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Hurricanes/Typhoons/Cyclones of 2018

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    #32
    Heiser
    Registered Users Posts: 227 ✭✭Heiser


    I'm due to go to the Caribbean on the 20th September. Should I be worried? Looks like Helene is the one I need to be worried about


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    #33
    Darwin
    Registered Users Posts: 2,659 ✭✭✭Darwin


    You will be arriving after the event, unless something else appears between now and then. Helene is heading North then likely North East towards the Azores. Isaac is heading west in the general direction of Guadeloupe, Dominica and Martinique and is forecast to arrive this Thursday as a tropical storm, not a hurricane. Keep an eye on local news in your destination and on this page:

    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/


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    #34
    star gazer
    Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 1,706 Mod ✭✭✭✭star gazer


    Super Typhoon Mangkhut could graze the Northern part of the island of Luzon in the Philippines before moving past Taiwan and on towards the Hong Kong area.
    https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1039551488278896640

    https://twitter.com/NASAHurricane/status/1039591140180279297


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    #35
    NIMAN
    Registered Users Posts: 33,095 ✭✭✭✭NIMAN


    A thought popped into my head when watching the news report on Florence.

    They say a million people have been told to evacuate the area.

    Where exactly do 1 million people actually go when they are told to leave?


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    #36
    piuswal
    Registered Users Posts: 1,785 ✭✭✭piuswal


    Are you treferring to Florence heading to the Carolinas?


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    #37
    star gazer
    Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 1,706 Mod ✭✭✭✭star gazer


    Tropical Storm Olivia is weakening on the way to Hawaii, Florence is causing evacuations.
    (Many go to stay wth people they know, there'll be various other forms of accommodation including shelters in safe areas.)


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    #38
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,837 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    https://twitter.com/NWSPhoenix/status/1039541109326848000


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    #39
    NIMAN
    Registered Users Posts: 33,095 ✭✭✭✭NIMAN


    Sorry, yes I mean Florence.


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    #40
    BumperD
    Registered Users Posts: 5,681 ✭✭✭BumperD


    Heiser wrote: »
    I'm due to go to the Caribbean on the 20th September. Should I be worried? Looks like Helene is the one I need to be worried about

    Helene will be nowhere near Caribbean so I presume you mean Isaac.

    Issac should be gone through Caribbean this week it will definitely be gone by the 20th unless your in its direct path ie Central America. Nothing to fear from that unless it stops and churns out rain or strengthens which is remote based on current models. Having said that it’s going over very warm waters this week so I was a little surprised (and relieved) it’s not expected to strengthen.

    Unless something new appears you should be fine for your visit. Pack the suntan lotion :)


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    #41
    sdanseo
    Registered Users Posts: 9,233 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    Getting even busier. And potentially more waves from Africa later.

    15e3616d3f83cb5d2bc4198fed1add85.png


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    #42
    sdanseo
    Registered Users Posts: 9,233 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    And Joyce has been named. We now have 4 active cyclones in the Atlantic basin with another to follow in <24hrs.
    973
    WTNT45 KNHC 122040
    TCDAT5

    Subtropical Storm Joyce Discussion Number 1
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018
    500 PM AST Wed Sep 12 2018

    The strong low pressure system which the NHC has been monitoring in
    the north Atlantic for a couple of days has developed a cyclonically
    curved band of deep convection near the center, and scatterometer
    data indicate that the winds are near 40 kt. Since the system is
    still vertically stacked with an upper-low, it is then classified
    as a subtropical cyclone at this time. However, the cyclone is
    gaining organization while it is acquiring tropical characteristics.
    The NHC forecast calls for Joyce to transform into a tropical system
    in about 12 to 24 hours. Since the ocean is warm, some slight
    strengthening is possible during the next 3 days. After that time,
    Joyce will be over cooler waters and should then be absorbed by a
    larger extratropical low.

    Joyce has been moving southwestward or 225 degrees at 5 kt, steered
    by the northerly flow around the subtropical high which has been
    steering Florence and to west of the mid-latitude trough which
    is forcing Helene to recurve. In a couple of days, global models
    indicate that the steering pattern will change as the trough
    amplifies, and Joyce should then turn toward the northeast with an
    increase in forward speed.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 12/2100Z 34.3N 41.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
    12H 13/0600Z 33.7N 42.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...TROPICAL STORM
    24H 13/1800Z 33.0N 43.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
    36H 14/0600Z 32.5N 43.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
    48H 14/1800Z 32.5N 43.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
    72H 15/1800Z 34.0N 41.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
    96H 16/1800Z 37.0N 35.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
    120H 17/1800Z...ABSORBED

    $$
    Forecaster Avila


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    #43
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    'The boss' on the planet at the moment is Mangkhut with 1 minute winds of 155 kts (178 mph). Expected to hit northern Luzon sometime on Friday evening our time with predicted winds of 135 kts.

    461150.png


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    #44
    q85dw7osi4lebg
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,502 ✭✭✭q85dw7osi4lebg


    Looking at images of towns in Northern Luzon, I have a feeling this is going to be tragic.


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    #45
    star gazer
    Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 1,706 Mod ✭✭✭✭star gazer


    Sadly it does look like Mangkhut (Called "Ompong" by the Philippines) will make landfall over Northern Luzon.


    https://twitter.com/breakingweather/status/1040219830199234561

    https://twitter.com/eumetsat/status/1039891729531523072


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    #46
    RobertKK
    Registered Users Posts: 33,730 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    Mangkhut is super typhoon's Haiyan cousin, not far off the record breaker. It is going to be so devastating.


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    #47
    q85dw7osi4lebg
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,502 ✭✭✭q85dw7osi4lebg


    Manghut gusting 335kph. Unbelievable


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    #48
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 17,381 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Why isn't there a thread for Mangkhut?


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    #49
    q85dw7osi4lebg
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,502 ✭✭✭q85dw7osi4lebg


    Has Manghut stalled?


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    #50
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 17,381 ✭ [Deleted User]


    I'm in Hanoi.. It will be weak, but driving a moped in it is gonna be a bit shlt.

    pApxrKw.png


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    #51
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Closing in on Luzon now. 145 kts. Landfall due around midnight tonight our time.

    461285.jpg


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    #52
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,677 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    friends sent me this yesterday, just shows how massive mangkhut really is.
    TYU3DEY.jpg


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    #53
    star gazer
    Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 1,706 Mod ✭✭✭✭star gazer


    Super Typhoon Mangkhut is making landfall (Baggao, Cagayan)
    PAGASA-DOST Philippine agency


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    #54
    q85dw7osi4lebg
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,502 ✭✭✭q85dw7osi4lebg


    CNN have decent coverage of Manghut there this evening, people taking shelter in what to me looks like huts? Can't imaging the horror of being there tonight.


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    #55
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,523 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    https://twitter.com/StormchaserUKEU/status/1040890046168084481

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



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    #56
    Rikand
    Registered Users Posts: 20,341 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    https://twitter.com/StormchaserUKEU/status/1040890046168084481

    That truck in the other lane was fairly giving it socks!


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    #57
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Manghut passed just south of Hong Kong this morning and brought a 205 kph gust to Cheung Chau (72 m amsl). Hitting Macau now.

    http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynres?lang=en&state=Hong&osum=no&fmt=html&ord=REV&ano=2018&mes=09&day=16&hora=09&ndays=1&Send=send


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    #58
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 17,381 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Gaoth Laidir wrote: »
    Manghut passed just south of Hong Kong this morning and brought a 205 kph gust to Cheung Chau (72 m amsl). Hitting Macau now.

    http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynres?lang=en&state=Hong&osum=no&fmt=html&ord=REV&ano=2018&mes=09&day=16&hora=09&ndays=1&Send=send
    Brother's in Macau and his place had a metre of flooding like five hours ago.


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    #59
    sdanseo
    Registered Users Posts: 9,233 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    Rinse and repeat?

    5bb5ee483023d4d7635abc0c4bd20a9b.png


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    #60
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    28W Trami looks like hitting Taiwan as a strong typhoon later this week.

    wp282018.18092218.gif


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    #61
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,837 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    https://twitter.com/wx_radar/status/1044945517329952768


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