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Freakonomics

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  • 17-11-2006 12:00am
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 222 ✭✭


    An interesting read if you haven't already read it.


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 15,117 ✭✭✭✭MrJoeSoap


    Read parts of it on holidays and have to say it does tend to go on some random tangents! Enjoyable, but bits of it have to be taked with a pinch of salt.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,255 ✭✭✭✭The_Minister


    I have it since last Christmas, and have only been able to skim it, due to college.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,803 ✭✭✭dunkamania


    interesting,but not to be taken too seriously


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,494 ✭✭✭ronbyrne2005


    Have it as an audiobook(mp3) but have only listend to first few chapters.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,510 ✭✭✭Tricity Bendix


    What parts should be taken with a pinch of salt and when exactly should it not be taken too seriously?



    The handling of the abortion/crime issue is excellent, in my opinion. Very entertaining light reading.

    I'm loving the proliferation of pop-economists at the moment. Undercover Economist is another good one, while I hear Sex, Drugs and Economics is worth a read, but I'm unlikely to get my hands on a copy until christmas morning.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,884 ✭✭✭grumpytrousers


    the chapter 'why drug pushers live with their moms' is great as well...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,268 ✭✭✭mountainyman


    The abortion stuff is pretty well disproven.
    Why drug pushers live with their moms is someone elses work.

    MM


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,044 ✭✭✭Andrew 83


    Read it when it came out but wasn't too impressed. Don't really remember a lot of the chapters to be honest.

    While he does it all from a 'I'm just talking hypothetically in economics' way some of his theories could easily be picked up wrong by a reader who takes him to seriously.

    Take the abortion argument - his basic argument is that crime went down because, due to abortion, less poor people were born. He's then saying that as there were less poor people there was less crime and so abortion lead to the fall in crime in New York.

    While it is true that much crime is carried out, often out of necessity, by those poorest in society, surely the answer is to try and tackle poverty - not to start advocating the poor not to have children. I know he doesn't say that but his writing would lead some readers to that conclusion.

    Having looked at the topic the most plausible explanation I have seen of NY's crime fall was the changing drug market - not zero tolerance and certainly not Roe vs Wade.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,249 ✭✭✭✭Kinetic^


    MrJoeSoap wrote:
    Enjoyable, but bits of it have to be taked with a pinch of salt.

    Agreed. I've moved onto "the tipping point" form this but haven't gotten around to finishing it, supposed to be somewhat similar.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,268 ✭✭✭mountainyman


    Andrew 83 wrote:

    Having looked at the topic the most plausible explanation I have seen of NY's crime fall was the changing drug market - not zero tolerance and certainly not Roe vs Wade.
    The economist comprehensively debunked that argument.
    The section on the economics of drug dealing is just a rehash of someonbe else's work. The section on Superman v the KK was amusing but Leavitt is a chancer.

    MM


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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,626 ✭✭✭Stargal


    Andrew83 wrote:
    Having looked at the topic the most plausible explanation I have seen of NY's crime fall was the changing drug market - not zero tolerance and certainly not Roe vs Wade.
    The economist comprehensively debunked that argument.

    Link?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,510 ✭✭✭Tricity Bendix


    Andrew 83 wrote:
    Take the abortion argument - his basic argument is that crime went down because, due to abortion, less poor people were born. He's then saying that as there were less poor people there was less crime and so abortion lead to the fall in crime in New York.
    Actually, he was just outlining a position. He wasn't arguing for or against anything. Which is what an economist really should do, I suppose.

    I was rather uneasy reading it as I thought he may have been advocating abortion as a means of takling crime. However, he does make the point that if you apply the same moral worth to the unborn child as you do to an adult, murders have increased dramatically.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,044 ✭✭✭Andrew 83


    Actually, he was just outlining a position. He wasn't arguing for or against anything. Which is what an economist really should do, I suppose.


    Surely that's just a question of semantics? When you dismiss other explanations and put one forward then surely you're putting forward an argument/explanation? As I clearly said, he doesn't say he supports abortion or anything, but I think he did clearly put forward an argument that abortion led to falling crime rates.


  • Registered Users Posts: 27,645 ✭✭✭✭nesf


    Andrew 83 wrote:
    Surely that's just a question of semantics? When you dismiss other explanations and put one forward then surely you're putting forward an argument/explanation? As I clearly said, he doesn't say he supports abortion or anything, but I think he did clearly put forward an argument that abortion led to falling crime rates.

    He pointed out a correlation and then mused on some potential causations but I wouldn't say that he was arguing that abortion leads to falling crime rates. He wasn't generalising the case study out to apply to crime and abortion in general. Which is the point most people seem to miss. It was a descriptive piece more than anything else.


  • Registered Users Posts: 244 ✭✭Brethitmanhart


    I know I'm posting like a year later on this, but I've read it recently and I think it is a good read. I don't think you could call him a chancer, he is simply given his views as an economist, some maybe controversial but I agree with some of his conclusions and it was an enjoyable read.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,553 ✭✭✭Ekancone


    Its a sociology book more than anything.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    I disagree with that, daithi. All of the little stories in the book are based on Steven Levitt's academic work, published primarily in the Quarterly Journal of Economics and the Journal of Political Economy. He's also been published in the AER etc.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,983 ✭✭✭leninbenjamin


    it's been a while since i read it, but it made for an interesting read... but it wasn't really much more than that in my view.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭davej


    Can someone recommend a good layman's book on macro / economics then ?

    davej


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    Depends what you're looking for, davej. Looking to learn the algebra or "how it all works"?


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,553 ✭✭✭Ekancone


    Ibid wrote: »
    I disagree with that, daithi. All of the little stories in the book are based on Steven Levitt's academic work, published primarily in the Quarterly Journal of Economics and the Journal of Political Economy. He's also been published in the AER etc.

    Yerrah, im a bit of a snob when it comes to this funomics stuff.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    Rigourous economics on any topic is still rigourous economics.

    Now of course there's the argument that it's not all rigourous - there have been debates about some of Levitt's work - but certainly most of it is fine economics. Have a look at the American Economic Review and Journal of Economic Perspectives (both published by the American Economics Association) to see "quirky" economics.

    I've decided to back up my point, so some references:
    Women in Economics: Moving up or Falling off the Academic Career Ladder?, JEP (2004) 18:3
    Making a Name: Women's Surnames at Marriage and Beyond, JEP (2004) 18:2
    Witchcraft, Weather and Economic Growth in Renaissance Europe, JEP (2004) 18:1 (Dontcha just love Emily Oster?)
    Does School Integration Generate Peer Effects? Evidence from Boston's Metco Program, AER (2004) 94:5
    Why Parents Play Favorites: Explanations for Unequal Bequests, AER (2004) 94:5
    Inequality Aversion, Efficiency, and Maximin Preferences in Simple Distribution Experiments, AER (2004) 94:4
    Desegregation and Black Dropout Rates, AER (2004) 94:4
    Are Emily and Greg More Employable than Lakisha and Jamal? A Field Experiment on Labor Market Discrimination, AER (2004) 94:4

    And so on...


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭davej


    Ibid wrote: »
    Depends what you're looking for, davej. Looking to learn the algebra or "how it all works"?

    Well actually, I'd like a bit of a mix if possible - leaning more towards the "how it all works" side of things :)

    davej


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    Any Introduction to Macroeconomics book will teach you that, so.

    Just in case you're under the impression that economics is only "the study of the economy", that's a little bit like restricting art to pretty paintings. As the links above might suggest, economics has evolved to the general study of human responses to financial incentives - be that the macroeconomy as a whole or whether being named Greg makes you more employable. Unfortunately, though, most papers are essentially a form of applied maths, and require quite a knowledge of quantitative methods to grasp.

    You can still learn what generally effects the macroeconomy without much worry though :)


  • Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 32,387 Mod ✭✭✭✭DeVore


    I'd like to see any links to the debunking of the abortion hyposthesis, something based on data and not emotional investment preferably...

    DeV.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    DeVore wrote: »
    I'd like to see any links to the debunking of the abortion hyposthesis, something based on data and not emotional investment preferably...

    DeV.
    The Economist covered a rebuttal which to the best of my knowledge Levitt responded to, I just haven't got around to reading his response yet.

    There is of course the converse argument that is Team Ivana Bacik are the emotional investment bankers. There are 1.6m abortions in America each year, something like 30% of all pregnancies. Page 20 of this paper suggests that 1.6m abortions lowers America's homicide rate by 8.9%. This is a significant result. But we're talking about 8.9% of a relatively small number insofar as we are not talking about 8.9 percentage points (from my tired, hungover perusal) but a fall of 100 homicides per x people to 91.9 homicides per x people.

    This site states that there were 17,000 homicides in America last year which means that, by Levitt's statistics, about 17000*0.089=1500 homicides are avoided by abortion per year. So 1.6m abortions = 1500 homicides avoided. That puts a weight of about 1 person = 1000 unborns. Libertarianism aside, I don't think people (pro-life or not) would put the weight that high. In other words, if 1000 unborns were going to be miscarried (parental grievance aside) or 1 person killed, which would you choose?

    Now granted that's analysis done with a desperate hangover (and a very sore knee :() and it excludes the declines in burglary and rape etc. - which should not be overlooked - but it gives you an idea that the connection, although statistically significant, is a little hyped. The emotional-driven logic seems to me to be coming as much from Rosaries-Off-My-Ovaries who are using the crime link as a tool for their general aim of achieving pro-choice as from the A-Life-Not-A-Choice gang.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,469 ✭✭✭Pythia


    davej wrote: »
    Well actually, I'd like a bit of a mix if possible - leaning more towards the "how it all works" side of things :)

    davej

    N Gregory Mankiw's books are the ones we used for Macro in college. I thought they explained things well.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    Ibid wrote: »
    This site states that there were 17,000 homicides in America last year which means that, by Levitt's statistics, about 17000*0.089=1500 homicides are avoided by abortion per year. So 1.6m abortions = 1500 homicides avoided. That puts a weight of about 1 person = 1000 unborns. Libertarianism aside, I don't think people (pro-life or not) would put the weight that high. In other words, if 1000 unborns were going to be miscarried (parental grievance aside) or 1 person killed, which would you choose?

    Bumping this thread. Evidence from this paper published in the latest Economica has found "no clear, consistent relationship between abortion and crime in England and Wales."


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,021 ✭✭✭Al_Fernz


    Its a sociology book more than anything.

    Economics is a social science!

    The thing I liked most about Freakonomics is that my mates were able to read it and it totally changed their perception of what an economist does.

    Most people think that economics is simply about Macro and forecasting GDP growth. Levitt's book illustrates just how broad a subject economics is and how interesting different strands of it can be.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,553 ✭✭✭Ekancone


    Al_Fernz wrote: »
    Economics is a social science!

    The thing I liked most about Freakonomics is that my mates were able to read it and it totally changed their perception of what an economist does.

    Most people think that economics is simply about Macro and forecasting GDP growth. Levitt's book illustrates just how broad a subject economics is and how interesting different strands of it can be.

    There is a big difference between sociology and economics. A subject that is categorised as a social science is not sociology by default.


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