Wind and Rain Warnings : Sat 10-2-18

Meteorite58

National Weather Warnings

STATUS YELLOW

Wind Warning for Munster, Leinster and Galway
On Saturday afternoon and evening southwest to west winds will reach mean speeds of between 55 and 65 km/h with gusts up to 110 km/h possible.

Issued:Friday 09 February 2018 12:00
Valid:Saturday 10 February 2018 15:00 to Saturday 10 February 2018 20:00


STATUS YELLOW

Rainfall Warning for Connacht, Cavan, Monaghan and Donegal
Rainfall accumulations of between 30 and 40 mm are expected in 24 hours on Saturday

Issued:Friday 09 February 2018 12:00
Valid:Saturday 10 February 2018 00:00 to Saturday 10 February 2018 23:59

Meteorite58

Looks like quite complex weather reflected by how different the models are showing track and wind strengths tomorrow.

Meteorite58

Models again differing quite a bit in accumulated amounts. The HIRLAM probably the closest to the warning totals. I'm thinking this is where the forecasters are using their experience in this kind of a complex set up

Meteorite58

ARPEGE latest run showing stronger winds then the previous run move into Kerry and across southern counties tomorrow evening. GFS and WRF hasn't caught on to this yet. Wouldn't be surprised to see this looking stronger again on the next runs .

Fast moving deepening area of LP moving across Ireland in around 5hrs or so. One to keep an eye on.

Meteorite58

Some tightly packed Isobars there.

Oscar Bravo

STATUS YELLOW

Rainfall Warning for Connacht, Cavan, Monaghan and Donegal

(Update: )
Further rainfall this afternoon and evening will give a total 24 hour rainfall accumulation for today of between 25 and 35 mm

Issued:
Saturday 10 February 2018 06:00

Valid
Saturday 10 February 2018 06:00 to Saturday 10 February 2018 23:59

Meteorite58

The French models have brought the track of the Low further North on the latest run. The strongest winds on a Track from Galway across the midlands to Dublin. Moving very quickly but could pack a punch with winds possibly gusting 110-120 km/h here for a short time.





Thw WRF -NMM not as strong but blustery nonetheles across the country.

Oscar Bravo

Heavy persistent rain has now set in here in Castlebar.

JCX BXC

Strange sudden increase in winds here in West Clare!

Oscar Bravo

Seriously heavy rain here in Castlebar. Fields well flooded now with side roads full of water

Meteorite58

That clear slot approaching the coast is where I would imagine the strong winds will arrive from.

Storm 10

Got very windy in Galway now some serious gusts, we had some very heavy rain as well lots of floods on the roads

pad199207

Could be Status Orange in some areas. Saturday Night revelers could be caught off guard. Glad i got my few jars in last night!

Meteorite58

Avoiding the rain here in Kerry apart from mist/ drizzle. I see Claremorris had 11 mm up until 12.00, must have had a fair amount since then.

Newport Mayo 11.6mm in the 16.00 reports for the previous hour :eek:

Meteorite58

ARPEGEE has toned down the wind speed a bit in the latest run but looks strong as the Low deepens and exits the E coast later tonight.

Fast moving and brief but quite windy nonetheless.

Meteorite58

JCX BXC

Winds down to 10 knots and skies cleared here in West Clare, bizzare! Temperature also tumbling.

ninebeanrows

Looking very windy indeed- stay safe this evening folks. All the best.

Soccarboy11

just had a strong gust here in Cork City, drizzling a lot too.

Storm 10

Big drop in the wind in Galway with the clearance

Call me Al

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Avoiding the rain here in Kerry apart from mist/ drizzle. I see Claremorris had 11 mm up until 12.00, must have had a fair amount since then.

Newport Mayo 11.6mm in the 16.00 reports for the previous hour :eek:

That level sounds pretty accurate. Flash floods in Achill over the course of an hour's rain according to family . Torrential nearing ark territory :-) .. And they know rain around there.

Oneiric 3

Has become very wild and gusty in the last 15 mins with a dramatic fall in temp. Was 9c 15 mins ago, now 5.4c.

Happygosad33

Reports of flash flooding across parts of NI.

M.T. Cranium

Expect a brief spell of severe wind gusts in the Dublin-Kildare-Meath region around 8:00 p.m. lasting 1-2 hours. Possible peak gusts 110 km/hr, veering WSW to NW.

Storm 10

Lashing rain again in Galway

uck51js9zml2yt

What's the forecast for Waterford this weekend? Will the snow or anything else reach us down here?....



.... secretly hoping it will;)

pjohnson

Storm 10 wrote: »

Lashing rain again in Galway

Yep. Worse here now that any of those named ones they fussed over.

Meteorite58

The developing Low passing over the country quickly. So far from what I can see hasn't produced winds out of the ordinary.

pad199207

Winds have really picked up here last 20 mins in Kildare

Meteorite58

Gaoth Laidir

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Where did it get the strong gust at Belmullet? The highest I make it for there is 27 knots.

GoneHome

Wind has really picked up here in last twenty minutes, lights flickering, North Cork/South Limerick

Meteorite58

Where did it get the strong gust at Belmullet? The highest I make it for there is 27 knots.

Computer graphic gone a bit wonky, highest gust in Bellmullet 25 km/h since early morning.

sparrowcar

Wind really picked up last 10 mins in swords.

mangobob

Absolutely howling here in Dublin 16 at the moment. Really feels as bad as Ophelia. Banging and creaking in the rafters in quite an alarming way.

As an aside, I have been monitoring ventusky during every storm so far this year. On each occasion, the area between Tallaght and Sandyford (of which D16 is smack in the middle of) always comes in for the strongest gales, much stronger than north Dublin and other areas of Leinster. I am pretty ignorant when it comes to meteorology. Would anyone be kind enough to enlighten me as to why that is?

Meteorite58

Windy in Tralee now gusting near 70 km/h, 10 min avg 32 km/h

Rougies

mangobob wrote: »

Absolutely howling here in Dublin 16 at the moment. Really feels as bad as Ophelia. Banging and creaking in the rafters in quite an alarming way.

As an aside, I have been monitoring ventusky during every storm so far this year. On each occasion, the area between Tallaght and Sandyford (of which D16 is smack in the middle of) always comes in for the strongest gales, much stronger than north Dublin and other areas of Leinster. I am pretty ignorant when it comes to meteorology. Would anyone be kind enough to enlighten me as to why that is?

We do get relatively strong winds in the area if the wind is SWerly. I'm almost sure it's due to the Wicklow mountains deflecting the wind around them causing an area of higher windspeed on the flank.

If the winds are southerly, we're sheltered by the mountains and windspeed is much lower.

Gaoth Laidir

It sounded pretty windy here in Celbridge the past hour but nearby Casement only reported 45 knots, which is probably about right for here too. Dublin Airport 47 knots.

Storm 10

Rescue 115 from Shannon just finished a tasking from the Aran Islands to Galway Hospital in terrible weather, heavy rain and very strong wind, great service

George Sunsnow

Max gust here near Arklow this evening so far is 46.3kmh wsw
That's from an anemometer at 15ft exposed to that direction
It sounds louder indeed

Meteorite58

Oscar Bravo

9pm

Mace head gusting 50 knots
Casement 50 knots
Shannon 48 knots
Valentia 47 knots
Valentia 47 knots
Dublin airport 43 knots

Storm 10

Very windy in Galway now

Itssoeasy

The wind has really picked up in cork city.

TheRiverman

Windy here in West Offaly.This f...ing winter has been with us since last September,same again for next week:eek:

Meteorite58

Making it's way into the North Sea now . Still quite blustery over here near the Kerry coast especially in the last squally shower.

In my opinion after the ARPEGE / AROME corrected themselves in the last run proved to be quite close, just a bit over done it around the E. Not bad though . WRF not bad if a bit under especially on Atlantic coasts .

Got up to 97 km/h in Mace Hd, 94 km/h Casement, 84 km/h Shannon, 83 km/h Oakpark , 83 km/h Valentia