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17-02-2021, 13:56   #31
Oneiric 3
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I have zero interest in this from a snow perspective, but will be keeping an eye on the small potential for a sharp squall line feature to develop south of that shallow low that is expected to move up through the country later this evening: (blue circle indicates area where it would be more likely to develop if it were to)



At the small chance that it does, then east Munster, Leinster and later east Ulster would be most at risk.
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17-02-2021, 14:31   #32
Danno
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Oneiric 3 View Post
I have zero interest in this from a snow perspective, but will be keeping an eye on the small potential for a sharp squall line feature to develop south of that shallow low that is expected to move up through the country later this evening: (blue circle indicates area where it would be more likely to develop if it were to)



At the small chance that it does, then east Munster, Leinster and later east Ulster would be most at risk.
Looks good O3, there is certainly a good temperature contrast of between 7c and 9c at surface level that I've seen on the models over a very short distance, so it will be interesting to see if hammering rain turns to hammering wet snow happens quickly. Might stay up for it!
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17-02-2021, 15:08   #33
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Latest UKV model run


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17-02-2021, 19:48   #34
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If this is going to turn it will start on high ground in the southwest. No sign as of yet.



Arpege and AROME going for some sleet and wet snow in the greater Dublin area later in the night and of course a few cms over the Wicklow mountains


Last edited by Kermit.de.frog; 17-02-2021 at 19:57.
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17-02-2021, 21:01   #35
Kermit.de.frog
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You can see it starting to turn there on high ground now in the southwest on radar above as snow level is lowering on the western side of the front (and also Connemara).

Last edited by Kermit.de.frog; 17-02-2021 at 21:09.
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17-02-2021, 21:14   #36
Gaoth Laidir
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Sleet at Kerry Airport

METAR EIKY 172100Z AUTO 33007KT 290V360 9999 -RASN FEW008/// BKN025/// OVC031/// 03/02 Q0990 RERASN=

Both Met Éireann and UKMO aviation charts for midnight give widespread rain, with snow only on mountains.
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17-02-2021, 21:17   #37
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Shannon airport 8 degrees at 8.30pm. 5 degrees at 9pm.
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17-02-2021, 21:19   #38
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Sleet at Kerry Airport

METAR EIKY 172100Z AUTO 33007KT 290V360 9999 -RASN FEW008/// BKN025/// OVC031/// 03/02 Q0990 RERASN=

Both Met Éireann and UKMO aviation charts for midnight give widespread rain, with snow only on mountains.

The air might be ripe for evaporative cooling though. Today, where I am we had a rapid drop of 4c in the space of 25 minutes in a shower. So I wouldn't be surprised to see a relatively low rain-snow line.

You just need to ensure the warm front doesn't diverge too far west.
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17-02-2021, 21:21   #39
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Its snowing in North kerry. 176m asl
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17-02-2021, 21:29   #40
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Rain-Snow line is forecasted to be 200 metres in the early morning hours. This could come down depending on the intensity of the precipitation and its duration.

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17-02-2021, 22:29   #41
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Temperature dropping like a stone here Was 10.1c half an hour ago,down to 6.8c already
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17-02-2021, 22:30   #42
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Icey rain falling in Galway, you wouldn't notice really, only on the windscreen.

I'm only at about 50m ASL

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17-02-2021, 22:34   #43
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Snowing away here for the last hour or more, East Kerry..
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17-02-2021, 22:40   #44
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The DPRK (Democratic People's Republic of Kerry) doing ok all things considered.

The ninja is strong in this one.
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17-02-2021, 22:42   #45
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I see a few stations down there are at 0c which is colder than predicted
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