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09-02-2018, 18:58   #1
Meteorite58
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Wind and Rain Warnings : Sat 10-2-18

National Weather Warnings

STATUS YELLOW

Wind Warning for Munster, Leinster and Galway
On Saturday afternoon and evening southwest to west winds will reach mean speeds of between 55 and 65 km/h with gusts up to 110 km/h possible.

Issued:Friday 09 February 2018 12:00
Valid:Saturday 10 February 2018 15:00 to Saturday 10 February 2018 20:00


STATUS YELLOW

Rainfall Warning for Connacht, Cavan, Monaghan and Donegal
Rainfall accumulations of between 30 and 40 mm are expected in 24 hours on Saturday

Issued:Friday 09 February 2018 12:00
Valid:Saturday 10 February 2018 00:00 to Saturday 10 February 2018 23:59
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09-02-2018, 19:17   #2
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Looks like quite complex weather reflected by how different the models are showing track and wind strengths tomorrow.











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09-02-2018, 19:29   #3
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Models again differing quite a bit in accumulated amounts. The HIRLAM probably the closest to the warning totals. I'm thinking this is where the forecasters are using their experience in this kind of a complex set up







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10-02-2018, 01:38   #4
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ARPEGE latest run showing stronger winds then the previous run move into Kerry and across southern counties tomorrow evening. GFS and WRF hasn't caught on to this yet. Wouldn't be surprised to see this looking stronger again on the next runs .

Fast moving deepening area of LP moving across Ireland in around 5hrs or so. One to keep an eye on.







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10-02-2018, 01:49   #5
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Some tightly packed Isobars there.

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10-02-2018, 09:21   #6
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STATUS YELLOW

Rainfall Warning for Connacht, Cavan, Monaghan and Donegal

(Update: )
Further rainfall this afternoon and evening will give a total 24 hour rainfall accumulation for today of between 25 and 35 mm

Issued:
Saturday 10 February 2018 06:00

Valid
Saturday 10 February 2018 06:00 to Saturday 10 February 2018 23:59
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10-02-2018, 11:11   #7
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The French models have brought the track of the Low further North on the latest run. The strongest winds on a Track from Galway across the midlands to Dublin. Moving very quickly but could pack a punch with winds possibly gusting 110-120 km/h here for a short time.





Thw WRF -NMM not as strong but blustery nonetheles across the country.









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10-02-2018, 13:53   #8
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Heavy persistent rain has now set in here in Castlebar.
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10-02-2018, 13:56   #9
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Strange sudden increase in winds here in West Clare!
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10-02-2018, 16:27   #10
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Seriously heavy rain here in Castlebar. Fields well flooded now with side roads full of water
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10-02-2018, 16:30   #11
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That clear slot approaching the coast is where I would imagine the strong winds will arrive from.




Last edited by Meteorite58; 10-02-2018 at 16:35. Reason: additional chart
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10-02-2018, 16:35   #12
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Got very windy in Galway now some serious gusts, we had some very heavy rain as well lots of floods on the roads
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10-02-2018, 16:36   #13
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Could be Status Orange in some areas. Saturday Night revelers could be caught off guard. Glad i got my few jars in last night!
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10-02-2018, 16:40   #14
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Avoiding the rain here in Kerry apart from mist/ drizzle. I see Claremorris had 11 mm up until 12.00, must have had a fair amount since then.

Newport Mayo 11.6mm in the 16.00 reports for the previous hour




Last edited by Meteorite58; 10-02-2018 at 16:50.
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10-02-2018, 16:58   #15
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ARPEGEE has toned down the wind speed a bit in the latest run but looks strong as the Low deepens and exits the E coast later tonight.

Fast moving and brief but quite windy nonetheless.



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