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"Man-made" Climate Change Lunathicks Out in Full Force

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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,995 ✭✭✭Sofiztikated


    God love your patience.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭dense


    Grayson wrote: »
    We don't know since their papers did not make any conclusion. The scientists themselves may agree or disagree, it's just that their results didn't support either side.


    None of the papers are quoted as having made any conclusions, nor were reasons for global warming or climate change listed in the categories of research described and analysed:

    Table 1.



    Definitions of each type of research category.


    Category Description Example
    (1) Impacts



    Effects and impacts of climate change on the environment, ecosystems or humanity '...global climate change together with increasing direct impacts of human activities, such as fisheries, are affecting the population dynamics of marine top predators'


    (2) Methods



    Focus on measurements and modeling methods, or basic climate science not included in the other categories 'This paper focuses on automating the task of estimating Polar ice thickness from airborne radar data...'


    (3) Mitigation



    Research into lowering CO2 emissions or atmospheric CO2 levels 'This paper presents a new approach for a nationally appropriate mitigation actions framework that can unlock the huge potential for greenhouse gas mitigation in dispersed energy end-use sectors in developing countries'


    (4) Not climate-related



    Social science, education, research about people's views on climate 'This paper discusses the use of multimedia techniques and augmented reality tools to bring across the risks of global climate change'


    (5) Opinion



    Not peer-reviewed articles 'While the world argues about reducing global warming, chemical engineers are getting on with the technology. Charles Butcher has been finding out how to remove carbon dioxide from flue gas'


    (6) Paleoclimate



    Examining climate during pre-industrial times 'Here, we present a pollen-based quantitative temperature reconstruction from the midlatitudes of Australia that spans the last 135 000 years...'






  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭dense


    Dohnjoe wrote: »
    1. How many of those 12,000 papers were specifically drafted to produce a "verdict"?

    2. Of those verdicts, how many endorsed AGW?

    3. Of those verdicts, how many didn't endorse AGW?

    Just because there are thousands of papers on a subject e.g. evolution, it doesn't mean that each one is drafted to reach a specific conclusion - many will be about an aspect of evolution with no such remit to produce a "verdict" or to "endorse" it

    If you don't understand this concept - it has now been explained
    If you do understand this concept - you are being deliberately obtuse and pedantic


    How many do you think reached any conclusions or verdicts?


    A guess will still be a guess.


    Do you understand that concept?


    Your guess is irrelevant to the debate and your point about "verdicts and conclusions" is therefore another moot one to add to your growing list of confused "just because" style of contributions.


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Dense,

    Exactly which parts of the consensus on climate change do you disagree with?

    Do you agree that CO2 is a greenhouse gas?

    Do you agree that humans burning fossil fuels releases CO2 into the atmosphere?

    Do you agree that CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere have gone from about 280ppm to over 400ppm?

    Do you agree that the world is warming because of CO2 that humans have released by burning fossil fuels?

    Do you agree that we've already warmed by about 1c since the turn of the last century

    None of those statements are in any way controversial in the scientific community even amongst self described 'skeptics,'


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,636 ✭✭✭feargale


    Dakota Dan wrote: »
    You're really scraping the arse of the barrel for an argument.

    There is no need to scrape a barrel when the death toll in Greek fires exceeds a hundred and temperatures hit 46 in Portugal.

    Talking of scraping barrels, read this:

    In 1953, a great deal of attention was given to an experiment by Ernst Wynder, Evarts Graham and Adele Croninger, showing that tumours could be generated by painting cigarette smoke tars onto the shaved backs of mice. Life magazine devoted several pages to the story, and Time cited Graham's conclusion that the case against tobacco had now been proved ‘beyond any doubt’. Public confidence in tobacco was shaken, and stock prices of American cigarette manufacturers plummeted. Tobacco manufacturers saw this new ‘health scare’ as a mortal threat to their livelihood, and decided to organise a response. On December 14, 1953, at the Plaza Hotel in Manhattan, CEOs of the six largest tobacco manufacturers in the USA (all but Liggett) met to plan a response. The outcome was a far-reaching plan to refute the accumulating evidence, using adverts, ‘white papers’, press releases and corporate schmoozing with popular science writers and journalists. Support for (industry-friendly) science was a vital part of this enterprise: cigarette manufacturers called for ‘more research’ to resolve a purported ‘controversy’, and set out to reassure the public that the companies were taking charge. That campaign was by and large a success, judging from the fact that per capita consumption rebounded from its dip in 1953. Cigarette consumption in the USA would in fact continue to grow throughout the 1960s and 1970s, peaking at about 630 billion sticks in 1982 before starting to decline.

    Now, if the tobacco industry was so callous about human life, do you seriously believe, given what we know about them, that other multinational industries, oil etc, are more responsible, that they wouldn't stoop to bribing compromised scientists into supporting their myths? Climate change denial and greed are natural bedfellows.
    What profit is there for any scientist in denying climate change? Those who find it all an inconvenient truth, including everyone who sells petrol in Ballymagash can go on denying, and their grandchildren may find it's too late.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭dense


    Akrasia wrote: »
    Dense,

    Exactly which parts of the consensus on climate change do you disagree with?

    Do you agree that CO2 is a greenhouse gas?

    Do you agree that humans burning fossil fuels releases CO2 into the atmosphere?

    Do you agree that CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere have gone from about 280ppm to over 400ppm?

    Do you agree that the world is warming because of CO2 that humans have released by burning fossil fuels?

    Do you agree that we've already warmed by about 1c since the turn of the last century

    None of those statements are in any way controversial in the scientific community even amongst self described 'skeptics,'

    Humans emit a minute amount of C02 into the atmosphere.

    You will say that although it is minute it is controlling weather and ultimately climate all over the globe in different ways. It is blamed for causing snow, cold weather, heatwaves, warm weather, dry weather, wet weather the list goes on.


    Yet you admit to doing nothing about your own carbon footprint and urge others to do nothing about theirs either.

    Or, possibly I have that wrong, they should be doing something, but you shouldn't if you read up about it.

    The only point at which you will make an effort is under an edict from government.

    And this pretty much sums up everyone feigning horror about climate change, feign horror, and pretend their contribution to adding C02 is too insignificant and carry on as normal.

    This is reflected in the breast beating hypocrisy of those on the climate change circuit, conferencing at exotic locations and describing socialist dictators as stars of the show.

    As quoted by the complete socialiat nutters in Friends of the Earth, our Leading Climate Expert describes a man who decries the "brutal capitalist system" as his star


    http://climateandcapitalism.com/2013/01/15/evo-morales-ten-commandments-against-capitalism-for-life-and-humanity/


    https://www.foe.ie/blog/2014/12/09/planetary-passion-versus-protecting-the-national-interest-tuesday-at-the-un-climate-talks/


    Friends of the Earth also lay it down large here, in their true agenda laid bare:
    We have met to continue our debates and share a variety of ways to resist and fight for the construction of social justice, against the patriarchal, racist and homophobic capitalist system, for the respect of the diversity of life without exploitation or ruining of natural resources, for the right of the people to decide upon their community-­‐based energy sources, for the reduction of social inequality, and to promote Good Living as a model of life in harmony with Nature and Mother Earth.
    https://www.foei.org/news/the-lima-declaration



    Every word I'm sure you will condone.



    This social experiment about reducing fossil fuel usage has little to do with science.

    These are the same people who thought it was a good idea if everyone bought a diesel car to nip to the shops in:


    https://www.radiotimes.com/tv-programme/e/gd52wh/dispatches--britains-diesel-scandal-channel-4-dispatches/


    and which are now killing tens of thousands of people.


    The same people who now think getting everyone to buy electric cars is clever.

    We know it has little to do with "the environment" because we've already been told that:

    United Nations climate official Ottmar Edenhofer:

    "One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy. This has almost nothing to do with the environmental policy anymore, with problems such as deforestation or the ozone hole," said Edenhofer, who co-chaired the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change working group on Mitigation of Climate Change from 2008 to 2015.

    So what is the goal of environmental policy?

    "We redistribute de facto the world's wealth by climate policy," said Edenhofer.

    For those who want to believe that maybe Edenhofer just misspoke and doesn't really mean that, consider that a little more than five years ago he also said that "the next world climate summit in Cancun is actually an economy summit during which the distribution of the world's resources will be negotiated."
    https://www.investors.com/politics/editorials/another-climate-alarmist-admits-real-motive-behind-warming-scare/



    And I have said here elsewhere:


    You are not at an UNIPCC love in.

    This is a discussion on a board in a country which is being threatened with millions of euros of fines for "climate change" that no one is able attribute to it, a country where socialist politicians who want to have their cake and eat it are virtue signalling about their success ending fossil fuel exploration, where stupid activists celebrate the fact that they are bringing the government to court for failing to avert climate change and where a Citizens Assembly of apparent climate justice enthusiasts vote for higher taxes whilst being unable to articulate how it will avert climate change.
    And everyone looks the other way.
    This is either science or its not.


    It is not.
    It is using a misunderstood niche science as a vehicle to introduce a political agenda, an agenda that will be required before those pretending to be most alarmed by climate change will actually bother doing anything about.
    "This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time to change the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the industrial revolution.

    That will not happen overnight and it will not happen at a single conference on climate change, be it COP 15, 21, 40 - you choose the number. It just does not occur like that. It is a process, because of the depth of the transformation."
    https://www.unric.org/en/latest-un-buzz/29623-figueres-first-time-the-world-economy-is-transformed-intentionally

    This is a science hoax of the biggest magnitude, and a quest for the implementation of socialism and social justice dreamt up by the usual suspects who rely on those with low concentration thresholds to have implemented.

    Think AAA people before profit types.


    And the Pope, let's not forget that much loved man, on climate change and contraception etc.


    Now, note that I haven't given any view per se on socialism or indeed capitalism, because I don't have to.
    Plus, it would be irrelevant.

    All I'm doing here is reporting the facts, with linked sources.

    People can make up their own minds.

    By the way, I don't think I've ever come across anyone who is a scientist pushing the "97% of scientists" angle, have you?


    Well except the authors of course!


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,995 ✭✭✭Sofiztikated


    All I'm doing here is reporting the facts, with linked sources

    You're not even doing that.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 805 ✭✭✭Anthracite


    dense wrote: »
    Humans emit a minute amount of C02 into the atmosphere.
    Yeah, totally right.
    Global emissions from all human activities will reach an all-time record 45 billion tons in 2017, following a projected 2% rise in burning fossil fuels such as oil, gas and coal, the study revealed.

    ......

    Global levels of carbon emissions have skyrocketed in recent decades. Sixty years ago, the world spewed only 9.2 billion tons per year.

    Minute.

    https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2017/11/13/global-carbon-dioxide-emissions-reach-record-high/859659001/


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    feargale wrote: »
    There is no need to scrape a barrel when the death toll in Greek fires exceeds a hundred and temperatures hit 46 in Portugal.

    Talking of scraping barrels, read this:

    In 1953, a great deal of attention was given to an experiment by Ernst Wynder, Evarts Graham and Adele Croninger, showing that tumours could be generated by painting cigarette smoke tars onto the shaved backs of mice.12 Life magazine devoted several pages to the story, and Time cited Graham's conclusion that the case against tobacco had now been proved ‘beyond any doubt’.13 Public confidence in tobacco was shaken, and stock prices of American cigarette manufacturers plummeted. Tobacco manufacturers saw this new ‘health scare’ as a mortal threat to their livelihood, and decided to organise a response. On December 14, 1953, at the Plaza Hotel in Manhattan, CEOs of the six largest tobacco manufacturers in the USA (all but Liggett) met to plan a response. The outcome was a far-reaching plan to refute the accumulating evidence, using adverts, ‘white papers’, press releases and corporate schmoozing with popular science writers and journalists. Support for (industry-friendly) science was a vital part of this enterprise: cigarette manufacturers called for ‘more research’ to resolve a purported ‘controversy’, and set out to reassure the public that the companies were taking charge. That campaign was by and large a success, judging from the fact that per capita consumption rebounded from its dip in 1953. Cigarette consumption in the USA would in fact continue to grow throughout the 1960s and 1970s, peaking at about 630 billion sticks in 1982 before starting to decline.

    Now, if the tobacco industry was so callous about human life, do you seriously believe, given what we know about them, that other multinational industries, oil etc, are more responsible, that they wouldn't stoop to bribing compromised scientists into supporting their myths? Climate change denial and greed are natural bedfellows.
    What profit is there for any scientist in denying climate change? Those who find it all an inconvenient truth, including everyone who sells petrol in Ballymagash can go on denying, and their grandchildren may find it's too late.

    The oil and tobacco industries used the same shill scientists and PR firms for decades
    “From the 1950s onward, the oil and tobacco firms were using not only the same PR firms and same research institutes, but many of the same researchers,” CIEL President Carroll Muffett said in a statement.

    “Again and again we found both the PR firms and the researchers worked first for oil, then for tobacco,” he said. “It was a pedigree the tobacco companies recognized and sought out.”
    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/tobacco-and-oil-industries-used-same-researchers-to-sway-public1/


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    dense wrote: »
    Humans emit a minute amount of C02 into the atmosphere.

    You will say that although it is minute it is controlling weather and ultimately climate all over the globe in different ways. It is blamed for causing snow, cold weather, heatwaves, warm weather, dry weather, wet weather the list goes on.


    Yet you admit to doing nothing about your own carbon footprint and urge others to do nothing about theirs either.

    Or, possibly I have that wrong, they should be doing something, but you shouldn't if you read up about it.

    The only point at which you will make an effort is under an edict from government.

    And this pretty much sums up everyone feigning horror about climate change, feign horror, and pretend their contribution to adding C02 is too insignificant and carry on as normal.

    This is reflected in the breast beating hypocrisy of those on the climate change circuit, conferencing at exotic locations and describing socialist dictators as stars of the show.

    As quoted by the complete socialiat nutters in Friends of the Earth, our Leading Climate Expert describes a man who decries the "brutal capitalist system" as his star


    http://climateandcapitalism.com/2013/01/15/evo-morales-ten-commandments-against-capitalism-for-life-and-humanity/


    https://www.foe.ie/blog/2014/12/09/planetary-passion-versus-protecting-the-national-interest-tuesday-at-the-un-climate-talks/


    Friends of the Earth also lay it down large here, in their true agenda laid bare:

    https://www.foei.org/news/the-lima-declaration



    Every word I'm sure you will condone.



    This social experiment about reducing fossil fuel usage has little to do with science.

    These are the same people who thought it was a good idea if everyone bought a diesel car to nip to the shops in:


    https://www.radiotimes.com/tv-programme/e/gd52wh/dispatches--britains-diesel-scandal-channel-4-dispatches/


    and which are now killing tens of thousands of people.


    The same people who now think getting everyone to buy electric cars is clever.

    We know it has little to do with "the environment" because we've already been told that:


    https://www.investors.com/politics/editorials/another-climate-alarmist-admits-real-motive-behind-warming-scare/



    And I have said here elsewhere:



    And everyone looks the other way.
    This is either science or its not.


    It is not.
    It is using a misunderstood niche science as a vehicle to introduce a political agenda, an agenda that will be required before those pretending to be most alarmed by climate change will actually bother doing anything about.

    https://www.unric.org/en/latest-un-buzz/29623-figueres-first-time-the-world-economy-is-transformed-intentionally

    This is a science hoax of the biggest magnitude, and a quest for the implementation of socialism and social justice dreamt up by the usual suspects who rely on those with low concentration thresholds to have implemented.

    Think AAA people before profit types.


    And the Pope, let's not forget that much loved man, on climate change and contraception etc.


    Now, note that I haven't given any view per se on socialism or indeed capitalism, because I don't have to.
    Plus, it would be irrelevant.

    All I'm doing here is reporting the facts, with linked sources.

    People can make up their own minds.

    By the way, I don't think I've ever come across anyone who is a scientist pushing the "97% of scientists" angle, have you?


    Well except the authors of course!
    Right, so you didn't answer any of my questions except to say humans only emit a 'minute' amount of CO2

    Which of course, is complete Bollox
    Humans emit about 36 billion tonnes of Co2 a year
    A hundred times more than all the volcanoes in the world combined. Even the strongest eruptions, like Pinatubo, emit only a fraction of 1 percent of human emissions per year.

    And this is CO2 that it took millions of years for the natural carbon cycle to sequester deep underground

    The rest of your rant is just that, the unhinged ramblings of a loon

    your final statement about never having 'came across anyone who is a scientist' who agrees that there is a consensus, (except for the scientists who produced those multiple studies that all show an overwhelming consensus, duh), just shows how your crazy little mind works. You put all the data you don't like into one compartment in your brain marked 'ignore' and let all the nonsense and conspiracy run free. I can give you a long list of respected climate scientists who have all referenced the consensus when talking about climate change, but you'll probably put that in your ignore box too.

    It's shockingly laughable how wrong this is given that the IPCC produces reports that involve thousands of scientists who are in broad agreement and collaborate to produce their reports


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  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Actually, F*ck it, here's a statement signed by loads of organisations that represent loads of the scientists in the USA relevant to climate change.

    but yeah, there is no consensus. BTW, this is just one statement, there are loads of other joint statements by other conferences of scientists that say the same thing.
    June 28, 2016
    Dear Members of Congress,

    We, as leaders of major scientific organizations, write to remind you of the consensus scientific view of climate change.
    Observations throughout the world make it clear that climate change is occurring, and rigorous scientific research concludes that the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities are the primary driver. This conclusion is based on multiple independent lines of evidence and the vast body of peer-reviewed science.

    There is strong evidence that ongoing climate change is having broad negative impacts on society, including the global economy, natural resources, and human health. For the United States, climate change impacts include greater threats of extreme weather events, sea level rise, and increased risk of regional water scarcity, heat waves, wildfires, and the disturbance of
    biological systems. The severity of climate change impacts is increasing and is expected to increase substantially in the coming decades.1
    To reduce the risk of the most severe impacts of climate change, greenhouse gas emissions must be substantially reduced. In addition, adaptation is necessary to address unavoidable consequences for human health and safety, food security, water availability, and national
    security, among others.

    We, in the scientific community, are prepared to work with you on the scientific issues important to your deliberations as you seek to address the challenges of our changing climate.

    1 The conclusions in this and the preceding paragraph reflect the scientific consensus represented by, for
    example, the U.S. Global Change Research Program, the U.S. National Academies, and Intergovernmental
    Panel on Climate Change. Many scientific societies have endorsed these findings in their own statements,
    including the American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Chemical Society,
    American Geophysical Union, American Meteorological Society, American Statistical Association,
    Ecological Society of America, and Geological Society of America.
    American Society of Plant Biologists
    American Statistical Association
    Association for the Sciences of Limnology and Oceanography
    Association for Tropical Biology and Conservation
    Association of Ecosystem Research Centers
    BioQUEST Curriculum Consortium
    Botanical Society of America
    Consortium for Ocean Leadership
    Crop Science Society of America
    Ecological Society of America
    Entomological Society of America
    Geological Society of America
    National Association of Marine Laboratories
    Natural Science Collections Alliance
    Organization of Biological Field Stations
    Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
    Society for Mathematical Biology
    Society for the Study of Amphibians and Reptiles
    Society of Nematologists
    Society of Systematic Biologists
    Soil Science Society of America
    University Corporation for Atmospheric Research
    American Association for the Advancement of Science
    American Chemical Society
    American Geophysical Union
    American Institute of Biological Sciences
    American Meteorological Society
    American Public Health Association
    American Society of Agronomy
    American Society of Ichthyologists and Herpetologists
    American Society of Naturalists


  • Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Akrasia wrote: »
    Actually, F*ck it, here's a statement signed by loads of organisations that represent loads of the scientists in the USA relevant to climate change.

    but yeah, there is no consensus. BTW, this is just one statement, there are loads of other joint statements by other conferences of scientists that say the same thing.

    Only post worth reading :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,793 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    dense wrote: »
    So you're adding yourself to the growing number of posters who are refusing to endorse the 97% of scientists claim.

    Your argument is subscribing heavily to denialism. Basically the art of misrepresenting facts, figures, context, information, science, etc in order to attack/discredit a scientifically or factually based consensus

    In this case it's being obsessed with the number "97", on a personal crusade and requiring everyone to "prove" everything to you do the nth degree, which you will never subjectively accept - hence the debate goes in circles

    If I were so inclined I could play the same game with e.g. historical death figures and tie a debate up in knots using the same dishonest toolbox of debate tricks

    In this argument, on one side we have the weight of scientific evidence and consensus and on the other side we have a game of deliberately misrepresenting that evidence

    One is supported by evidence, the other by an abuse of it


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭dense


    Here's another official link.


    It's from the NOAA, the US Government Agency.


    It's archived, as it's now been taken down.


    https://web.archive.org/web/20060129154229/http://www.srh.noaa.gov/srh/jetstream/atmos/ll_gas.htm


    Conspiracy theorists may speculate that the site was hacked, maybe by a sceptical intern.


    NOAA describes itself as follows.

    NOAA is an agency that enriches life through science. Our reach goes from the surface of the sun to the depths of the ocean floor as we work to keep citizens informed of the changing environment around them.

    From daily weather forecasts, severe storm warnings, and climate monitoring to fisheries management, coastal restoration and supporting marine commerce, NOAA’s products and services support economic vitality and affect more than one-third of America’s gross domestic product. NOAA’s dedicated scientists use cutting-edge research and high-tech instrumentation to provide citizens, planners, emergency managers and other decision makers with reliable information they need when they need it.


    This is what the NOAA used to say about carbon dioxide and global warming:

    It has been thought that an increase in carbon dioxide will lead to global warming.


    While carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has been increasing over the past 100 years, there is no evidence that it is causing an increase in global temperatures.

    In 1997, NASA reported global temperature measurements of the Earth's lower atmosphere obtained from satellites revealed no definitive warming trend over the past two decades.


    In fact, the trend appeared to be a decrease in actual temperature.

    The largest differences in the satellite temperature data were not from any man-made activity, but from natural phenomena such as large volcanic eruptions from Mt. Pinatubo, and from El Niño.

    The behavior of the atmosphere is extremely complex.


    Therefore, discovering the validity of global warming is complex as well. How much effect will the increase in carbon dioxide will have is unclear or even if we recognize the effects of any increase.
    All perfectly valid, if a little lacking in contemporary hysterics.


    Just as well that any lack of expected observed warming can be subsequent fixed by adjusting the satellite data to deliver a 140% increase in warming.

    https://www.carbonbrief.org/major-correction-to-satellite-data-shows-140-faster-warming-since-1998
    Major correction to satellite data shows 140% faster warming since 1998
    In the interim there had been a bit of a to do, with climate scientists being annoyed at not being able measure any global warming.

    From: Kevin Trenberth (US National Center for Atmospheric Research). To: Michael Mann. Oct 12, 2009
    "The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't... Our observing system is inadequate"
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/environment/globalwarming/6636563/University-of-East-Anglia-emails-the-most-contentious-quotes.html

    Faulty satellite Kev.

    You can take your pick as to whether the pause in global warming was a result of faulty satellites or because of the "missing" heat subsequently being found hiding in the oceans after changing water temperature recording methods.

    Doubt you'll be able to have both though. Or maybe you can and you're probably now uniquely 3° above whatever pre industrial period you haven't defined.

    Four years ago NASA was acknowledging the pause in global warming,

    https://climate.nasa.gov/news/1141/hiatus-in-rise-of-earths-surface-air-temperature-likely-temporary/

    Two years later, it was claiming there'd been no pause.

    https://climate.nasa.gov/news/2521/study-sheds-new-insights-into-global-warming-trends/&sa=U&ved=0ahUKEwjeprnqptncAhVqIMAKHT4NAjkQFggNMAE&usg=AOvVaw27OM8xRdLYIHmcbNJlmqAM

    Which is all very understandable for any infant and niche field of science.

    It is a work in progress, the only certainty being that scepticism of the quality of the claims being made by those engaged in this area is a prerequisite.

    In the same way as you won't come across a scientist waffling about 97% of scientists, you won't come across any legitimate scientist claiming that the science is settled.





    It was seen in another thread how everything from the Syrian war to water shortages in Cape Town have been attempted, without success, to be attributed to human caused climate change.


    There is a desperation evident amongst those who are anxious to dispense some global climate justice to their brothers and sisters around the world.

    The same enthusiasm for reducing their own carbon footprint is curiously absent.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭dense


    Akrasia wrote: »
    Right, so you didn't answer any of my questions except to say humans only emit a 'minute' amount of CO2

    Which of course, is complete Bollox
    Humans emit about 36 billion tonnes of Co2 a year
    A hundred times more than all the volcanoes in the world combined. Even the strongest eruptions, like Pinatubo, emit only a fraction of 1 percent of human emissions per year.

    And this is CO2 that it took millions of years for the natural carbon cycle to sequester deep underground

    The rest of your rant is just that, the unhinged ramblings of a loon

    your final statement about never having 'came across anyone who is a scientist' who agrees that there is a consensus, (except for the scientists who produced those multiple studies that all show an overwhelming consensus, duh), just shows how your crazy little mind works. You put all the data you don't like into one compartment in your brain marked 'ignore' and let all the nonsense and conspiracy run free. I can give you a long list of respected climate scientists who have all referenced the consensus when talking about climate change, but you'll probably put that in your ignore box too.

    It's shockingly laughable how wrong this is given that the IPCC produces reports that involve thousands of scientists who are in broad agreement and collaborate to produce their reports




    The ones in broad agreement are I feel, mainly those who are currently of an immature left leaning political persuasion employed in state institutions.


    We have seen what can happen when those in the employ of subsidised centres of learning have proposed alternate theories, contracts terminated with free speech being censored lest it will offend the sponsors who have drunk from the climate change chalice and invented lots of climate change paraphernalia educational resources.



    You will find that it is often the mature, often retired persona no longer longing for acceptance in the group think bubble of modern education who are sceptical.



    As for your isolated figures for C02 emissions, you didn't give any that I saw for natural emissions which dwarf "man made/unatural emissions" nor did I see any explanation for why you think a well mixed gas comprised of natural and human sources treat one source differently than another.


    Dr Ed Berry explained all this to you on his blog when you started quoting half baked UNIPCC theories on it.


    I haven't got the link to hand but will post it later.



    Should come up on a search if anyone's interested.



    As you couldn't better him, you ended up called him a crank if memory serves.



    Lots of name calling and choice language when you are on the back foot I think.


    It's not the way to debate.

    Plus, you were unable to refute the socialist agenda which permeates the speeches on the climate change circuit and from the UN spokespersons.

    Serious question, have you ever thought about upping sticks to Cuba or China?
    Lots do, most are really big into climate change in my experience and believe humans and their families and their behaviour such as burning natural resources are alien to this planet.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭dense


    Dohnjoe wrote: »
    Your argument is subscribing heavily to denialism. Basically the art of misrepresenting facts, figures, context, information, science, etc in order to attack/discredit a scientifically or factually based consensus

    In this case it's being obsessed with the number "97", on a personal crusade and requiring everyone to "prove" everything to you do the nth degree, which you will never subjectively accept - hence the debate goes in circles

    If I were so inclined I could play the same game with e.g. historical death figures and tie a debate up in knots using the same dishonest toolbox of debate tricks

    In this argument, on one side we have the weight of scientific evidence and consensus and on the other side we have a game of deliberately misrepresenting that evidence

    One is supported by evidence, the other by an abuse of it


    Some interesting points there, which make no difference to anything.



    What is your own personal crusade to save the planet from the doom you foresee being caused by C02?


    Not really bothered, just like most who say they are most bothered?


    What do you do to reduce your carbon footprint, or do you think, like Akrasia does, that that's a load of baloney?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭dense


    Akrasia wrote: »
    Actually, F*ck it, here's a statement signed by loads of organisations that represent loads of the scientists in the USA relevant to climate change.

    but yeah, there is no consensus. BTW, this is just one statement, there are loads of other joint statements by other conferences of scientists that say the same thing.


    Why on earth are skin specialists and other non "climate scientists" jumping on the bandwagon endorsing the AGW theory?


    They are like you and I, bereft of any climate qualifications that would enable them to pledge their professional endorsement of anything outside of their field of expertise.



    The "scientific community" supporting the "scientific community" ? For reasons unknown?
    Group think in action.

    What is the value that you perceive from their unqualified show of support?


    Because you look up to scientists?



    What is the point of posting up a list of area-unqualifed scientific societies agreeing about something they're not qualified to agree on?


    Why are they doing it, and why do you value it?



    It's like an electrician signing off on a plumber's work experience.



    What consensus do you keep talking about and why?



    There is no evidence of any consensus after 86% of the chosen potential "consensus makers" didn't respond to efforts to create a consensus.


  • Registered Users Posts: 33,519 ✭✭✭✭dudara


    It’s CO2, not C02. Carbon and Oxygen.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,346 ✭✭✭xckjoo


    xckjoo wrote: »
    For those that didn't see the last threads on climate change, it usually degenerates into a small subset of posters swamping the thread by nit-picking "facts" (i.e. things they tell you you think are facts), failure to understand how modelling and statistical analysis works and links to dodgy websites that back them up in an argument nobody was having with them. Think along the lines of "they weren't 100% right about this one thing so it must a global conspiracy" type stuff. Don't bother trying to counter-argue a point because the goalposts will be moved before you even line-up your shot. Even if you do provide an explanation or proof, it's ignored or not understood.


    My predictions from a week ago all came true! Nostrodamus eat your heart out.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    xckjoo wrote: »
    My predictions from a week ago all came true! Nostrodamus eat your heart out.

    Yep. And crazy stuff like finding one page that was taken down from a NOAA website years ago that disagrees with everything else they publish on climate change, and then claiming that this must be their real position on climate change,

    Dense went into full troll mode by ignoring a list of dozens of earth's system scientific organisations and ranting about the imagined inclusion of 'skin specialists', about why this body shouldn't be on the list, that they weren't even on, as if the likes of the AMO and American Geophysical Union weren't actually on the list.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,857 ✭✭✭TheQuietFella


    dudara wrote: »
    It’s CO2, not C02. Carbon and Oxygen.

    Don't be pedantic! :D:D:D


  • Registered Users Posts: 33,519 ✭✭✭✭dudara


    Don't be pedantic! :D:D:D

    Sorry, it's the scientist part of me crying quietly on the inside.


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    The head of the Joseph Priestley appreciation society strikes again


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,857 ✭✭✭TheQuietFella


    dudara wrote: »
    Sorry, it's the scientist part of me crying quietly on the inside.

    I'm that way too when I see peoples spelling on the various forums but I have to rise above it!
    Ah well, that's life I suppose!


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,837 ✭✭✭daheff


    my view is we just dont have enough data to make a valid determination. Reasonally proper regular temperature records only go back to around 1840s, but we know there have been ice ages and the earth was warmer than now when there were dinosaurs. historical records tell us there were a lot of winters in 1700s where the Thames was so regularly frozen that there were organised winter markets on it. Krakatowa erruption in late 1880s caused world temperatures to drop a couple of degrees for the next few years because of the amount of ash it blew up into the atmosphere.

    We cant conclusively say mankind is causing the increase in temperatures (& that its not a coincidence)... but we can reduce the pollution we cause & hope that it helps.


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,242 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    daheff wrote: »
    my view is we just dont have enough data to make a valid determination. Reasonally proper regular temperature records only go back to around 1840s, but we know there have been ice ages and the earth was warmer than now when there were dinosaurs. historical records tell us there were a lot of winters in 1700s where the Thames was so regularly frozen that there were organised winter markets on it. Krakatowa erruption in late 1880s caused world temperatures to drop a couple of degrees for the next few years because of the amount of ash it blew up into the atmosphere.

    We cant conclusively say mankind is causing the increase in temperatures (& that its not a coincidence)... but we can reduce the pollution we cause & hope that it helps.
    The underlying physics behind climate change and the greenhouse effect are virtually certain, the observations verify the physical processes that are very well understood. The uncertainty is all to do with feedbacks and whether they slow down or amplify the greenhouse effect. There is a very strong consensus that the feedbacks will amplify warming rather than mask it and observations support this position.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,761 ✭✭✭Pinch Flat


    Must point my grandkids to this thread. Will be interesting reading when they’re my age.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭dense


    Akrasia wrote: »
    The underlying physics behind climate change and the greenhouse effect are virtually certain, the observations verify the physical processes that are very well understood. The uncertainty is all to do with feedbacks and whether they slow down or amplify the greenhouse effect. There is a very strong consensus that the feedbacks will amplify warming rather than mask it and observations support this position.


    Not sure where you're getting all that virtual certainty from or why you're claiming it.


    What is your agenda?




    Here is the UNIPCC, reiterating the uncertainties surrounding what is known


    The Physical Science Basis


    Even though a great deal is known about glacial-interglacial variations in climate and greenhouse gases, a comprehensive mechanistic explanation of these variations remains to be articulated.



    Similarly, the mechanisms of abrupt climate change (for example, in ocean circulation and drought frequency) are not well enough understood, nor are the key climate thresholds that, when crossed, could trigger an acceleration in sea level rise or regional climate change.



    Furthermore, the ability of climate models to simulate realistic abrupt change in ocean circulation, drought frequency, flood frequency, ENSO behaviour and monsoon strength is uncertain.



    Neither the rates nor the processes by which ice sheets grew and disintegrated in the past are known well enough.





    https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch6s6-7.html


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,995 ✭✭✭Sofiztikated


    dense wrote: »
    Not sure where you're getting all that virtual certainty from or why you're claiming it.


    What is your agenda?




    Here is the UNIPCC, reiterating the uncertainties surrounding what is known





    https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch6s6-7.html

    . For instance, the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased by about 35% in the industrial era, and this increase is known to be due to human activities, primarily the combustion of fossil fuels and removal of forests. Thus, humankind has dramatically altered the chemical composition of the global atmosphere with substantial implications for climate.

    From the very same report, and I found that in 2 minutes reading.


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