My Thoughts Tomorrow

mickey1979

no joy so -16 euro
I just also want to keep a track if i had a euro each way on all not backing theory only so
10 euros layed out
22 returned so plus 12

mickey1979

another forecast not so confident this time
Redcar 4.15
11,12,13,14,15
5p Tricast combo
25p Forecast combo
total 8 euro
not backing these a euro each way

mickey1979

Down 24 Euro. But interesting did a couple during the day not that they will make you a profit but doubt you will lose a whole pile either.

mickey1979

Horse for tomorrow
20 euros straight no each way
Tenancy 4.20 Southwell
14/1 Bet 365 will prob be bigger but I have nothing else to go on I am not a form reader on these type of races. Just this horse has a knack of popping up at big prices. Winston is on board and all looks ago. If he has his way hard to beat.

mickey1979

Was doing nothing for a couple of hours so I said I would do a write up for Thurles 5.45
interesting race try do a tissue also.
Beckett Rock
Rated 122 nice horse and looks an honest sort. Just feel in this race his a little out of depth her. Would not say he has no chance but not for me.
Dog Barrell Hill
Not one I would think could win this bad maiden winner in Limerick prob win a few handicap chases. No chance here
Adams Lad
Interesting 126 not overly exposed. Getting five pounds off Beckett Rock and levels with Berties Dream. Barry G on for the Day and I would think this has a right chance. Not sure of the ground. But I would think a good second fav.
Baily Rock
Mouse Morris please do not confound me this horse should not win and will not be one for me other days.
Berties Dream
When I was doing this I was looking for reasons for this horse to get beat. Quite simply there are none. The only doubt in my mind is why is he 5/4 when he should be 1/2. He is well in on the handicap not overly exposed at the distance. Handles the ground Davy Russel on board. If someone wants to notify me to what I am missing great this horse should be 1/2 no doubt in my mind.
Copsiano
No chance
Dancing Tornedo
Well in at the weights. Not my idea of a winner not ideal 3 miles over hurdles prob past his best. Hourigan had a winner on Sunday but I would swerve may yet be wrong.
Empire Son
No chance
Maggie Connolly
Another unexposed sort who gets 2lb off the rest. Stepped up in distance but this horse has had it's problems and I suppose till I see that win I am not going to dive in. Seems to drift most days it runs and I have to ask myself why. Nice horse will win but till it does not going to be there.

Conclusion
I make it 1/2 Berties Dream 5/1 Bar and I wanted to go for Adams Island at the start. I am going to go 6pts Berties Dream and 1pt EW saver Adams Island Berties is best 13/8 in Powers as we speak this is worrying me (They Know More than I) and Adams Island is best 9/2 in ladpox.

mickey1979

I wrote a big long winded write up for 4.15 and after losing it essentially I go for
Galloping Gander 7/2 3 points 4.15 Thurles.

markc91

mickey1979 wrote: »

I wrote a big long winded write up for 4.15 and after losing it essentially I go for
Galloping Gander 7/2 3 points 4.15 Thurles.

Followed ya on both 1 in thanks

mickey1979

Well done. Nice to be right.:D

markc91

mickey1979 wrote: »

Well done. Nice to be right.:D

Fair play man should have done a double

mickey1979

Don't know what the rule 4 situation is here but say to 7 pts less the 2 on Adams Island so thats a profit of 5 and a profit of 10.5 from the earlier race thats 15.5 on the day. Really odd race Empire Theatre should not be second on form and he ran up the bum of Bertie's so I think Berties is prob not as good as he once was.

15.5+:D

mickey1979

Right doing nothing again so I did the 8.50 in Dundalk
Alhella
Useful sort who could be decent. Prob not on the flat though. I don't think today is going to be the day. I doubt much money comes for him either.
Henry Adams
Nice honest horse but who I feel is solidly held by the favourite. He has a nice price but cannot see him improving by the favourite looks my second best.
Mundher
Looks like he will need run and not for me.
Pat Garret
No
Red Star Boy
No
Roe Deer
Looks to be the one here. A little sick as he sticks out. I would be inclined to have him short. Stable can be sticky so follow the money. Wish I had doctors appointment when he was 6/1 came out he was 7/2 now 5/2 and still feel thats value I have him about 1/1.
Fancy Socks
No
No Such Number
They may yet come for him he ran in a bad Curragh maiden. His a Weld I am sure someone has a tip for him and another will say no such thing as a bad Curragh Maiden I would have him Joint Second Fav with John Adams but thats it.
Lady Dance
No
Guess Who
No
Sweet Solitude
No but he could surprise me

Conclusion
So many doubts about the others. John Adams looks solid but held. Weld's looks ordinary Roe Deer barring has his the turn of foot at this distance (do any of them looks a solid one. I am sure he is 1/1 money 5/4 but I am going to allow 6/4 for being wrong and going 5 points at 5/2 in powers wish I had been awake to the 6/1

mickey1979

Keep going to stay out of the bookie shop
I have done a lot on the 9.15 too lazy to write up every horse. I wanted to back Ursa Major but now realise this race is way too hot. I would think that the value of the race is Weld's Horse at 11/4 but if I was going to do something it would be to lay Ursa Major in and around 5/2 so I make her a 7/2-6/1 shot so 2 points lay Ursa Major. Big price difference but I don't know what the others are.

mickey1979

Down 5pts:mad:
Turn of foot well he had none but the others were not much better.
welds horse crap
and the horse I thought a little of won
I was wrong on some things right on some things and went home less five points hope you did not follow me there.

mickey1979

Ouch Burner -5pts was right about Welds if he was value and 11/4 more value at 7/1 this horse of welds is one to follow as things don't seem to be flying for them at the moment.
-10 on the day stay away from laying (will i do it never):mad:

mickey1979

aaaahhhhh I had three for yesterday two each way and one straight. Nine to one winner. 4/5 winner and an 8/1 third sorry I did not post. Won't put up their names as I would be aftertiming. But aaahhhh:mad: