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13-10-2017, 23:35   #736
Gaoth Laidir
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Latest track, showing 65 knots just off the west coast 18Z Monday, with 50-knot winds stretching further out. I find it hard to believe we'll see any 65-knot sustained wind reports by then but certainly gusts well above 70 likely.

Here's the text for 18Z.

HURRICANE OPHELIA (17L) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ATLANTIC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY


72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 53.2N 10.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 21 KTS



Last edited by Gaoth Laidir; 13-10-2017 at 23:38.
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13-10-2017, 23:35   #737
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Originally Posted by sdanseo View Post
Anyone have a higher res version of this? Looks like a huge area of sustained >50kt with what look like 70kt tails?
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13-10-2017, 23:36   #738
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Originally Posted by mickger844posts;
Met Eireann are being a little too cautious and vague and hopefully tomorrow they will get off the fence and put the necessary level warnings in place.
I love weather and of course extreme events but ive experienced Super Typhoons and Tropical storms in Taiwan and there is a point where it stops being fun and gets real. I hope we do get downgrades as i feel we are not prepared for a storm of this magnitude in Ireland.
I share your concern and am too hoping this thing downgrades.

To be fair to Met Eireann, they are consistently saying that people need to follow their official forecasts and they will issue the necessary appropriate warnings. Gerald Fleming said today that the normal rules of meteorology don't apply to these type of storms thereby making their future prediction less straightforward

Last edited by PukkaStukka; 14-10-2017 at 00:57.
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13-10-2017, 23:36   #739
nuac
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Originally Posted by 17-pdr View Post
Just sticking the 5pm (EDT) NHC chart in here as a screen shot for future reference. I've never seen a 'H' over Ireland before, even if it is showing the system as extra-tropical by then.

Mam's Mam remembered Debbie in 1961. She was in Westport in Co. Mayo at the time. Her abiding memory was the sheer amount of stuff flying around. Roof slates etc.

Was in Galway 9/61. Many trees blown down. Chunks torn out of Prom at Salthill. Extensive flooding.
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13-10-2017, 23:36   #740
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Originally Posted by Jobs OXO View Post
Possible wind

Mod Note Stay on topic. Note the forum charter 5. No trolling/goading posts which serve only to aggravate other users.
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13-10-2017, 23:37   #741
 
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13-10-2017, 23:45   #742
 
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13-10-2017, 23:45   #743
Stephen Hawkins football boots
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gaoth Laidir View Post
Latest track, showing 65 knots just off the west coast 18Z Monday, with 50-knot winds stretching further out. I find it hard to believe we'll see any 65-knot sustained wind reports by then but certainly gusts well above 70 likely.

Here's the text for 18Z.



HURRICANE OPHELIA (17L) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ATLANTIC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY


72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 53.2N 10.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 21 KTS


Great but what does that mean?
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13-10-2017, 23:46   #744
Meteorite58
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13-10-2017, 23:57   #745
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Originally Posted by jacksie66 View Post
Could we have a repeat in Limerick city like a few years back when the rowing club roof was ripped off?
I expect a lot of the celtic tiger junk will become very exposed if this hits full effect
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13-10-2017, 23:59   #746
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I expect a lot of the celtic tiger junk will become very exposed if this hits full effect
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14-10-2017, 00:00   #747
 
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What time roughly will this thing peak on Monday on Galway Bay?
Morning, Afternoon or Evening?
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14-10-2017, 00:04   #748
SEPT 23 1989
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Totally underplayed on the RTE tv forecast just now
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14-10-2017, 00:05   #749
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Siobhan Ryan said there will be upgrades on the warnings on Saturday and possibly more upgrades in the warnings later in the weekend.
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14-10-2017, 00:12   #750
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Well with RTE if its outside the M50 it isn't important from their point of view. Half of Cork and Kerry could lay in ruins with hundreds dead and they'd give it 2 minutes of coverage while David Norris and some stupid Bloomsday in Dublin 4 would get the full headlines.
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