Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi all! We have been experiencing an issue on site where threads have been missing the latest postings. The platform host Vanilla are working on this issue. A workaround that has been used by some is to navigate back from 1 to 10+ pages to re-sync the thread and this will then show the latest posts. Thanks, Mike.
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest

Is Roulette Sniper the real deal?

2»

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 268 ✭✭holdemfoldem


    Mellor wrote: »
    Just so you know, that guy is completly wrong.
    But probability is a branch of stats.
    Say the reason he is wrong because he is confusing the two is wrong,
    thats not wht he is wrong,
    he's wrong because he fails at everything he has said and thought ever

    ok i mite have worded that wrong so your right there probability is a branch of stats.. my definitions of them hold true though so i still maintain on a game like roulette you can't use one to get the other or vice versa

    Ie past events in roulette ( stats ) can't help you determine what will come next ( prob ) unless the wheel is not accurately balanced etc :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 268 ✭✭holdemfoldem


    oh and cherrypicker i have a few suggestions for your next project..

    there is some guys doing some great work on horse racing systems.. bound to make some profit there..

    also if you google 'lotto systems' theres some no go'ers but i think one or two have writen their speal in a way only you will understand. think about it if you load up your bets on the lotto imagine the return when you finalling hit the jackpot!

    As for the rest of us unable to see what is blatantly obvious to you we are doomed to remain in our min pay jobs hoping for a fav double to finally come inso we can pay our electricity bills... :pac::pac:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 247 ✭✭cherrypicker555


    Mellor wrote: »
    Have to laugh at this, just because you don't know me hardly means i'm hiding behind a pc screen. theres plenty of people here who know me "in the real world". Most of them know me from the casino:eek:
    Although, I prefer to play a game were I have an constant edge, call me old fashioned.


    What edge ?

    Even most poker pros inc big names make a loss and rely on sponsorship.

    With roulette I need to win one in a 50/50 game.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,586 ✭✭✭jaykay74


    What edge ?

    Even most poker pros inc big names make a loss and rely on sponsorship.

    With roulette I need to win one in a 50/50 game.

    50/50 :confused: you better check again


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    What edge ?

    Even most poker pros inc big names make a loss and rely on sponsorship.

    With roulette I need to win one in a 50/50 game.

    50/50 game? are you for real?

    Ridiculous post


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,328 ✭✭✭hotspur


    The reason why us poker players have an edge is that people like cherrypicker exist in the world. With roulette it really doesn't matter how retarded the croupier is does it? (not that I believe for one second that cherrypicker is anything other than a troll)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 247 ✭✭cherrypicker555


    hotspur wrote: »
    The reason why us poker players have an edge is that people like cherrypicker exist in the world. With roulette it really doesn't matter how retarded the croupier is does it? (not that I believe for one second that cherrypicker is anything other than a troll)


    Is that why world no 1 Gus Hansen made 20 million playing poker last yr but lost 21 million ?

    But unlike the worlds top pros you have the edge :rolleyes:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 15 Cookpasbabtridg


    Having read the last four pages, I can only assume cherrypicker555 is on a wind-up. There's no way he could post such complete and utter rubbish and go to a casino to put his 'theories' into practice. My guess is he's 12 years old and bored of whackin off to Seoige on his mid term.


  • Registered Users Posts: 395 ✭✭waxon-waxoff


    If you have deep enough pockets to keep going until your colour comes up then you are guaranteed to win, even though you might be only be one euro up. Its a bit of fun but you would never get rich.

    I started playing lately and so far im up a few quid. Keeping to a budget and modest bets seem to reduce the chance of a loss. When you are on a roll its tempting to up your stake to try to win real money but thats why the bookies win i suppose. I put in €100 one day, went up about €20 but then got 10 blacks in a row and it cleaned me out. Was tempted to put in more but i left it for another day


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,166 ✭✭✭enda1


    If you have deep enough pockets to keep going until your colour comes up then you are guaranteed to win, even though you might be only be one euro up.

    Not really seeing as most/all tables have a bet limit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,310 ✭✭✭✭Dodge


    Is that why world no 1 Gus Hansen made 20 million playing poker last yr but lost 21 million ?

    But unlike the worlds top pros you have the edge :rolleyes:

    You realise he lost the money on other gambling activities apart from Poker, don't you?


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    enda1 wrote: »
    Not really seeing as most/all tables have a bet limit.


    exactly. I think that point is being lost on cherrypicker


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 247 ✭✭cherrypicker555


    Dodge wrote: »
    You realise he lost the money on other gambling activities apart from Poker, don't you?


    Nearly every top hold em pro makes a loss, its sponsorship, that gives them the edge against other pros.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 247 ✭✭cherrypicker555


    rarnes1 wrote: »
    50/50 game? are you for real?

    Ridiculous post


    On an evens bet/red/black/odd/even its 50/50, if the ball lands on green , you get another spin.

    On evens bets the house does not have the edge, but on combination bets it does.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,310 ✭✭✭✭Dodge


    the ball lands on green , you get another spin


    :D:D:D


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    On an evens bet/red/black/odd/even its 50/50, if the ball lands on green , you get another spin.

    On evens bets the house does not have the edge, but on combination bets it does.
    cherrypicker your posts are retarded, how can you honestly write this stuff. I don't know how a mod hasn't come on and stopped this stupidity.


  • Registered Users Posts: 268 ✭✭holdemfoldem


    ha!!

    must be a wind up


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 247 ✭✭cherrypicker555


    Dodge wrote: »
    :D:D:D


    You obviously dont know the rules :rolleyes:



    "European roulette is played on a single wheel and also features a favorable "en prison" rule. Under this rule if the player makes any even money bet (red, black, odd, even, 1-18, 19-36) and the ball lands in zero the player either gets half the bet back or it becomes inprisoned. If an imprisoned bet wins on the next spin it is released and the player gets it back, without winnings. The similar "La Partage" rule offers half back only, without the option to imprison. What is subject to debate, or rule variation, is what happens to an imprisoned bet if the ball lands in zero on the next spin."


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11 profitandseer


    ok i may be wrong here but im pretty sure you have somehow merged two branches of mathematics.. or just don't understand either.

    Probability deals with predicting the likelihood of future events, while statistics involves the analysis of the frequency of past events.

    the probability of 8 reds hitting will be alot larger than that of 2 reds hitting but as the line above says probability is the study of future events. its not probable that you will hit RRRRRRRRRR but its not a fact that you won't.

    statistically the odds are 50/50 ie there are only two outcomes red or black. if you flip a coin a million times it will be heads around 500,000 times and tails the other 500,000 times

    No matter how many times the wheel is spun whether that be 10 straight reds or a million straight reds the next time the wheel is spun it will hit black 50% of the time and red the other 50%. and that my friend is a statistical fact.

    nough said.



    True, but the Martingale propability theory is a stochastic process, or sometimes random process, is the counterpart to a deterministic process (or deterministic system) in probability theory. Instead of dealing with only one possible 'reality' of how the process might evolve under time (as is the case, for example, for solutions of an ordinary differential equation), in a stochastic or random process there is some indeterminacy in its future evolution described by probability distributions. This means that even if the initial condition (or starting point) is known, there are many possibilities the process might go to, but some paths are more probable and others less.



    .............Stockbrokers use the same principle,in the casino the house protects itself by having a limit on how much you can bet on an evens bet.


    Examples of submartingales and supermartingales
    • Every martingale is also a submartingale and a supermartingale. Conversely, any stochastic process that is both a submartingale and a supermartingale is a martingale.
    • Consider again the gambler who wins $1 when a coin comes up heads and loses $1 when the coin comes up tails. Suppose now that the coin may be biased, so that it comes up heads with probability p.
      • If p is equal to 1/2, the gambler on average neither wins nor loses money, and the gambler's fortune over time is a martingale.
      • If p is less than 1/2, the gambler loses money on average, and the gambler's fortune over time is a supermartingale.
      • If p is greater than 1/2, the gambler wins money on average, and the gambler's fortune over time is a submartingale.
    • A convex function of a martingale is a submartingale, by Jensen's inequality. For example, the square of the gambler's fortune in the fair coin game is a submartingale (which also follows from the fact that Xn2 − n is a martingale). Similarly, a concave function of a martingale is a supermartingale.



    Einstein stated roulette could not be mathamatically defeated and the guy who invented it shot himself, saything that the house advantage on an evens bet is onlt 1.30 % lower then other casino games or the bookies.

    As stated the casino protects itself from the martingale by setting a limit, but some claim waiting for the wheel to spin bbbbb, as an example then following it, is v profitable, but potentially very expensive.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 247 ✭✭cherrypicker555


    Sat night took date to casino, posh meal 60 quid needed to win back cash. :)


    Bet red £ 25 won.

    Bet black £25 lost.

    Bet black £50 lost.

    Bet black £100 lost. :eek:

    Walked away and collected my composure, changed tables.


    Bet red £100 won :), date talked me out of putting £300 on red:rolleyes:

    Bet red £100 won :)

    Bet black £25 won :)


    Walked, ......Profit £ 75. :cool: date asked me if I was a sado masochist.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 6,586 ✭✭✭jaykay74


    Sat night took date to casino, posh meal 60 quid needed to win back cash. :)


    Bet red £ 25 won.

    Bet black £25 lost.

    Bet black £50 lost.

    Bet black £100 lost. :eek:

    Walked away and collected my composure, changed tables.


    Bet red £100 won :), date talked me out of putting £300 on red:rolleyes:

    Bet red £100 won :)

    Bet black £25 won :)


    Walked, ......Profit £ 75. :cool: date asked me if I was a sado masochist.

    Has this thread turned into a blog :confused:
    Personally I'd dump her. It was obviously going to be red next. :pac::pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,612 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    What edge ?

    Even most poker pros inc big names make a loss and rely on sponsorship.
    What are you talking about, there are plenty of players making millions at the game. Most of us are happy with thousands
    Is that why world no 1 Gus Hansen made 20 million playing poker last yr but lost 21 million ?
    Lol at gus hansen being the worlds number 1,
    As stated the casino protects itself from the martingale by setting a limit, but some claim waiting for the wheel to spin bbbbb, as an example then following it, is v profitable, but potentially very expensive.

    How could somebody make a long post, appearing to understand the martingale system.
    Then conclude with two ridic statements.

    The upper limit isn't there to protect from the martingale, the martingale system is +EV for the house regardless.
    The upper limit is to reduce potential liability for the house. Small casinos don't have the BR to spread 5 figure bets on roulette.

    Secondly, in a post full of probility links and info,. Its down right funny that you mention waiting for BBBBB as a profitable situation.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,520 ✭✭✭✭dsmythy


    You obviously dont know the rules :rolleyes:



    "European roulette is played on a single wheel and also features a favorable "en prison" rule. Under this rule if the player makes any even money bet (red, black, odd, even, 1-18, 19-36) and the ball lands in zero the player either gets half the bet back or it becomes inprisoned. If an imprisoned bet wins on the next spin it is released and the player gets it back, without winnings. The similar "La Partage" rule offers half back only, without the option to imprison. What is subject to debate, or rule variation, is what happens to an imprisoned bet if the ball lands in zero on the next spin."

    Even in those games the house has an edge and i'm pretty sure most places won't have that rule. Ya can't beat a straight wheel.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 19,080 ✭✭✭✭Random


    dsmythy wrote: »
    Even in those games the house has an edge and i'm pretty sure most places won't have that rule. Ya can't beat a straight wheel.
    Never seen that rule.. is it used in Ireland much ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,520 ✭✭✭✭dsmythy


    Random wrote: »
    Never seen that rule.. is it used in Ireland much ?

    I've never seen it at all. It's been a while since i've as much as looked at a wheel though.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,328 ✭✭✭hotspur


    Sat night took date to casino, posh meal 60 quid needed to win back cash. :)

    Do you live in Malawi or are you just so working class that Eddie Rockets is a posh meal? I mean 60 quid lol.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,706 ✭✭✭premierstone


    Sat night took date to casino, posh meal 60 quid needed to win back cash. :)

    She's a lucky lucky girl :rolleyes:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 247 ✭✭cherrypicker555


    hotspur wrote: »
    Do you live in Malawi or are you just so working class that Eddie Rockets is a posh meal? I mean 60 quid lol.


    No mate, just throught your girlfriend might like a bit of posh nosh instead of taking her dogging as per usual on a sat night:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,310 ✭✭✭✭Dodge


    No mate, just throught your girlfriend might like a bit of posh nosh instead of taking her dogging as per usual on a sat night:D

    Doesn't explain how you think €60 for a meal is posh. Especially for a man of your high flying csino experience


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 247 ✭✭cherrypicker555


    Dodge wrote: »
    Doesn't explain how you think €60 for a meal is posh. Especially for a man of your high flying csino experience





    60 pounds, when not drinking is posh.

    http://www.grosvenorcasinos.com/php/index.php?package=casino_details&action=show_restaurant&casino_code=904


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 463 ✭✭reilly110


    still a comical thread

    well played

    i really like your roulette system
    i will be subscribing to your newsletter cherry


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 19 riverbank


    i really like your roulette system
    i will be subscribing to your newsletter cherry[/quote]

    "System working well, Please send more money":)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,441 ✭✭✭jhegarty


    Was really thinking about this system.

    So for a bit of fun I wrote a computer program to simulate it as stated over 1000's of spins.

    I started with 1,000,000 at bets of 1

    The money gradley grew as the system promited. It got to over 1.3 million.

    Then 20 of the wrong colour in a row, the whole lot was gone.


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    jhegarty wrote: »
    Was really thinking about this system.

    So for a bit of fun I wrote a computer program to simulate it as stated over 1000's of spins.

    I started with 1,000,000 at bets of 1

    The money gradley grew as the system promited. It got to over 1.3 million.

    Then 20 of the wrong colour in a row, the whole lot was gone.

    fail-proof system so !:D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,817 ✭✭✭myflipflops


    This thread is nonsense. I was wondering why a thread on Roulette had grown to this many posts and took a look. It's simply an arguement that's going around in circles with someone who is either taking the piss or simply too stubborn to listen to logic. It also contains a lot of needless personal abuse.

    I vote it gets locked. Any mods willing to agree?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,441 ✭✭✭jhegarty


    rarnes1 wrote: »
    fail-proof system so !:D

    exactly , 20 reds in a row almost never happens. But when you are 500,000 spins in , expect **** to happen.


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 2,165 Mod ✭✭✭✭L1m1tless


    What do you think of the Betfair "zero" roulette? they have taken away the 0 from the wheel which gives 0% house edge :confused:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 456 ✭✭sm.org


    No mate, just throught your girlfriend might like a bit of posh nosh instead of taking her dogging as per usual on a sat night:D

    Post and comeback of the year.

    Comic gold.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1 Mr_Randomer


    JUST BECAUSE BLACK HAS COME UP 9 TIMES BEFORE DOES NOT MEAN NEXT NUMBER WILL BE RED!!!!!

    And anyway ever heard of table limits, most in dublin have a limit of €330
    minimum of €5:

    €5, €10, €20, €40, €80. €160, €320 at this point your down €365 and cannot double any more.

    Just pick a number and random and stay on it for 20 spins at same chip value then increase from there but don`t double, just increase by one chip, much better return odds and much lower cost overall.


    Only because you can't chase your losses beyond a £500 bet on one colour, (not sure about in the US, expect if you did play this they would ban you) , Roulette can be beaten but no casino would allow you to consistantly win and you need a massive bankroll.

    Example :


    1.Bet 20 red lose

    2 Bet 40 red lose

    3 Bet 80 red lose

    4 Bet 160 red lose

    5 Bet 300 red lose.

    6 Bet 620 red lose.


    7 Bet 1240 red lose.


    8 Bet 2500 red lose.

    9 Bet 5020 red....Win....Profit 20.


    When tested at home the system makes around £ 500 an hour profit, then a huge amount of spinds go the other way, as stated, I once spun 9 black in a row.

    Saying that the house advantage of Roulette over the punter is less then that of the high st bookmaker.


  • Advertisement
  • Closed Accounts Posts: 301 ✭✭IH77


    did you realise this thread was over a year old?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 23,495 ✭✭✭✭Billy86


    So I happened to stumble on a torrent of this thing the other day and decided to give it a whack... I am after losing my balls! Thankfully I didn't have a significant amount in the account though, $45.

    Anyway this is less about the Roulette Sniper yokey, and more a question of roulette odds if anybody knows them. After 34 spins, I was told to go for a 15/12 line (e.g. all numbers from 10-15, inclusive), which has a 16.2% chance of hitting (6/37). I then proceeded to go 37 more spins without hitting it once (well, 34 spins... I just kept doing 'free spins' after to see if/when it ever would hit). In total that is 71 spins in a row at a 16.2% chance of hitting on any one of them - and they all missed up until #72.

    I am fairly useless at maths though, so I need somebody to help me out on something small. Would the odds of missing all of these bets be worked out by:

    - 16.2(%) ÷ 71
    or
    - 16.2(%) ÷ 2, then ÷ 2 again, then ÷ 2 again, and so on seventy times over?

    I'm not angry... I'm almost proud at this rate :D! If the second way (x2, x2, x2, etc) is how you work it out I might have just got the worst beat/run in the history of gambling! The first one would be about a 1-in-440 (00.228%) chance of happening, but if it is the second one it would be roughly 1-in-2 thousand, trillion, trillion (00.0000000000000000000000524%) chance. Yes, two-thousand, trillion, trillion!

    I know I know, it's obviously got to be the first one. But 'The Mush' in me is really just praying somebody who knows better chimes in that it's the second one!


  • Registered Users Posts: 188 ✭✭yaaaboy


    havnt even looked at it but anything got to do with roulette is dodgy, i wasted 3 months of my life trying all sorts of systems to beat it (i had it down to having to get 14 in a row of one colour to lose) and still managed to lose money. the thing is, you can make big profits quickly but the table dosnt mind paying out because when you lose once (and you eventually will) they'l get it all back and more.

    when i was studying it i learned that the record is 38 for the same colour in a row coming up and 7 of the exact same number in a row came up in a place in bristol before! its so unpredictable its ridiculous!

    Einstein once said the only way to beat the roulette table is to take the money when the teller isnt looking!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,783 ✭✭✭Pj!


    Sorry I didn't read through all of the thread, but just had to comment on how laughable that man's youtube video is.

    If you fall for that, you seriously need to take a look at the Cop On book.

    The man (in the video) is on commission (75% of each sale!!).
    You can sell it yourself, here's the link: http://www.roulettesniper.com/affiliates/
    They even supply the articles for fooling people.


    (sorry if this was already said)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5 mustangGT


    That youtube vid is a load of crap! There certainly are mathamatical systems out there but you really do have to work out what your comfortable wagering. I play my own way in the online live casinos thats been working pretty well over the last week ive been trying it in both paddypower and dublinbet. And no its not that stupid system where you keep betting on red or black even if you loose.
    Just finished today, i had 50 to start with and left the table with 320 euros..so i withdrew 270 and my original 50 is there waiting for me either tommorrow or saturday. Had one day that i made only 20 out of a hour playing but thats still good in my books! :) discipline is important..if you loose, cut your losses and bail, if you win a nice amount in a couple hours dont get greedy and keep on winning cause eventually you'll get ahead of yourself and start wagering more then you planned and end up loosing it all!
    Anybody else serious into roulette drop me a pm.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2 system_player


    The man (in the video) is on commission (75% of each sale!!).
    You can sell it yourself.
    They even supply the articles for fooling people.


  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Sports Moderators, Regional Abroad Moderators Posts: 2,655 Mod ✭✭✭✭TrueDub


    Stop dragging up old threads


This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement