Snow risk on Wednesday

darkman2

Hi all,


There is a snow risk countrywide on Wednesday of this week. Currently this looks to be temporary with rain by Thursday morning but this is subject to change.


Wednesday itself will start mostly dry and frosty. Rain soon into the Southwest will gradually extend Northeastward interacting with stationary Artic air over the country. This is likely to give snow for a time across the midlands, east and north and parts of the west aswell. Amounts are not likely to be significant but they don't have to be to cause disruption.


Like I say this is subject to change but something to keep an eye on. More Later.

thetonynator

at least 10 snowflakes fell here this morning, it was very exciting!!!

darkman2

thetonynator wrote: »

at least 10 snowflakes fell here this morning, it was very exciting!!!

wow! 10 snowflakes you say? :eek::pac:

Redsunset

Is this a comedy!!!!:D

Redsunset

Uppers look too warm for many except for Owen for a time but then again i don't really trust any model beyond 24 hrs at the moment.















All not lost down the road yet either as other signals suggest,the waiting game continues..........................................

darkman2

GFS is somewhat colder over the Northern half of the country then the UKMO. It's a marginal situation and really it will be down to nowcasting I think. Any snow should not last too long though.

Deep Easterly

So it seems to be high ground most at risk at this stage, with the possibility of some intensity induced snow at lower levels.

Roll on next winter.

owenc

Deep Easterly wrote: »

So it seems to be high ground most at risk at this stage, with the possibility of some intensity induced snow at lower levels.

Roll on next winter.

yea if the colder air is there on wwednesday why is it raining here now at 0.5c and snowing on the hills and flipping -1c! thats weird and annoying!:mad:

Speak Now

owenc wrote: »

yea if the colder air is there on wwednesday why is it raining here now at 0.5c and snowing on the hills and flipping -1c! thats weird and annoying!:mad:

You're posting here long enough to know that's not at all weird.

Iancar29

Dont think this is anything to look forward to people, currently 4.3 degrees here in dublin, got down to -0.6 here and that was with no clouds.

If we do see anything it will either be wet snow or sleet.
Sorry fokes.

sunbabe08

thank you very much for getting my hopes high for snow :mad:i live in the south. one days snow is all we got in cork. while the rest of the country gets blankets for days.

Tom Cruises Left Nut

sunbabe08 wrote: »

thank you very much for getting my hopes high for snow :mad:i live in the south. one days snow is all we got in cork. while the rest of the country gets blankets for days.

Im more shocked that 7 sunbabes got there before you !!

Graces7

Hyperbole.... In some cases there was almost none..

Understatement ... In some cases it was weeks..



Move north maybe..

sunbabe08 wrote: »

thank you very much for getting my hopes high for snow :mad:i live in the south. one days snow is all we got in cork. while the rest of the country gets blankets for days.

owenc

redsunset wrote: »

Uppers look too warm for many except for Owen for a time but then again i don't really trust any model beyond 24 hrs at the moment.















All not lost down the road yet either as other signals suggest,the waiting game continues..........................................

I think its more than likely considering the meto have a warning out and it looks to be snow the whole way through for me xc weather state this so do bbc weather infact the bbc weather man said that some places in ni would see snow the whole way through and thats what the graphics showed its bound to happen too since we are so close to scotland and our right on the coast further north than troon etc which are having snow the whole way through..

zenno

looks that way the east looks like a good candidate for snow but not sure how long it will last, maybe a couple of hours.

nacho libre

"Rain affecting the southwestern half of the country will edge northeastwards tonight, turning to sleet or snow at times in Connaught, north Leinster and south Ulster, especially on high ground. Under clearer skies, north Ulster will have patches of freezing fog and widespread ice. Lowest temperatures will range from +7 degrees Celsius in the southwest to -3 degrees Celsius in north Ulster. Light, variable winds will become light to moderate, southeasterly later."

may it stall and stay as snow for hours!

pauldry

it will only turn to snow in the far north i would say. this forecast is surely FI even by met eireann standards. its 9c here at the moment. Lets see what they put in their lunchtime forecast

nacho libre

pauldry wrote: »

it will only turn to snow in the far north i would say. this forecast is surely FI even by met eireann standards. its 9c here at the moment. Lets see what they put in their lunchtime forecast

well they do say it will be 6-10 degrees today.
but yes you're probably right:(

Graces7

Over thee maybe....South Ulster again? Ah well....
We will blow it down to you.. Rather than be greedy..

nacho libre wrote: »

"Rain affecting the southwestern half of the country will edge northeastwards tonight, turning to sleet or snow at times in Connaught, north Leinster and south Ulster, especially on high ground. Under clearer skies, north Ulster will have patches of freezing fog and widespread ice. Lowest temperatures will range from +7 degrees Celsius in the southwest to -3 degrees Celsius in north Ulster. Light, variable winds will become light to moderate, southeasterly later."

may it stall and stay as snow for hours!

nacho libre

a slight change in their update:

02 February 2010 12:06

Today

Staying mostly cloudy with outbreaks of rain across Munster and the far south of Leinster. Elsewhere apart from isolated showers, it'll be mostly dry during the afternoon and evening. Highest temperatures of 7 to 10 degrees.
Tonight

Rain in the southwest will edge northeastwards overnight, turning to sleet or snow for a time in Connaught, north Leinster and Ulster, especially on high ground. North and east Ulster will have widespread frost and ice early in the night. Lowest temperatures will range from +7 degrees Celsius in the southwest to -3 degrees in the far northeast.

unlikely, but hopefully it snows throughout.

Pangea

Just seen the weather outlook for this week, its looking very wintry compared to yesturdays mild outlook

Tonight

Rain in the southwest will edge northeastwards overnight, turning to sleet or snow for a time in Connaught, north Leinster and Ulster, especially on high ground. North and east Ulster will have widespread frost and ice early in the night. Lowest temperatures will range from +7 degrees Celsius in the southwest to -3 degrees in the far northeast.


Tomorrow

Tomorrow Wednesday will begin overcast with outbreaks of rain in all areas, and further snow in parts of Ulster. Clearer drier weather arriving in the southwest around midday will extend northeast to all areas during the evening. Fresh southeast winds will later veer southwest. Highest temperatures 4 to 11 degrees - coldest in the north.

Outlook

Wednesday night will be dry once any remaining rain clears northeastern counties. Winds will slacken overnight and it will turn cold; sharp to severe ground frost will develop in most areas, as will patches of freezing fog, and some icy surfaces will result. Thursday will begin dry and bright, with sunshine for a time in many areas. However, rain will arrive in southern counties by early afternoon, soon turning heavy there, and then spreading gradually north. Strengthening, southeast winds will accompany the rain and it will feel cold. The combination of heavy rain and strong onshore winds may lead to flooding in parts of the south later Thursday. However, rain will clear from the south on Thursday night, becoming confined to the northern half of the country later and then dying out by Friday afternoon. The rest of Friday will be mainly dry, bright and much less windy, apart from showers developing in the southwest and south. Temperatures will be near normal during the day but it will turn cold on Friday night, with widespread ground frost, local ice and patches of freezing fog. Saturday next will remain cold with light, east to southeast breezes but it will be dry and probably quite sunny.

snowjon

Weather warning from Met.ie:

Issued at 02 February 2010 - 13:39

Weather Warning


Applicable to the following counties:
Donegal, Mayo, Sligo, Leitrim, Cavan, Monaghan, Roscommon & Longford.

A spell of sleet and snow will occur late tonight and for a time on Wednesday with accumulations of 3 to 6 cm possible.

Valid 0600 hours Wednesday 3rd February
Until 1800 hours Wednesday 3rd February

http://www.met.ie/forecasts/warnings.asp

Pangea

snowjon wrote: »

Weather warning from Met.ie:

Issued at 02 February 2010 - 13:39

Weather Warning


Applicable to the following counties:
Donegal, Mayo, Sligo, Leitrim, Cavan, Monaghan, Roscommon & Longford.

A spell of sleet and snow will occur late tonight and for a time on Wednesday with accumulations of 3 to 6 cm possible.

Valid 0600 hours Wednesday 3rd February
Until 1800 hours Wednesday 3rd February

http://www.met.ie/forecasts/warnings.asp

Ho^% Crap!
Nice

snowjon

Pangea wrote: »

Ho^% Crap!
Nice

I'm very surprised the warning lasts until 6pm tomorrow - surely any snow will have turned to rain by midday?
I remain unconvinced that I will see snow - western parts of Ulster are probably better placed I think

nacho libre

snowjon wrote: »

I'm very surprised the warning lasts until 6pm tomorrow - surely any snow will have turned to rain by midday?
I remain unconvinced that I will see snow - western parts of Ulster are probably better placed I think

perhaps they forsee residual cold air hanging on longer in Ulster, and its pushing further south now, than they first anticipated???

Pangea

To be honest ,The warnings this winter from Met eireann have not materialised, especially when they go into detail about cms of snow etc.
Not going mentioning this to anyone , let them look out their windows in the morning and discover it for themselves

snowjon

Pangea wrote: »

To be honest ,The warnings this winter from Met eireann have not materialised, especially when they go into detail about cms of snow etc.
Not going mentioning this to anyone , let them look out their windows in the morning and discover it for themselves

Yup - good plan! Every time I mention to someone it might snow - it never does:rolleyes:

Pangea

Incase Owen C feels left out.



Risk of disruption Warning Valid
UK regions:
Northern Ireland
Heavy Snow Wed 3 Feb



There is a moderate risk of severe weather affecting Northern Ireland on Wednesday.

Heavy snow on Wednesday morning will turn to rain in the afternoon. Accumulations of around 2 cm of snow are possible quite widely, locally 5 cm especially over high ground.

Issued at: 0306 Tue 2 Feb

nacho libre

Pangea wrote: »

To be honest ,The warnings this winter from Met eireann have not materialised, especially when they go into detail about cms of snow etc.
Not going mentioning this to anyone , let them look out their windows in the morning and discover it for themselves

yeah that's true enough. it rarely happens when forecast. imagine the great surprise of expecting mild weather and rain tonight only to see heavy snow fall.

owenc

is there going to be much back edge rain from this as it looks to be very heavy near the back edge then rain at the very back edge is this going to happen? note salter just went by hurray|! 1.8c now...

darkman2

OK the situation is that temperatures are dropping and will continue to fall over night getting close to freezing in a line roughly from Wickow to Clare Northward. Rain will move up from the Southwest early tomorrow morning hitting the cold air and the precipitation will continue to move North through the morning.


The rain will turn to snow for a time from Wicklow northward. For areas Dublin, North Wicklow (and high ground), the North Midlands and the North West snow is likely during the commuting hours tomorrow morning. It is unlikely to settle as temperatures will be just above freezing. Snow is possible in these areas up to about lunchtime give or take an hour or two.

Further North snow will reach Ulster later tomorrow morning. It should turn back to rain over most areas here aswell however it is possible it could be snow throughout the remainder of the day in the Northeast. Lying snow is more likely over Ulster.

Bare in mind this is a marginal setup. There could be more snow then forecast or less snow then forecast.

Temperatures tomorrow will range 1 to 10C. Mildest in the Southwest.

owenc

darkman2 wrote: »

OK the situation is that temperatures are dropping and will continue to fall over night getting close to freezing in a line roughly from Wickow to Clare Northward. Rain will move up from the Southwest early tomorrow morning hitting the cold air and the precipitation will continue to move North through the morning.


The rain will turn to snow for a time from Wicklow northward. For areas Dublin, North Wicklow (and high ground), the North Midlands and the North West snow is likely during the commuting hours tomorrow morning. It is unlikely to settle as temperatures will be just above freezing. Snow is possible in these areas up to about lunchtime give or take an hour or two.

Further North snow will reach Ulster later tomorrow morning. It should turn back to rain over most areas here aswell however it is possible it could be snow throughout the remainder of the day in the Northeast. Lying snow is more likely over Ulster.

Bare in mind this is a marginal setup. There could be more snow then forecast or less snow then forecast.

Temperatures tomorrow will range 1 to 10C. Mildest in the Southwest.

ok so it could be snow the whole way through note its already -1c here if cloud stays away id say -5c may be possible and if that comes its bound to be snow the whole way through bbc weather also shows snow the whole way through for here...

darkman2

owenc wrote: »

ok so it could be snow the whole way through note its already -1c here if cloud stays away id say -5c may be possible and if that comes its bound to be snow the whole way through bbc weather also shows snow the whole way through for here...

Yes, but it is marginal, there could be more or less then is forecast. The snow could be more widespread then forecast. It could be alot less. It will be a case of nowcasting more then forecasting I think.

Murphdog94

Met eireann not being optimistic for snow as usual.
Hopefully they'll be wrong as usual too!:rolleyes:
http://www.met.ie/forecasts/regional.asp?Prov=Dublin

Pangea

There was never any snow forecast for dublin tonight.
I seen the forecast earlier, did anyone notice evelyn speaking very creppy and slow lol, plus she said the cold will be gone for the forseeble future after these few days.
She devil!
Go to rte player and watch it, high risk of snow in northern areas tonight she said.

Deep Easterly

Pangea wrote: »

There was never any snow forecast for dublin tonight.
I seen the forecast earlier, did anyone notice evelyn speaking very creppy and slow lol, plus she said the cold will be gone for the forseeble future after these few days.
She devil!
Go to rte player and watch it, high risk of snow in northern areas tonight she said.

So, Donegal to get yet more snow :mad:. Earthquakes galore and snow galore up there this winter. Pangea, how does Donegalers take to us soft Galwegians?

smashey

Deep Easterly wrote: »

So, Donegal to get yet more snow :mad:. Earthquakes galore and snow galore up there this winter. Pangea, how does Donegalers take to us soft Galwegians?

We point and laugh.

irish1967

Hic! Ok where's my snow?

irish1967

Ah there it is.... snowing lightly in Donegal Town for the last 20 mins. Not settling though. ....yet

jambofc

1.7/1.2
rain rain oh and a bit of rain

irish1967

Still snowing very lightly here (and just as I type that it gets a little heavier) but not settling on road. I'm sure if i was further inland or a little higher it would be snowing heavier. Pangea or Graces7.. whats it doing up/over your way?

According to thermometer app on my phone it is -0.4c. That's up from -1.1c an hour ago.

hotwhiskey

7.30 this morning snowing ground white a nice covering, At the minute its stop snowing and only the fields are white now.

Supercell

1.4°C/0.8°C rain, must be snowing around 300 metres upwards, mountains will be getting pasted again.

snowjon

Weather warning for the whole of Northern Ireland from the UKMO
Northern Ireland:
Co Antrim Co Armagh Co Derry Co Down Co Fermanagh Co Tyrone
Heavy Snow
1030 Wed 3 - 1600 Wed 3

Outbreaks of snow will become more persistent later this morning with some heavier outbreaks for a time. Drier weather will follow from the south during the afternoon. Accumulations of 2 to 5cm are widely expected and up to 10cm over the hills.
The public are advised to take extra care and refer to Traffic Watch (NI) (operational hours 07.30 to 18.30 Mon to Fri) for further advice on road conditions.
Issued at: 0825 Wed 3 Feb

http://www.meto.gov.uk/weather/uk/ni/ni_forecast_warnings.html

Currently it's 0.1C with a dew point of -2.1C and a frost still on the ground despite the overcast conditions .......

DOCARCH

Supercell wrote: »

1.4°C/0.8°C rain, must be snowing around 300 metres upwards, mountains will be getting pasted again.

Cloud lifting here and can see fresh snow on Dublin Mountains at about 200 metres up. 3.0c here.

Graces7

Snow up here and settling.. Fine powdery stuff..A bare centimetre, if that but the wind has risen and is blowing it about now.

Not sure when it started; was working away with the curtains closed so had quite a surprise when I called a pit stop.

Getting darker by the minute out there so anything could - and probably will - happen.

When I came here in November, I made the remark that I seemed now to be above the snow line.. That is certainly true....

snaps

Deep Easterly wrote: »

So, Donegal to get yet more snow :mad:. Earthquakes galore and snow galore up there this winter. Pangea, how does Donegalers take to us soft Galwegians?

And Icebergs!

smashey

Lovely snow here in Strabane now and it is sticking nicely.

Supercell

Just back from my morning jog, cut short!
Back of the estate which is about 20 metres higher than here its snowing!
The fields just behind the estate toward scarr are white on top. So would guess the snow line is around 260 metres or so. So near yet so far ! Getting a mixture of sleet and rain here now but temp is rising so snowline will start going higher unles the precip gets significantly heavier.

Deep Easterly

Steady rain here. Temp fell down to 2c earlier before the heavier stuff arrived so I though I have might have been in with a chance. With the rain came the warmth however, 4.4c currently.

Graces7

Ah comeon; that was a hoax!

snaps wrote: »

And Icebergs!