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05-12-2019, 15:34   #46
Mortelaro
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They're not really anomalies because they rarely pan out at that distance
Its just how they deal with chaos theory that far out
It was ever thus with them
(For as long as I've been following them anyhow)
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05-12-2019, 15:46   #47
Stevieluvsye
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Quote:
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They're not really anomalies because they rarely pan out at that distance
Its just how they deal with chaos theory that far out
It was ever thus with them
(For as long as I've been following them anyhow)
Surely for credibility purposes then stop producing them?
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11-12-2019, 00:39   #48
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If only we had charts like this in July and August, rather than the Christmas holidays.

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11-12-2019, 14:29   #49
Dickie10
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so looks like lovely mild ,calm weather on stephens day?
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11-12-2019, 14:55   #50
Mortelaro
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so looks like lovely mild ,calm weather on stephens day?
Nope
Charts that far ahead aren't worth the crayons they're drew with
Check back in about 7 days and a clearing picture might emerge
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15-12-2019, 11:16   #51
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Charts look quite unsettled on the weekend before Christmas with lots of LP's nearby. On the latest run ECM looking calmer around Christmas day and very cold as cold air mass descends down from the N. In general charts keeping on the cold side out to +240 .






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15-12-2019, 11:24   #52
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A big swing this morning to cold weather for Christmas. I had today in mind as being the day where we start to get an idea what Christmas day will be like. Let's hope the trend continues next few days...
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15-12-2019, 11:50   #53
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The trend is cold coz today is cold.
When its milder later in the week the trend will be mild

Though its certainly notvas mild as it was earlier this month
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15-12-2019, 14:09   #54
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13, unlucky for some, looks good for Christmas tho

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16-12-2019, 13:36   #55
pauldry
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Looking at the Met Eireann 7 day charts up to Dec 23rd a lot of moisture and a lot of South or Southwesterly airflows in it.

Zero percent chance of snow but probably 8c most days like November.

Wet cold is colder than minus 10 cold. My feet cant bear much more of this damp cold.

This is the phone forecast Dec 21st to 25th for Sligo

Dec 21st 7c showers
Dec 22nd 8c rain
Dec 23rd 7c rain
Dec 24th 7c showers
Christmas Day 7c showers

Last edited by pauldry; 16-12-2019 at 13:39.
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16-12-2019, 18:36   #56
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System directed at Kerry. It loses some intensity as it nears the SW.

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16-12-2019, 19:54   #57
Meteorite58
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System directed at Kerry. It loses some intensity as it nears the SW.
Something there on the ECM also if not as developed as the GFS.

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17-12-2019, 01:41   #58
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some cold hints showing up on tonights GFS runs around new years. Several are trying to get northern blocking going. Bare in mind this is the far reaches of FI at +384 hours.

GFS Op gets cold air to the eastern UK, not quite to Ireland.





GFS Control makes a better effort:


The Freezer is in over mainland UK and not that far from Dublin.


Number 10 brings the freezer to Dublin's doorstep.




some of the others are rather chilly as well:







These will probably all be very different by the morning, but could we be seeing the first signs of a possible pattern change as we ring in 2020! I sure hope so.
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17-12-2019, 11:37   #59
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as expected last nights cold runs are gone, but interesting that so many of them picked up on the cold. Hopefully they will soon make a return and that i'm not chasing a carrot all the way to mid March with the cold pattern finally establishing itself in June!.
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17-12-2019, 12:18   #60
Kermit.de.frog
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An interesting signal alright. Sometimes they disappear and randomly return later. I get the distinct impression we won't have to wait until March this time round.
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