalent in case of snow).

Template that can be used if you wish to help ...

IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... MUL

_________________________________________________

Note the rules for entry, you have to the end of Friday 1st of April to enter without penalty. Entries in at that time cannot be edited. Entries made on Sat 2nd are penalized 10% of points above 60 (min score 60). Entries considered "late-late" on Sunday 3rd are allowed on the basis of one per year per contestant, must be an entrant in a previous month, and penalty is 20% of points above 55 (min score 55). No second "late-late" entries allowed per calendar year. No further entries accepted after that. Dates are calendar with one hour grace period (e.g. Friday 1st ends 0100 summer time 2nd).

Note also the rules for qualifying stats have been edited to make the met.ie publication the sole source of accepted stats -- they do the quality control, I do the looking up. Makes my life that little bit easier.

Offy

Whats the prize?

Joe Public

Offy wrote: »

Whats the prize?

Honor, glory, prestige, fame, bragging rights .........

8 ..... 20 ..... -2.7 ..... 81 ..... 152 ..... 0

Pwindedd

I PM'd you about this MT.

TheInquisitor

IMT 8.6 MAX 21 MIN -7 PRC 136 SUN 97 MUL 0

snowstreams

IMT 9.6 MAX 21 MIN 2 PRC 94% SUN 120% MUL 0mm

Im getting married on the 16th, so im hoping for 0mm on that date anyway.

Rebelbrowser

8.8 ..... 19.1 ..... -2.1..... 97 ..... 128 ..... 0

200motels

IMT .8.3.... MAX 22.5..... MIN .-1.6.... PRC .80.... SUN .129.... MUL 4.5

Harps

8.2 ..... 19.8 ..... -1.9 ..... 125 ..... 90 ..... 3

talkabout

IMT 8.4 MAX 21.9 MIN -4.2 PRC 123% SUN 95% MUL 1.2

H2UMrsRobinson

IMT-9.2 MAX-20.2 MIN-3.2 PRC-113% SUN-89% MUL-10.6mm

Thanks

Tae laidir

8.4 ..... 19.9 ..... -1.8 ..... 139 ..... 92 ..... 0.4

Redsunset

8.5 20 6 90 160 1.0

pauldry

8.5 ..... 20.3 ..... -3 ..... 115 ..... 125 ..... 0.8

Strasser

IMT .....8.2 MAX .....21.4 MIN .....-1.1 PRC .....105% SUN .....94% MUL 5mm

ch750536

IMT 8.1 MAX 21.6 MIN 0.5 PRC 86 SUN 106 MUL 0

BEASTERLY

IMT:9.1 MAX:18.7 MIN:-0.9 PRC:85 SUN:135 MUL:3.7mm

Deep Easterly

9.0 ..... 20.9 ..... -2.6 ..... 108 ..... 112 ..... 2.3

Lumi

8.9 ..... 22.1 ..... -1.9 ..... 112 ..... 125 ..... 0.3

homolumo

8.3 ..... 20.9..... -1.5 ..... 115..... 105 ..... 2.8

rameire

8.4 ..... 21.1 ..... -0.6 ..... 98 ..... 114 ..... 3mm

nacho libre

IMT 8.5 MAX 21.4 MIN 0.7 PRC 120 SUN 90 MUL 5.0mm

nilhg

9.3 ..... 22.5 ..... -3.2 ..... 90 ..... 131 ..... 0

MiNdGaM3

IMT 9.2 MAX 21.9 MIN -1.9 PRC 84% SUN 118% MUL 0.9mm

dacogawa

IMT 9.4 MAX 21.1 MIN -1.7 PRC 110 SUN 107 MUL 0

DOCARCH

8.2c ..... 21.3c ..... -1.2c ..... 90% ..... 105% ..... 0.0mm

M.T. Cranium

10.7 ..... 22.0 ..... -0.5 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 2.2

John mac

8.7 ..... 19.1..... -2.0 ..... 120 ..... 143..... 2.4


and about 300mm of snow .;);)

SeaFields

8.9..... 22.2..... 1.5 ..... 125 ..... 90 ..... 3

Crap, I forgot

fizzycyst

9.9 ..... 21.8 ..... -1.2 ..... 080 ..... 120 ..... 3

mickger844posts

IMT 9.9 MAX 21.7 MIN 0.0 PRC 82 SUN 127 MUL 0.0mm

dasa29

IMT ...8.3 MAX ...20.5 MIN ..-2 PRC ..95% SUN ...115% MUL 4mm

Joe Public

11.9 ..... 22.9 ..... -1.9 ..... 069 ..... 139 ..... 0

Dust off the BBQ:)

Speak Now

9.8 ..... 22 ..... -3 ..... 125 ..... 95 ..... 7

John mac

an nuts , just read the forecast..

OUTLOOK ... Rest of the week very mild or warm, highs could reach 20 C in places

:D

jd

8.3 ..... 21.8 ..... -1.5 ..... 120 ..... 92 ..... 1.5

kindredspirit

8.9 ..... 22.0 ..... -1.5 ..... 100 ..... 120 ..... 0

thetonynator

Cutting it a bit finer than usual.:P

9.3 ..... 20.58..... -1.0 ..... 80 ..... 120 ..... 0

Danno

7.7 ..... 21.7 ..... -4.6 ..... 125 ..... 110 ..... 4.7

waterways

8.6 ..... 22.3 ..... -2.3 ..... 92 ..... 120 ..... 5.0

Sponge Bob

8.3....22.7... -1.6....115..... 117.... 0.0mm

M.T. Cranium

Just a reminder, we have now reached the "late penalty" stage, entries are still accepted with the late penalty (see first post in thread).

M.T. Cranium

April forecasts
____________________

FORECASTER ..... IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... Mul.24
_______________________________________________________________

Joe Public ......... 11.9 ..... 22.9 ..... -1.9 ..... 069 ..... 139 ..... 0
M.T. Cranium .... 10.7 ..... 22.0 ..... -0.5 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 2.2
mickger844posts ..9.9 ..... 21.7 ...... 0.0 ..... 082 ..... 127 ..... 0.0
fizzycyst ........... 9.9 ..... 21.8 ..... -1.2 ..... 080 ..... 120 ..... 3
Jerry Seinfeld ..... 9.8 ..... 22.0 ..... -3.0 ..... 125 ..... 095 ..... 7
snowstreams ...... 9.6 ..... 21.0 ..... +2.0 ..... 094 ..... 120 ..... 0
dacogawa .......... 9.4 ..... 21.1 ..... -1.7 ..... 110 ..... 107 ..... 0
thetonynator ...... 9.3 ..... 20.6 ..... -1.0 ..... 080 ..... 120 ..... 0
nilhg ................. 9.3 ..... 22.5 ..... -3.2 ..... 090 ..... 131 ..... 0
MiNdGaM3 .......... 9.2 ..... 21.9 ..... -1.9 ..... 084 ..... 118 ..... 0.9
H2UMrsRobinson .. 9.2 ..... 20.2 ..... +3.2 ..... 113 ..... 089 ..... 10.6
BEASTERLY ........ 9.1 ..... 18.7 ..... -0.9 ..... 085 ..... 135 ..... 3.7
Deep Easterly ..... 9.0 ..... 20.9 ..... -2.6 ..... 108 ..... 112 ..... 2.3
Fionagus ........... 8.9 ..... 22.1 ..... -1.9 ..... 112 ..... 125 ..... 0.3
kindredspirit ....... 8.9 ..... 22.0 ..... -1.5 ..... 100 ..... 120 ..... 0
SeaFields .......... 8.9 ..... 22.2 ..... +1.5 ..... 125 ..... 090 ..... 3
Rebelbrowser ..... 8.8 ..... 19.1 ..... -2.1 ..... 097 ..... 128 ..... 0
John mac .......... 8.7 ..... 19.1 ..... -2.0 ..... 120 ..... 143 ..... 2.4
waterways ........ 8.6 ..... 22.3 ..... -2.3 ..... 092 ..... 120 ..... 5.0

Con Sensus ....... 8.6 ..... 21.1 ..... -1.6 ..... 100 ..... 115 ..... 1.2

TheInquisitor ..... 8.6 ..... 21.0 ..... -7.0 ..... 136 ..... 097 ..... 0
redsunset ......... 8.5 ..... 20.0 ..... +0.6 ..... 090 ..... 160 ..... 1.0
pauldry ............. 8.5 ..... 20.3 ..... -3.0 ..... 115 ..... 125 ..... 0.8
nacho libre ........ 8.5 ..... 21.4 ..... +0.7 ..... 120 ..... 090 ..... 5.0
talkabout .......... 8.4 ..... 21.9 ..... -4.2 ..... 123 ..... 095 ..... 1.2
Tae laidir ........... 8.4 ..... 19.9 ..... -1.8 ..... 139 ..... 092 ..... 0.4
rameire ............. 8.4 ..... 21.1 ..... -0.6 ..... 098 ..... 114 ..... 3
jd .................... 8.3 ..... 21.8 ..... -1.5 ..... 120 ..... 092 ..... 1.5
Sponge Bob ....... 8.3 ..... 22.7 ..... -1.6 ..... 115 ..... 117 ..... 0.0
dasa29 ............. 8.3 ..... 20.5 ..... -2.0 ..... 095 ..... 115 ..... 4
homolumo .......... 8.3 ..... 20.9 ..... -1.5 ..... 115 ..... 105 ..... 2.8
200motels ......... 8.3 ..... 22.5 ..... -1.6 ..... 080 ..... 129 ..... 4.5
Harps ............... 8.2 ..... 19.8 ..... -1.9 ..... 125 ..... 090 ..... 3
Strasser ............ 8.2 ..... 21.4 ..... -1.1 ..... 105 ..... 094 ..... 5
DOCARCH .......... 8.2 ..... 21.3 ..... -1.2 ..... 090 ..... 105 ..... 0.0
ch750536 .......... 8.1 ..... 21.6 ..... +0.5 ..... 086 ..... 106 ..... 0
Hellboy99 .......... 8.0 ..... 20.0 ..... -2.7 ..... 081 ..... 152 ..... 0
Danno .............. 7.7 ..... 21.7 ..... -4.6 ..... 125 ..... 110 ..... 4.7

________________________________________________________

Note that late entries are still accepted and will be incorporated into the table subject to late penalties.

The bonus question (rainfall 24th Mullingar) had 13 zero rainfall entries and the consensus is the median value (as with all other consensus stats).

jambofc

7.9 ..... 18.1 ..... -1.6 ..... 110 ..... 125 ..... 1.2

late again

Su Campu

Shíte, I forgot to enter this before now..... :rolleyes:

8.3 ..... 22.0 ..... -1.5 ..... 105 ..... 95 ..... 0.0

4Sheets

8.0 ..... 18.0 ..... -3 ..... 95 ..... 105 ..... 0.0

Hope its not too late

M.T. Cranium

Three additional entries then ... marked " for potential late penalty.

April forecasts
____________________

FORECASTER ..... IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... Mul.24
_______________________________________________________________

Joe Public ......... 11.9 ..... 22.9 ..... -1.9 ..... 069 ..... 139 ..... 0
M.T. Cranium .... 10.7 ..... 22.0 ..... -0.5 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 2.2
mickger844posts ..9.9 ..... 21.7 ...... 0.0 ..... 082 ..... 127 ..... 0.0
fizzycyst ........... 9.9 ..... 21.8 ..... -1.2 ..... 080 ..... 120 ..... 3
Jerry Seinfeld ..... 9.8 ..... 22.0 ..... -3.0 ..... 125 ..... 095 ..... 7
snowstreams ...... 9.6 ..... 21.0 ..... +2.0 ..... 094 ..... 120 ..... 0
dacogawa .......... 9.4 ..... 21.1 ..... -1.7 ..... 110 ..... 107 ..... 0
thetonynator ...... 9.3 ..... 20.6 ..... -1.0 ..... 080 ..... 120 ..... 0
nilhg ................. 9.3 ..... 22.5 ..... -3.2 ..... 090 ..... 131 ..... 0
MiNdGaM3 .......... 9.2 ..... 21.9 ..... -1.9 ..... 084 ..... 118 ..... 0.9
H2UMrsRobinson .. 9.2 ..... 20.2 ..... +3.2 ..... 113 ..... 089 ..... 10.6
BEASTERLY ........ 9.1 ..... 18.7 ..... -0.9 ..... 085 ..... 135 ..... 3.7
Deep Easterly ..... 9.0 ..... 20.9 ..... -2.6 ..... 108 ..... 112 ..... 2.3
Fionagus ........... 8.9 ..... 22.1 ..... -1.9 ..... 112 ..... 125 ..... 0.3
kindredspirit ....... 8.9 ..... 22.0 ..... -1.5 ..... 100 ..... 120 ..... 0
SeaFields .......... 8.9 ..... 22.2 ..... +1.5 ..... 125 ..... 090 ..... 3
Rebelbrowser ..... 8.8 ..... 19.1 ..... -2.1 ..... 097 ..... 128 ..... 0
John mac .......... 8.7 ..... 19.1 ..... -2.0 ..... 120 ..... 143 ..... 2.4
waterways ........ 8.6 ..... 22.3 ..... -2.3 ..... 092 ..... 120 ..... 5.0
TheInquisitor ..... 8.6 ..... 21.0 ..... -7.0 ..... 136 ..... 097 ..... 0
redsunset ......... 8.5 ..... 20.0 ..... +0.6 ..... 090 ..... 160 ..... 1.0
pauldry ............. 8.5 ..... 20.3 ..... -3.0 ..... 115 ..... 125 ..... 0.8

Con Sensus ....... 8.5 ..... 21.1 ..... -1.6 ..... 100 ..... 115 ..... 1.2

nacho libre ........ 8.5 ..... 21.4 ..... +0.7 ..... 120 ..... 090 ..... 5.0
talkabout .......... 8.4 ..... 21.9 ..... -4.2 ..... 123 ..... 095 ..... 1.2
Tae laidir ........... 8.4 ..... 19.9 ..... -1.8 ..... 139 ..... 092 ..... 0.4
rameire ............. 8.4 ..... 21.1 ..... -0.6 ..... 098 ..... 114 ..... 3
jd .................... 8.3 ..... 21.8 ..... -1.5 ..... 120 ..... 092 ..... 1.5
Sponge Bob ....... 8.3 ..... 22.7 ..... -1.6 ..... 115 ..... 117 ..... 0.0
dasa29 ............. 8.3 ..... 20.5 ..... -2.0 ..... 095 ..... 115 ..... 4
homolumo .......... 8.3 ..... 20.9 ..... -1.5 ..... 115 ..... 105 ..... 2.8
200motels ......... 8.3 ..... 22.5 ..... -1.6 ..... 080 ..... 129 ..... 4.5
Su Campu* ....... 8.3 ..... 22.0 ..... -1.5 ..... 105 ..... 095 ..... 0.0
Harps ............... 8.2 ..... 19.8 ..... -1.9 ..... 125 ..... 090 ..... 3
Strasser ............ 8.2 ..... 21.4 ..... -1.1 ..... 105 ..... 094 ..... 5
DOCARCH .......... 8.2 ..... 21.3 ..... -1.2 ..... 090 ..... 105 ..... 0.0
ch750536 .......... 8.1 ..... 21.6 ..... +0.5 ..... 086 ..... 106 ..... 0
Hellboy99 .......... 8.0 ..... 20.0 ..... -2.7 ..... 081 ..... 152 ..... 0
4Sheets* .......... 8.0 ..... 18.0 ..... -3.0 ..... 095 ..... 105 ..... 0.0
jambofc* .......... 7.9 ..... 18.1 ..... -1.6 ..... 110 ..... 125 ..... 1.2
Danno .............. 7.7 ..... 21.7 ..... -4.6 ..... 125 ..... 110 ..... 4.7

________________________________________________________

* subject to late penalty

With the three additional entries, there are slight changes to the Con Sensus entry.

Okay then, entries are closed unless we have a regular contest entrant who wants to cash in their one annual late-late entry today. This has to be somebody with 2/3 or more entries already this year. Not sure if we're missing anyone on that basis.

pauldry

IMT is currently at an impressive 9.7c and will continue to be high for the next 7 days possibly getting as high as 11c by midmonth.

There may be a slow fall in it after this

pauldry

Rainfall in Claremorris has past the 100% mark for the month after 5days! :eek:

M.T. Cranium

The first seven days of the month ...

IMT .... 11.1 C

rainfall ... 185% of normal

sunshine ... 88% of normal