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Golf Betting

  • 15-04-2008 10:45pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭


    I'm gonna hang out here a while. If ye degenerates don't mind:p

    I used to enjoy betting on the golf, enjoy studying the form beforehand, before putting a few bob on the long shots, watch the TV and was pretty profitable over the period of a couple of years.

    Bookies have wised up since then, but there's always a few golfers at 100/1 that have just at much chance as the ones at 10/1 (in my opinion).


    Can't stay up all night playing poker anymore like a couple of years ago because erm....I can't exploit my employers softiness anymore, because I'm now the employer ;).... but I can manage to watch the US golf anyway, a mans go to live dangerously:rolleyes:

    So after a nice run at the masters, I'm going to get back into the golf betting again.

    I make no apologies for selecting long shots at all times, even if I think the winner will be one of the favourites. That's the nature of golf, a lucky bounce here, a lip out there. I think you can rationally narrow down the field based on form, past history and course characteristics versus players natural game.
    Then you just hope that one of your selections befriend the golfing gods and carry you over the line.
    The other good thing about selecting outsiders is that if you think he's going to bottle his 1 shot lead after 15 holes, you can take a decent profit by laying the bet on the exchanges.

    Let's see if I still have the knack?


    So, without further ado ... this weeks selections (my level stake is always the €4 min bet on betfair


    Justin Leonard 34 €4.00 €132.00
    Boo Weekley 38 €4.00 €148.00
    Scott Verplank 110 €0.47 €51.23 €3.53 €384.77
    Davis Love III 85 €0.57 €47.88 85 €3.43 €288.12
    Ben Crane 85 €4.00 €336.00
    Nick Dougherty 100 €4.00 €396.00
    Frank Lickliter II 370 €4.00 €1,476.00
    Jeff Maggert 330 €4.00 €1,316.00

    I think Stewart Cink is the man to beat this week, but his 16.5 odds is below my criteria for bets.

    Harbour Point is a course for the golf stategists, they need to plot their way around the course, the greens are small, so good scrambling is needed (Justin Rose?)

    Davis Love absolutely loves this course, Verplank always goes well here, and Ben Crane has good scrambling stats and a bit of course form.

    Let it ride!


«134

Comments

  • Subscribers Posts: 32,859 ✭✭✭✭5starpool


    Hang out all you want, just don't go making fun of the mods like you do in poker :(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,987 ✭✭✭Trampas


    Is Harbour Point is a birdie feast course?

    I would pick someone who gets birdies and not a par golfer


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    5starpool wrote: »
    Hang out all you want, just don't go making fun of the mods like you do in poker :(

    You're everywhere 5star;) Hope you're keeping well.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    Trampas wrote: »
    Is Harbour Point is a birdie feast course?

    I would pick someone who gets birdies and not a par golfer

    Greens very small targets, so I'd disagree. Steady golfer is exactly what you're looking for.

    Missed fairways and greens = behind trees.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    so I think the winner is coming from these players

    1 T1 Lucas Glover FC SC P S H -5 F * -10 66 66 -- -- 132
    2 T23 Boo Weekley FC SC P S H -7 F -9 69 64 -- -- 133
    3 T4 Anthony Kim FC SC P S H -4 F * -8 67 67 -- -- 134
    T4 T23 Cliff Kresge FC SC P S H -5 F -7 69 66 -- -- 135
    T4 T59 Stephen Ames FC SC P S H -7 F -7 71 64 -- -- 135
    T4 T4 Stewart Cink FC SC P S H -3 F -7 67 68 -- -- 135
    T7 T4 Jay Williamson FC SC P S H -2 F * -6 67 69 -- -- 136
    T7 T43 Jason Bohn FC SC P S H -5 F * -6 70 66 -- -- 136
    T7 T23 Jonathan Byrd FC SC P S H -4 F * -6 69 67 -- -- 136
    T7 T14 Jim Furyk FC SC P S H -3 F * -6 68 68 -- -- 136
    T7 T23 Aaron Baddeley FC SC P S H -4 F * -6 69 67 -- -- 136
    T7 T23 Marc Turnesa FC SC P S H -4 F * -6 69 67 -- -- 136
    T7 T43 Robert Allenby FC SC P S H -5 F * -6 70 66 -- -- 136
    T14 T4 Nick Dougherty FC SC P S H -1 F * -5 67 70 -- -- 137
    T14 T1 Davis Love III FC SC P S H E F * -5 66 71 -- -- 137
    T14 T43 Fredrik Jacobson FC SC P S H -4 F -5 70 67 -- -- 137
    T14 T14 Tim Wilkinson FC SC P S H -2 F -5 68 69 -- -- 137
    T14 T14 Michael Allen FC SC P S H -2 F * -5 68 69 -- -- 137
    T14 T23 Parker McLachlin FC SC P S H -3 F * -5 69 68 -- -- 137
    T14 T14 Ken Duke FC SC P S H -2 F * -5 68 69 -- -- 137
    T14 T43 Mathew Goggin FC SC P S H -4 F -5 70 67 -- -- 137
    T14 T23 Patrick Sheehan FC SC P S H -3 F * -5 69 68 -- -- 137
    T14 T23 Ben Curtis FC SC P S H -3 F * -5 69 68 -- -- 137
    T14 T1 Justin Leonard FC SC P S H E F * -5 66 71 -- -- 137
    T14 T14 Briny Baird FC SC P S H -2 F * -5 68 69 -- -- 137




    Little disappointed that Justin Leonard could't sustain his great opening round.

    All the selections made the cut except Jeff Maggert who was on the cut line at +2.

    Still think Cink is the main to beat.

    Johnathan Byrd is the guy I wish I also had in my selections.

    I'll be backing Mark Brooks for the next couple of weeks (a Major Winner from years gone by who has played muck for a long time.) He shot 78 -68 and missed the cut. Anyone who shoots 68 at Harbour point is hitting form....so if he has decided to come out of a decade's hibernation, I want to have a little interest in him, whilst he's under the radar.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,443 ✭✭✭califano


    you have to be happy with 4 charges still in with a shout at this stage. good going.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 420 ✭✭berliner


    Golf betting is a mugs game.It's really like buying a lottery ticket.One piece of advice i'd give is to wait to place a bet after round one is completed.Nothing worse than backing a guy that doesn't make the cut.I have Anthony kim backed this weekend,if he doesn't do the business I'm finished golf betting.I've had a dreadful run of losers so he's my last bet.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    berliner wrote: »
    Golf betting is a mugs game.It's really like buying a lottery ticket.One piece of advice i'd give is to wait to place a bet after round one is completed.Nothing worse than backing a guy that doesn't make the cut.I have Anthony kim backed this weekend,if he doesn't do the business I'm finished golf betting.I've had a dreadful run of losers so he's my last bet.

    Hopefully you had Kim e/w.

    I bought a winning ticket it seems:) needless to say I disagree with your assessment of golf betting, as I said at in the OP, I think you can narrow the field down on a consistent basis based on form, past history and course characteristics versus players natural game.

    3 of my 8 selections lead the tournament at one stage, 7 out of 8 of them made the cut .... is that really 'buying a lottery ticket'?

    Yes, you need the rub of the green for your selection to be the winner.

    btw your advice on waiting until round one is over is a valid one.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,613 ✭✭✭raheny red


    Culchie wrote: »
    Hopefully you had Kim e/w.

    I bought a winning ticket it seems:) needless to say I disagree with your assessment of golf betting, as I said at in the OP, I think you can narrow the field down on a consistent basis based on form, past history and course characteristics versus players natural game.

    3 of my 8 selections lead the tournament at one stage, 7 out of 8 of them made the cut .... is that really 'buying a lottery ticket'?

    Yes, you need the rub of the green for your selection to be the winner.

    btw your advice on waiting until round one is over is a valid one.

    I like it :D :pac:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 420 ✭✭berliner


    I had Anthony Kim e/w so I'm back in business.I think Lucas Glover is due a win soon so my winnings are going on him for the next pga event.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    Wachovia this week, another tricky course, a score of -10 will be close to the bacon.

    Guys who did well in the MASTERS normally do well here. With Tiger out, the price for the top players has levelled out, so these selections look like real long shots.

    I think Jim Furyk and Stewart Cink will go well, but here is where my money went this week.

    Steve Stricker 36 €4.00 €140.00 (CD, in 2008 form)

    Trevor Immelman 50 €4.00 €196.00 (Masters winner, course to suit, rested)

    Boo Weekley 55 €4.00 €216.00 (can't leave him out, so consistent at the moment)

    Charley Hoffman 140 €4.00 €556.00 (due a win)

    Davis Love III 220 €4.00 €876.00 (bargain of the week, never a 220/1 shot)

    Bob Estes 450 €4.00 €1,796.00 (SHOT 68 despite mc last week, a hunch)

    Tim Herron 370 €4.00 €1,476.00 (needs 4 consecutive rounds to click, if it does, will be close)

    John Senden 140 €4.00 €556.00 (Top 10 last year, playing well)

    Mark Hensby 350 €4.00 €1,396.00 (4th last week, 350/1 .....hello!!!)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 384 ✭✭badbrian


    Sabbatini for me. 66/1 with BruceBetting paying 6 places. Form at the moment is a bit off but form is temporary remember and 66/1 for such a talented player (who was third last year) is too big to miss.

    Surprised Culchie you didn't include Zach Johnson in your staking plan if Masters form was a signpost. Trading at 110-120 on BF.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    badbrian wrote: »
    Sabbatini for me. 66/1 with BruceBetting paying 6 places. Form at the moment is a bit off but form is temporary remember and 66/1 for such a talented player (who was third last year) is too big to miss.

    Surprised Culchie you didn't include Zach Johnson in your staking plan if Masters form was a signpost. Trading at 110-120 on BF.

    Sure, you can't pick em all.

    I agree though, nice price.
    It was him or Estes, I'm such a gambler, couldn't resist the 450/1:pac:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 420 ✭✭berliner


    I did an e/w double on Johan Edfors to win in Spain and Anthony Kim to win the pga event.One of them is going to win for sure but as usual I don't know which.Just hope both can do the business.20/1 and 50/1 so massive double if it comes up.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 512 ✭✭✭WH BONNEY


    Decided to run with Peter Lonard @ 340/1 and Charley Hoffman @ 180/1.

    These selections probably show why golf is -EV for me.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 512 ✭✭✭WH BONNEY


    Go Charley go.

    41 shots for his first nine holes.

    Obviously he's decided to try out a set of left handed clubs this week.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 384 ✭✭badbrian


    berliner wrote: »
    I did an e/w double on Johan Edfors to win in Spain and Anthony Kim to win the pga event.One of them is going to win for sure but as usual I don't know which.Just hope both can do the business.20/1 and 50/1 so massive double if it comes up.

    So why didn't you do singles? Good call on Kim


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 420 ✭✭berliner


    badbrian wrote: »
    So why didn't you do singles? Good call on Kim
    Thanks.i'm kicking myself on not doing singles.Damn i let a 50/1 get away.I'm staying clear of the european events from now on.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    berliner wrote: »
    Golf betting is a mugs game.It's really like buying a lottery ticket.One piece of advice i'd give is to wait to place a bet after round one is completed.Nothing worse than backing a guy that doesn't make the cut.I have Anthony kim backed this weekend,if he doesn't do the business I'm finished golf betting.I've had a dreadful run of losers so he's my last bet.

    You can retract this statement anytime you want:p You've obviously got a good knack of selecting a shortlist.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 420 ✭✭berliner


    Culchie wrote: »
    You can retract this statement anytime you want:p You've obviously got a good knack of selecting a shortlist.
    I'll post a tip for the players championship which starts thursday.I really put the effort in regarding studying likely winners but as with everything in life you need a little bit of lady luck as well.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    Driving accuracy very important for the players championship, the course has been made more difficult with firmer greens and longer rough. Breezy conditions are the norm. You need a guy with good driving % and also greens in regulation stats.

    Again, there are some obvious candidates, (Mickelson, Furyk, Singh) but I'm going Austrailian this week. They are masters in the wind, and they're on form.

    Scott, Allenby, Appleby, Elkington, Baddeley all have the game and the bottle for this 5th Major. Scott is too short for my selection policy. I can see Elkington starting well, but falling away in round 3/4.
    Jose Coceres is another dark horse I like, great wind player. Ben Curtis is my form pick and a massive price (good driving stats last week as well) and Garcia and Harrington like this course, but odds maybe poor value for Harry, and I'll enjoy it if he wins without money on him anyway. I gotta hunch Billy Mayfair is going to run good as well.
    Justin Leonard completes my list with solid stats and form.

    Baddeley 75
    Allenby 75
    Appleby 120
    Campbell 140
    Coceres 540
    Garcia 42
    Curtis 230
    Leonard 85
    Mayfair 280


    I got a good feeling about this week;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 384 ✭✭badbrian


    I was robbed last weekend. Along with losing bets on Jiminez and Gonzales in Europe, Sabbatini on the PGA tour, I had Price in the Seniors. -10 won and he was -13 half way thru the back 9. Consecutive double bogeys. The place money (he was 25/1) covered my weekend though.
    Having looked at the past few years in the Sawgrass I think Zach Johnson will be my main bet at 80/1 with Ladbrokes.
    Also I'll back Sabbatini/Fasth and Jiminez at 125s & 150 to smaller stakes as this comp throws up some odd winners (anyone remember Craig Perks?)
    And Funk to top 10 (22/1). Over 50 but a good record here.
    Good luck all.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 420 ✭✭berliner


    Here's my three for the Players championship. Andres Romero,Lucas Glover,Heath Slocum.Do those guys e/w and you'll make a nice profit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    Culchie wrote: »
    Baddeley 75
    Allenby 75
    Appleby 120
    Campbell 140
    Coceres 540
    Garcia 42
    Curtis 230
    Leonard 85
    Mayfair 280


    I got a good feeling about this week;)

    Mixed emotions, I'm feeling a little like Brian Kerr must have felt....I picked the right team, but the players are not performing 100%:p.

    The in form Aussies are in around the money, but not really threatening to take this down, Appleby needs to shoot a 65/66 and post a score in the club house and see what happens. The wind hasn't been as strong as normal, so that didn't help me, as it was a major factor in my selections this week.

    Only Justin Leonard missed the cut (right on the mark), so that was a good hit %. Elkington got off to a flyer, like I thought he would, and then faded away

    The winners is here somewhere. Goydod is leading, but it's due to an incredibly hot putter, his GUI and driving stats aren't good, so I don't think he's going to be able to steer the ship home on the back 9 as the putter is sure to tighten up.

    Kenny Perry or Garcia I reckon....(obviously as Garcia is one of my picks, I hope it's him .... but Perry is hot favourite.

    Mickelson still in with a shout, but needs to knock in a mid 60's round, a rarity around Sawgrass.

    If Goydos drops a couple of early shots, then it's going to be a scramble ....and that famous 17th may well decide the outcome of this and make great TV.

    Olé Sergio:pac:

    146 1 T2 Paul Goydos FC SC P S H -2 F -7 68 71 70 -- 209
    61 2 1 Kenny Perry FC SC P S H E F -6 68 70 72 -- 210
    115 3 T2 Sergio Garcia FC SC P S H 1 F -4 66 73 73 -- 212
    31 T4 T16 Jeff Quinney FC SC P S H -2 F -2 71 73 70 -- 214
    2 T4 T13 Phil Mickelson FC SC P S H -1 F -2 70 73 71 -- 214
    - T4 T2 Bernhard Langer FC SC P S H 3 F -2 72 67 75 -- 214
    69 T7 T55 Greg Kraft FC SC P S H -4 F -1 75 72 68 -- 215
    141 T7 T37 Tom Lehman FC SC P S H -3 F -1 73 73 69 -- 215
    105 T7 T37 Tim Petrovic FC SC P S H -3 F -1 73 73 69 -- 215
    12 T7 T16 J.B. Holmes FC SC P S H -1 F -1 72 72 71 -- 215
    28 T7 T16 Stuart Appleby FC SC P S H -1 F -1 72 72 71 -- 215
    58 T7 T7 Briny Baird FC SC P S H 1 F -1 71 71 73 -- 215
    8 T7 6 Boo Weekley FC SC P S H 2 F -1 70 71 74 -- 215
    76 T14 T55 Charlie Wi FC SC P S H -3 F E 74 73 69 -- 216
    44 T14 T37 Jerry Kelly FC SC P S H -2 F E 74 72 70 -- 216
    102 T14 T37 Jesper Parnevik FC SC P S H -2 F E 72 74 70 -- 216
    98 T14 T37 Fredrik Jacobson FC SC P S H -2 F E 76 70 70 -- 216
    130 T14 T13 Ian Poulter FC SC P S H 1 F E 69 74 73 -- 216
    43 T14 T7 Stephen Ames FC SC P S H 2 F E 74 68 74 -- 216


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    Culchie wrote: »
    Goydod is leading, but it's due to an incredibly hot putter, his GUI and driving stats aren't good, so I don't think he's going to be able to steer the ship home on the back 9 as the putter is sure to tighten up.

    Kenny Perry or Garcia I reckon....(obviously as Garcia is one of my picks, I hope it's him .... but Perry is hot favourite.

    If Goydos drops a couple of early shots, then it's going to be a scramble ....and that famous 17th may well decide the outcome of this and make great TV.

    Olé Sergio:pac:

    3 holes in and Goydos dropped two shots.....settle in for a long night ..... óle óle óle


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 420 ✭✭berliner


    Two out of 3 i tipped failed to make the cut.I give up.No more tipping from me.Better off getting the pin and picking them that way.So long:(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    bow chicka wow wow :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 456 ✭✭twenty8


    Culchie - fair play. You are really on a roll. Looking forward to hearing your Irish Open selections!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 384 ✭✭badbrian


    Has to be Pod this week. He is 2 from 2 at Adare Manor, including a star-studded 2 round event (Tiger et al played) where he was well clear.
    Shouldn't have required a play-off last year.
    8/1 seems like value in my books.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    twenty8 wrote: »
    Culchie - fair play. You are really on a roll. Looking forward to hearing your Irish Open selections!!

    Thanks .... been extremely busy at work this week, so haven't mulled over the stats yet this week.

    I might give it a miss this week, I would stick with the USA golf anyway for betting purposes. I do think McDowell will be best Irishman in the Irish Open....but that's just a throw away comment rather than a punt.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 420 ✭✭berliner


    Can't bow out on a losing note so I want to finish with a couple of winners. Do them E/W. Carl Schwartzl for the Irish Open and my old pal Lucas Glover to finally come good and win the AT&T on the US Tour.Did them both e/w and a small double as well.I'm a martyr for the cause.Best of luck golf punters.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    Dean Wilson 55
    Matt Kuchar 80
    Briny Baird 32
    Brett Quigley 100
    Robert Gamez 290
    Mark Brooks 1000
    David Duval 500
    Kenny Perry 40
    Jonathan Byrd 32
    Troy Matteson 70

    On paper this is an extremely weak looking line up.

    The favourites are marked in around 15-20/1 and there are plenty making this a wide open betting contest.

    Gone for Brooks as last round he had was a 68 on a real tough course, so gotta to stick to these convictions.....and he''s 1000/1

    Duval.....well, if he's ever going to come back, it'll be on this course. 500/1 ... sure why not.


    Cink, Crane, Imada, Zack Johnson the horses for this course and likely to perform well ... but too short for my selection policy.

    Really dodgy week, but there ya go.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    Winner to come from here, I have the two front runners, but Byrd just after throwing away 2 shots from 5 feet, should have had the tournament in the bag.

    Looking promising, up to the golfing gods, If Howell and Toms weren't sniffing around, I'd be pretty confident.....but they are:confused:


    T1 Jonathan Byrd -12
    T2 Kenny Perry -9

    T2 T1 Ryan Palmer -9
    T4 T20 Heath Slocum -7
    T4 T10 Camilo Villegas -7
    T4 T6 Charles Howell IIi -7
    T4 T6 David Toms -7
    T6 Bob Sowards -6
    T9 T20 Zach Johnson -5
    T9 T41 Brian Gay -5
    T9 T20 Chris Kirk -5
    T12 T41 Ryuji Imada -4
    T12 T41 Steve Elkington -4
    112 T12 T76 John Rollins -4
    110 T12 T20 Brian Davis -4
    197 T12 T28 Gavin Coles -4
    76 T12 T41 Matt Kuchar -4
    109 T12 T28 Brett Quigley -4
    142 T12 T57 Jay Williamson -4
    62 T12 T41 Troy Matteson -4
    20 T12 T28 D.J. Trahan -4
    3 T12 T10 Stewart Cink -4
    156 T12 T6 Ted Purdy -4
    63 T12 T10 John Mallinge-4
    246 T12 T10 Bob Heintz -4
    93 T12 T1 Parker McLachlin -4
    167 T12 T10 Craig Kanada -4


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    bah Humbug, Perry beaten in play off, Byrd 4th


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 212 ✭✭JMB88


    Culchie wrote: »
    bah Humbug, Perry beaten in play off, Byrd 4th

    He got seriously robbed by hitting that tree and kicking back down into the lake. I had 5 euro EW on Rory Mcilroy yesterday .... he finished 7th and EW paid out on top 6, typical.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 384 ✭✭badbrian


    Don't know how POD did so bad at the weekend. Best player in the field on a course he goes well at.
    Feel confident this week. Cabrera and Jimenez go well here and Jimenez is currently best price 40/1 with Boyles paying 6 places.

    This price won't last as Jimenez' game is in good nick at the moment and his form over the last 4 years here read.

    2007 T(ied)5th
    2006 3rd
    2005 56
    2004 T8

    See Cabrera is a best priced 25/1 with Celtic Bookmakers. Also paying 6 places. Even with my poor run of form one of these must at worst place....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    OK, running pretty good.

    2 Winners, and 1 play off loser (robbed I was joint 1st;)) from 4 weekly short list selections.

    Man I want to pick Kenny Perry, but he's under 25/1 so no can do.

    Colonial is for your solid tee to green player....steady as she goes......and then boom... good putting stats, this will be won on the greens. Mickelson will be hot favourite.
    I've gone for 10 selections rather than normal eight, cos I couldn't decide which one to leave out.

    Most of these guys had 3 bloody good rounds last year, or have the required putting and GUI stats. Frazer just got lucky to be picked:pac:

    Justin Leonard 36
    Rod Pampling 55
    John Senden 120
    Steve Marino 190
    Harrison Frazer 550
    Jerry Kelly 150
    Steve Flesch 70
    Tom Lehman 230
    Mark Hensby 460
    Mike Weir 100


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 420 ✭✭berliner


    Mmmmmm...good selection policy,i should choose 8 instead of the usual 1 per tournament.More darts you have to throw more chance you'll hit the target!:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 384 ✭✭badbrian


    Backing Leonard and Goydos in the Crowne Plaza. Both ew and at 40 and 125/1 respectively. Tidy golfers on a course that requires same.

    Seniors Golf this week is worth a look. It's at Oak Hill. PGA was played here a few years ago and Jay Haas and Loren Roberts both went well then. They're 10/1 each so either to win is 9/2. Slight preference for Roberts who went well last week.

    Regardless of how I go this week, and having given the selections some consideration I am naturally optimistic, I intend to take a break.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,415 ✭✭✭✭Collie D


    badbrian wrote: »
    Seniors Golf this week is worth a look. It's at Oak Hill. PGA was played here a few years ago and Jay Haas and Loren Roberts both went well then. They're 10/1 each so either to win is 9/2. Slight preference for Roberts who went well last week.

    I'm tempted to go for Langer in this. First bet on the Seniors Tour for me. Put off by the price though. As low as 6/1 in places which is pretty shocking tbh. Think I could only back Woods at that price before start of tournament. However, he does have two tour wins this year and had a good tournament at Sawgrass, think he was ties 16th in the end.


    Culchie, do you bet on the European tour at all. MOst of my golf bets would be US too but just fed up with Setanta Golf at this stage. I know it's syndicated from American coverage (CBS or ESPN - can't remember which) but the pictures are way too biased towards the Yanks for my liking. A European would have to hold a five stroke lead to get a look-in. I just like to watch my player and see how he's going. Tend to do top European bets there rather than outright winnersso I rarel get to see coerage of my selected player. Sorry,just a rant rather than anything informative


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    Collie D wrote: »
    I'm tempted to go for Langer in this. First bet on the Seniors Tour for me. Put off by the price though. As low as 6/1 in places which is pretty shocking tbh. Think I could only back Woods at that price before start of tournament. However, he does have two tour wins this year and had a good tournament at Sawgrass, think he was ties 16th in the end.


    Culchie, do you bet on the European tour at all. MOst of my golf bets would be US too but just fed up with Setanta Golf at this stage. I know it's syndicated from American coverage (CBS or ESPN - can't remember which) but the pictures are way too biased towards the Yanks for my liking. A European would have to hold a five stroke lead to get a look-in. I just like to watch my player and see how he's going. Tend to do top European bets there rather than outright winnersso I rarel get to see coerage of my selected player. Sorry,just a rant rather than anything informative

    Badbrian - I like the Goydos bet as well.... had to leave someone out, he'll probably bite me in the ass.


    Collie D ... No I stick to the US tour .... I guess I like watching me horses run if I get a chance .... I've also built up a fair bit of knowledge as well that comes in handy.

    e.g The history from 2007 may show that Joe Bloggs have finished 9th, and shot a 76 on the final round when in contention, but I may have watched it, and a spectator kicked his ball into the lake:) hence his triple bogey on 17 ... so those nuggets of information are priceless. I wouldn't have that from the European Tour.

    The commentary often gives you clues as well to a players form (personal problems etc...)

    Don't get me wrong, Mrs Culchie would kill me if I try and watch 4 nights of golf, but any chance I get, I flick over when she's making me tea etc.....;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    Mark Brooks is -3 after 9 holes. If you've been following this thread I said to watch out for him, as he is coming out of a decades hibernation, and he's normally 1000/1 on betfair.

    The last time he was -3 after 9 holes, I think colour TV was just invented.

    If however the dirty sod wins this week, and I haven't backed him, after preaching from the pulpit, I'll make sure he never comes out of hibernation again:mad:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 384 ✭✭badbrian


    Happy Days. 6 runners. 2 Winners. Jimenez fell over the line after doing his best to blow it. 40/1 ew. And then Haas obliged at 10/1 in the Seniors. There will be a healthy glow to my current account this week!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 384 ✭✭badbrian


    Hadn't intended to back this week but would hate to think my luck is in and I'd waste it. Just backing 2 runners.
    European Tour. Randhawa has gone well in the Wales Open last 2 years and his game looked in tasty nick last weekend.
    50/1 ew

    US PGA. Pampling was close here at the memorial last year and close again last weekend. 66/1 ew


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,493 ✭✭✭Fulton Crown


    badbrian wrote: »
    Hadn't intended to back this week but would hate to think my luck is in and I'd waste it. Just backing 2 runners.
    European Tour. Randhawa has gone well in the Wales Open last 2 years and his game looked in tasty nick last weekend.
    50/1 ew

    US PGA. Pampling was close here at the memorial last year and close again last weekend. 66/1 ew

    Thinking of having a nibble at Paul Casey and Jim Furyk - what does the great man think ???


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    Rod Pampling 50
    Carl Pettersson 90
    Chad Campbell 100
    Aaron Baddeley 42
    Luke Donald 40
    Brett Wetterick 180
    Mark Brooks:rolleyes: 950
    Jesper Parnevik 270
    Charles Howell 110
    Sean O Hair 44


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,006 ✭✭✭✭callaway92


    Culchie wrote: »
    Rod Pampling 50
    Carl Pettersson 90
    Chad Campbell 100
    Aaron Baddeley 42
    Luke Donald 40
    Brett Wetterick 180
    Mark Brooks:rolleyes: 950
    Jesper Parnevik 270
    Charles Howell 110
    Sean O Hair 44

    Jesper Parnevik probably best choice outta them


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    callaway92 wrote: »
    Jesper Parnevik probably best choice outta them

    Dunno, I ain't that precise about it. I make a shortlist.

    Last 5 tournaments, I've 2 wins, 1 play off loser and 2 2nd places.

    I think they'll all got a chance, at decent prices.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,047 ✭✭✭Culchie


    Rod Pampling
    Carl Pettersson
    Luke Donald

    Still in the running at the half way stage.

    According to the players, Colonial is playing as tough as Augusta on a tough day.

    With this is mind, winner can't come from to far back, winning score will be in the -6 to -9 group, present leader at -7 after two rounds.

    I'm liking Luke Donalds chances from here .....and watch out for Silver Fox Fred Couples....he loves Augusta....has he the legs for the 4 rounds though?
    Mike Weir normally puts in a good weekend at the Masters, and two 69's will put him right in the mixer as well.

    Put a few quid on Justin Rose for the British Open !



    T1 1 Mathew Goggin FC SC P S H E F -7 65 72 -- -- 137
    19 T1 T2 Kenny Perry FC SC P S H -1 F * -7 66 71 -- -- 137
    48 3 T2 Jerry Kelly FC SC P S H E F -6 66 72 -- -- 138
    27 4 T6 Luke Donald FC SC P S H -1 F -5 68 71 -- -- 139
    86 T5 T14 Nick O'Hern FC SC P S H -2 F -4 70 70 -- -- 140
    55 T5 T6 Matt Kuchar FC SC P S H E F * -4 68 72 -- -- 140
    31 T5 T14 Steve Lowery FC SC P S H -2 F -4 70 70 -- -- 140
    5 T5 T11 Geoff Ogilvy FC SC P S H -1 F * -4 69 71 -- -- 140
    36 T9 T4 Rod Pampling FC SC P S H 2 F * -3 67 74 -- -- 141
    121 T9 T6 Justin Rose FC SC P S H 1 F -3 68 73 -- -- 141

    59 T11 T36 Jason Bohn FC SC P S H -1 F -1 72 71 -- -- 143
    178 T11 T14 Rocco Mediate FC SC P S H 1 F -1 70 73 -- -- 143
    60 T11 T36 Fred Couples FC SC P S H -1 F -1 72 71 -- -- 143
    67 T11 T6 Carl Pettersson FC SC P S H 3 F * -1 68 75 -- -- 143
    42 T11 T14 Pat Perez FC SC P S H 1 F -1 70 73 -- -- 143
    71 T11 T20 Mike Weir FC SC P S H E F -1 71 72 -- -- 143
    11 T11 T60 J.B. Holmes FC SC P S H -3 F * -1 74 69 -- -- 143
    46 T18 T47 Ryan Moore FC SC P S H -1 F


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20 johnnywishbone


    Culchie? Do you back your selections e/w?


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