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Buying in a falling market

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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,060 ✭✭✭Sarn


    ZYX wrote: »
    Of course you are forgetting to include inflation. If we assume a very low level of inflation of just 2% on average for next 30 years. The house bought at €300,000 after 30 years is worth €540,000 and the house bought at €400,000 is worth €724,000. So while the dearer house would cost €160,000 to buy over the lifetime of the loan, it would be worth €180,000 more.

    I think making the assumption that these are two identical 1 bed apartments next door to each other (for example) clarifies things.

    One person bought one for €400k two years ago (at a rate of 4%) and the other person bought one today for €300k (at a rate of 6%) with similar terms. (This is taking the current economic climate and witnessed property drops into account and will not always be applicable.) From the time that the second person buys they are the same price. Their price will track each other so that they will both be worth the same in 30 years. With the second person paying far less interest and capital then the first individual.

    There is also an assumption that the first buyer has a decent tracker and that the second buyer has a poor variable. This is not always the case with people emerging from discounted trackers to the same higher rates that a recent buyer is on.


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